PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Zadar vs Mornar Bar Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 13 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 92-57
14-6 22-14 24-15 32-22
Position#6
Record0-2
FormWLWLW
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game95.5
Zadar 🏆
vs
Position#13
Record0-2
FormLLLLL
Points / game69.5
Allowed / game98.5
EuropeABA LeagueRound 3· Dvorana Kresimira Cosica
Domestic2023
Meetings · Zadar v Mornar Bar
22 Apr 2025
ZAD100
MBA69
13 Oct 2023
ZAD92
MBA57
15 Jan 2023
ZAD97
MBA77
12 Dec 2021
ZAD71
MBA76
09 Oct 2020
ZAD66
MBA82
21 Oct 2018
ZAD83
MBA93
22 Jan 2018
ZAD77
MBA93
10 Feb 2017
ZAD80
MBA62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zadar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mornar Bar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ZadarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZadar
Date
Competition
Cibona
#3
W
85-82
85
82
+3
no box
H21/05
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
W
85-70
85
70
+15
no box
A24/05
Premijer liga
Split
#2
W
85-76
85
76
+9
no box
A30/05
Premijer liga
Split
#2
W
94-84 OT
94
84
+10
no box
A01/06
Premijer liga
Split
#2
W
99-62
99
62
+37
no box
H04/06
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
W
99-81
99
81
+18
105avg 77
A28/09
Premijer liga
Buducnost
#2
L
73-103
73
103
-30
55avg 77
A30/09
ABA League
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
80-75
80
75
+5
72avg 77
A06/10
Premijer liga
Studentski Centar
#9
L
75-88
75
88
-13
59avg 77
A09/10
ABA League
Alkar
#11
W
106-73
106
73
+33
108avg 77
H11/10
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
30-20
14-19
19-23
23-23
26-16
21-17
15-14
24-16
18-30
16-13
27-17
13-19
25-15
21-28
16-13
27-17
24-9
18-10
30-26
35-21
21-19
22-26
21-15
17-23
17-23
22-33
17-24
21-18
18-22
21-23
20-12
18-17
21-24
17-26
19-21
34-17
25-19
22-19
25-18
167.5Avg total
88.1Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)74.095.5169.5-21.50%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)74.095.5169.5-21.50%
Last 10 (10)88.179.4167.5+8.780%
Last 5 (5)86.684.0170.6+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)71.891.2163.0-19.50%
vs Similar (12)85.480.2165.6+5.258%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)87.269.8157.0+17.486%
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mornar BarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBar
Date
Competition
FMP Beograd
#5
L
76-101
76
101
-25
69avg 69
A15/04
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#2
L
65-87
65
87
-22
55avg 69
H20/04
ABA League
Igokea
#7
L
74-86
74
86
-12
67avg 69
H23/04
ABA League
Tivat
#5
L
92-92
92
92
+0
no box
H25/04
Prva A Liga
Tivat
#5
W
99-91 OT
99
91
+8
no box
A28/04
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#4
L
71-109
71
109
-38
no box
A30/04
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#4
L
82-96
82
96
-14
no box
H03/05
Prva A Liga
Obradoiro CAB
#3
L
56-90
56
90
-34
48avg 69
H26/09
Champions League
Partizan
#3
L
78-110
78
110
-32
62avg 69
A02/10
ABA League
Buducnost
#2
L
61-87
61
87
-26
51avg 69
H07/10
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-25
17-22
12-29
29-25
7-23
18-24
25-19
15-21
20-27
16-21
20-16
18-22
21-19
26-12
19-26
26-35
23-25
20-13
22-25
21-23
25-27
17-31
9-29
20-22
24-22
16-31
23-21
19-22
13-21
10-35
18-15
15-19
21-34
20-25
20-22
17-29
15-20
21-24
16-17
9-26
170.3Avg total
75.4Scored
94.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)69.598.5168.0-29.00%
Season at home (1)61.087.0148.0-26.00%
Season away (1)78.0110.0188.0-32.00%
Last 10 (10)75.494.9170.3-19.510%
Last 5 (5)69.698.4168.0-28.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)80.895.5176.3-14.714%
vs Similar (6)89.287.5176.7+1.767%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: -5.6-5.6Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: -5.7-5.7Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -5.5-5.5
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: -5.6-5.6Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: -5.7-5.7Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -5.5-5.5
ZadarMornar Bar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ZadarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cibona
#3
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H21/05
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A24/05
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A30/05
Premijer liga
Split
#2
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A01/06
Premijer liga
Split
#2
W
51-26
51
26
+25
H04/06
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
W
56-40
56
40
+16
A28/09
Premijer liga
Buducnost
#2
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A30/09
ABA League
GKK Sibenka
#10
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A06/10
Premijer liga
Studentski Centar
#9
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A09/10
ABA League
Alkar
#11
W
59-36
59
36
+23
H11/10
Premijer liga
84.7Avg total
45.9Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.739.484.1+5.260%-
Last 30 at home (13)46.137.083.1+9.169%-
Last 30 away (17)43.641.384.9+2.353%-
Last 10 (10)45.938.884.7+7.160%-
Last 5 (5)45.440.686.0+4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)33.247.080.2-13.80%-
vs Similar (12)44.840.785.5+4.258%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)47.836.284.0+11.679%-
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FMP Beograd
#5
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A15/04
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#2
L
25-47
25
47
-22
H20/04
ABA League
Igokea
#7
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H23/04
ABA League
Tivat
#5
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H25/04
Prva A Liga
Tivat
#5
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A28/04
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#4
L
42-58
42
58
-16
A30/04
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#4
L
40-53
40
53
-13
H03/05
Prva A Liga
Obradoiro CAB
#3
L
23-56
23
56
-33
H26/09
Champions League
Partizan
#3
L
41-59
41
59
-18
A02/10
ABA League
Buducnost
#2
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H07/10
ABA League
84.9Avg total
36.8Scored
48.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.848.289.0-7.423%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.547.689.1-6.127%-
Last 30 away (15)40.148.888.9-8.720%-
Last 10 (10)36.848.184.9-11.320%-
Last 5 (5)36.454.090.4-17.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)40.248.288.4-8.023%-
vs Similar (6)45.546.792.2-1.233%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zadartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zadar: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.017.6
53.3%
54.3%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.39.1
28.2%
34.1%27.3
🏀 Free throws24.617.9
72.8%
73.8%17.9
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 74.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.616.6
48.0%
54.3%33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.18.7
32.1%
34.1%26.1
🏀 Free throws21.014.9
71.0%
73.8%14.9
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zadar
WLWLWWWWWW
Mornar Bar
LLLLLWLLLL
#6
League position
#13
-2.7
Net rating
-22.6
104.8
Offensive rating
98.1
107.6
Defensive rating
120.7
47.9%
Effective FG%
48.1%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
60.4%
16.2%
Turnover %
19.9%
32.2%
Off. rebound %
30.4%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.34
28.2%
3-point %
32.1%
67.4%
Assist %
64.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence104.8 · 98.1Defence107.6 · 120.7Shooting47.9% · 48.1%3-point %28.2% · 32.1%Ball care16.2% · 19.9%Off. rebounds32.2% · 30.4%Free throws0.38 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)80% · 10%
■ Zadar   ■ Mornar Bar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Zadar wins
9
Mornar Bar wins
DateGameScore
15/01/23Zadar v Mornar Bar97-77
09/10/22Mornar Bar v Zadar100-91
27/03/22Mornar Bar v Zadar86-84
12/12/21Zadar v Mornar Bar71-76
04/03/21Mornar Bar v Zadar77-71
09/10/20Zadar v Mornar Bar66-82
13/01/19Mornar Bar v Zadar89-81
21/10/18Zadar v Mornar Bar83-93
22/01/18Zadar v Mornar Bar77-93
27/10/17Mornar Bar v Zadar80-70
Zadarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/23HAlkar106-73
09/10/23AStudentski Centar75-88
06/10/23AGKK Sibenka80-75
30/09/23ABuducnost73-103
28/09/23ACibona99-81
04/06/23HSplit99-62
01/06/23ASplit94-84 OT
30/05/23ASplit85-76
24/05/23ACibona85-70
21/05/23HCibona85-82
Mornar Barlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/10/23HBuducnost61-87
02/10/23APartizan78-110
26/09/23HObradoiro CAB56-90
03/05/23HStudentski Centar82-96
30/04/23AStudentski Centar71-109
28/04/23ATivat99-91 OT
25/04/23HTivat92-92
23/04/23HIgokea74-86
20/04/23HCrvena zvezda65-87
15/04/23AFMP Beograd76-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zadar
ABA League 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
Home--
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %0%-0%
Points / game74.0-74.0
Allowed / game95.5-95.5
Point differential-21.5--21.5
Avg total169.5-169.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Mornar Bar
ABA League 2023
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game69.561.078.0
Allowed / game98.587.0110.0
Point differential-29.0-26.0-32.0
Avg total168.0148.0188.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Partizan220100%103.067.0+36.0
2 Crvena zvezda220100%87.557.0+30.5
3 Buducnost220100%95.067.0+28.0
4 Studentski Centar220100%82.073.5+8.5
5 Borac Mozzart220100%88.084.0+4.0
6 FMP Beograd21150%95.094.0+1.0
7 Igokea21150%79.085.5-6.5
8 KK Krka Novo mesto21150%77.596.5-19.0
9 Cedevita Olimpija21150%70.090.5-20.5
10 Mega Basket2020%88.089.5-1.5
11 Split2020%81.085.5-4.5
12 Cibona2020%84.089.5-5.5
13 Zadar2020%74.095.5-21.5
14 Mornar Bar2020%69.598.5-29.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zadar1422243292
Mornar Bar614152257
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.