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Morphou vs Apoel BC Prediction & Stats

Date: Mon 04 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#8
Record1-4
FormLLWLL
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game83.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.0/10
Around normal
4.4/10
Below normal
Position#5
Record3-3
FormLWWLL
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game75.2
CyprusDivision ARound 16· Lefkotheo
Other2026-27
Meetings · Morphou v Apoel BC
04 Jan 2027
MORP v APO
upcoming
15 Nov 2025
MORP74
APO76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Morphou win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Apoel BC win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MorphouCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMorphou
Date
Competition
AEL
#3
L
75-92
75
92
-17
64avg 59
H24/01
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
69-75
69
75
-6
51avg 59
A02/02
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#9
W
93-91
93
91
+2
84avg 59
H08/02
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
73-96
73
96
-23
57avg 59
A14/02
Division A
Paralimni
#5
L
73-89
73
89
-16
68avg 59
A07/03
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#6
L
65-76
65
76
-11
23avg 59
A09/10
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
82-91
82
91
-9
75avg 59
A18/10
Division A
Anorthosis
#9
W
76-74
76
74
+2
70avg 59
H25/10
Division A
AEL
#3
L
49-71
49
71
-22
35avg 59
A30/10
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
78-103
78
103
-25
no box
H08/11
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-26
26-16
17-20
18-30
17-24
20-23
18-17
14-11
24-21
27-21
22-24
20-25
12-32
19-15
20-23
22-26
21-24
16-19
17-24
19-22
17-19
14-9
17-22
17-26
22-24
21-19
18-35
21-13
24-20
16-20
23-22
13-12
11-20
15-22
13-19
10-10
10-29
18-25
33-21
17-28
159.1Avg total
73.3Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)70.083.0153.0-13.020%
Season at home (2)77.088.5165.5-11.550%
Season away (3)65.379.3144.7-14.00%
Last 10 (10)73.385.8159.1-12.520%
Last 5 (5)70.083.0153.0-13.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)74.888.3163.1-13.513%
vs Similar (6)74.875.0149.8-0.250%
vs Weaker (2)92.588.5181.0+4.0100%
This opponent (Apoel BC) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Apoel BCCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBC
Date
Competition
AEK Larnaca
#1
W
82-79
82
79
+3
71avg 73
H21/04
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
72-89
72
89
-17
66avg 73
A24/04
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
W
95-87
95
87
+8
88avg 73
H28/04
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
71-85
71
85
-14
60avg 73
A01/05
Division A
AEL
#3
W
80-73
80
73
+7
68avg 73
H12/10
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
79-83
79
83
-4
74avg 73
A18/10
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
84-62
84
62
+22
79avg 73
H23/10
Division A
Apollon
#7
W
77-64
77
64
+13
no box
A02/11
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
73-80
73
80
-7
no box
H07/11
Division A
Paralimni
#4
L
71-89
71
89
-18
no box
H13/11
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-12
23-17
14-18
23-32
21-29
17-19
17-21
17-20
14-21
30-23
23-21
28-22
14-22
25-25
20-23
12-15
19-25
24-17
14-17
23-14
18-30
20-19
23-21
18-13
19-10
28-22
21-13
16-17
21-20
22-16
18-20
16-8
21-17
19-23
11-24
22-16
16-34
20-17
15-21
20-17
157.5Avg total
78.4Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)77.375.2152.5+2.250%
Season at home (4)77.076.0153.0+1.050%
Season away (2)78.073.5151.5+4.550%
Last 10 (10)78.479.1157.5-0.750%
Last 5 (5)76.875.6152.4+1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)75.884.2160.0-8.523%
vs Similar (12)81.183.0164.1-1.950%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)85.275.2160.4+10.080%
This opponent (Morphou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.7-6.7Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: +2.1+2.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.7-6.7Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: +2.1+2.1
MorphouApoel BC
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MorphouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEL
#3
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H24/01
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A02/02
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#9
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H08/02
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A14/02
Division A
Paralimni
#5
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A07/03
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#6
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A09/10
Division A
Keravnos
#2
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A18/10
Division A
Anorthosis
#9
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H25/10
Division A
AEL
#3
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A30/10
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
28-54
28
54
-26
H08/11
Division A
79.2Avg total
36.4Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (23)36.143.579.6-7.417%-
Last 30 at home (11)36.542.579.1-6.027%-
Last 30 away (12)35.744.380.0-8.78%-
Last 10 (10)36.442.879.2-6.420%-
Last 5 (5)33.641.475.0-7.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)35.642.878.4-7.220%-
vs Similar (6)33.042.875.8-9.80%-
vs Weaker (2)49.050.599.5-1.550%-
This opponent (Apoel BC) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Apoel BCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEK Larnaca
#1
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H21/04
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A24/04
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H28/04
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A01/05
Division A
AEL
#3
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H12/10
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A18/10
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H23/10
Division A
Apollon
#7
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A02/11
Division A
Keravnos
#2
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H07/11
Division A
Paralimni
#4
L
36-51
36
51
-15
H13/11
Division A
83.1Avg total
41.3Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.442.184.4+0.350%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.241.484.6+1.956%-
Last 30 away (14)41.442.984.2-1.543%-
Last 10 (10)41.341.883.1-0.540%-
Last 5 (5)40.841.682.4-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)40.444.284.6-3.823%-
vs Similar (12)42.241.283.3+1.058%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)48.038.686.6+9.4100%-
This opponent (Morphou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Morphoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Morphou: 69.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.3 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.817.8
47.1%
52.0%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.17.4
28.4%
34.4%22.2
🏀 Free throws16.411.9
72.6%
72.9%11.9
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Apoel BCtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Apoel BC: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.3 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.318.6
54.2%
52.0%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.19.9
34.0%
34.4%29.7
🏀 Free throws17.212.7
73.8%
72.9%12.7
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Morphou
LLWLLLLWLL
Apoel BC
LLWWLWLWLW
#8
League position
#5
-6.8
Net rating
-3.1
85.6
Offensive rating
93.6
92.4
Defensive rating
96.6
45.2%
Effective FG%
52.8%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
49.9%
14.9%
Turnover %
13.4%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.27
28.4%
3-point %
34.0%
65.5%
Assist %
65.3%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence85.6 · 93.6Defence92.4 · 96.6Shooting45.2% · 52.8%3-point %28.4% · 34.0%Ball care14.9% · 13.4%Free throws0.26 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Morphou   ■ Apoel BC
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Morphou wins
2
Apoel BC wins
DateGameScore
02/02/26Apoel BC v Morphou75-69
15/11/25Morphou v Apoel BC74-76
Morphoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26HAEK Larnaca78-103
30/10/26AAEL49-71
25/10/26HAnorthosis76-74
18/10/26AKeravnos82-91
09/10/26AETHA Engomi65-76
07/03/26AParalimni73-89
14/02/26AKeravnos73-96
08/02/26HETHA Engomi93-91
02/02/26AApoel BC69-75
24/01/26HAEL75-92
Apoel BClast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HParalimni71-89
07/11/26HKeravnos73-80
02/11/26AApollon77-64
23/10/26HAchilleas K.84-62
18/10/26AAEK Larnaca79-83
12/10/26HAEL80-73
01/05/26AAEK Larnaca71-85
28/04/26HAEK Larnaca95-87
24/04/26AAEK Larnaca72-89
21/04/26HAEK Larnaca82-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Morphou
Division A 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL20%
HomeWL50%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %20%50%0%
Points / game70.077.065.3
Allowed / game83.088.579.3
Point differential-13.0-11.5-14.0
Avg total153.0165.5144.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Apoel BC
Division A 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL50%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game77.377.078.0
Allowed / game75.276.073.5
Point differential+2.2+1.0+4.5
Avg total152.5153.0151.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AEK Larnaca550100%89.669.6+20.0
2 Keravnos550100%90.075.2+14.8
3 AEL54180%77.870.0+7.8
4 Paralimni64267%84.779.2+5.5
5 Apoel BC63350%77.375.2+2.2
6 ETHA Engomi63350%69.772.3-2.7
7 Apollon62433%70.079.3-9.3
8 Morphou51420%70.083.0-13.0
9 Anorthosis5050%75.082.2-7.2
10 Achilleas K.5050%74.491.6-17.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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