Mt Gambier vs Albury Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 21 Jul 2017

Tip-off: 10:30

Final 103-82

22-22 25-23 27-20 29-17

Position#1

Record17-2

FormWWWWW

Points / game91.9

Allowed / game78.3

Mt Gambier 🏆

Albury

Position#11

Record9-11

FormLLLLW

Points / game92.0

Allowed / game93.0

SEABL

Other2017

Meetings · Mt Gambier v Albury

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mt Gambier winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Albury winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mt Gambier Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Frankston

#12

99-70

+29

H19/05

SEABL

Kilsyth

82-66

+16

H26/05

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#10

85-70

+15

H02/06

SEABL

Geelong

95-72

+23

A17/06

SEABL

Dandenong

77-91

-14

A18/06

SEABL

Geelong

104-94

104

+10

H23/06

SEABL

Ballarat

100-75

100

+25

H01/07

SEABL

Nunawading

92-81

+11

H07/07

SEABL

Canberra

#14

113-69

113

+44

A15/07

SEABL

BA CoE

#15

94-63

+31

A16/07

SEABL

22-23

28-13

26-24

23-10

22-10

15-16

22-29

23-11

27-22

17-12

23-24

18-12

23-14

17-13

31-26

24-19

20-21

19-19

23-28

15-23

41-27

35-21

6-19

22-27

25-27

35-11

13-19

27-18

23-19

24-18

20-21

25-23

32-20

23-12

29-21

29-16

19-19

24-16

27-11

24-17

169.2Avg total

94.1Scored

75.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	91.9	78.3	170.2	+13.6	89%
Season at home (10)	94.5	77.6	172.1	+16.9	100%
Season away (9)	89.0	79.0	168.0	+10.0	78%
Last 10 (10)	94.1	75.1	169.2	+19.0	90%
Last 5 (5)	100.6	76.4	177.0	+24.2	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	79.0	72.0	151.0	+7.0	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	91.7	77.4	169.1	+14.4	89%

This opponent (Albury) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Albury

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

BA CoE

#15

98-90

A21/05

SEABL

Frankston

#12

95-73

+22

H27/05

SEABL

Canberra

#14

98-77

+21

H03/06

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#13

107-80

107

+27

H17/06

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

83-113

113

-30

A23/06

SEABL

NW Tasmania

86-89

-3

A24/06

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#10

83-110

110

-27

A01/07

SEABL

Kilsyth

90-103

103

-13

A02/07

SEABL

NW Tasmania

80-88

-8

H07/07

SEABL

Ballarat

104-93

104

+11

H14/07

SEABL

22-22

18-19

29-22

29-27

34-17

21-23

21-16

19-17

31-27

19-17

23-17

25-16

25-17

31-25

32-24

19-14

24-30

23-35

15-21

21-27

25-24

16-20

29-22

16-23

28-23

12-27

20-21

23-39

32-24

24-18

22-29

12-32

24-26

16-25

21-9

19-28

19-20

25-30

24-24

36-19

184.0Avg total

92.4Scored

91.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (20)	92.0	93.0	185.0	-1.0	45%
Season at home (11)	93.9	87.3	181.2	+6.6	64%
Season away (9)	89.7	100.0	189.7	-10.3	22%
Last 10 (10)	92.4	91.6	184.0	+0.8	50%
Last 5 (5)	88.6	96.6	185.2	-8.0	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	87.1	95.0	182.1	-7.9	31%
vs Similar (13)	90.5	89.4	179.9	+1.2	54%
vs Weaker (4)	97.2	88.5	185.8	+8.8	75%

This opponent (Mt Gambier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Mt GambierAlbury

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	25.1	19.4	44.5	+5.7	67%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	26.8	18.1	44.8	+8.7	88%	-
Last 30 away (13)	22.8	21.2	44.0	+1.7	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.4	20.2	45.6	+5.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	28.0	22.4	50.4	+5.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	22.3	19.3	41.7	+3.0	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	25.4	19.4	44.8	+6.0	70%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.0	23.2	47.3	+0.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.8	22.0	46.8	+2.8	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.3	24.5	47.7	-1.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	26.4	23.0	49.4	+3.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.6	23.4	49.0	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	22.0	24.3	46.3	-2.3	23%	-
vs Similar (13)	25.5	22.1	47.5	+3.4	62%	-
vs Weaker (4)	26.0	23.5	49.5	+2.5	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	17.8	40.0	+4.4	70%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	23.9	17.6	41.6	+6.3	76%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.0	18.0	38.0	+2.0	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.7	15.1	38.8	+8.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	28.2	15.6	43.8	+12.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	18.7	15.0	33.7	+3.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	22.6	18.1	40.7	+4.5	70%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	23.0	44.5	-1.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.3	24.4	46.7	-2.1	20%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	21.7	42.3	-1.0	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	23.9	44.4	-3.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	24.0	42.6	-5.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	21.4	25.6	47.0	-4.2	15%	-
vs Similar (13)	21.2	21.5	42.7	-0.2	46%	-
vs Weaker (4)	22.5	19.8	42.2	+2.8	75%	-

Mt GambierLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Frankston

#12

50-36

+14

H19/05

SEABL

Kilsyth

37-26

+11

H26/05

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#10

44-34

+10

H02/06

SEABL

Geelong

40-27

+13

A17/06

SEABL

Dandenong

39-40

-1

A18/06

SEABL

Geelong

76-48

+28

H23/06

SEABL

Ballarat

60-38

+22

H01/07

SEABL

Nunawading

47-37

+10

H07/07

SEABL

Canberra

#14

55-32

+23

A15/07

SEABL

BA CoE

#15

43-35

A16/07

SEABL

84.4Avg total

49.1Scored

35.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	47.3	37.2	84.5	+10.1	87%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	50.7	35.7	86.4	+15.0	100%	-
Last 30 away (13)	42.8	39.2	82.0	+3.7	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	49.1	35.3	84.4	+13.8	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	56.2	38.0	94.2	+18.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	41.0	34.3	75.3	+6.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	48.0	37.5	85.5	+10.5	89%	-

This opponent (Albury) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AlburyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

BA CoE

#15

40-41

-1

A21/05

SEABL

Frankston

#12

55-40

+15

H27/05

SEABL

Canberra

#14

50-44

H03/06

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#13

56-42

+14

H17/06

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

47-65

-18

A23/06

SEABL

NW Tasmania

41-44

-3

A24/06

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#10

40-50

-10

A01/07

SEABL

Kilsyth

56-42

+14

A02/07

SEABL

NW Tasmania

40-51

-11

H07/07

SEABL

Ballarat

44-50

-6

H14/07

SEABL

93.8Avg total

46.9Scored

46.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.5	46.3	91.8	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	47.1	46.4	93.5	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	43.9	46.1	90.1	-2.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.9	46.9	93.8	+0.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.2	47.4	91.6	-3.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	43.4	49.9	93.3	-6.5	23%	-
vs Similar (13)	46.7	43.5	90.2	+3.2	46%	-
vs Weaker (4)	48.5	43.2	91.8	+5.2	75%	-

This opponent (Mt Gambier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	20.6	42.4	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.5	20.7	41.2	-0.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	23.5	20.4	43.9	+3.2	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	22.2	44.2	-0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	18.2	37.2	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	18.7	16.7	35.3	+2.0	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	22.1	21.0	43.1	+1.1	59%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	21.7	43.6	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.9	20.5	43.3	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.0	22.9	43.9	-1.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.6	20.5	44.1	+3.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	21.0	44.2	+2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	19.4	20.9	40.3	-1.5	31%	-
vs Similar (13)	23.5	21.5	44.9	+2.0	54%	-
vs Weaker (4)	25.2	24.8	50.0	+0.5	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	19.1	40.4	+2.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.6	19.2	41.8	+3.5	76%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.7	18.9	38.6	+0.8	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	17.6	40.6	+5.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.4	20.2	45.6	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	19.3	21.0	40.3	-1.7	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	21.6	18.9	40.4	+2.7	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	23.3	45.4	-1.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.3	20.1	42.5	+2.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.9	26.4	48.3	-4.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	24.2	46.1	-2.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	28.2	49.4	-7.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	23.4	23.0	46.4	+0.4	46%	-
vs Similar (13)	20.4	24.4	44.8	-4.0	31%	-
vs Weaker (4)	23.5	20.5	44.0	+3.0	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.2	39.6	82.8	+3.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	43.1	39.9	83.0	+3.2	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	43.2	39.3	82.5	+3.9	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.0	39.8	84.8	+5.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.4	38.4	82.8	+6.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	38.0	37.7	75.7	+0.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	43.7	39.9	83.6	+3.9	63%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.0	44.9	89.0	-0.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.2	40.6	85.8	+4.6	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.9	49.3	92.1	-6.4	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.5	44.7	90.2	+0.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.4	49.2	93.6	-4.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	42.8	43.9	86.7	-1.2	46%	-
vs Similar (13)	43.8	45.8	89.7	-2.0	54%	-
vs Weaker (4)	48.8	45.2	94.0	+3.5	75%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Mt Gambier wins

Albury wins

Date	Game	Score
25/03/17	Albury v Mt Gambier	83-87
08/07/16	Mt Gambier v Albury	81-80
25/06/16	Albury v Mt Gambier	74-100
12/09/15	Albury v Mt Gambier	76-87
15/08/15	Albury v Mt Gambier	91-88 OT

Mt Gambierlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/07/17	A	BA CoE	94-63
15/07/17	A	Canberra	113-69
07/07/17	H	Nunawading	92-81
01/07/17	H	Ballarat	100-75
23/06/17	H	Geelong	104-94
18/06/17	A	Dandenong	77-91
17/06/17	A	Geelong	95-72
02/06/17	H	Southern Sabres	85-70
26/05/17	H	Kilsyth	82-66
19/05/17	H	Frankston	99-70

Alburylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/07/17	H	Ballarat	104-93
07/07/17	H	NW Tasmania	80-88
02/07/17	A	Kilsyth	90-103
01/07/17	A	Southern Sabres	83-110
24/06/17	A	NW Tasmania	86-89
23/06/17	A	Hobart Chargers	83-113
17/06/17	H	Melbourne Tigers	107-80
03/06/17	H	Canberra	98-77
27/05/17	H	Frankston	95-73
21/05/17	A	BA CoE	98-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mt Gambier

SEABL 2017

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	89%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	LWLWW	78%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	10	9
Win %	89%	100%	78%
Points / game	91.9	94.5	89.0
Allowed / game	78.3	77.6	79.0
Point differential	+13.6	+16.9	+10.0
Avg total	170.2	172.1	168.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	68%	90%	44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	-	100% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Albury

SEABL 2017

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLW	45%
Home	WWWLW	64%
Away	WLLLL	22%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	20	11	9
Win %	45%	64%	22%
Points / game	92.0	93.9	89.7
Allowed / game	93.0	87.3	100.0
Point differential	-1.0	+6.6	-10.3
Avg total	185.0	181.2	189.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	30%	45%	11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	67% (3)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Mt Gambier	19	17	2	89%	91.9	78.3	+13.6
2	Nunawading	20	14	6	70%	89.3	82.4	+6.9
3	Hobart Chargers	20	13	7	65%	94.4	80.3	+14.1
4	Ballarat	20	13	7	65%	88.6	84.2	+4.3
5	Dandenong	20	13	7	65%	81.9	79.0	+2.9
6	Geelong	22	14	8	64%	86.9	81.6	+5.3
7	NW Tasmania	20	10	10	50%	80.8	82.8	-2.0
8	Bendigo	21	10	11	48%	87.4	86.5	+1.0
9	Albury	20	9	11	45%	92.0	93.0	-1.0
10	Southern Sabres	21	9	12	43%	82.2	84.1	-1.9
11	Kilsyth	21	9	12	43%	78.6	80.8	-2.2
12	Frankston	21	7	14	33%	80.7	87.6	-7.0
13	Melbourne Tigers	19	5	14	26%	76.0	89.9	-13.9
14	BA CoE	12	2	10	17%	77.2	89.8	-12.7
15	Canberra	20	3	17	15%	79.2	91.8	-12.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Mt Gambier	22	25	27	29	103
Albury	22	23	20	17	82

← all games of the day

Mt Gambier vs Albury Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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