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Mt. Gambier W vs Geelong W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 18 May 2025
Tip-off: 02:30
Final 56-83
9-28 21-13 17-19 9-23
Position#14
Record3-6
FormLLWLW
Points / game68.6
Allowed / game80.1
vs
Position#1
Record9-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game91.4
Allowed / game67.0
AustraliaNBL1 South Women
Women2025
Meetings · Mt. Gambier W v Geelong W
18 May 2025
MT. 56
GEEL83
31 May 2024
MT. 60
GEEL76
21 Jul 2023
MT. 76
GEEL86
23 Jun 2023
MT. 94
GEEL59
20 May 2022
MT. 82
GEEL79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mt. Gambier W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Geelong W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mt. Gambier WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Waverley W
#4
L
73-92
73
92
-19
H03/08
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#1
L
72-112
72
112
-40
A29/03
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#4
L
70-100
70
100
-30
A30/03
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#11
L
60-76
60
76
-16
H04/04
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#9
W
71-55
71
55
+16
H11/04
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#19
L
64-76
64
76
-12
H12/04
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#3
L
47-73
47
73
-26
H25/04
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#10
W
78-76
78
76
+2
A03/05
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#7
L
76-99
76
99
-23
A04/05
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#11
W
79-54
79
54
+25
A10/05
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-27
14-19
18-28
18-18
15-27
18-21
15-31
24-33
23-28
17-29
13-24
17-19
20-13
4-17
23-28
13-18
27-10
14-19
17-9
13-17
8-32
24-16
13-16
19-12
13-23
13-17
10-23
11-10
16-23
20-22
23-13
19-18
13-27
19-25
24-24
20-23
23-18
12-12
23-11
21-13
150.3Avg total
69.0Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)68.680.1148.7-11.633%
Season at home (4)60.570.0130.5-9.525%
Season away (5)75.088.2163.2-13.240%
Last 10 (10)69.081.3150.3-12.330%
Last 5 (5)68.875.6144.4-6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)72.275.9148.1-3.846%
vs Similar (3)74.787.0161.7-12.333%
vs Weaker (14)76.170.9146.9+5.257%
This opponent (Geelong W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Geelong WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diamond Valley W
#12
L
84-95
84
95
-11
A13/07
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#14
W
112-72
112
72
+40
H29/03
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#13
W
94-61
94
61
+33
H05/04
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#3
W
77-56
77
56
+21
A11/04
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#18
W
79-61
79
61
+18
H12/04
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#17
W
85-60
85
60
+25
A25/04
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#16
W
91-62
91
62
+29
A26/04
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#9
W
101-94 OT
101
94
+7
A03/05
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#5
W
95-66
95
66
+29
H10/05
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#2
W
89-71
89
71
+18
A16/05
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-33
23-19
23-23
21-20
27-15
21-18
31-15
33-24
27-14
17-27
26-14
24-6
21-9
31-15
16-15
9-17
13-18
25-14
17-14
24-15
24-17
23-16
24-10
14-17
25-17
23-15
24-9
19-21
20-22
19-22
21-20
26-22
27-16
19-12
20-21
29-17
20-18
27-16
28-18
14-19
160.5Avg total
90.7Scored
69.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)91.467.0158.4+24.4100%
Season at home (4)95.065.0160.0+30.0100%
Season away (5)88.668.6157.2+20.0100%
Last 10 (10)90.769.8160.5+20.990%
Last 5 (5)92.270.6162.8+21.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)80.688.6169.1-8.029%
vs Similar (7)80.981.0161.9-0.143%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)89.669.9159.5+19.894%
This opponent (Mt. Gambier W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -4.7-4.7Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q2: +5.4+5.4Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: +7.1+7.1Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +3.5+3.5
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -4.7-4.7Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q2: +5.4+5.4Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: +7.1+7.1Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +3.5+3.5
Mt. Gambier WGeelong W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mt. Gambier WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Waverley W
#4
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H03/08
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#1
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A29/03
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#4
L
40-57
40
57
-17
A30/03
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#11
L
24-30
24
30
-6
H04/04
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#9
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H11/04
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#19
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H12/04
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#3
L
26-40
26
40
-14
H25/04
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#10
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A03/05
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#7
L
32-52
32
52
-20
A04/05
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#11
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A10/05
NBL1 South Women
76.1Avg total
33.6Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.138.876.9-0.753%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.235.371.5+0.960%-
Last 30 away (15)40.042.282.2-2.247%-
Last 10 (10)33.642.576.1-8.920%-
Last 5 (5)32.243.075.2-10.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)36.138.174.2-2.046%-
vs Similar (3)38.745.384.0-6.733%-
vs Weaker (14)39.938.077.9+1.964%-
This opponent (Geelong W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Geelong WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diamond Valley W
#12
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A13/07
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#14
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H29/03
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#13
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H05/04
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#3
W
52-24
52
24
+28
A11/04
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#18
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H12/04
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#17
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A25/04
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#16
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A26/04
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#9
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A03/05
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#5
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H10/05
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#2
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A16/05
NBL1 South Women
80.2Avg total
44.9Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.539.882.3+2.750%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.540.684.1+2.953%-
Last 30 away (15)41.539.080.5+2.547%-
Last 10 (10)44.935.380.2+9.680%-
Last 5 (5)45.434.279.6+11.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)40.648.088.6-7.414%-
vs Similar (7)39.636.175.7+3.443%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)44.737.882.5+6.969%-
This opponent (Mt. Gambier W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Mt. Gambier W wins
6
Geelong W wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/05/25ACasey Cavaliers W79-54
04/05/25AFrankston W76-99
03/05/25ARingwood W78-76
25/04/25HWaverley W47-73
12/04/25HEltham W64-76
11/04/25HSandringham W71-55
04/04/25HCasey Cavaliers W60-76
30/03/25AKeilor Thunder W70-100
29/03/25AGeelong W72-112
03/08/24HWaverley W73-92
Geelong Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/05/25AKnox W89-71
10/05/25HDandenong Rangers W95-66
03/05/25ASandringham W101-94 OT
26/04/25AHobart Chargers W91-62
25/04/25ALaunceston W85-60
12/04/25HBendigo Braves W79-61
11/04/25AWaverley W77-56
05/04/25HBallarat W94-61
29/03/25HMt. Gambier W112-72
13/07/24ADiamond Valley W84-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mt. Gambier W
NBL1 South Women 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW33%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayLLWLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %33%25%40%
Points / game68.660.575.0
Allowed / game80.170.088.2
Point differential-11.6-9.5-13.2
Avg total148.7130.5163.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%25%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Geelong W
NBL1 South Women 2025
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game91.495.088.6
Allowed / game67.065.068.6
Point differential+24.4+30.0+20.0
Avg total158.4160.0157.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+89%100%80%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %11%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Geelong W990100%91.467.0+24.4
2 Keilor Thunder W108280%76.969.8+7.1
3 Dandenong Rangers W107370%85.171.0+14.1
4 Knox W107370%83.271.3+11.9
5 Waverley W107370%76.168.7+7.4
6 Diamond Valley W107370%86.280.7+5.5
7 Melbourne Tigers W96367%80.676.0+4.6
8 Sandringham W106460%80.776.9+3.8
9 Frankston W95456%72.268.6+3.7
10 Ringwood W105550%77.172.9+4.2
11 Nunawading W105550%69.273.9-4.7
12 Casey Cavaliers W104640%69.276.9-7.7
13 Hobart Chargers W114736%70.776.5-5.8
14 Mt. Gambier W93633%68.680.1-11.6
15 Ballarat W103730%72.083.4-11.4
16 Kilsyth W103730%67.780.6-12.9
17 Eltham W102820%77.083.5-6.5
18 Bendigo Braves W102820%72.982.8-9.9
19 Launceston W111109%68.881.1-12.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mt. Gambier W92117956
Geelong W2813192383
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