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Murcia vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 92-80
19-21 22-13 22-21 29-25
Position#4
Record8-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game90.2
Allowed / game79.0
Murcia 🏆
Spain
vs
Valencia
Spain
Position#1
Record8-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game96.8
Allowed / game82.9
SpainACBRound 11· Palacio de Deportes de Murcia
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Murcia v Valencia
21 May 2027
MUR v VAL
upcoming
21 Dec 2025
MUR92
VAL80
15 Dec 2024
MUR88
VAL96
22 May 2024
MUR72
VAL83
10 Dec 2023
MUR77
VAL85
19 Apr 2023
MUR90
VAL82
27 Mar 2022
MUR71
VAL72
30 Apr 2021
MUR66
VAL80
07 Oct 2018
MUR68
VAL81
22 Oct 2017
MUR91
VAL93
08 Jan 2017
MUR75
VAL78
01 May 2016
MUR80
VAL62
05 Oct 2014
MUR85
VAL76
08 Mar 2014
MUR76
VAL85
07 Oct 2012
MUR77
VAL78
20 Nov 2011
MUR83
VAL86
04 Apr 2010
MUR92
VAL96
07 Dec 2008
MUR68
VAL75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murcia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Rilski Sportist
#37
W
89-61
89
61
+28
86avg 78
A04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Manresa
#10
W
84-65
84
65
+19
66avg 78
H08/11
ACB
KK Bosna
#4
W
87-63
87
63
+24
90avg 78
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Breogan
#11
L
83-96
83
96
-13
66avg 78
H16/11
ACB
Lublin
#30
W
80-75
80
75
+5
75avg 78
H19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Forca Lleida
#14
W
107-71
107
71
+36
101avg 78
A22/11
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
110-88
110
88
+22
111avg 78
A06/12
ACB
Szombathely
#16
W
97-67
97
67
+30
92avg 78
H10/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
80-77
80
77
+3
70avg 78
H14/12
ACB
Trefl Sopot
#26
W
93-77
93
77
+16
91avg 78
A17/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
22-23
19-9
25-9
20-18
24-14
17-21
23-12
21-16
22-17
29-10
15-20
15-25
23-23
19-22
26-26
22-19
17-27
27-13
14-16
31-18
23-12
25-18
28-23
28-20
30-26
28-27
24-15
19-20
25-18
29-16
24-13
19-25
13-13
25-16
23-23
30-18
21-26
16-21
26-12
165.0Avg total
91.0Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)90.279.0169.2+11.280%
Season at home (5)86.277.2163.4+9.080%
Season away (5)94.280.8175.0+13.480%
Last 10 (10)91.074.0165.0+17.090%
Last 5 (5)97.476.0173.4+21.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)86.071.0157.0+15.0100%
vs Similar (11)84.982.2167.1+2.773%
vs Weaker (17)90.175.9166.0+14.176%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Paris
#16
L
86-90
86
90
-4
80avg 89
A13/11
Euroleague
Tenerife
#8
W
96-79
96
79
+17
95avg 89
H16/11
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
76-73
76
73
+3
68avg 89
H21/11
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#12
W
98-72
98
72
+26
96avg 89
H23/11
ACB
Bayern
#14
W
90-64
90
64
+26
83avg 89
H25/11
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#7
W
89-79
89
79
+10
85avg 89
A05/12
Euroleague
Baskonia
#3
W
91-89
91
89
+2
78avg 89
A07/12
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#19
W
94-82
94
82
+12
92avg 89
H11/12
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
W
99-92
99
92
+7
99avg 89
A16/12
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
L
82-85
82
85
-3
76avg 89
A18/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-15
35-22
22-30
15-23
25-28
17-15
24-15
30-21
26-26
23-13
11-21
16-13
26-16
21-15
28-21
23-20
19-21
22-16
27-12
22-15
19-22
19-22
27-17
24-18
20-17
19-27
23-16
29-29
22-20
23-19
26-20
23-23
25-27
24-20
18-29
32-16
21-19
20-28
20-23
21-15
170.6Avg total
90.1Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)96.882.9179.7+13.989%
Season at home (5)97.880.8178.6+17.0100%
Season away (4)95.585.5181.0+10.075%
Last 10 (10)90.180.5170.6+9.680%
Last 5 (5)91.085.4176.4+5.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)87.487.0174.4+0.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)94.584.2178.8+10.382%
This opponent (Murcia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +6.1+6.1Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +5.9+5.9Q4: +4.2+4.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +6.1+6.1Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +5.9+5.9Q4: +4.2+4.2
MurciaValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rilski Sportist
#37
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Manresa
#10
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H08/11
ACB
KK Bosna
#4
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Breogan
#11
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H16/11
ACB
Lublin
#30
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Forca Lleida
#14
W
54-30
54
30
+24
A22/11
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
58-46
58
46
+12
A06/12
ACB
Szombathely
#16
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H10/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H14/12
ACB
Trefl Sopot
#26
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A17/12
FIBA Europe Cup
84.6Avg total
44.8Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.439.181.5+3.467%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.039.782.7+3.367%-
Last 30 away (15)41.938.480.3+3.567%-
Last 10 (10)44.839.884.6+5.070%-
Last 5 (5)47.839.287.0+8.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)41.033.074.0+8.0100%-
vs Similar (11)41.938.480.3+3.564%-
vs Weaker (17)42.539.782.2+2.865%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paris
#16
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A13/11
Euroleague
Tenerife
#8
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H16/11
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H21/11
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#12
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H23/11
ACB
Bayern
#14
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H25/11
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#7
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A05/12
Euroleague
Baskonia
#3
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A07/12
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#19
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H11/12
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A16/12
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A18/12
Euroleague
84.8Avg total
44.0Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.742.086.8+2.757%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.639.284.9+6.471%-
Last 30 away (16)43.944.588.4-0.644%-
Last 10 (10)44.040.884.8+3.260%-
Last 5 (5)42.444.286.6-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)43.643.687.2+0.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)45.640.886.5+4.865%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 90.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.920.1
53.0%
50.0%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.411.4
37.5%
42.2%34.2
🏀 Free throws22.615.8
69.9%
74.7%15.8
They take 68.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 89.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.9 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.618.7
54.0%
50.0%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.312.3
36.9%
42.2%36.9
🏀 Free throws21.315.0
70.4%
74.7%15.0
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Murcia
WWWWWWLWWW
Valencia
LWWWWWWWWL
#4
League position
#1
+22.9
Net rating
+12.8
118.7
Offensive rating
116.4
95.8
Defensive rating
103.6
54.5%
Effective FG%
54.7%
45.7%
Opp. effective FG%
48.9%
14.8%
Turnover %
17.6%
36.8%
Off. rebound %
35.7%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.31
37.5%
3-point %
36.9%
61.9%
Assist %
67.7%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence118.7 · 116.4Defence95.8 · 103.6Shooting54.5% · 54.7%3-point %37.5% · 36.9%Ball care14.8% · 17.6%Off. rebounds36.8% · 35.7%Free throws0.33 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)90% · 80%
■ Murcia   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Murcia wins
5
Valencia wins
DateGameScore
05/04/25Valencia v Murcia71-86
15/12/24Murcia v Valencia88-96
25/05/24Valencia v Murcia77-84
22/05/24Murcia v Valencia72-83
18/05/24Valencia v Murcia86-96
24/03/24Valencia v Murcia83-82
10/12/23Murcia v Valencia77-85 OT
19/04/23Murcia v Valencia90-82
16/10/22Valencia v Murcia74-75
27/03/22Murcia v Valencia71-72
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/25ATrefl Sopot93-77
14/12/25HJoventut Badalona80-77
10/12/25HSzombathely97-67
06/12/25ASan Pablo Burgos110-88
22/11/25AForca Lleida107-71
19/11/25HLublin80-75
16/11/25HBreogan83-96
11/11/25HKK Bosna87-63
08/11/25HManresa84-65
04/11/25ARilski Sportist89-61
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/25AMaccabi Tel Aviv82-85
16/12/25AOlympiacos99-92
11/12/25HAnadolu Efes94-82
07/12/25ABaskonia91-89
05/12/25APanathinaikos89-79
25/11/25HBayern90-64
23/11/25HBasquet Girona98-72
21/11/25HCrvena zvezda76-73
16/11/25HTenerife96-79
13/11/25AParis86-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murcia
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW80%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayWLWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %80%80%80%
Points / game90.286.294.2
Allowed / game79.077.280.8
Point differential+11.2+9.0+13.4
Avg total169.2163.4175.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%40%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valencia
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW89%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %89%100%75%
Points / game96.897.895.5
Allowed / game82.980.885.5
Point differential+13.9+17.0+10.0
Avg total179.7178.6181.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+78%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid1110191%90.680.5+10.1
2 Valencia98189%96.882.9+13.9
3 Murcia108280%90.279.0+11.2
4 Tenerife118373%91.684.5+7.1
5 Unicaja107370%87.182.7+4.4
6 Barcelona117464%86.480.0+6.4
7 Joventut Badalona117464%85.480.3+5.1
8 Bilbao115645%84.485.1-0.7
9 Breogan115645%89.592.8-3.4
10 Baskonia94544%90.190.4-0.3
11 Gran Canaria104640%80.682.1-1.5
12 MoraBanc Andorra104640%82.391.3-9.0
13 Forca Lleida114736%82.789.2-6.5
14 Manresa114736%81.788.2-6.5
15 Basquet Girona114736%85.292.8-7.6
16 Basket Zaragoza93633%87.189.8-2.7
17 Granada111109%81.589.7-8.2
18 San Pablo Burgos111109%88.597.8-9.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Murcia1922222992
Valencia2113212580
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