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Mornar Bar vs Crvena zvezda Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 25 Mar 2018
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 88-84
30-21 18-24 21-19 19-20
Position#4
Record14-9
FormLWWLW
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game81.8
vs
Position#1
Record20-3
FormWWWLL
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game75.7
EuropeABA LeagueABA League - Semi-finals
Domestic2017
Meetings · Mornar Bar v Crvena zvezda
20 Jan 2025
MBA69
CZV110
03 Mar 2024
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CZV102
20 Apr 2023
MBA65
CZV87
24 Oct 2021
MBA69
CZV77
24 Jan 2021
MBA78
CZV86
09 Feb 2019
MBA57
CZV90
25 Mar 2018
MBA88
CZV84
17 Dec 2017
MBA74
CZV82
31 Oct 2016
MBA59
CZV71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mornar Bar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crvena zvezda winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mornar BarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#15
L
76-87 OT
76
87
-11
H31/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Igokea
#10
W
93-79
93
79
+14
A04/02
ABA League
Minsk
#20
L
45-84
45
84
-39
A07/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Cedevita
#3
L
89-94
89
94
-5
H10/02
ABA League
Cibona
#11
W
82-79
82
79
+3
A04/03
ABA League
Oostende
#32
L
71-84
71
84
-13
A07/03
FIBA Europe Cup
MZT Skopje
#12
W
106-75
106
75
+31
H11/03
ABA League
Oostende
#32
W
90-63
90
63
+27
H14/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
63-91
63
91
-28
A18/03
ABA League
Donar Groningen
#3
W
73-67
73
67
+6
H21/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-18
11-20
18-12
22-24
19-20
28-17
20-22
26-20
10-22
12-19
12-24
11-19
15-25
24-28
25-18
25-23
15-28
31-6
20-15
16-30
20-22
17-18
18-25
16-19
29-13
21-28
29-17
27-17
24-14
19-19
30-16
17-14
14-22
8-19
27-23
14-27
18-10
19-30
15-12
21-15
159.1Avg total
78.8Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)82.181.8163.9+0.361%
Season at home (11)85.981.2167.1+4.764%
Season away (12)78.682.3160.9-3.858%
Last 10 (10)78.880.3159.1-1.550%
Last 5 (5)80.676.0156.6+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)74.882.7157.5-7.945%
vs Similar (12)84.881.2166.1+3.667%
vs Weaker (7)81.972.9154.7+9.071%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#1
L
75-81
75
81
-6
H18/02
Korac cup
Bamberg
#13
L
62-86
62
86
-24
A23/02
Euroleague
Unicaja
#9
W
80-76
80
76
+4
H02/03
Euroleague
Igokea
#10
W
82-76
82
76
+6
A05/03
ABA League
Barcelona
#12
L
54-88
54
88
-34
A09/03
Euroleague
Cibona
#11
W
107-69
107
69
+38
H12/03
ABA League
Valencia
#11
W
106-90
106
90
+16
H15/03
Euroleague
Mornar Bar
#4
W
91-63
91
63
+28
H18/03
ABA League
Panathinaikos
#5
L
71-91
71
91
-20
A20/03
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#2
L
63-80
63
80
-17
H22/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-25
22-24
24-16
20-16
23-21
13-25
9-23
17-17
24-24
16-13
22-15
18-24
22-24
20-21
18-20
22-11
12-17
12-28
25-17
5-26
24-14
24-22
34-17
25-16
23-23
27-25
29-19
27-23
22-14
19-8
23-27
27-14
15-24
23-23
18-30
15-14
17-22
14-18
10-25
22-15
159.1Avg total
79.1Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)89.075.7164.7+13.287%
Season at home (12)89.873.4163.2+16.392%
Season away (11)88.178.3166.4+9.882%
Last 10 (10)79.180.0159.1-0.950%
Last 5 (5)87.678.6166.2+9.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)70.281.6151.8-11.420%
vs Similar (9)88.188.4176.6-0.356%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)90.771.1161.8+19.6100%
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +2.2+2.2
Mornar BarCrvena zvezda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#15
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H31/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Igokea
#10
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A04/02
ABA League
Minsk
#20
L
22-41
22
41
-19
A07/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Cedevita
#3
L
39-53
39
53
-14
H10/02
ABA League
Cibona
#11
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A04/03
ABA League
Oostende
#32
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A07/03
FIBA Europe Cup
MZT Skopje
#12
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H11/03
ABA League
Oostende
#32
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H14/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
22-41
22
41
-19
A18/03
ABA League
Donar Groningen
#3
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H21/03
FIBA Europe Cup
77.5Avg total
37.7Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.941.280.1-2.333%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.941.682.5-0.733%-
Last 30 away (15)36.940.877.7-3.933%-
Last 10 (10)37.739.877.5-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)37.839.076.8-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)36.544.480.9-7.89%-
vs Similar (12)40.640.981.5-0.342%-
vs Weaker (7)39.936.776.6+3.157%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#1
L
31-49
31
49
-18
H18/02
Korac cup
Bamberg
#13
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A23/02
Euroleague
Unicaja
#9
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H02/03
Euroleague
Igokea
#10
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A05/03
ABA League
Barcelona
#12
L
24-45
24
45
-21
A09/03
Euroleague
Cibona
#11
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H12/03
ABA League
Valencia
#11
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H15/03
Euroleague
Mornar Bar
#4
W
41-22
41
22
+19
H18/03
ABA League
Panathinaikos
#5
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A20/03
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#2
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H22/03
Euroleague
79.6Avg total
38.1Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.939.780.7+1.260%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.337.279.5+5.182%-
Last 30 away (13)39.243.082.2-3.831%-
Last 10 (10)38.141.579.6-3.440%-
Last 5 (5)41.638.680.2+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)34.841.276.0-6.430%-
vs Similar (9)43.244.988.1-1.756%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)45.534.680.1+10.990%-
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 87.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.720.8
58.3%
52.4%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.210.0
38.2%
34.8%30.0
🏀 Free throws23.616.1
68.2%
74.4%16.1
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.319.2
50.1%
52.4%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.39.7
38.3%
34.8%29.1
🏀 Free throws17.813.0
73.0%
74.4%13.0
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Mar 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mornar Bar
WLWWLWLLWL
Crvena zvezda
LLWWWLWWLL
#4
League position
#1
+9.2
Net rating
+4.3
119.1
Offensive rating
112.3
109.8
Defensive rating
108.0
57.8%
Effective FG%
53.1%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
15.2%
Turnover %
14.9%
31.8%
Off. rebound %
30.0%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.28
38.2%
3-point %
38.3%
52.6%
Assist %
62.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence119.1 · 112.3Defence109.8 · 108.0Shooting57.8% · 53.1%3-point %38.2% · 38.3%Ball care15.2% · 14.9%Off. rebounds31.8% · 30.0%Free throws0.38 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Mornar Bar   ■ Crvena zvezda
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Mornar Bar wins
5
Crvena zvezda wins
Mornar Barlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/18HDonar Groningen73-67
18/03/18ACrvena zvezda63-91
14/03/18HOostende90-63
11/03/18HMZT Skopje106-75
07/03/18AOostende71-84
04/03/18ACibona82-79
10/02/18HCedevita89-94
07/02/18AMinsk45-84
04/02/18AIgokea93-79
31/01/18HBakken Bears76-87 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/18HFenerbahce63-80
20/03/18APanathinaikos71-91
18/03/18HMornar Bar91-63
15/03/18HValencia106-90
12/03/18HCibona107-69
09/03/18ABarcelona54-88
05/03/18AIgokea82-76
02/03/18HUnicaja80-76
23/02/18ABamberg62-86
18/02/18HPartizan75-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mornar Bar
ABA League 2017
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL61%
HomeWWWLW64%
AwayWWWWL58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %61%64%58%
Points / game82.185.978.6
Allowed / game81.881.282.3
Point differential+0.3+4.7-3.8
Avg total163.9167.1160.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%27%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (10)60% (5)100% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Crvena zvezda
ABA League 2017
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW87%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWLWWW82%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %87%92%82%
Points / game89.089.888.1
Allowed / game75.773.478.3
Point differential+13.2+16.3+9.8
Avg total164.7163.2166.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%67%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda2320387%89.075.7+13.2
2 Buducnost2418675%84.276.1+8.2
3 Cedevita2418675%81.875.2+6.6
4 Mornar Bar2314961%82.181.8+0.3
5 Partizan22111150%88.086.0+2.0
6 Zadar22101245%83.985.7-1.8
7 Petrol Olimpija22101245%79.081.5-2.5
8 FMP Beograd2291341%79.880.1-0.3
9 Mega Bemax2281436%84.084.5-0.4
10 Igokea2271532%81.085.3-4.3
11 Cibona2271532%79.785.9-6.2
12 MZT Skopje2231914%75.492.2-16.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mornar Bar3018211988
Crvena zvezda2124192084
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