Mt Gambier vs Albury Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 08 Jul 2016

Tip-off: 10:30

Final 81-80

22-17 23-15 17-30 19-18

Position#3

Record11-6

FormWLWWW

Points / game90.1

Allowed / game77.4

Mt Gambier 🏆

Albury

Position#9

Record8-9

FormLWLLW

Points / game86.9

Allowed / game86.1

SEABL

Other2016

Meetings · Mt Gambier v Albury

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mt Gambier winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Albury winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mt Gambier Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Nunawading

78-84

-6

A14/05

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#11

109-77

109

+32

A15/05

SEABL

Frankston

#14

98-81

+17

H20/05

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#15

73-78

-5

A28/05

SEABL

Bendigo

63-69

-6

A29/05

SEABL

NW Tasmania

#13

106-80

106

+26

H03/06

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

83-86

-3

A17/06

SEABL

NW Tasmania

#13

98-68

+30

A18/06

SEABL

Albury

100-74

100

+26

A25/06

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#15

106-67

106

+39

H01/07

SEABL

21-18

17-29

16-19

24-18

34-26

23-15

28-20

24-16

24-13

20-23

36-21

18-24

16-19

19-24

17-16

21-19

18-20

12-13

25-19

8-17

23-21

25-19

28-23

30-17

21-17

21-20

16-26

25-23

32-15

15-18

29-17

22-18

27-18

21-25

27-18

25-13

24-13

35-22

21-14

26-18

167.8Avg total

91.4Scored

76.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	90.1	77.4	167.5	+12.8	65%
Season at home (7)	93.3	76.7	170.0	+16.6	86%
Season away (10)	87.9	77.8	165.7	+10.1	50%
Last 10 (10)	91.4	76.4	167.8	+15.0	60%
Last 5 (5)	98.6	75.0	173.6	+23.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	81.2	83.8	165.0	-2.5	25%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	89.5	74.5	164.0	+15.0	81%

This opponent (Albury) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Albury

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Geelong

94-97

-3

H07/05

SEABL

BA CoE

#16

108-72

108

+36

H14/05

SEABL

Geelong

73-94

-21

A21/05

SEABL

Nunawading

103-100

103

100

A22/05

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#11

95-74

+21

A28/05

SEABL

Kilsyth

#12

75-93

-18

A29/05

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#11

82-73

H04/06

SEABL

Frankston

#14

88-92

-4

H18/06

SEABL

Mt Gambier

74-100

100

-26

H25/06

SEABL

Kilsyth

#12

95-84

+11

H02/07

SEABL

19-30

25-30

26-21

24-16

28-23

25-23

23-11

32-15

14-23

19-20

19-30

21-21

33-22

24-27

22-30

24-21

18-20

27-25

31-12

19-17

20-17

16-25

19-29

20-22

15-25

22-15

28-13

17-20

22-27

28-22

15-20

23-23

18-27

25-21

18-27

13-25

23-25

23-26

17-23

32-10

176.6Avg total

88.7Scored

87.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	86.9	86.1	173.0	+0.9	47%
Season at home (9)	91.1	85.2	176.3	+5.9	44%
Season away (8)	82.2	87.0	169.2	-4.8	50%
Last 10 (10)	88.7	87.9	176.6	+0.8	50%
Last 5 (5)	82.8	88.4	171.2	-5.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	82.1	93.3	175.4	-11.2	33%
vs Similar (6)	87.3	83.5	170.8	+3.8	83%
vs Weaker (15)	89.3	78.5	167.8	+10.9	67%

This opponent (Mt Gambier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Mt GambierAlbury

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.8	18.4	41.2	+4.4	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.8	17.7	40.5	+5.1	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.8	19.1	41.9	+3.7	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.0	18.0	42.0	+6.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.4	16.8	42.2	+8.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	24.5	19.8	44.2	+4.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	22.5	18.2	40.7	+4.3	73%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	22.6	44.2	-1.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	22.4	22.5	44.9	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (12)	20.3	22.8	43.1	-2.4	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	23.9	44.9	-2.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	24.2	43.8	-4.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	19.7	24.1	43.8	-4.4	33%	-
vs Similar (6)	23.2	19.0	42.2	+4.2	83%	-
vs Weaker (15)	22.1	23.1	45.2	-1.1	40%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	18.1	39.1	+2.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.3	17.8	40.1	+4.5	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	18.4	38.1	+1.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	20.8	41.6	+0.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	20.8	44.2	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	17.2	19.2	36.5	-2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	21.6	17.9	39.5	+3.7	58%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.7	21.0	44.7	+2.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	24.5	20.9	45.4	+3.6	72%	-
Last 30 away (12)	22.5	21.2	43.8	+1.2	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.4	23.4	46.8	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	21.8	44.6	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	21.6	25.0	46.6	-3.4	33%	-
vs Similar (6)	24.2	21.7	45.8	+2.5	67%	-
vs Weaker (15)	24.8	18.4	43.2	+6.4	73%	-

Mt GambierLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Nunawading

38-47

-9

A14/05

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#11

57-41

+16

A15/05

SEABL

Frankston

#14

44-36

H20/05

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#15

35-43

-8

A28/05

SEABL

Bendigo

30-33

-3

A29/05

SEABL

NW Tasmania

#13

48-40

H03/06

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

42-37

A17/06

SEABL

NW Tasmania

#13

47-33

+14

A18/06

SEABL

Albury

48-43

A25/06

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#15

59-35

+24

H01/07

SEABL

83.6Avg total

44.8Scored

38.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.8	36.5	80.3	+7.3	73%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.1	35.5	80.6	+9.5	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.5	37.5	80.0	+5.1	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.8	38.8	83.6	+6.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.8	37.6	86.4	+11.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	41.8	39.0	80.8	+2.8	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	44.1	36.1	80.2	+8.0	73%	-

This opponent (Albury) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AlburyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Geelong

44-60

-16

H07/05

SEABL

BA CoE

#16

53-46

H14/05

SEABL

Geelong

33-43

-10

A21/05

SEABL

Nunawading

57-49

A22/05

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#11

45-45

A28/05

SEABL

Kilsyth

#12

36-42

-6

A29/05

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#11

37-40

-3

H04/06

SEABL

Frankston

#14

50-49

H18/06

SEABL

Mt Gambier

43-48

-5

H25/06

SEABL

Kilsyth

#12

46-51

-5

H02/07

SEABL

91.7Avg total

44.4Scored

47.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.3	43.6	88.9	+1.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	46.9	43.4	90.3	+3.5	56%	-
Last 30 away (12)	42.8	44.0	86.8	-1.2	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.4	47.3	91.7	-2.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	46.0	88.4	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	41.2	49.1	90.3	-7.9	22%	-
vs Similar (6)	47.3	40.7	88.0	+6.7	67%	-
vs Weaker (15)	46.9	41.5	88.4	+5.3	60%	-

This opponent (Mt Gambier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.6	19.7	42.3	+2.9	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.5	20.3	42.9	+2.2	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.7	19.0	41.7	+3.7	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.3	19.3	43.6	+5.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	19.6	43.8	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	22.0	21.2	43.2	+0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	22.7	19.4	42.1	+3.3	73%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	22.4	42.2	-2.6	27%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	19.8	21.6	41.4	-1.8	33%	-
Last 30 away (12)	19.7	23.6	43.2	-3.9	17%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	21.6	43.4	+0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	22.4	41.8	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	20.3	24.8	45.1	-4.4	22%	-
vs Similar (6)	16.5	23.0	39.5	-6.5	33%	-
vs Weaker (15)	20.7	20.7	41.5	+0.0	27%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	18.5	39.2	+2.2	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.1	19.4	41.5	+2.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	17.6	36.9	+1.7	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	18.3	40.6	+4.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.6	17.8	43.4	+7.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	17.5	23.5	41.0	-6.0	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	21.2	17.7	39.0	+3.5	69%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	17.7	39.1	+3.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	21.8	18.2	40.1	+3.6	56%	-
Last 30 away (12)	20.8	16.8	37.6	+3.9	58%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	19.0	41.5	+3.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	20.0	41.0	+1.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	19.4	18.7	38.1	+0.8	44%	-
vs Similar (6)	23.5	19.8	43.3	+3.7	50%	-
vs Weaker (15)	21.7	16.2	37.9	+5.5	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.3	38.2	81.5	+5.2	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.7	39.7	84.4	+4.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.0	36.6	78.6	+5.4	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.6	37.6	84.2	+9.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	49.8	37.4	87.2	+12.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	39.5	44.8	84.2	-5.2	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	43.9	37.2	81.1	+6.8	73%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.2	40.1	81.2	+1.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	41.7	39.8	81.5	+1.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (12)	40.4	40.4	80.8	+0.0	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.3	40.6	84.9	+3.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	42.4	82.8	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	39.8	43.4	83.2	-3.7	33%	-
vs Similar (6)	40.0	42.8	82.8	-2.8	17%	-
vs Weaker (15)	42.5	36.9	79.4	+5.5	60%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Mt Gambier wins

Albury wins

Date	Game	Score
25/06/16	Albury v Mt Gambier	74-100
12/09/15	Albury v Mt Gambier	76-87
15/08/15	Albury v Mt Gambier	91-88 OT

Mt Gambierlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/07/16	H	Melbourne Tigers	106-67
25/06/16	A	Albury	100-74
18/06/16	A	NW Tasmania	98-68
17/06/16	A	Hobart Chargers	83-86
03/06/16	H	NW Tasmania	106-80
29/05/16	A	Bendigo	63-69
28/05/16	A	Melbourne Tigers	73-78
20/05/16	H	Frankston	98-81
15/05/16	A	Southern Sabres	109-77
14/05/16	A	Nunawading	78-84

Alburylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/07/16	H	Kilsyth	95-84
25/06/16	H	Mt Gambier	74-100
18/06/16	H	Frankston	88-92
04/06/16	H	Southern Sabres	82-73
29/05/16	A	Kilsyth	75-93
28/05/16	A	Southern Sabres	95-74
22/05/16	A	Nunawading	103-100
21/05/16	A	Geelong	73-94
14/05/16	H	BA CoE	108-72
07/05/16	H	Geelong	94-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mt Gambier

SEABL 2016

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	65%
Home	LWWWW	86%
Away	LLLWW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	7	10
Win %	65%	86%	50%
Points / game	90.1	93.3	87.9
Allowed / game	77.4	76.7	77.8
Point differential	+12.8	+16.6	+10.1
Avg total	167.5	170.0	165.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	59%	71%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (3)	-	0% (3)
Overtime %	6%	0%	10%

Albury

SEABL 2016

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLW	47%
Home	WWLLW	44%
Away	LLWWL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	9	8
Win %	47%	44%	50%
Points / game	86.9	91.1	82.2
Allowed / game	86.1	85.2	87.0
Point differential	+0.9	+5.9	-4.8
Avg total	173.0	176.3	169.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	29%	33%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (6)	0% (3)	67% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Bendigo	18	15	3	83%	85.8	72.3	+13.5
2	Hobart Chargers	18	14	4	78%	87.0	75.0	+12.0
3	Mt Gambier	17	11	6	65%	90.1	77.4	+12.8
4	Brisbane Spartans	17	10	7	59%	86.2	82.8	+3.4
5	Canberra	16	9	7	56%	80.6	83.0	-2.4
6	Geelong	18	10	8	56%	84.6	81.3	+3.3
7	NW Tasmania	17	9	8	53%	84.4	87.6	-3.2
8	Ballarat	16	8	8	50%	90.7	90.5	+0.2
9	Dandenong	16	8	8	50%	86.2	86.5	-0.2
10	Albury	17	8	9	47%	86.9	86.1	+0.9
11	Nunawading	16	7	9	44%	86.1	83.8	+2.3
12	Southern Sabres	16	7	9	44%	79.6	85.3	-5.7
13	Kilsyth	17	7	10	41%	73.9	80.9	-7.0
14	Frankston	17	5	12	29%	74.7	82.5	-7.8
15	Melbourne Tigers	17	2	15	12%	69.6	84.3	-14.6
16	BA CoE	9	1	8	11%	71.9	89.3	-17.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Mt Gambier	22	23	17	19	81
Albury	17	15	30	18	80

← all games of the day

Mt Gambier vs Albury Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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