PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Murcia vs Basquet Girona Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 10 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 17:30
Scheduled
Position#14
Record2-3
FormLWLWL
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game93.0
vs
Position#10
Record3-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game93.0
Allowed / game97.4
SpainACBRound 28· Palacio de Deportes de Murcia
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Murcia v Basquet Girona
10 Apr 2027
MUR v GIR
upcoming
09 May 2026
MUR86
GIR75
15 Mar 2025
MUR64
GIR76
09 Mar 2024
MUR81
GIR73
02 Apr 2023
MUR102
GIR79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murcia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Basquet Girona win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#5
W
90-87
90
87
+3
A04/06
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
76-100
76
100
-24
H06/06
ACB
Basquet Girona
#10
L
77-84
77
84
-7
A27/09
ACB
Barcelona
#7
W
100-94
100
94
+6
H04/10
ACB
Varese
#36
W
85-58
85
58
+27
H07/10
Champions League
Tenerife
#2
L
77-90
77
90
-13
H11/10
ACB
Bamberg
#53
W
86-67
86
67
+19
A14/10
Champions League
Valencia
#4
L
93-116
93
116
-23
A18/10
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#17
W
88-81
88
81
+7
H24/10
ACB
Peristeri
#5
L
72-80
72
80
-8
H27/10
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
21-22
24-26
23-21
17-27
19-25
25-27
15-21
16-22
17-14
19-16
25-32
18-18
28-28
24-27
30-21
16-8
23-14
27-20
19-16
13-16
20-28
24-22
20-24
15-17
19-15
32-23
20-12
14-25
22-33
24-28
33-30
18-17
19-23
26-18
25-23
15-16
17-17
18-27
22-20
170.1Avg total
84.4Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)87.093.0180.0-6.040%
Season at home (3)88.388.3176.7+0.067%
Season away (2)85.0100.0185.0-15.00%
Last 10 (10)84.485.7170.1-1.350%
Last 5 (5)83.286.8170.0-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)88.5102.5191.0-14.025%
vs Similar ◀ (7)86.192.4178.6-6.329%
vs Weaker (19)90.079.5169.5+10.589%
This opponent (Basquet Girona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basquet GironaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
82-77
82
77
+5
H29/05
ACB
Murcia
#14
W
84-77
84
77
+7
H27/09
ACB
Baskonia
#3
L
78-118
78
118
-40
A04/10
ACB
Dinamo Bucharest
#17
W
87-75
87
75
+12
H06/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Breogan
#6
L
92-115
92
115
-23
A10/10
ACB
Oostende
#28
W
91-76
91
76
+15
A13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Leyma Coruna
#17
W
110-90
110
90
+20
H18/10
ACB
Zielona Gora
#33
W
109-68
109
68
+41
H20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Joventut Badalona
#13
W
101-87
101
87
+14
H25/10
ACB
Szolnoki Olaj
#31
L
79-81
79
81
-2
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
23-24
26-10
12-25
22-16
14-17
16-19
32-25
26-20
16-34
19-32
17-32
23-19
24-25
18-19
22-12
22-30
19-31
23-23
28-31
25-15
17-19
26-18
23-24
28-23
25-25
21-28
36-14
30-16
27-13
26-20
26-19
17-27
28-14
27-22
29-24
26-17
22-17
19-24
12-23
177.7Avg total
91.3Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)93.097.4190.4-4.460%
Season at home (3)98.384.7183.0+13.7100%
Season away (2)85.0116.5201.5-31.50%
Last 10 (10)91.386.4177.7+4.970%
Last 5 (5)98.080.4178.4+17.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)84.992.7177.6-7.827%
vs Similar ◀ (13)85.185.8170.8-0.746%
vs Weaker (6)94.579.0173.5+15.583%
This opponent (Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +0.8+0.8
MurciaBasquet Girona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#5
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A04/06
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
36-52
36
52
-16
H06/06
ACB
Basquet Girona
#10
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A27/09
ACB
Barcelona
#7
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H04/10
ACB
Varese
#36
W
39-22
39
22
+17
H07/10
Champions League
Tenerife
#2
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H11/10
ACB
Bamberg
#53
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A14/10
Champions League
Valencia
#4
L
36-58
36
58
-22
A18/10
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#17
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H24/10
ACB
Peristeri
#5
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H27/10
Champions League
77.2Avg total
36.9Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.741.082.6+0.757%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.840.482.2+1.559%-
Last 30 away (13)41.541.883.2-0.354%-
Last 10 (10)36.940.377.2-3.430%-
Last 5 (5)34.441.475.8-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)38.550.889.2-12.20%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)40.442.482.9-2.043%-
vs Weaker (19)42.838.481.2+4.474%-
This opponent (Basquet Girona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basquet GironaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H29/05
ACB
Murcia
#14
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H27/09
ACB
Baskonia
#3
L
42-54
42
54
-12
A04/10
ACB
Dinamo Bucharest
#17
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H06/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Breogan
#6
L
41-61
41
61
-20
A10/10
ACB
Oostende
#28
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Leyma Coruna
#17
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H18/10
ACB
Zielona Gora
#33
W
57-29
57
29
+28
H20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Joventut Badalona
#13
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H25/10
ACB
Szolnoki Olaj
#31
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
87.5Avg total
45.5Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.841.584.3+1.353%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.038.482.4+5.673%-
Last 30 away (15)41.644.686.2-3.033%-
Last 10 (10)45.542.087.5+3.580%-
Last 5 (5)49.037.286.2+11.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)40.544.685.1-4.236%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)42.340.282.5+2.254%-
vs Weaker (6)48.238.786.8+9.583%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 84.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.717.5
50.4%
55.6%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.210.7
32.2%
36.2%32.1
🏀 Free throws22.417.3
77.2%
75.7%17.3
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Basquet Gironatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basquet Girona: 89.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.220.7
55.6%
55.6%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.511.9
37.8%
36.2%35.7
🏀 Free throws18.012.6
70.0%
75.7%12.6
They take 68.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Murcia
LWLWLWWLLW
Basquet Girona
LWWWWLWLWW
#14
League position
#10
-1.5
Net rating
+4.8
94.9
Offensive rating
100.9
96.3
Defensive rating
96.0
49.4%
Effective FG%
56.1%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
55.1%
14.3%
Turnover %
15.9%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.26
32.2%
3-point %
37.8%
53.2%
Assist %
55.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence94.9 · 100.9Defence96.3 · 96.0Shooting49.4% · 56.1%3-point %32.2% · 37.8%Ball care14.3% · 15.9%Free throws0.33 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Murcia   ■ Basquet Girona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Murcia wins
4
Basquet Girona wins
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/26HPeristeri72-80
24/10/26HLeyma Coruna88-81
18/10/26AValencia93-116
14/10/26ABamberg86-67
11/10/26HTenerife77-90
07/10/26HVarese85-58
04/10/26HBarcelona100-94
27/09/26ABasquet Girona77-84
06/06/26HBarcelona76-100
04/06/26ABarcelona90-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/26ASzolnoki Olaj79-81
25/10/26HJoventut Badalona101-87
20/10/26HZielona Gora109-68
18/10/26HLeyma Coruna110-90
13/10/26AOostende91-76
10/10/26ABreogan92-115
06/10/26HDinamo Bucharest87-75
04/10/26ABaskonia78-118
27/09/26HMurcia84-77
29/05/26HJoventut Badalona82-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murcia
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW40%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%67%0%
Points / game87.088.385.0
Allowed / game93.088.3100.0
Point differential-6.0+0.0-15.0
Avg total180.0176.7185.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Basquet Girona
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW60%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%100%0%
Points / game93.098.385.0
Allowed / game97.484.7116.5
Point differential-4.4+13.7-31.5
Avg total190.4183.0201.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid550100%112.889.4+23.4
2 Tenerife54180%87.677.2+10.4
3 Baskonia53260%92.282.8+9.4
4 Valencia53260%96.688.8+7.8
5 Unicaja53260%88.283.0+5.2
6 Breogan53260%103.6100.4+3.2
7 Barcelona53260%98.096.2+1.8
8 Basket Zaragoza53260%89.089.0+0.0
9 Bilbao53260%95.295.6-0.4
10 Basquet Girona53260%93.097.4-4.4
11 Obradoiro CAB53260%88.693.2-4.6
12 San Pablo Burgos52340%89.887.0+2.8
13 Joventut Badalona52340%94.693.6+1.0
14 Murcia52340%87.093.0-6.0
15 MoraBanc Andorra51420%85.693.6-8.0
16 Forca Lleida51420%91.8103.2-11.4
17 Leyma Coruna51420%89.4102.0-12.6
18 Manresa5050%84.6102.2-17.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.