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Morphou vs AEK Larnaca Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 71-82
15-25 11-17 23-23 22-17
Position#8
Record3-1
FormWWWL
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game83.5
Morphou
Cyprus
vs
AEK Larnaca 🏆
Cyprus
Position#1
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game90.2
Allowed / game68.0
CyprusDivision ARound 5· Lefkotheo
Other2025-26
Meetings · Morphou v AEK Larnaca
08 Nov 2026
MORP v ALA
upcoming
01 Nov 2025
MORP71
ALA82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Morphou winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AEK Larnaca winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MorphouCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMorphou
Date
Competition
Paralimni
#5
W
87-84 OT
87
84
+3
72avg 71
H05/10
Division A
Anorthosis
#7
W
84-69
84
69
+15
82avg 71
A11/10
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
81-80
81
80
+1
69avg 71
H17/10
Division A
Apollon
#6
L
73-101
73
101
-28
62avg 71
A26/10
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
19-21
24-21
16-19
16-13
19-29
30-16
19-11
10-16
14-26
31-18
26-20
15-29
20-24
17-27
21-21
164.8Avg total
81.2Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)81.283.5164.8-2.275%
Season at home (2)84.082.0166.0+2.0100%
Season away (2)78.585.0163.5-6.550%
Last 10 (4)81.283.5164.8-2.275%
Last 5 (4)81.283.5164.8-2.275%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)80.092.5172.5-12.550%
vs Similar (2)82.574.5157.0+8.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK LarnacaCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLarnaca
Date
Competition
Keravnos
#2
W
87-83
87
83
+4
76avg 84
A17/05
Division A
Keravnos
#2
W
99-94 OT
99
94
+5
91avg 84
H20/05
Division A
Levice
#13
L
69-90
69
90
-21
57avg 84
A21/09
Champions League
Keravnos
#2
W
76-69
76
69
+7
72avg 84
H06/10
Division A
AEL
#3
W
88-72
88
72
+16
90avg 84
H11/10
Division A
CSM Oradea
#7
L
75-89
75
89
-14
65avg 84
A15/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Apoel BC
#4
W
96-61
96
61
+35
100avg 84
A19/10
Division A
Petkim Spor
#11
W
84-78
84
78
+6
80avg 84
H22/10
FIBA Europe Cup
ETHA Engomi
#9
W
101-70
101
70
+31
104avg 84
H25/10
Division A
Corona Brasov
#34
W
93-68
93
68
+25
86avg 84
H29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-31
33-18
12-22
17-12
26-17
22-24
19-23
18-21
19-24
17-24
17-26
16-16
25-18
16-18
17-14
18-19
20-17
25-10
25-23
18-22
21-26
15-18
21-25
18-20
25-17
24-14
26-15
21-15
22-22
17-14
22-15
23-27
21-18
25-24
30-14
25-14
21-22
30-18
23-18
19-10
164.2Avg total
86.8Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)90.268.0158.2+22.2100%
Season at home (3)88.370.3158.7+18.0100%
Season away (1)96.061.0157.0+35.0100%
Last 10 (10)86.877.4164.2+9.480%
Last 5 (5)89.873.2163.0+16.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)79.583.5163.0-4.050%
vs Similar (7)85.777.3163.0+8.4100%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)88.869.0157.8+19.795%
This opponent (Morphou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -7.0-7.0Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +1.7+1.7
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -7.0-7.0Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +1.7+1.7
MorphouAEK Larnaca
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MorphouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paralimni
#5
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H05/10
Division A
Anorthosis
#7
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A11/10
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
L
24-42
24
42
-18
H17/10
Division A
Apollon
#6
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A26/10
Division A
77.2Avg total
33.2Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (4)33.244.077.2-10.80%-
Last 30 at home (2)31.540.572.0-9.00%-
Last 30 away (2)35.047.582.5-12.50%-
Last 10 (4)33.244.077.2-10.80%-
Last 5 (4)33.244.077.2-10.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)37.046.083.0-9.00%-
vs Similar (2)29.542.071.5-12.50%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK LarnacaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keravnos
#2
W
58-49
58
49
+9
A17/05
Division A
Keravnos
#2
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H20/05
Division A
Levice
#13
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A21/09
Champions League
Keravnos
#2
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H06/10
Division A
AEL
#3
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H11/10
Division A
CSM Oradea
#7
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A15/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Apoel BC
#4
W
49-31
49
31
+18
A19/10
Division A
Petkim Spor
#11
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H22/10
FIBA Europe Cup
ETHA Engomi
#9
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H25/10
Division A
Corona Brasov
#34
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
84.3Avg total
44.9Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.337.982.2+6.473%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.737.682.4+7.182%-
Last 30 away (13)43.838.382.1+5.562%-
Last 10 (10)44.939.484.3+5.580%-
Last 5 (5)44.238.682.8+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)37.540.077.5-2.550%-
vs Similar (7)46.439.385.7+7.1100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)44.636.881.4+7.970%-
This opponent (Morphou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Morphoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Morphou: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀27%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.5 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.017.8
45.5%
51.5%35.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.87.8
31.3%
32.9%23.2
🏀 Free throws32.822.0
67.2%
71.5%22.0
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AEK Larnacatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Larnaca: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.419.7
52.7%
51.5%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.98.6
36.0%
32.9%25.8
🏀 Free throws18.914.2
75.1%
71.5%14.2
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/10 games with a box score before 01 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Morphou
LWWW
AEK Larnaca
WWWWLWWLWW
#8
League position
#1
-3.4
Net rating
+9.9
101.1
Offensive rating
118.9
104.5
Defensive rating
109.0
46.1%
Effective FG%
53.2%
43.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
14.5%
Turnover %
15.0%
23.3%
Off. rebound %
38.0%
0.51
Free-throw rate
0.31
31.3%
3-point %
36.0%
57.8%
Assist %
67.5%
75%
Form (last 4/10)
80%

Profile

Offence101.1 · 118.9Defence104.5 · 109.0Shooting46.1% · 53.2%3-point %31.3% · 36.0%Ball care14.5% · 15.0%Off. rebounds23.3% · 38.0%Free throws0.51 · 0.31Form (last 4/10)75% · 80%
■ Morphou   ■ AEK Larnaca
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Morphou wins
0
AEK Larnaca wins
No previous meetings.
Morphoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/25AApollon73-101
17/10/25HAchilleas K.81-80
11/10/25AAnorthosis84-69
05/10/25HParalimni87-84 OT
AEK Larnacalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/25HCorona Brasov93-68
25/10/25HETHA Engomi101-70
22/10/25HPetkim Spor84-78
19/10/25AApoel BC96-61
15/10/25ACSM Oradea75-89
11/10/25HAEL88-72
06/10/25HKeravnos76-69
21/09/25ALevice69-90
20/05/25HKeravnos99-94 OT
17/05/25AKeravnos87-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Morphou
Division A 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Losses (last 4)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game81.284.078.5
Allowed / game83.582.085.0
Point differential-2.2+2.0-6.5
Avg total164.8166.0163.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %25%50%0%
AEK Larnaca
Division A 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game90.288.396.0
Allowed / game68.070.361.0
Point differential+22.2+18.0+35.0
Avg total158.2158.7157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%67%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AEK Larnaca440100%90.268.0+22.2
2 Keravnos43175%78.870.8+8.0
3 Morphou43175%81.283.5-2.2
4 Apoel BC43175%80.083.2-3.2
5 Paralimni53260%79.475.4+4.0
6 ETHA Engomi42250%77.284.0-6.8
7 AEL41325%76.583.2-6.8
8 Anorthosis41325%63.571.5-8.0
9 Apollon51420%83.883.4+0.4
10 Achilleas K.4040%74.583.2-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Morphou1511232271
AEK Larnaca2517231782
← all games of the day
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