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Mornar Bar vs Cedevita Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Feb 2018
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 89-94
15-25 24-28 25-18 25-23
Position#4
Record12-7
FormWWLWL
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game81.2
Mornar Bar
vs
Cedevita 🏆
Position#3
Record14-5
FormLLWWL
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game74.6
EuropeABA LeagueRound 20
Domestic2017
Meetings · Mornar Bar v Cedevita
15 Dec 2018
MBA102
CED103
10 Feb 2018
MBA89
CED94
04 Feb 2017
MBA74
CED79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mornar Bar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cedevita winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mornar BarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FMP Beograd
#8
W
84-79
84
79
+5
A05/01
ABA League
Bakken Bears
#15
L
92-93 OT
92
93
-1
A10/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Petrol Olimpija
#7
W
101-81
101
81
+20
H13/01
ABA League
Minsk
#20
W
83-76
83
76
+7
H17/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Zadar
#6
W
93-77
93
77
+16
A22/01
ABA League
Szolnoki Olaj
#17
W
92-89
92
89
+3
A24/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Buducnost
#2
W
87-81
87
81
+6
H28/01
ABA League
Bakken Bears
#15
L
76-87 OT
76
87
-11
H31/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Igokea
#10
W
93-79
93
79
+14
A04/02
ABA League
Minsk
#20
L
45-84
45
84
-39
A07/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
14-28
25-16
26-13
29-26
19-20
16-19
18-17
18-23
33-18
25-21
25-19
25-18
15-26
20-16
23-16
24-19
30-16
19-24
20-18
27-30
22-16
17-20
26-23
25-23
23-25
17-14
22-19
23-18
11-20
18-12
22-24
19-20
28-17
20-22
26-20
10-22
12-19
12-24
11-19
167.2Avg total
84.6Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)81.581.2162.6+0.363%
Season at home (9)83.380.4163.8+2.967%
Season away (10)79.881.8161.6-2.060%
Last 10 (10)84.682.6167.2+2.070%
Last 5 (5)78.684.0162.6-5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)74.882.2157.0-7.550%
vs Similar (18)81.879.6161.3+2.267%
vs Weaker (4)74.869.5144.2+5.275%
This opponent (Cedevita) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CedevitaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lokomotiv Kuban
#1
L
64-69
64
69
-5
A16/01
Eurocup
Mega Bemax
#9
W
75-73
75
73
+2
H20/01
ABA League
Osijek
#8
W
75-55
75
55
+20
H21/01
Premijer liga
Lokomotiv Kuban
#1
L
60-85
60
85
-25
H24/01
Eurocup
Petrol Olimpija
#7
L
64-65
64
65
-1
A27/01
ABA League
Zadar
#2
L
72-83
72
83
-11
A28/01
Premijer liga
Trento
#11
L
77-81
77
81
-4
H31/01
Eurocup
Buducnost
#2
W
76-71
76
71
+5
H03/02
ABA League
Alkar
#10
W
100-60
100
60
+40
H04/02
Premijer liga
Buducnost
#10
L
52-84
52
84
-32
A07/02
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-14
18-23
10-19
26-13
19-14
14-19
18-24
24-16
20-17
19-16
23-6
13-16
14-17
15-24
24-18
7-26
8-18
13-18
23-9
20-20
19-20
17-22
23-20
13-21
23-28
11-14
16-24
27-15
22-17
18-16
16-24
20-14
21-12
24-17
27-18
28-13
6-23
17-20
12-24
17-17
144.1Avg total
71.5Scored
72.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)80.774.6155.3+6.274%
Season at home (10)83.673.7157.3+9.990%
Season away (9)77.675.6153.1+2.056%
Last 10 (10)71.572.6144.1-1.140%
Last 5 (5)75.475.8151.2-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)68.079.4147.4-11.420%
vs Similar (8)73.480.0153.4-6.625%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)83.869.8153.6+14.194%
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +2.4+2.4
Mornar BarCedevita
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FMP Beograd
#8
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A05/01
ABA League
Bakken Bears
#15
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A10/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Petrol Olimpija
#7
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H13/01
ABA League
Minsk
#20
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H17/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Zadar
#6
W
54-35
54
35
+19
A22/01
ABA League
Szolnoki Olaj
#17
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A24/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Buducnost
#2
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H28/01
ABA League
Bakken Bears
#15
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H31/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Igokea
#10
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A04/02
ABA League
Minsk
#20
L
22-41
22
41
-19
A07/02
FIBA Europe Cup
85.2Avg total
42.6Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.839.978.7-1.143%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.639.980.5+0.747%-
Last 30 away (15)37.039.976.9-2.940%-
Last 10 (10)42.642.685.2+0.050%-
Last 5 (5)40.042.082.0-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)38.044.282.2-6.212%-
vs Similar (18)39.739.078.7+0.756%-
vs Weaker (4)36.535.271.8+1.250%-
This opponent (Cedevita) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CedevitaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lokomotiv Kuban
#1
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A16/01
Eurocup
Mega Bemax
#9
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H20/01
ABA League
Osijek
#8
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H21/01
Premijer liga
Lokomotiv Kuban
#1
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H24/01
Eurocup
Petrol Olimpija
#7
L
21-36
21
36
-15
A27/01
ABA League
Zadar
#2
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A28/01
Premijer liga
Trento
#11
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H31/01
Eurocup
Buducnost
#2
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H03/02
ABA League
Alkar
#10
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H04/02
Premijer liga
Buducnost
#10
L
23-43
23
43
-20
A07/02
Eurocup
69.7Avg total
32.8Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.837.174.9+0.650%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.436.476.8+4.162%-
Last 30 away (14)34.738.072.7-3.336%-
Last 10 (10)32.836.969.7-4.130%-
Last 5 (5)35.637.873.4-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)29.041.870.8-12.80%-
vs Similar (8)37.538.876.2-1.238%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)39.435.474.8+3.969%-
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 85.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.819.2
53.6%
52.4%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.710.6
41.2%
34.8%31.8
🏀 Free throws23.015.7
68.3%
74.4%15.7
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cedevitatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cedevita: 69.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.918.0
51.6%
52.4%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.96.9
28.9%
34.8%20.7
🏀 Free throws16.913.1
77.5%
74.4%13.1
They take 58.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Feb 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mornar Bar
LWLWWWWWLW
Cedevita
LWWLLLLWWL
#4
League position
#3
+8.3
Net rating
-4.5
117.0
Offensive rating
98.0
108.7
Defensive rating
102.5
57.1%
Effective FG%
48.2%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.1%
15.6%
Turnover %
17.5%
31.1%
Off. rebound %
24.9%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.29
41.2%
3-point %
28.9%
52.7%
Assist %
59.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence117.0 · 98.0Defence108.7 · 102.5Shooting57.1% · 48.2%3-point %41.2% · 28.9%Ball care15.6% · 17.5%Off. rebounds31.1% · 24.9%Free throws0.37 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Mornar Bar   ■ Cedevita
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Mornar Bar wins
3
Cedevita wins
DateGameScore
18/11/17Cedevita v Mornar Bar99-74
04/02/17Mornar Bar v Cedevita74-79
06/11/16Cedevita v Mornar Bar99-73
Mornar Barlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/18AMinsk45-84
04/02/18AIgokea93-79
31/01/18HBakken Bears76-87 OT
28/01/18HBuducnost87-81
24/01/18ASzolnoki Olaj92-89
22/01/18AZadar93-77
17/01/18HMinsk83-76
13/01/18HPetrol Olimpija101-81
10/01/18ABakken Bears92-93 OT
05/01/18AFMP Beograd84-79
Cedevitalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/18ABuducnost52-84
04/02/18HAlkar100-60
03/02/18HBuducnost76-71
31/01/18HTrento77-81
28/01/18AZadar72-83
27/01/18APetrol Olimpija64-65
24/01/18HLokomotiv Kuban60-85
21/01/18HOsijek75-55
20/01/18HMega Bemax75-73
16/01/18ALokomotiv Kuban64-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mornar Bar
ABA League 2017
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW63%
HomeLLWWW67%
AwayWWWWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %63%67%60%
Points / game81.583.379.8
Allowed / game81.280.481.8
Point differential+0.3+2.9-2.0
Avg total162.6163.8161.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%22%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won88% (8)75% (4)100% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cedevita
ABA League 2017
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW74%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayWWWLL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %74%90%56%
Points / game80.783.677.6
Allowed / game74.673.775.6
Point differential+6.2+9.9+2.0
Avg total155.3157.3153.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%40%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)80% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %11%10%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda1916384%87.877.2+10.6
2 Buducnost1915479%83.675.8+7.8
3 Cedevita1914574%80.774.6+6.2
4 Mornar Bar1912763%81.581.2+0.3
5 Partizan1910953%88.486.1+2.3
6 FMP Beograd1991047%81.079.8+1.2
7 Zadar1991047%84.284.6-0.4
8 Petrol Olimpija1971237%77.581.1-3.5
9 Igokea1971237%80.784.6-3.9
10 Mega Bemax1961332%83.484.4-1.0
11 Cibona1961332%79.985.0-5.1
12 MZT Skopje1931616%76.791.2-14.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mornar Bar1524252589
Cedevita2528182394
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