Mornar Bar vs Tivat Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 18 Apr 2018

Tip-off: 18:00

Final 105-82

27-25 28-22 22-19 28-16

Position#1

Record-

FormLWWLL

Points / game-

Allowed / game-

Mornar Bar 🏆

Tivat

Position#6

Record11-5

FormLLWWW

Points / game87.3

Allowed / game73.4

Prva A LigaRound 1

Other2017-18

Meetings · Mornar Bar v Tivat

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mornar Bar winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Tivat winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mornar Bar Montenegro

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cedevita

89-94

-5

H10/02

ABA League

Cibona

#11

82-79

A04/03

ABA League

Oostende

#32

71-84

-13

A07/03

FIBA Europe Cup

MZT Skopje

#12

106-75

106

+31

H11/03

ABA League

Oostende

#32

90-63

+27

H14/03

FIBA Europe Cup

Crvena zvezda

63-91

-28

A18/03

ABA League

Donar Groningen

73-67

H21/03

FIBA Europe Cup

Crvena zvezda

88-84

H25/03

ABA League

Donar Groningen

74-101

101

-27

A28/03

FIBA Europe Cup

Crvena zvezda

69-88

-19

A02/04

ABA League

15-25

24-28

25-18

25-23

15-28

31-6

20-15

16-30

20-22

17-18

18-25

16-19

29-13

21-28

29-17

27-17

24-14

19-19

30-16

17-14

14-22

8-19

27-23

14-27

18-10

19-30

15-12

21-15

30-21

18-24

21-19

19-20

20-25

14-27

20-18

20-31

19-26

18-26

19-16

13-20

163.1Avg total

80.5Scored

82.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season	no games
Season at home	no games
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	80.5	82.6	163.1	-2.1	50%
Last 5 (5)	73.4	86.2	159.6	-12.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	75.7	84.9	160.6	-9.2	46%
vs Similar (10)	88.7	82.6	171.3	+6.1	80%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	81.9	72.9	154.7	+9.0	71%

This opponent (Tivat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Tivat

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ulcinj

73-83

-10

H03/03

Prva A Liga

Borac Mozzart

82-102

102

-20

A07/03

ABA League 2

Sutjeska

89-87

A10/03

Prva A Liga

Lovcen Cetinje

86-90

-4

H13/03

ABA League 2

Ohrid

#12

92-57

+35

H15/03

ABA League 2

Lovcen Cetinje

71-78

-7

H17/03

Prva A Liga

Vrsac

67-91

-24

A21/03

ABA League 2

Ibar Rozaje

75-61

+14

A24/03

Prva A Liga

Zrinjski Mostar

84-72

+12

H28/03

ABA League 2

Primorje

#11

87-70

+17

A31/03

Prva A Liga

24-20

25-21

16-20

8-22

21-28

21-21

25-28

15-25

16-21

19-21

19-24

35-21

21-17

13-26

28-18

24-29

22-15

25-9

25-27

20-6

24-19

23-25

14-9

10-25

15-22

17-32

20-21

15-16

19-16

26-14

14-18

16-13

27-18

14-21

18-22

25-11

22-17

15-20

20-17

30-16

159.7Avg total

80.6Scored

79.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	87.3	73.4	160.7	+13.9	69%
Season at home (8)	90.8	72.2	163.0	+18.5	75%
Season away (8)	83.9	74.5	158.4	+9.4	62%
Last 10 (10)	80.6	79.1	159.7	+1.5	50%
Last 5 (5)	76.8	74.4	151.2	+2.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	74.0	84.9	158.9	-10.9	12%
vs Similar (12)	79.4	80.4	159.8	-1.0	42%
vs Weaker (10)	95.0	67.5	162.5	+27.5	100%

This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Mornar BarTivat

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	20.7	41.1	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.2	18.2	40.5	+4.0	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.2	23.5	41.7	-5.3	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	20.6	41.0	-0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	20.8	41.0	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	20.8	21.6	42.4	-0.8	46%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.8	20.6	40.4	-0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	20.4	19.1	39.6	+1.3	43%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.9	19.1	39.0	+0.8	62%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	22.2	18.2	40.4	+4.1	77%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.1	19.9	37.9	-1.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	19.3	40.4	+1.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	18.4	39.8	+3.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	16.2	21.4	37.6	-5.1	25%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.7	20.3	40.0	-0.7	58%	-
vs Weaker (9)	23.6	15.4	39.0	+8.1	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	21.9	41.3	-2.4	27%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.1	23.6	42.7	-4.4	19%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.9	19.9	39.8	-0.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	22.5	41.4	-3.6	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.4	25.2	40.6	-9.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	16.8	24.2	40.9	-7.4	8%	-
vs Similar (10)	23.0	21.9	44.9	+1.1	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	19.4	17.6	37.0	+1.9	29%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.3	19.9	40.2	+0.4	45%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.7	20.3	41.0	+0.4	46%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.9	19.6	39.5	+0.4	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	21.0	40.8	-1.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	22.4	41.4	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	17.5	23.9	41.4	-6.4	0%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.8	19.8	39.7	+0.0	42%	-
vs Weaker (9)	23.3	16.4	39.8	+6.9	89%	-

Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cedevita

39-53

-14

H10/02

ABA League

Cibona

#11

46-34

+12

A04/03

ABA League

Oostende

#32

37-40

-3

A07/03

FIBA Europe Cup

MZT Skopje

#12

50-41

H11/03

ABA League

Oostende

#32

43-33

+10

H14/03

FIBA Europe Cup

Crvena zvezda

22-41

-19

A18/03

ABA League

Donar Groningen

37-40

-3

H21/03

FIBA Europe Cup

Crvena zvezda

48-45

H25/03

ABA League

Donar Groningen

34-52

-18

A28/03

FIBA Europe Cup

Crvena zvezda

37-52

-15

A02/04

ABA League

82.4Avg total

39.3Scored

43.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.8	42.6	82.4	-2.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.4	41.8	83.2	-0.4	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.1	43.4	81.5	-5.4	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.3	43.1	82.4	-3.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.6	46.0	81.6	-10.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	37.5	45.8	83.3	-8.2	15%	-
vs Similar (10)	42.8	42.5	85.3	+0.3	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	39.9	36.7	76.6	+3.1	57%	-

This opponent (Tivat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

TivatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ulcinj

49-41

H03/03

Prva A Liga

Borac Mozzart

42-49

-7

A07/03

ABA League 2

Sutjeska

35-42

-7

A10/03

Prva A Liga

Lovcen Cetinje

34-43

-9

H13/03

ABA League 2

Ohrid

#12

47-24

+23

H15/03

ABA League 2

Lovcen Cetinje

47-44

H17/03

Prva A Liga

Vrsac

32-54

-22

A21/03

ABA League 2

Ibar Rozaje

45-30

+15

A24/03

Prva A Liga

Zrinjski Mostar

41-39

H28/03

ABA League 2

Primorje

#11

37-37

A31/03

Prva A Liga

81.2Avg total

40.9Scored

40.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	40.2	39.0	79.2	+1.2	48%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	42.9	38.5	81.4	+4.5	69%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.0	39.4	77.4	-1.4	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.9	40.3	81.2	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	40.8	81.2	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	33.8	45.2	79.0	-11.5	0%	-
vs Similar (12)	39.5	40.2	79.7	-0.7	50%	-
vs Weaker (9)	46.9	31.9	78.8	+15.0	89%	-

This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	18.8	39.9	+2.3	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.9	16.6	38.5	+5.2	94%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.2	21.3	41.5	-1.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	17.9	40.3	+4.5	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	17.6	38.0	+2.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	19.2	19.2	38.4	-0.1	69%	-
vs Similar (10)	22.1	18.6	40.7	+3.5	70%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	23.3	18.3	41.6	+5.0	71%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.7	18.9	40.6	+2.8	55%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	22.8	17.3	40.2	+5.5	69%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.8	20.2	40.9	+0.6	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	20.4	40.3	-0.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	17.4	34.6	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	22.9	18.9	41.8	+4.0	38%	-
vs Similar (12)	20.2	20.1	40.2	+0.1	58%	-
vs Weaker (9)	22.7	17.3	40.0	+5.3	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	19.2	39.3	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.5	17.9	38.4	+2.6	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.7	20.6	40.3	-0.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	21.6	40.4	-2.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	22.6	40.0	-5.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	19.0	19.9	38.9	-0.9	54%	-
vs Similar (10)	22.6	19.1	41.7	+3.5	80%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	18.7	17.9	36.6	+0.9	43%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.7	19.3	38.9	+0.4	45%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.1	19.2	38.3	-0.2	38%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.1	19.3	39.4	+0.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	18.4	38.2	+1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	16.2	35.4	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	17.4	20.8	38.1	-3.4	25%	-
vs Similar (12)	18.9	19.2	38.2	-0.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (9)	22.7	18.0	40.7	+4.7	56%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.2	38.0	79.2	+3.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.4	34.6	76.9	+7.8	88%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.9	41.9	81.8	-1.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.2	39.5	80.7	+1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	40.2	78.0	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	38.2	39.2	77.3	-1.0	46%	-
vs Similar (10)	44.7	37.7	82.4	+7.0	70%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	42.0	36.1	78.1	+5.9	71%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	41.3	38.2	79.5	+3.2	59%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	41.9	36.5	78.5	+5.4	77%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.9	39.5	80.4	+1.4	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.7	38.8	78.5	+0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.4	33.6	70.0	+2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	40.2	39.6	79.9	+0.6	50%	-
vs Similar (12)	39.1	39.3	78.4	-0.2	58%	-
vs Weaker (9)	45.3	35.3	80.7	+10.0	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 86.3 points a game scored

🏀🏀47%

🏀🏀🏀33%

🏀21%

🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 47% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 33% of the points

🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 21% of the points

League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game

53%

30%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.9	20.2	56.3%	58.8%	40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.0	9.4	36.2%	31.5%	28.2
🏀 Free throws	24.1	17.7	73.4%	69.7%	17.7

They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Tivattheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.7	21.0	51.6%	58.8%	42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.0	8.7	37.8%	31.5%	26.1
🏀 Free throws	18.8	13.8	73.4%	69.7%	13.8

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.7	19.1	52.0%	58.8%	38.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.1	8.7	36.0%	31.5%	26.0
🏀 Free throws	22.0	15.4	69.9%	69.7%	15.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.8	21.2	53.2%	58.8%	42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.2	7.6	36.1%	31.5%	22.9
🏀 Free throws	20.9	14.9	71.4%	69.7%	14.9

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Mornar Bar wins

Tivat wins

Date	Game	Score
19/04/17	Tivat v Mornar Bar	63-91
15/04/17	Mornar Bar v Tivat	70-65
15/03/16	Mornar Bar v Tivat	93-67
16/02/16	Tivat v Mornar Bar	56-47

Mornar Barlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/04/18	A	Crvena zvezda	69-88
28/03/18	A	Donar Groningen	74-101
25/03/18	H	Crvena zvezda	88-84
21/03/18	H	Donar Groningen	73-67
18/03/18	A	Crvena zvezda	63-91
14/03/18	H	Oostende	90-63
11/03/18	H	MZT Skopje	106-75
07/03/18	A	Oostende	71-84
04/03/18	A	Cibona	82-79
10/02/18	H	Cedevita	89-94

Tivatlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
31/03/18	A	Primorje	87-70
28/03/18	H	Zrinjski Mostar	84-72
24/03/18	A	Ibar Rozaje	75-61
21/03/18	A	Vrsac	67-91
17/03/18	H	Lovcen Cetinje	71-78
15/03/18	H	Ohrid	92-57
13/03/18	H	Lovcen Cetinje	86-90
10/03/18	A	Sutjeska	89-87
07/03/18	A	Borac Mozzart	82-102
03/03/18	H	Ulcinj	73-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mornar Bar

Prva A Liga 2017-18

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	-	-
Home	-	-
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	-	-	-
Win %	-	-	-
Points / game	-	-	-
Allowed / game	-	-	-
Point differential	-	-	-
Avg total	-	-	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	-	-	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	-	-	-

Tivat

Prva A Liga 2017-18

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWW	69%
Home	WWWLL	75%
Away	WWWWW	62%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	8	8
Win %	69%	75%	62%
Points / game	87.3	90.8	83.9
Allowed / game	73.4	72.2	74.5
Point differential	+13.9	+18.5	+9.4
Avg total	160.7	163.0	158.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	56%	62%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (5)	100% (1)	25% (4)
Overtime %	6%	0%	12%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Buducnost	1	1	0	100%	76.0	68.0	+8.0
2	Strsljen	1	1	0	100%	88.0	85.0	+3.0
3	Lovcen Cetinje	17	15	2	88%	84.7	70.5	+14.2
4	Ulcinj	17	14	3	82%	87.8	73.8	+14.0
5	Tivat	16	11	5	69%	87.3	73.4	+13.9
6	Sutjeska	17	11	6	65%	83.0	70.0	+13.0
7	Ibar Rozaje	16	7	9	44%	76.5	76.6	-0.1
8	Danilovgrad	16	5	11	31%	68.9	76.2	-7.4
9	Jedinstvo	16	5	11	31%	77.7	87.9	-10.2
10	Primorje	16	3	13	19%	69.6	93.1	-23.6
11	Studentski Centar	17	2	15	12%	69.2	85.3	-16.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Mornar Bar	27	28	22	28	105
Tivat	25	22	19	16	82

← all games of the day

Mornar Bar vs Tivat Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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