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Murcia vs Basket Zaragoza Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 18 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 90-84
18-24 27-10 32-20 13-30
Position#4
Record10-5
FormWLLLW
Points / game87.6
Allowed / game80.9
Murcia 🏆
Spain
vs
Basket Zaragoza
Spain
Position#17
Record6-9
FormLWWLW
Points / game87.3
Allowed / game91.2
SpainACBRound 16
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Murcia v Basket Zaragoza
21 Nov 2026
MUR v ZAR
upcoming
18 Jan 2026
MUR90
ZAR84
19 Oct 2024
MUR88
ZAR74
01 May 2024
MUR82
ZAR77
16 Apr 2023
MUR79
ZAR74
14 May 2022
MUR72
ZAR77
23 May 2021
MUR91
ZAR68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murcia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Basket Zaragoza winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
110-88
110
88
+22
111avg 78
A06/12
ACB
Szombathely
#16
W
97-67
97
67
+30
92avg 78
H10/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
80-77
80
77
+3
70avg 78
H14/12
ACB
Trefl Sopot
#26
W
93-77
93
77
+16
91avg 78
A17/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Valencia
#1
W
92-80
92
80
+12
82avg 78
H21/12
ACB
Granada
#18
W
86-79
86
79
+7
70avg 78
A27/12
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
L
80-91
80
91
-11
62avg 78
H30/12
ACB
Gran Canaria
#15
L
72-77
72
77
-5
61avg 78
A03/01
ACB
Bilbao
#7
L
82-96
82
96
-14
69avg 78
A10/01
ACB
Rostock
#10
W
85-77
85
77
+8
no box
H14/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-20
30-26
28-27
24-15
19-20
25-18
29-16
24-13
19-25
13-13
25-16
23-23
30-18
21-26
16-21
26-12
19-21
22-13
22-21
29-25
18-19
23-24
21-22
24-14
18-22
14-19
23-26
25-24
18-19
26-24
8-16
20-18
17-18
23-23
15-23
27-32
14-18
24-21
23-17
24-21
168.6Avg total
87.7Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)87.680.9168.5+6.767%
Season at home (7)86.179.6165.7+6.671%
Season away (8)88.982.0170.9+6.962%
Last 10 (10)87.780.9168.6+6.870%
Last 5 (5)81.084.0165.0-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)92.080.0172.0+12.0100%
vs Similar (8)83.583.8167.2-0.262%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)89.077.0166.0+11.975%
This opponent (Basket Zaragoza) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket ZaragozaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZaragoza
Date
Competition
Granada
#18
W
92-83
92
83
+9
91avg 80
A06/12
ACB
Peristeri
#3
L
80-92
80
92
-12
72avg 80
H10/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Petkim Spor
#11
L
75-98
75
98
-23
66avg 80
A17/12
FIBA Europe Cup
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
107-89
107
89
+18
102avg 80
H21/12
ACB
Manresa
#10
L
83-95
83
95
-12
78avg 80
H27/12
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
80-100
80
100
-20
61avg 80
A02/01
ACB
Forca Lleida
#14
W
87-77
87
77
+10
78avg 80
A04/01
ACB
Gran Canaria
#15
W
95-84
95
84
+11
93avg 80
H10/01
ACB
Valencia
#1
L
73-115
73
115
-42
65avg 80
A12/01
ACB
Sassari
#23
W
94-75
94
75
+19
no box
A14/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-17
27-15
21-27
23-24
22-21
21-17
18-21
19-33
12-23
23-20
23-14
17-41
18-21
27-30
27-18
35-20
16-17
12-17
28-28
27-33
22-21
11-27
22-25
25-27
22-13
22-21
13-20
30-23
18-19
25-22
27-16
25-27
25-32
17-18
19-34
12-31
21-19
21-15
23-18
29-23
177.4Avg total
86.6Scored
90.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)87.391.2178.5-3.940%
Season at home (8)89.288.6177.9+0.638%
Season away (7)85.094.1179.1-9.143%
Last 10 (10)86.690.8177.4-4.250%
Last 5 (5)85.890.2176.0-4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)83.295.5178.7-12.310%
vs Similar (11)90.590.0180.5+0.555%
vs Weaker (9)93.077.2170.2+15.878%
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +4.9+4.9Q4: -4.0-4.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +4.9+4.9Q4: -4.0-4.0
MurciaBasket Zaragoza
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
58-46
58
46
+12
A06/12
ACB
Szombathely
#16
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H10/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H14/12
ACB
Trefl Sopot
#26
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A17/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Valencia
#1
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H21/12
ACB
Granada
#18
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A27/12
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H30/12
ACB
Gran Canaria
#15
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A03/01
ACB
Bilbao
#7
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A10/01
ACB
Rostock
#10
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H14/01
FIBA Europe Cup
82.8Avg total
42.1Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.639.582.1+3.160%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.838.980.7+2.960%-
Last 30 away (15)43.440.183.5+3.360%-
Last 10 (10)42.140.782.8+1.450%-
Last 5 (5)39.041.480.4-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)41.034.075.0+7.0100%-
vs Similar (8)40.938.179.0+2.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)43.140.283.3+2.960%-
This opponent (Basket Zaragoza) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket ZaragozaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Granada
#18
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A06/12
ACB
Peristeri
#3
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H10/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Petkim Spor
#11
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A17/12
FIBA Europe Cup
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H21/12
ACB
Manresa
#10
L
28-34
28
34
-6
H27/12
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A02/01
ACB
Forca Lleida
#14
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A04/01
ACB
Gran Canaria
#15
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H10/01
ACB
Valencia
#1
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A12/01
ACB
Sassari
#23
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A14/01
FIBA Europe Cup
80.8Avg total
40.3Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.942.685.5+0.440%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.342.784.9-0.440%-
Last 30 away (15)43.642.586.1+1.140%-
Last 10 (10)40.340.580.8-0.250%-
Last 5 (5)40.841.482.2-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)40.647.287.8-6.610%-
vs Similar (11)42.541.684.2+0.945%-
vs Weaker (9)46.038.684.6+7.467%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 88.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.019.7
50.5%
50.0%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.510.9
36.9%
42.2%32.7
🏀 Free throws23.516.8
71.5%
74.7%16.8
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Basket Zaragozatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Zaragoza: 84.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.523.1
53.1%
50.0%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.46.9
30.8%
42.2%20.7
🏀 Free throws23.117.5
75.8%
74.7%17.5
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Murcia
WLLLWWWWWW
Basket Zaragoza
WLWWLLWLLW
#4
League position
#17
+12.1
Net rating
-8.7
114.3
Offensive rating
103.5
102.3
Defensive rating
112.2
52.6%
Effective FG%
50.8%
47.6%
Opp. effective FG%
56.1%
14.7%
Turnover %
18.7%
36.4%
Off. rebound %
32.1%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.35
36.9%
3-point %
30.8%
56.2%
Assist %
55.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence114.3 · 103.5Defence102.3 · 112.2Shooting52.6% · 50.8%3-point %36.9% · 30.8%Ball care14.7% · 18.7%Off. rebounds36.4% · 32.1%Free throws0.34 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Murcia   ■ Basket Zaragoza
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Murcia wins
4
Basket Zaragoza wins
DateGameScore
01/02/25Basket Zaragoza v Murcia79-88
19/10/24Murcia v Basket Zaragoza88-74
01/05/24Murcia v Basket Zaragoza82-77
02/12/23Basket Zaragoza v Murcia82-76
16/04/23Murcia v Basket Zaragoza79-74
01/10/22Basket Zaragoza v Murcia64-81
14/05/22Murcia v Basket Zaragoza72-77
26/01/22Basket Zaragoza v Murcia91-78
23/05/21Murcia v Basket Zaragoza91-68
18/10/20Basket Zaragoza v Murcia98-86
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/26HRostock85-77
10/01/26ABilbao82-96
03/01/26AGran Canaria72-77
30/12/25HReal Madrid80-91
27/12/25AGranada86-79
21/12/25HValencia92-80
17/12/25ATrefl Sopot93-77
14/12/25HJoventut Badalona80-77
10/12/25HSzombathely97-67
06/12/25ASan Pablo Burgos110-88
Basket Zaragozalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/26ASassari94-75
12/01/26AValencia73-115
10/01/26HGran Canaria95-84
04/01/26AForca Lleida87-77
02/01/26ABarcelona80-100
27/12/25HManresa83-95
21/12/25HMoraBanc Andorra107-89
17/12/25APetkim Spor75-98
10/12/25HPeristeri80-92
06/12/25AGranada92-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murcia
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL67%
HomeWLWWL71%
AwayWWWLL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %67%71%62%
Points / game87.686.188.9
Allowed / game80.979.682.0
Point differential+6.7+6.6+6.9
Avg total168.5165.7170.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%43%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Basket Zaragoza
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL40%
HomeLLWLW38%
AwayLWLWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %40%38%43%
Points / game87.389.285.0
Allowed / game91.288.694.1
Point differential-3.9+0.6-9.1
Avg total178.5177.9179.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%38%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid1513287%91.382.5+8.7
2 Valencia1512380%95.980.9+15.0
3 Barcelona1612475%88.479.8+8.6
4 Murcia1510567%87.680.9+6.7
5 Baskonia1510567%94.789.5+5.2
6 Joventut Badalona1610662%84.581.2+3.3
7 Unicaja1610662%87.183.8+3.3
8 Tenerife169756%86.983.9+2.9
9 Bilbao168850%84.485.8-1.4
10 Breogan167944%91.293.4-2.1
11 Forca Lleida167944%82.686.7-4.1
12 Basquet Girona167944%86.691.4-4.8
13 Gran Canaria156940%77.981.3-3.4
14 Basket Zaragoza156940%87.391.2-3.9
15 Manresa1661038%84.692.6-8.0
16 MoraBanc Andorra1641225%84.292.8-8.5
17 San Pablo Burgos1631319%89.194.6-5.6
18 Granada161156%80.791.0-10.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Murcia1827321390
Basket Zaragoza2410203084
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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