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Crvena zvezda vs Mornar Bar Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 18 Mar 2018
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 91-63
22-14 19-8 23-27 27-14
Position#1
Record19-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game88.9
Allowed / game76.3
vs
Position#4
Record14-8
FormLWLWW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game81.4
EuropeABA LeagueABA League - Semi-finals
Domestic2017
Meetings · Crvena zvezda v Mornar Bar
28 Sep 2024
CZV91
MBA72
20 Nov 2023
CZV95
MBA75
10 Dec 2022
CZV93
MBA77
30 Jan 2022
CZV81
MBA74
18 Oct 2020
CZV93
MBA62
17 Nov 2018
CZV104
MBA71
02 Apr 2018
CZV88
MBA69
18 Mar 2018
CZV91
MBA63
01 Oct 2017
CZV88
MBA77
30 Jan 2017
CZV82
MBA71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crvena zvezda winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mornar Bar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zadar
#6
W
97-67
97
67
+30
H12/02
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#5
W
85-79 OT
85
79
+6
H15/02
Korac cup
FMP Beograd
#3
W
98-82
98
82
+16
H17/02
Korac cup
Partizan
#1
L
75-81
75
81
-6
H18/02
Korac cup
Bamberg
#13
L
62-86
62
86
-24
A23/02
Euroleague
Unicaja
#9
W
80-76
80
76
+4
H02/03
Euroleague
Igokea
#10
W
82-76
82
76
+6
A05/03
ABA League
Barcelona
#12
L
54-88
54
88
-34
A09/03
Euroleague
Cibona
#11
W
107-69
107
69
+38
H12/03
ABA League
Valencia
#11
W
106-90
106
90
+16
H15/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
25-17
28-14
22-17
15-14
21-16
12-16
23-25
27-28
24-16
22-17
25-21
9-25
22-24
24-16
20-16
23-21
13-25
9-23
17-17
24-24
16-13
22-15
18-24
22-24
20-21
18-20
22-11
12-17
12-28
25-17
5-26
24-14
24-22
34-17
25-16
23-23
27-25
29-19
27-23
164.0Avg total
84.6Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)88.976.3165.2+12.586%
Season at home (11)89.674.4164.0+15.391%
Season away (11)88.178.3166.4+9.882%
Last 10 (10)84.679.4164.0+5.270%
Last 5 (5)85.879.8165.6+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)71.080.6151.6-9.625%
vs Similar (10)87.987.8175.7+0.160%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)90.173.5163.6+16.5100%
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mornar BarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Szolnoki Olaj
#17
W
92-89
92
89
+3
A24/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Buducnost
#2
W
87-81
87
81
+6
H28/01
ABA League
Bakken Bears
#15
L
76-87 OT
76
87
-11
H31/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Igokea
#10
W
93-79
93
79
+14
A04/02
ABA League
Minsk
#20
L
45-84
45
84
-39
A07/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Cedevita
#3
L
89-94
89
94
-5
H10/02
ABA League
Cibona
#11
W
82-79
82
79
+3
A04/03
ABA League
Oostende
#32
L
71-84
71
84
-13
A07/03
FIBA Europe Cup
MZT Skopje
#12
W
106-75
106
75
+31
H11/03
ABA League
Oostende
#32
W
90-63
90
63
+27
H14/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-30
22-16
17-20
26-23
25-23
23-25
17-14
22-19
23-18
11-20
18-12
22-24
19-20
28-17
20-22
26-20
10-22
12-19
12-24
11-19
15-25
24-28
25-18
25-23
15-28
31-6
20-15
16-30
20-22
17-18
18-25
16-19
29-13
21-28
29-17
27-17
24-14
19-19
30-16
17-14
164.6Avg total
83.1Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)83.081.4164.3+1.664%
Season at home (11)85.981.2167.1+4.764%
Season away (11)80.081.5161.5-1.564%
Last 10 (10)83.181.5164.6+1.660%
Last 5 (5)87.679.0166.6+8.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)76.383.6159.9-7.244%
vs Similar (13)84.580.4164.8+4.169%
vs Weaker (8)81.072.4153.4+8.675%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +4.9+4.9Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +0.0+0.0
Crvena zvezdaMornar Bar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zadar
#6
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H12/02
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#5
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H15/02
Korac cup
FMP Beograd
#3
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H17/02
Korac cup
Partizan
#1
L
31-49
31
49
-18
H18/02
Korac cup
Bamberg
#13
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A23/02
Euroleague
Unicaja
#9
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H02/03
Euroleague
Igokea
#10
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A05/03
ABA League
Barcelona
#12
L
24-45
24
45
-21
A09/03
Euroleague
Cibona
#11
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H12/03
ABA League
Valencia
#11
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H15/03
Euroleague
82.1Avg total
40.5Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.140.282.3+1.867%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.138.181.2+5.187%-
Last 30 away (15)41.042.483.4-1.447%-
Last 10 (10)40.541.682.1-1.160%-
Last 5 (5)40.842.283.0-1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)34.940.675.5-5.838%-
vs Similar (10)42.944.287.1-1.360%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)47.137.384.4+9.891%-
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Szolnoki Olaj
#17
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A24/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Buducnost
#2
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H28/01
ABA League
Bakken Bears
#15
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H31/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Igokea
#10
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A04/02
ABA League
Minsk
#20
L
22-41
22
41
-19
A07/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Cedevita
#3
L
39-53
39
53
-14
H10/02
ABA League
Cibona
#11
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A04/03
ABA League
Oostende
#32
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A07/03
FIBA Europe Cup
MZT Skopje
#12
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H11/03
ABA League
Oostende
#32
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H14/03
FIBA Europe Cup
82.6Avg total
41.5Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.640.780.2-1.140%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.841.181.9-0.340%-
Last 30 away (15)38.340.278.5-1.940%-
Last 10 (10)41.541.182.6+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)43.040.283.2+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)38.145.283.3-7.111%-
vs Similar (13)40.240.380.5-0.246%-
vs Weaker (8)40.236.176.4+4.162%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 86.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.020.5
53.9%
52.4%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.410.1
41.4%
34.8%30.3
🏀 Free throws19.615.1
77.0%
74.4%15.1
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 91.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.820.9
58.4%
52.4%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.811.0
41.0%
34.8%33.0
🏀 Free throws24.216.4
67.8%
74.4%16.4
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Mar 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Crvena zvezda
WWLWWLLWWW
Mornar Bar
WWLWLLWLWW
#1
League position
#4
+7.4
Net rating
+13.6
121.0
Offensive rating
122.7
113.6
Defensive rating
109.1
57.1%
Effective FG%
59.7%
55.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
14.1%
Turnover %
14.9%
31.5%
Off. rebound %
33.4%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.39
41.4%
3-point %
41.0%
62.7%
Assist %
53.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence121.0 · 122.7Defence113.6 · 109.1Shooting57.1% · 59.7%3-point %41.4% · 41.0%Ball care14.1% · 14.9%Off. rebounds31.5% · 33.4%Free throws0.31 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Crvena zvezda   ■ Mornar Bar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Crvena zvezda wins
0
Mornar Bar wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/18HValencia106-90
12/03/18HCibona107-69
09/03/18ABarcelona54-88
05/03/18AIgokea82-76
02/03/18HUnicaja80-76
23/02/18ABamberg62-86
18/02/18HPartizan75-81
17/02/18HFMP Beograd98-82
15/02/18HBorac Mozzart85-79 OT
12/02/18HZadar97-67
Mornar Barlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/18HOostende90-63
11/03/18HMZT Skopje106-75
07/03/18AOostende71-84
04/03/18ACibona82-79
10/02/18HCedevita89-94
07/02/18AMinsk45-84
04/02/18AIgokea93-79
31/01/18HBakken Bears76-87 OT
28/01/18HBuducnost87-81
24/01/18ASzolnoki Olaj92-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crvena zvezda
ABA League 2017
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW86%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayWLWWW82%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %86%91%82%
Points / game88.989.688.1
Allowed / game76.374.478.3
Point differential+12.5+15.3+9.8
Avg total165.2164.0166.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%64%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mornar Bar
ABA League 2017
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW64%
HomeWWWLW64%
AwayWWWWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %64%64%64%
Points / game83.085.980.0
Allowed / game81.481.281.5
Point differential+1.6+4.7-1.5
Avg total164.3167.1161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%27%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (10)60% (5)100% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda2219386%88.976.3+12.5
2 Buducnost2217577%84.775.5+9.2
3 Cedevita2217577%81.774.8+7.0
4 Mornar Bar2214864%83.081.4+1.6
5 Partizan22111150%88.086.0+2.0
6 Zadar22101245%83.985.7-1.8
7 Petrol Olimpija22101245%79.081.5-2.5
8 FMP Beograd2291341%79.880.1-0.3
9 Mega Bemax2281436%84.084.5-0.4
10 Igokea2271532%81.085.3-4.3
11 Cibona2271532%79.785.9-6.2
12 MZT Skopje2231914%75.492.2-16.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Crvena zvezda2219232791
Mornar Bar148271463
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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