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Mornar Bar vs Nymburk Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 76-97
15-22 20-23 19-28 22-24
Position#44
Record1-3
FormWLLLL
Points / game71.8
Allowed / game78.0
vs
Nymburk 🏆
Position#10
Record3-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game76.8
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 5· Topolica Sport Hall
European cup2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mornar Bar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nymburk winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mornar BarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBar
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#2
L
61-87
61
87
-26
51avg 66
H07/10
ABA League
Zadar
#6
L
57-92
57
92
-35
40avg 66
A13/10
ABA League
Sabah Baku
#28
W
80-75
80
75
+5
67avg 66
H18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Studentski Centar
#9
L
79-94
79
94
-15
63avg 66
A22/10
ABA League
Nymburk
#10
L
62-78
62
78
-16
54avg 66
A25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
86-83
86
83
+3
74avg 66
H30/10
ABA League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
L
71-78
71
78
-7
64avg 66
H01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Cibona
#12
L
72-73
72
73
-1
68avg 66
A04/11
ABA League
Sabah Baku
#28
L
74-81
74
81
-7
63avg 66
A08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Mega Basket
#4
L
65-99
65
99
-34
47avg 66
H12/11
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-20
21-24
16-17
9-26
6-14
14-22
15-24
22-32
22-22
21-17
16-13
21-23
25-20
20-20
17-20
17-34
18-23
17-17
12-23
15-15
19-22
23-28
20-21
24-12
28-21
15-21
12-18
16-18
20-18
19-15
15-25
18-15
20-16
22-17
16-27
16-21
16-23
24-23
6-23
19-30
154.7Avg total
70.7Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)71.878.0149.8-6.225%
Season at home (2)75.576.5152.0-1.050%
Season away (2)68.079.5147.5-11.50%
Last 10 (10)70.784.0154.7-13.320%
Last 5 (5)73.682.8156.4-9.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)75.090.2165.3-15.213%
vs Similar (5)88.088.2176.2-0.280%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nymburk) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NymburkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNymburk
Date
Competition
Srsni Pisek
#9
W
115-70
115
70
+45
119avg 83
A08/10
NBL
Pardubice
#6
W
104-70
104
70
+34
104avg 83
H11/10
NBL
Kolin
#11
W
81-59
81
59
+22
72avg 83
H13/10
NBL
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
W
89-88
89
88
+1
73avg 83
A18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Opava
#4
W
98-85
98
85
+13
94avg 83
A21/10
NBL
Mornar Bar
#44
W
78-62
78
62
+16
72avg 83
H25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Decin
#2
W
94-75
94
75
+19
87avg 83
H28/10
NBL
Sabah Baku
#28
W
95-61
95
61
+34
96avg 83
H01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
L
91-96 OT
91
96
-5
78avg 83
H08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Olomoucko
#8
W
95-71
95
71
+24
90avg 83
H11/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-17
25-19
33-17
28-17
23-13
24-23
29-20
28-14
25-30
13-13
23-4
20-12
20-23
27-20
16-27
26-18
24-25
31-19
22-15
21-26
23-18
17-17
23-12
15-15
22-25
27-16
17-14
28-20
24-11
22-19
20-17
29-14
18-25
24-25
16-18
22-12
26-16
23-16
23-19
23-20
167.7Avg total
94.0Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)88.276.8165.0+11.575%
Season at home (3)88.073.0161.0+15.067%
Season away (1)89.088.0177.0+1.0100%
Last 10 (10)94.073.7167.7+20.390%
Last 5 (5)90.673.0163.6+17.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)90.092.0182.0-2.050%
vs Similar (6)87.577.2164.7+10.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)88.875.6164.4+13.268%
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: -6.6-6.6Q3: +5.9+5.9Q4Q4: -4.9-4.9Q4: +7.2+7.2
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: -6.6-6.6Q3: +5.9+5.9Q4Q4: -4.9-4.9Q4: +7.2+7.2
Mornar BarNymburk
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#2
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H07/10
ABA League
Zadar
#6
L
20-36
20
36
-16
A13/10
ABA League
Sabah Baku
#28
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Studentski Centar
#9
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A22/10
ABA League
Nymburk
#10
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H30/10
ABA League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Cibona
#12
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A04/11
ABA League
Sabah Baku
#28
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Mega Basket
#4
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H12/11
ABA League
78.8Avg total
38.5Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.545.284.7-5.730%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.345.886.1-5.527%-
Last 30 away (15)38.744.583.2-5.933%-
Last 10 (10)38.540.378.8-1.850%-
Last 5 (5)41.240.882.0+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)39.044.183.1-5.135%-
vs Similar (5)44.047.291.2-3.220%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nymburk) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NymburkLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Srsni Pisek
#9
W
54-36
54
36
+18
A08/10
NBL
Pardubice
#6
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H11/10
NBL
Kolin
#11
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H13/10
NBL
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Opava
#4
W
55-44
55
44
+11
A21/10
NBL
Mornar Bar
#44
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Decin
#2
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H28/10
NBL
Sabah Baku
#28
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Olomoucko
#8
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H11/11
NBL
85.7Avg total
46.7Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.739.985.5+5.867%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.138.882.8+5.359%-
Last 30 away (13)47.841.389.1+6.577%-
Last 10 (10)46.739.085.7+7.780%-
Last 5 (5)45.237.682.8+7.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)44.546.591.0-2.050%-
vs Similar (6)44.836.381.2+8.567%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)46.040.286.2+5.868%-
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 69.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.516.9
49.0%
52.2%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.97.3
27.1%
33.8%21.9
🏀 Free throws19.314.0
72.5%
73.0%14.0
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nymburktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nymburk: 93.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.521.2
53.7%
52.2%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.811.5
36.2%
33.8%34.5
🏀 Free throws23.116.5
71.4%
73.0%16.5
They take 71.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mornar Bar
LLLLWLLWLL
Nymburk
WLWWWWWWWW
#44
League position
#10
-17.7
Net rating
+26.9
92.7
Offensive rating
120.0
110.4
Defensive rating
93.2
45.4%
Effective FG%
53.9%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
47.0%
17.5%
Turnover %
15.5%
22.8%
Off. rebound %
37.9%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.32
27.1%
3-point %
36.2%
52.9%
Assist %
68.8%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence92.7 · 120.0Defence110.4 · 93.2Shooting45.4% · 53.9%3-point %27.1% · 36.2%Ball care17.5% · 15.5%Off. rebounds22.8% · 37.9%Free throws0.31 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)20% · 90%
■ Mornar Bar   ■ Nymburk
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Mornar Bar wins
1
Nymburk wins
DateGameScore
25/10/23Nymburk v Mornar Bar78-62
Mornar Barlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/23HMega Basket65-99
08/11/23ASabah Baku74-81
04/11/23ACibona72-73
01/11/23HBahcesehir Kol.71-78
30/10/23HKK Krka Novo mesto86-83
25/10/23ANymburk62-78
22/10/23AStudentski Centar79-94
18/10/23HSabah Baku80-75
13/10/23AZadar57-92
07/10/23HBuducnost61-87
Nymburklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/23HOlomoucko95-71
08/11/23HBahcesehir Kol.91-96 OT
01/11/23HSabah Baku95-61
28/10/23HDecin94-75
25/10/23HMornar Bar78-62
21/10/23AOpava98-85
18/10/23ABahcesehir Kol.89-88
13/10/23HKolin81-59
11/10/23HPardubice104-70
08/10/23ASrsni Pisek115-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mornar Bar
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLL25%
HomeWL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game71.875.568.0
Allowed / game78.076.579.5
Point differential-6.2-1.0-11.5
Avg total149.8152.0147.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nymburk
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWWL67%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%67%100%
Points / game88.288.089.0
Allowed / game76.873.088.0
Point differential+11.5+15.0+1.0
Avg total165.0161.0177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %25%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chemnitz440100%89.566.8+22.8
2 Bilbao550100%85.468.0+17.4
3 Bnei Herzliya220100%92.075.5+16.5
4 Legia440100%87.575.8+11.8
5 Basket Zaragoza550100%87.076.8+10.2
6 Gottingen440100%88.279.0+9.2
7 Balkan330100%84.775.7+9.0
8 Manisa65183%81.875.0+6.8
9 Bahcesehir Kol.54180%88.879.2+9.6
10 Jonava54180%92.283.6+8.6
11 Nymburk43175%88.276.8+11.5
12 Varese43175%95.086.0+9.0
13 Leiden43175%56.849.2+7.5
14 Caledonia Gladiators43175%75.076.0-1.0
15 Rostock75271%87.476.9+10.6
16 FC Porto75271%86.479.6+6.9
17 Gravelines-Dunkerque32167%75.357.3+18.0
18 Rapid Bucuresti32167%75.770.7+5.0
19 CSM Oradea53260%88.882.6+6.2
20 Boras21150%91.590.0+1.5
21 BC Kalev/Cramo21150%74.074.0+0.0
22 Tindastoll21150%69.069.5-0.5
23 Kormend21150%89.592.0-2.5
24 Levice42250%75.878.5-2.8
25 Spojnia Stargard42250%77.580.2-2.8
26 Chernomorets21150%97.0100.5-3.5
27 Sabah Baku84450%76.281.9-5.6
28 Jamtland21150%71.078.5-7.5
29 Peja42250%79.290.0-10.8
30 Trepca42250%64.275.8-11.5
31 AEK Larnaca52340%77.682.4-4.8
32 Donar Groningen31233%67.368.7-1.3
33 Sporting CP31233%85.088.7-3.7
34 Keravnos72529%80.982.4-1.6
35 Anwil Wloclawek41325%73.066.5+6.5
36 Alba Fehervar41325%85.589.5-4.0
37 Mornar Bar41325%71.878.0-6.2
38 Norrkoping41325%65.577.8-12.2
39 Bakken Bears51420%83.286.0-2.8
40 TSU51420%78.285.0-6.8
41 Karhu Basket51420%82.891.8-9.0
42 Kataja71614%76.385.3-9.0
43 Pardubice2020%82.085.5-3.5
44 Parnu2020%64.573.0-8.5
45 Den Bosch4040%76.085.2-9.2
46 Brindisi3030%76.386.0-9.7
47 Rabotnicki3030%66.778.3-11.7
48 Nevezis2020%86.099.0-13.0
49 Anorthosis2020%75.089.0-14.0
50 Galil Elyon1010%0.020.0-20.0
51 CSU Sibiu5050%61.683.4-21.8
52 Feniks 20102020%66.0104.0-38.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 52 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mornar Bar1520192276
Nymburk2223282497
← all games of the day
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