Mt Gambier vs Hobart Chargers Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 28 Jul 2017

Tip-off: 10:30

Final 99-89

20-24 25-25 27-20 27-20

Position#1

Record18-2

FormWWWWW

Points / game92.5

Allowed / game78.5

Mt Gambier 🏆

Hobart Chargers

Position#6

Record13-7

FormWLLWW

Points / game94.4

Allowed / game80.3

SEABL

Other2017

Meetings · Mt Gambier v Hobart Chargers

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mt Gambier winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Hobart Chargers winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mt Gambier Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kilsyth

82-66

+16

H26/05

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#10

85-70

+15

H02/06

SEABL

Geelong

95-72

+23

A17/06

SEABL

Dandenong

77-91

-14

A18/06

SEABL

Geelong

104-94

104

+10

H23/06

SEABL

Ballarat

100-75

100

+25

H01/07

SEABL

Nunawading

92-81

+11

H07/07

SEABL

Canberra

#14

113-69

113

+44

A15/07

SEABL

BA CoE

#15

94-63

+31

A16/07

SEABL

Albury

#11

103-82

103

+21

H21/07

SEABL

22-10

15-16

22-29

23-11

27-22

17-12

23-24

18-12

23-14

17-13

31-26

24-19

20-21

19-19

23-28

15-23

41-27

35-21

6-19

22-27

25-27

35-11

13-19

27-18

23-19

24-18

20-21

25-23

32-20

23-12

29-21

29-16

19-19

24-16

27-11

24-17

22-22

25-23

27-20

29-17

170.8Avg total

94.5Scored

76.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (20)	92.5	78.5	170.9	+14.0	90%
Season at home (11)	95.3	78.0	173.3	+17.3	100%
Season away (9)	89.0	79.0	168.0	+10.0	78%
Last 10 (10)	94.5	76.3	170.8	+18.2	90%
Last 5 (5)	100.4	74.0	174.4	+26.4	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (3)	79.0	72.0	151.0	+7.0	67%
vs Weaker (27)	91.6	77.9	169.6	+13.7	89%

This opponent (Hobart Chargers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Hobart Chargers Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Nunawading

82-87

-5

H26/05

SEABL

Ballarat

95-87

H04/06

SEABL

Bendigo

87-89

-2

A16/06

SEABL

Ballarat

76-81

-5

A17/06

SEABL

Albury

#11

113-83

113

+30

H23/06

SEABL

Geelong

93-88

H30/06

SEABL

Dandenong

67-74

-7

A07/07

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#13

81-84

-3

A08/07

SEABL

NW Tasmania

88-65

+23

A15/07

SEABL

Canberra

#14

100-69

100

+31

H21/07

SEABL

20-28

18-21

25-18

19-20

33-17

24-20

15-26

23-24

17-22

30-25

21-17

19-25

20-19

21-25

15-14

20-23

30-24

35-23

21-15

27-21

23-18

22-12

29-31

19-27

10-20

24-20

25-12

8-22

17-21

23-17

22-27

19-19

28-19

20-18

22-8

18-20

23-17

23-12

34-18

20-22

168.9Avg total

88.2Scored

80.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (20)	94.4	80.3	174.7	+14.1	65%
Season at home (11)	101.0	77.1	178.1	+23.9	91%
Season away (9)	86.3	84.2	170.6	+2.1	33%
Last 10 (10)	88.2	80.7	168.9	+7.5	50%
Last 5 (5)	85.8	76.0	161.8	+9.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (3)	75.7	85.0	160.7	-9.3	33%
vs Weaker (27)	92.1	77.7	169.8	+14.4	70%

This opponent (Mt Gambier) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Mt GambierHobart Chargers

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	25.0	19.7	44.7	+5.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	26.6	18.6	45.2	+8.1	82%	-
Last 30 away (13)	22.8	21.2	44.0	+1.7	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.4	20.1	45.5	+5.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	21.4	45.6	+2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (3)	22.3	19.3	41.7	+3.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (27)	25.3	19.7	45.0	+5.6	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	18.6	40.5	+3.2	70%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	23.6	17.2	40.8	+6.5	82%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.5	20.5	40.0	-1.1	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	20.5	42.6	+1.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	19.0	39.2	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (3)	16.3	18.7	35.0	-2.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (27)	22.4	18.6	41.1	+3.8	70%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	17.8	39.7	+4.1	70%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	23.4	17.7	41.1	+5.6	76%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.0	18.0	38.0	+2.0	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.4	16.1	39.5	+7.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.2	16.0	42.2	+10.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (3)	18.7	15.0	33.7	+3.7	67%	-
vs Weaker (27)	22.3	18.1	40.4	+4.1	70%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.8	20.3	43.1	+2.5	67%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.9	18.7	40.6	+3.2	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	23.9	22.3	46.2	+1.6	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.0	19.3	43.3	+4.7	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	15.8	38.2	+6.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (3)	17.3	20.0	37.3	-2.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (27)	23.4	20.3	43.7	+3.1	70%	-

Mt GambierLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kilsyth

37-26

+11

H26/05

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#10

44-34

+10

H02/06

SEABL

Geelong

40-27

+13

A17/06

SEABL

Dandenong

39-40

-1

A18/06

SEABL

Geelong

76-48

+28

H23/06

SEABL

Ballarat

60-38

+22

H01/07

SEABL

Nunawading

47-37

+10

H07/07

SEABL

Canberra

#14

55-32

+23

A15/07

SEABL

BA CoE

#15

43-35

A16/07

SEABL

Albury

#11

47-45

H21/07

SEABL

85.0Avg total

48.8Scored

36.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.9	37.5	84.4	+9.4	87%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	50.0	36.3	86.3	+13.7	100%	-
Last 30 away (13)	42.8	39.2	82.0	+3.7	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	48.8	36.2	85.0	+12.6	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	50.4	37.4	87.8	+13.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (3)	41.0	34.3	75.3	+6.7	67%	-
vs Weaker (27)	47.6	37.9	85.4	+9.7	89%	-

This opponent (Hobart Chargers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Hobart ChargersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Nunawading

38-49

-11

H26/05

SEABL

Ballarat

57-37

+20

H04/06

SEABL

Bendigo

47-47

A16/06

SEABL

Ballarat

41-44

-3

A17/06

SEABL

Albury

#11

65-47

+18

H23/06

SEABL

Geelong

45-30

+15

H30/06

SEABL

Dandenong

34-40

-6

A07/07

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#13

40-38

A08/07

SEABL

NW Tasmania

48-37

+11

A15/07

SEABL

Canberra

#14

46-29

+17

H21/07

SEABL

85.9Avg total

46.1Scored

39.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.6	38.9	83.5	+5.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	45.6	35.9	81.5	+9.7	76%	-
Last 30 away (13)	43.4	42.8	86.2	+0.5	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.1	39.8	85.9	+6.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.6	34.8	77.4	+7.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (3)	33.7	38.7	72.3	-5.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (27)	45.9	38.9	84.8	+6.9	67%	-

This opponent (Mt Gambier) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	20.8	42.8	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.8	21.1	41.9	-0.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	23.5	20.4	43.9	+3.2	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	21.8	43.9	+0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	18.4	41.6	+4.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (3)	18.7	16.7	35.3	+2.0	67%	-
vs Weaker (27)	22.4	21.2	43.6	+1.1	59%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.2	18.5	41.6	+4.7	77%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	24.6	19.1	43.8	+5.5	82%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.2	17.6	38.8	+3.6	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.9	18.6	41.5	+4.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.4	19.2	45.6	+7.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (3)	21.0	20.7	41.7	+0.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (27)	23.4	18.2	41.6	+5.2	81%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	19.0	40.5	+2.4	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.8	19.1	41.9	+3.7	76%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.7	18.9	38.6	+0.8	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.6	18.3	41.9	+5.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.8	18.2	45.0	+8.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (3)	19.3	21.0	40.3	-1.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (27)	21.7	18.8	40.5	+2.9	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	19.9	41.8	+2.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	24.4	19.5	43.9	+4.9	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.7	20.4	39.1	-1.7	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	22.3	41.5	-3.1	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	22.0	38.8	-5.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (3)	21.0	25.7	46.7	-4.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (27)	22.0	19.2	41.3	+2.8	59%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.5	39.8	83.3	+3.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	43.6	40.2	83.8	+3.5	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	43.2	39.3	82.5	+3.9	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.7	40.1	85.8	+5.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	50.0	36.6	86.6	+13.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (3)	38.0	37.7	75.7	+0.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (27)	44.1	40.0	84.1	+4.0	63%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.1	38.3	83.4	+6.8	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	49.1	38.6	87.6	+10.5	82%	-
Last 30 away (13)	39.9	38.0	77.9	+1.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.1	40.9	83.0	+1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.2	41.2	84.4	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (3)	42.0	46.3	88.3	-4.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (27)	45.4	37.4	82.9	+8.0	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Mt Gambier wins

Hobart Chargers wins

Date	Game	Score
02/09/16	Mt Gambier v Hobart Chargers	97-72
19/08/16	Hobart Chargers v Mt Gambier	65-79
17/06/16	Hobart Chargers v Mt Gambier	86-83
15/04/16	Mt Gambier v Hobart Chargers	84-94
24/07/15	Hobart Chargers v Mt Gambier	51-86
24/04/15	Mt Gambier v Hobart Chargers	77-60

Mt Gambierlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/07/17	H	Albury	103-82
16/07/17	A	BA CoE	94-63
15/07/17	A	Canberra	113-69
07/07/17	H	Nunawading	92-81
01/07/17	H	Ballarat	100-75
23/06/17	H	Geelong	104-94
18/06/17	A	Dandenong	77-91
17/06/17	A	Geelong	95-72
02/06/17	H	Southern Sabres	85-70
26/05/17	H	Kilsyth	82-66

Hobart Chargerslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/07/17	H	Canberra	100-69
15/07/17	A	NW Tasmania	88-65
08/07/17	A	Melbourne Tigers	81-84
07/07/17	A	Dandenong	67-74
30/06/17	H	Geelong	93-88
23/06/17	H	Albury	113-83
17/06/17	A	Ballarat	76-81
16/06/17	A	Bendigo	87-89
04/06/17	H	Ballarat	95-87
26/05/17	H	Nunawading	82-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mt Gambier

SEABL 2017

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	90%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	LWLWW	78%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	20	11	9
Win %	90%	100%	78%
Points / game	92.5	95.3	89.0
Allowed / game	78.5	78.0	79.0
Point differential	+14.0	+17.3	+10.0
Avg total	170.9	173.3	168.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	70%	91%	44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	-	100% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Hobart Chargers

SEABL 2017

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWW	65%
Home	LWWWW	91%
Away	LLLLW	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	20	11	9
Win %	65%	91%	33%
Points / game	94.4	101.0	86.3
Allowed / game	80.3	77.1	84.2
Point differential	+14.1	+23.9	+2.1
Avg total	174.7	178.1	170.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	55%	73%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	17% (6)	50% (2)	0% (4)
Overtime %	5%	0%	11%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Mt Gambier	20	18	2	90%	92.5	78.5	+14.0
2	Nunawading	22	15	7	68%	89.0	83.2	+5.8
3	Dandenong	21	14	7	67%	82.3	79.3	+3.0
4	Geelong	23	15	8	65%	87.3	81.3	+5.9
5	Hobart Chargers	20	13	7	65%	94.4	80.3	+14.1
6	Ballarat	21	13	8	62%	88.2	84.7	+3.5
7	NW Tasmania	21	11	10	52%	81.3	82.9	-1.5
8	Bendigo	22	11	11	50%	87.7	86.2	+1.5
9	Southern Sabres	22	10	12	45%	82.8	83.5	-0.7
10	Kilsyth	22	10	12	45%	78.8	80.2	-1.4
11	Albury	22	9	13	41%	91.3	93.6	-2.3
12	Frankston	22	7	15	32%	80.9	87.7	-6.9
13	Melbourne Tigers	21	6	15	29%	75.9	88.5	-12.6
14	Canberra	21	3	18	14%	79.5	91.8	-12.3
15	BA CoE	14	2	12	14%	75.9	89.7	-13.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Mt Gambier	20	25	27	27	99
Hobart Chargers	24	25	20	20	89

← all games of the day

Mt Gambier vs Hobart Chargers Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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