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Morehead State vs Tennessee State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 78-68
42-31 36-37
Position#34
Record11-4
FormWLWWW
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game63.0
vs
Position#176
Record8-8
FormWLLWL
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game73.5
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Morehead State v Tennessee State
14 Feb 2026
MORE94
TENN86
21 Dec 2024
MORE74
TENN68
06 Jan 2024
MORE78
TENN68
16 Feb 2023
MORE74
TENN64
24 Jan 2022
MORE67
TENN54
25 Feb 2021
MORE74
TENN60
22 Feb 2020
MORE66
TENN63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Morehead State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tennessee State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Morehead StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bellarmine
#342
W
64-51
64
51
+13
A20/11
NCAA
Midway
#486
W
94-53
94
53
+41
H22/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#171
W
61-50
61
50
+11
A30/11
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#103
W
87-80
87
80
+7
H03/12
NCAA
North Alabama
#236
W
86-77
86
77
+9
A10/12
NCAA
SMWC Pomeroys
#636
W
102-33
102
33
+69
H15/12
NCAA
Indiana
#153
L
68-69
68
69
-1
A19/12
NCAA
Alice Loyd
#586
W
101-39
101
39
+62
H21/12
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#332
W
83-64
83
64
+19
A31/12
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#322
W
82-57
82
57
+25
H05/01
NCAA
1H
2H
22-20
42-31
36-33
58-20
27-27
34-23
40-36
47-44
30-37
56-40
52-19
50-14
36-25
32-44
47-22
54-17
40-33
43-31
33-32
49-25
140.1Avg total
82.8Scored
57.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)78.663.0141.6+15.673%
Season at home (7)90.952.6143.4+38.3100%
Season away (8)67.972.1140.0-4.250%
Last 10 (10)82.857.3140.1+25.590%
Last 5 (5)87.252.4139.6+34.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)59.077.0136.0-18.00%
vs Similar (10)65.665.7131.3-0.170%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)78.160.1138.1+18.083%
This opponent (Tennessee State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tennessee StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SE Louisiana
#244
W
91-77
91
77
+14
A25/11
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#310
L
83-85 OT
83
85
-2
A30/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#171
W
69-65
69
65
+4
H03/12
NCAA
Lipscomb
#105
L
71-78
71
78
-7
A10/12
NCAA
Liberty
#158
L
52-74
52
74
-22
A14/12
NCAA
Boyce
#599
W
117-59
117
59
+58
H16/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
69-90
69
90
-21
A20/12
NCAA
UT Martin
#82
L
75-91
75
91
-16
H29/12
NCAA
UALR
#90
W
90-82
90
82
+8
H30/12
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#346
L
67-69
67
69
-2
A05/01
NCAA
1H
2H
43-48
48-29
37-29
38-46
32-42
37-23
43-36
28-42
35-34
17-40
58-36
59-23
38-42
31-48
46-53
29-38
41-44
49-38
33-40
34-29
155.4Avg total
78.4Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)76.973.5150.4+3.450%
Season at home (8)82.068.2150.2+13.875%
Season away (8)71.978.8150.6-6.925%
Last 10 (10)78.477.0155.4+1.440%
Last 5 (5)83.678.2161.8+5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)60.582.0142.5-21.50%
vs Similar (17)76.978.1155.0-1.147%
vs Weaker (11)81.068.8149.8+12.273%
This opponent (Morehead State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-22-11+0+11+221st half1st half: +7.9+7.91st half: +0.2+0.22nd half2nd half: +17.6+17.62nd half: +1.4+1.4
-22-11+0+11+221st half1st half: +7.9+7.91st half: +0.2+0.22nd half2nd half: +17.6+17.62nd half: +1.4+1.4
Morehead StateTennessee State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Morehead StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bellarmine
#342
W
22-20
22
20
+2
A20/11
NCAA
Midway
#486
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H22/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#171
D
27-27
27
27
+0
A30/11
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#103
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H03/12
NCAA
North Alabama
#236
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A10/12
NCAA
SMWC Pomeroys
#636
W
52-19
52
19
+33
H15/12
NCAA
Indiana
#153
W
36-25
36
25
+11
A19/12
NCAA
Alice Loyd
#586
W
47-22
47
22
+25
H21/12
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#332
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A31/12
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#322
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H05/01
NCAA
64.7Avg total
36.3Scored
28.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.729.664.3+5.173%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.426.664.1+10.893%-
Last 30 away (16)32.332.264.6+0.156%-
Last 10 (10)36.328.464.7+7.980%-
Last 5 (5)41.626.267.8+15.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)27.039.066.0-12.00%-
vs Similar (10)32.230.162.3+2.170%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)36.728.665.3+8.183%-
This opponent (Tennessee State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tennessee StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SE Louisiana
#244
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A25/11
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#310
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A30/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#171
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H03/12
NCAA
Lipscomb
#105
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A10/12
NCAA
Liberty
#158
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A14/12
NCAA
Boyce
#599
W
58-36
58
36
+22
H16/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A20/12
NCAA
UT Martin
#82
L
46-53
46
53
-7
H29/12
NCAA
UALR
#90
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H30/12
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#346
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A05/01
NCAA
81.0Avg total
40.6Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.935.473.3+2.553%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.534.774.2+4.947%-
Last 30 away (15)36.236.172.3+0.160%-
Last 10 (10)40.640.481.0+0.240%-
Last 5 (5)43.243.086.2+0.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)36.538.074.5-1.550%-
vs Similar (17)37.538.375.8-0.841%-
vs Weaker (11)38.730.569.2+8.373%-
This opponent (Morehead State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Morehead State wins
2
Tennessee State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/24HTennessee Tech82-57
31/12/23ASoutheast Missouri State83-64
21/12/23HAlice Loyd101-39
19/12/23AIndiana68-69
15/12/23HSMWC Pomeroys102-33
10/12/23ANorth Alabama86-77
03/12/23HChattanooga Mocs87-80
30/11/23AAustin Peay61-50
22/11/23HMidway94-53
20/11/23ABellarmine64-51
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/24ASouthern Indiana67-69
30/12/23HUALR90-82
29/12/23HUT Martin75-91
20/12/23AIndiana State69-90
16/12/23HBoyce117-59
14/12/23ALiberty52-74
10/12/23ALipscomb71-78
03/12/23HAustin Peay69-65
30/11/23AAlabama A&M Bulldogs83-85 OT
25/11/23ASE Louisiana91-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Morehead State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW73%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %73%100%50%
Points / game78.690.967.9
Allowed / game63.052.672.1
Point differential+15.6+38.3-4.2
Avg total141.6143.4140.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%71%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tennessee State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL50%
HomeLWWLW75%
AwayLLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %50%75%25%
Points / game76.982.071.9
Allowed / game73.568.278.8
Point differential+3.4+13.8-6.9
Avg total150.4150.2150.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Morehead State1511473%78.663.0+15.6
2 Western Illinois159660%72.166.9+5.2
3 UT Martin169756%84.480.2+4.2
4 Tennessee State168850%76.973.5+3.4
5 Siu Edwardsville168850%72.270.5+1.8
6 UALR168850%79.880.5-0.8
7 Eastern Illinois157847%70.565.4+5.1
8 Lindenwood146843%67.171.6-4.4
9 Southeast Missouri State1551033%70.175.9-5.7
10 Southern Indiana1651131%67.371.2-3.9
11 Tennessee Tech1651131%70.477.8-7.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Morehead State423678
Tennessee State313768
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