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Mornar Bar vs Mega Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 65-99
16-23 24-23 6-23 19-30
Position#13
Record1-5
FormLWLLL
Points / game72.2
Allowed / game89.8
vs
Position#4
Record3-3
FormLWWLW
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game82.0
EuropeABA LeagueRound 7· Topolica Sport Hall
Domestic2023
Meetings · Mornar Bar v Mega Basket
01 Feb 2025
MBA83
MEG113
12 Nov 2023
MBA65
MEG99
20 Nov 2022
MBA85
MEG101
04 Dec 2021
MBA79
MEG75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mornar Bar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mega Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mornar BarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBar
Date
Competition
Partizan
#3
L
78-110
78
110
-32
62avg 67
A02/10
ABA League
Buducnost
#2
L
61-87
61
87
-26
51avg 67
H07/10
ABA League
Zadar
#6
L
57-92
57
92
-35
40avg 67
A13/10
ABA League
Sabah Baku
#28
W
80-75
80
75
+5
67avg 67
H18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Studentski Centar
#9
L
79-94
79
94
-15
63avg 67
A22/10
ABA League
Nymburk
#10
L
62-78
62
78
-16
54avg 67
A25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
86-83
86
83
+3
74avg 67
H30/10
ABA League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
L
71-78
71
78
-7
64avg 67
H01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Cibona
#12
L
72-73
72
73
-1
68avg 67
A04/11
ABA League
Sabah Baku
#28
L
74-81
74
81
-7
63avg 67
A08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-34
20-25
20-22
17-29
15-20
21-24
16-17
9-26
6-14
14-22
15-24
22-32
22-22
21-17
16-13
21-23
25-20
20-20
17-20
17-34
18-23
17-17
12-23
15-15
19-22
23-28
20-21
24-12
28-21
15-21
12-18
16-18
20-18
19-15
15-25
18-15
20-16
22-17
16-27
16-21
157.1Avg total
72.0Scored
85.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)72.289.8162.0-17.717%
Season at home (2)73.585.0158.5-11.550%
Season away (4)71.592.2163.8-20.80%
Last 10 (10)72.085.1157.1-13.120%
Last 5 (5)73.078.6151.6-5.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)75.690.1165.7-14.613%
vs Similar (5)88.088.2176.2-0.280%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega BasketLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#7
W
96-64
96
64
+32
88avg 78
H25/05
Super League
KK Metalac
#8
W
90-78
90
78
+12
90avg 78
A27/05
Super League
FMP Beograd
#2
L
72-75
72
75
-3
62avg 78
H04/06
Super League
FMP Beograd
#2
L
70-96
70
96
-26
62avg 78
A07/06
Super League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
87-89
87
89
-2
80avg 78
A30/09
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#10
L
89-90
89
90
-1
85avg 78
H06/10
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#11
W
83-73
83
73
+10
83avg 78
A16/10
ABA League
Partizan
#3
W
88-86
88
86
+2
81avg 78
H23/10
ABA League
Buducnost
#2
L
71-73
71
73
-2
65avg 78
A28/10
ABA League
Zadar
#6
W
91-81
91
81
+10
97avg 78
H05/11
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-8
31-20
22-23
24-13
25-28
29-14
24-9
12-27
21-19
19-14
14-17
18-25
16-25
18-18
17-29
19-24
21-31
21-31
25-20
20-7
25-24
32-28
20-23
12-15
19-21
17-13
19-20
28-19
21-11
19-18
29-32
19-25
13-18
18-23
22-17
18-15
26-17
25-18
15-26
25-20
164.2Avg total
83.7Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)84.882.0166.8+2.850%
Season at home (3)89.385.7175.0+3.767%
Season away (3)80.378.3158.7+2.033%
Last 10 (10)83.780.5164.2+3.250%
Last 5 (5)84.480.6165.0+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)77.487.9165.3-10.411%
vs Similar (10)85.383.1168.4+2.260%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)90.375.9166.2+14.490%
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: -5.1-5.1Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -5.0-5.0Q4: +0.5+0.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: -5.1-5.1Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -5.0-5.0Q4: +0.5+0.5
Mornar BarMega Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#3
L
41-59
41
59
-18
A02/10
ABA League
Buducnost
#2
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H07/10
ABA League
Zadar
#6
L
20-36
20
36
-16
A13/10
ABA League
Sabah Baku
#28
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Studentski Centar
#9
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A22/10
ABA League
Nymburk
#10
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H30/10
ABA League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Cibona
#12
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A04/11
ABA League
Sabah Baku
#28
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
80.2Avg total
38.6Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.345.484.7-6.130%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.445.886.1-5.429%-
Last 30 away (16)38.445.183.4-6.731%-
Last 10 (10)38.641.680.2-3.050%-
Last 5 (5)40.239.679.8+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)38.744.483.1-5.735%-
vs Similar (5)44.047.291.2-3.220%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#7
W
50-28
50
28
+22
H25/05
Super League
KK Metalac
#8
W
54-42
54
42
+12
A27/05
Super League
FMP Beograd
#2
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H04/06
Super League
FMP Beograd
#2
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A07/06
Super League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
42-62
42
62
-20
A30/09
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#10
W
57-52
57
52
+5
H06/10
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#11
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A16/10
ABA League
Partizan
#3
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H23/10
ABA League
Buducnost
#2
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A28/10
ABA League
Zadar
#6
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H05/11
ABA League
83.4Avg total
43.5Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.642.184.6+0.563%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.940.884.7+3.181%-
Last 30 away (14)41.143.584.6-2.443%-
Last 10 (10)43.539.983.4+3.670%-
Last 5 (5)43.038.281.2+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)38.145.883.9-7.722%-
vs Similar (10)42.842.985.7-0.170%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)46.238.384.5+7.990%-
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 70.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.116.6
48.7%
54.3%33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.57.8
28.4%
34.1%23.4
🏀 Free throws19.314.2
73.6%
73.8%14.2
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mega Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Basket: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.822.3
57.5%
54.3%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.86.7
32.2%
34.1%20.1
🏀 Free throws25.018.0
72.0%
73.8%18.0
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mornar Bar
LLLWLLWLLL
Mega Basket
WLWWLLLLWW
#13
League position
#4
-18.0
Net rating
+3.5
94.5
Offensive rating
107.6
112.5
Defensive rating
104.1
45.9%
Effective FG%
54.3%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
48.9%
17.4%
Turnover %
20.4%
23.1%
Off. rebound %
29.1%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.42
28.4%
3-point %
32.2%
54.9%
Assist %
65.9%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence94.5 · 107.6Defence112.5 · 104.1Shooting45.9% · 54.3%3-point %28.4% · 32.2%Ball care17.4% · 20.4%Off. rebounds23.1% · 29.1%Free throws0.31 · 0.42Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Mornar Bar   ■ Mega Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Mornar Bar wins
2
Mega Basket wins
DateGameScore
06/03/23Mega Basket v Mornar Bar89-78
20/11/22Mornar Bar v Mega Basket85-101
20/03/22Mega Basket v Mornar Bar70-83
04/12/21Mornar Bar v Mega Basket79-75
Mornar Barlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/23ASabah Baku74-81
04/11/23ACibona72-73
01/11/23HBahcesehir Kol.71-78
30/10/23HKK Krka Novo mesto86-83
25/10/23ANymburk62-78
22/10/23AStudentski Centar79-94
18/10/23HSabah Baku80-75
13/10/23AZadar57-92
07/10/23HBuducnost61-87
02/10/23APartizan78-110
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/23HZadar91-81
28/10/23ABuducnost71-73
23/10/23HPartizan88-86
16/10/23AFMP Beograd83-73
06/10/23HBorac Mozzart89-90
30/09/23ACedevita Olimpija87-89
07/06/23AFMP Beograd70-96
04/06/23HFMP Beograd72-75
27/05/23AKK Metalac90-78
25/05/23HVojvodina Novi Sad96-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mornar Bar
ABA League 2023
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL17%
HomeLW50%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %17%50%0%
Points / game72.273.571.5
Allowed / game89.885.092.2
Point differential-17.7-11.5-20.8
Avg total162.0158.5163.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mega Basket
ABA League 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW50%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game84.889.380.3
Allowed / game82.085.778.3
Point differential+2.8+3.7+2.0
Avg total166.8175.0158.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Buducnost76186%85.173.1+12.0
2 Crvena zvezda76186%87.775.9+11.9
3 Partizan65183%93.771.5+22.2
4 Cedevita Olimpija75271%84.183.9+0.3
5 Igokea64267%79.277.2+2.0
6 Studentski Centar74357%84.782.3+2.4
7 Mega Basket63350%84.882.0+2.8
8 Zadar73443%82.079.9+2.1
9 Borac Mozzart73443%79.080.6-1.6
10 FMP Beograd73443%82.484.1-1.7
11 Cibona61517%76.288.5-12.3
12 KK Krka Novo mesto61517%75.388.8-13.5
13 Mornar Bar61517%72.289.8-17.7
14 Split71614%68.980.1-11.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mornar Bar162461965
Mega Basket2323233099
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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