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Murcia vs Trefl Sopot Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 03 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 92-66
22-16 21-20 28-10 21-20
Position#2
Record9-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game72.0
Murcia 🏆
vs
Position#26
Record5-5
FormLWWLL
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game83.8
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 5· Palacio de Deportes de Murcia
European cup2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murcia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Trefl Sopot winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MurciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Valencia
#1
W
92-80
92
80
+12
82avg 77
H21/12
ACB
Granada
#18
W
86-79
86
79
+7
70avg 77
A27/12
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
L
80-91
80
91
-11
62avg 77
H30/12
ACB
Gran Canaria
#15
L
72-77
72
77
-5
61avg 77
A03/01
ACB
Bilbao
#7
L
82-96
82
96
-14
69avg 77
A10/01
ACB
Rostock
#10
W
85-77
85
77
+8
no box
H14/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Basket Zaragoza
#17
W
90-84
90
84
+6
no box
H18/01
ACB
Szombathely
#16
W
80-75
80
75
+5
72avg 77
A21/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Unicaja
#9
L
88-92 OT
88
92
-4
77avg 77
A25/01
ACB
Barcelona
#5
W
84-83
84
83
+1
83avg 77
H01/02
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
22-13
22-21
29-25
18-19
23-24
21-22
24-14
18-22
14-19
23-26
25-24
18-19
26-24
8-16
20-18
17-18
23-23
15-23
27-32
14-18
24-21
23-17
24-21
18-24
27-10
32-20
13-30
21-15
28-19
15-24
16-17
24-20
24-17
21-25
10-17
18-30
24-21
19-17
23-15
167.3Avg total
83.9Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)86.272.0158.2+14.290%
Season at home (5)85.269.0154.2+16.2100%
Season away (5)87.275.0162.2+12.280%
Last 10 (10)83.983.4167.3+0.560%
Last 5 (5)85.482.2167.6+3.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)92.080.0172.0+12.0100%
vs Similar (7)83.382.9166.1+0.471%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)87.877.2165.0+10.673%
This opponent (Trefl Sopot) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Trefl SopotLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSopot
Date
Competition
Torun
#12
L
86-95
86
95
-9
80avg 82
A20/12
Energa Basket Liga
Czarni Slupsk
#14
W
97-61
97
61
+36
101avg 82
H28/12
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#10
L
80-89
80
89
-9
72avg 82
A01/01
Energa Basket Liga
Zielona Gora
#5
L
90-92 OT
90
92
-2
85avg 82
A06/01
Energa Basket Liga
Anwil Wloclawek
#8
W
83-74
83
74
+9
76avg 82
H10/01
Energa Basket Liga
Szombathely
#16
L
79-86
79
86
-7
no box
H14/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Zielona Gora
#5
W
78-75
78
75
+3
no box
H17/01
Energa Basket Liga
Rostock
#10
W
83-74
83
74
+9
77avg 82
H20/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Slask Wroclaw
#3
L
85-96
85
96
-11
80avg 82
A24/01
Energa Basket Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#6
L
64-104
64
104
-40
47avg 82
H31/01
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-26
24-25
20-26
24-18
22-21
27-12
24-9
24-19
23-28
24-28
18-10
15-23
24-19
9-22
31-17
18-24
19-18
10-24
31-21
23-11
16-27
25-18
23-23
15-18
22-22
22-15
15-26
19-12
26-15
16-18
22-20
19-21
24-28
15-25
28-18
18-25
8-25
24-27
18-22
14-30
167.1Avg total
82.5Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)86.383.8170.1+2.550%
Season at home (6)87.075.3162.3+11.767%
Season away (4)85.296.5181.8-11.225%
Last 10 (10)82.584.6167.1-2.140%
Last 5 (5)77.887.0164.8-9.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)79.484.8164.2-5.440%
vs Similar (16)85.184.9170.0+0.250%
vs Weaker (8)93.877.8171.5+16.075%
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -1.2-1.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -1.2-1.2
MurciaTrefl Sopot
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#1
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H21/12
ACB
Granada
#18
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A27/12
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H30/12
ACB
Gran Canaria
#15
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A03/01
ACB
Bilbao
#7
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A10/01
ACB
Rostock
#10
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H14/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Basket Zaragoza
#17
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H18/01
ACB
Szombathely
#16
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A21/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Unicaja
#9
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A25/01
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H01/02
ACB
81.7Avg total
42.0Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.939.482.3+3.560%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.738.579.3+2.253%-
Last 30 away (15)45.140.385.4+4.767%-
Last 10 (10)42.039.781.7+2.350%-
Last 5 (5)44.439.083.4+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)41.034.075.0+7.0100%-
vs Similar (7)42.441.183.6+1.343%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)43.139.182.3+4.064%-
This opponent (Trefl Sopot) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Trefl SopotLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Torun
#12
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A20/12
Energa Basket Liga
Czarni Slupsk
#14
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H28/12
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#10
L
47-56
47
56
-9
A01/01
Energa Basket Liga
Zielona Gora
#5
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A06/01
Energa Basket Liga
Anwil Wloclawek
#8
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H10/01
Energa Basket Liga
Szombathely
#16
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H14/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Zielona Gora
#5
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H17/01
Energa Basket Liga
Rostock
#10
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H20/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Slask Wroclaw
#3
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A24/01
Energa Basket Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#6
L
32-52
32
52
-20
H31/01
Energa Basket Liga
84.1Avg total
39.8Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.941.485.4+2.557%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.637.080.6+6.669%-
Last 30 away (14)44.446.590.9-2.143%-
Last 10 (10)39.844.384.1-4.530%-
Last 5 (5)39.644.083.6-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)42.441.684.0+0.860%-
vs Similar (16)42.443.185.4-0.744%-
vs Weaker (8)47.237.985.1+9.475%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
49%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.518.6
48.3%
52.0%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.69.9
34.6%
34.9%29.7
🏀 Free throws21.716.2
74.7%
73.4%16.2
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Trefl Sopottheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trefl Sopot: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
49%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.020.3
50.7%
52.0%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.59.3
33.8%
34.9%27.9
🏀 Free throws22.715.7
69.2%
73.4%15.7
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Murcia
WLWWWLLLWW
Trefl Sopot
LLWWLWLLWL
#2
League position
#26
+1.3
Net rating
-1.9
104.2
Offensive rating
101.0
102.9
Defensive rating
102.9
49.9%
Effective FG%
50.7%
50.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
14.9%
Turnover %
17.6%
36.3%
Off. rebound %
35.8%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.34
34.6%
3-point %
33.8%
55.1%
Assist %
70.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence104.2 · 101.0Defence102.9 · 102.9Shooting49.9% · 50.7%3-point %34.6% · 33.8%Ball care14.9% · 17.6%Off. rebounds36.3% · 35.8%Free throws0.32 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Murcia   ■ Trefl Sopot
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Murcia wins
0
Trefl Sopot wins
DateGameScore
17/12/25Trefl Sopot v Murcia77-93
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/26HBarcelona84-83
25/01/26AUnicaja88-92 OT
21/01/26ASzombathely80-75
18/01/26HBasket Zaragoza90-84
14/01/26HRostock85-77
10/01/26ABilbao82-96
03/01/26AGran Canaria72-77
30/12/25HReal Madrid80-91
27/12/25AGranada86-79
21/12/25HValencia92-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/26HDziki Warszawa64-104
24/01/26ASlask Wroclaw85-96
20/01/26HRostock83-74
17/01/26HZielona Gora78-75
14/01/26HSzombathely79-86
10/01/26HAnwil Wloclawek83-74
06/01/26AZielona Gora90-92 OT
01/01/26AOstrow Wielkopolski80-89
28/12/25HCzarni Slupsk97-61
20/12/25ATorun86-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murcia
FIBA Europe Cup 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW90%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %90%100%80%
Points / game86.285.287.2
Allowed / game72.069.075.0
Point differential+14.2+16.2+12.2
Avg total158.2154.2162.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%60%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Trefl Sopot
FIBA Europe Cup 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW50%
HomeWWLLW67%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %50%67%25%
Points / game86.387.085.2
Allowed / game83.875.396.5
Point differential+2.5+11.7-11.2
Avg total170.1162.3181.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bilbao1110191%97.566.9+30.5
2 Murcia109190%86.272.0+14.2
3 Petkim Spor108280%85.471.7+13.7
4 Peristeri108280%86.275.1+11.1
5 PAOK108280%85.880.7+5.1
6 Reggiana107370%85.472.5+12.9
7 Rostock107370%86.777.4+9.3
8 KK Bosna128467%78.474.6+3.8
9 Basketball Braunschweig64267%83.781.3+2.3
10 Vechta85362%86.080.2+5.8
11 Basket Zaragoza106460%89.080.0+9.0
12 CSM Oradea106460%80.979.5+1.4
13 Anwil Wloclawek84450%91.484.6+6.8
14 Antwerp Giants63350%84.079.3+4.7
15 Trefl Sopot105550%86.383.8+2.5
16 Cedevita Junior105550%84.283.3+0.9
17 Szombathely105550%81.981.7+0.2
18 Dijon63350%83.583.3+0.2
19 Neftchi IK63350%87.088.7-1.7
20 Cibona84450%81.083.1-2.1
21 AEK Larnaca63350%81.084.7-3.7
22 Bashkimi84450%78.584.1-5.6
23 BC Kalev/Cramo63350%82.589.8-7.3
24 BC Prievidza136746%80.883.2-2.4
25 Sassari104640%83.681.1+2.5
26 Sporting CP104640%83.081.5+1.5
27 Absheron Lions83538%86.287.6-1.4
28 Brno83538%77.585.5-8.0
29 Bakken Bears62433%85.786.5-0.8
30 Lublin62433%79.784.8-5.2
31 Tartu Ulikool62433%82.890.7-7.8
32 FC Porto62433%76.085.8-9.8
33 Keravnos62433%78.090.2-12.2
34 Corona Brasov82625%78.284.4-6.1
35 Anorthosis82625%72.091.1-19.1
36 Pelister61517%80.393.3-13.0
37 Rilski Sportist61517%68.781.7-13.0
38 Valcea61517%71.398.8-27.5
39 Kutaisi61517%63.798.3-34.7
40 Parnu2020%72.082.0-10.0
41 Trepca6060%75.786.5-10.8
42 Balkan2020%71.082.5-11.5
43 Mechelen2020%69.582.0-12.5
44 BC Dnipro2020%66.589.0-22.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 44 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Murcia2221282192
Trefl Sopot1620102066
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