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Bilbao vs Murcia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 96-82
18-17 23-23 23-15 32-27
Position#7
Record6-8
FormWLLLW
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game86.6
Bilbao 🏆
Spain
vs
Position#4
Record10-4
FormWWWLL
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game79.8
SpainACBRound 15· Bilbao Arena
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Bilbao v Murcia
15 Nov 2026
BIL v MUR
upcoming
10 Jan 2026
BIL96
MUR82
27 Apr 2025
BIL80
MUR83
08 Oct 2023
BIL77
MUR68
21 Mar 2023
BIL67
MUR71
08 Jan 2023
BIL99
MUR81
23 Apr 2022
BIL78
MUR77
15 Nov 2020
BIL63
MUR73
20 May 2018
BIL73
MUR82
19 Mar 2017
BIL71
MUR82
07 Feb 2016
BIL90
MUR79
19 Oct 2014
BIL82
MUR74
21 Apr 2014
BIL82
MUR69
19 Dec 2012
BIL98
MUR75
30 Oct 2011
BIL95
MUR80
14 Mar 2010
BIL58
MUR57
16 Apr 2009
BIL91
MUR84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bilbao winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murcia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BilbaoSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBilbao
Date
Competition
Kutaisi
#39
W
117-54
117
54
+63
125avg 77
H19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Baskonia
#3
L
91-110
91
110
-19
87avg 77
A23/11
ACB
Gran Canaria
#15
W
79-72
79
72
+7
74avg 77
H07/12
ACB
Sporting CP
#24
W
94-79
94
79
+15
88avg 77
H10/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Forca Lleida
#14
W
93-75
93
75
+18
92avg 77
H14/12
ACB
BC Prievidza
#22
W
83-46
83
46
+37
86avg 77
A17/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Breogan
#11
L
99-100
99
100
-1
95avg 77
A21/12
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
66-71
66
71
-5
56avg 77
H28/12
ACB
Valencia
#1
L
72-116
72
116
-44
54avg 77
H02/01
ACB
Basquet Girona
#12
W
93-89
93
89
+4
85avg 77
A04/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-17
41-3
25-18
26-16
23-33
23-38
22-14
23-25
14-16
20-18
21-21
24-17
26-23
23-15
25-25
20-16
15-17
17-14
32-26
29-18
27-12
16-18
16-9
24-7
23-21
24-24
22-26
30-29
25-16
8-18
13-15
20-22
11-24
24-13
18-36
19-43
16-22
26-26
20-18
31-23
169.9Avg total
88.7Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)82.886.6169.4-3.843%
Season at home (7)84.680.7165.3+3.971%
Season away (7)81.092.4173.4-11.414%
Last 10 (10)88.781.2169.9+7.560%
Last 5 (5)82.684.4167.0-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)73.694.4168.0-20.90%
vs Similar (10)87.189.2176.3-2.130%
vs Weaker (13)95.070.2165.2+24.885%
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Lublin
#30
W
80-75
80
75
+5
75avg 78
H19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Forca Lleida
#14
W
107-71
107
71
+36
101avg 78
A22/11
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
110-88
110
88
+22
111avg 78
A06/12
ACB
Szombathely
#16
W
97-67
97
67
+30
92avg 78
H10/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
80-77
80
77
+3
70avg 78
H14/12
ACB
Trefl Sopot
#26
W
93-77
93
77
+16
91avg 78
A17/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Valencia
#1
W
92-80
92
80
+12
82avg 78
H21/12
ACB
Granada
#18
W
86-79
86
79
+7
70avg 78
A27/12
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
L
80-91
80
91
-11
62avg 78
H30/12
ACB
Gran Canaria
#15
L
72-77
72
77
-5
61avg 78
A03/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
17-27
27-13
14-16
31-18
23-12
25-18
28-23
28-20
30-26
28-27
24-15
19-20
25-18
29-16
24-13
19-25
13-13
25-16
23-23
30-18
21-26
16-21
26-12
19-21
22-13
22-21
29-25
18-19
23-24
21-22
24-14
18-22
14-19
23-26
25-24
18-19
26-24
8-16
20-18
167.9Avg total
89.7Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)88.079.8167.8+8.271%
Season at home (7)86.179.6165.7+6.671%
Season away (7)89.980.0169.9+9.971%
Last 10 (10)89.778.2167.9+11.580%
Last 5 (5)84.680.8165.4+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)92.080.0172.0+12.0100%
vs Similar (9)83.282.3165.6+0.967%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)88.976.2165.1+12.774%
This opponent (Bilbao) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: +5.4+5.4
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: +5.4+5.4
BilbaoMurcia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kutaisi
#39
W
66-20
66
20
+46
H19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Baskonia
#3
L
46-71
46
71
-25
A23/11
ACB
Gran Canaria
#15
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H07/12
ACB
Sporting CP
#24
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H10/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Forca Lleida
#14
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H14/12
ACB
BC Prievidza
#22
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A17/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Breogan
#11
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A21/12
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H28/12
ACB
Valencia
#1
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H02/01
ACB
Basquet Girona
#12
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A04/01
ACB
81.5Avg total
42.7Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.839.182.9+4.757%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.635.780.3+8.967%-
Last 30 away (15)42.942.585.5+0.447%-
Last 10 (10)42.738.881.5+3.950%-
Last 5 (5)40.038.878.8+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)36.045.781.7-9.714%-
vs Similar (10)41.542.984.4-1.430%-
vs Weaker (13)49.732.682.3+17.1100%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lublin
#30
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Forca Lleida
#14
W
54-30
54
30
+24
A22/11
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
58-46
58
46
+12
A06/12
ACB
Szombathely
#16
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H10/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H14/12
ACB
Trefl Sopot
#26
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A17/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Valencia
#1
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H21/12
ACB
Granada
#18
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A27/12
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H30/12
ACB
Gran Canaria
#15
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A03/01
ACB
83.9Avg total
43.6Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.339.381.6+3.063%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.238.881.0+3.467%-
Last 30 away (15)42.339.882.1+2.560%-
Last 10 (10)43.640.383.9+3.360%-
Last 5 (5)41.841.082.8+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)41.034.075.0+7.0100%-
vs Similar (9)41.238.079.2+3.256%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)42.540.182.6+2.563%-
This opponent (Bilbao) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bilbaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bilbao: 88.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.319.3
58.0%
50.0%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.710.3
34.7%
42.2%30.9
🏀 Free throws23.418.6
79.5%
74.7%18.6
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 88.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.819.8
51.0%
50.0%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.511.1
36.4%
42.2%33.3
🏀 Free throws22.415.8
70.5%
74.7%15.8
They take 69.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bilbao
WLLLWWWWLW
Murcia
LLWWWWWWWW
#7
League position
#4
+10.4
Net rating
+15.1
113.4
Offensive rating
116.3
103.0
Defensive rating
101.2
55.2%
Effective FG%
52.6%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
46.0%
18.4%
Turnover %
15.0%
29.8%
Off. rebound %
37.7%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.32
34.7%
3-point %
36.4%
61.8%
Assist %
57.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence113.4 · 116.3Defence103.0 · 101.2Shooting55.2% · 52.6%3-point %34.7% · 36.4%Ball care18.4% · 15.0%Off. rebounds29.8% · 37.7%Free throws0.37 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Bilbao   ■ Murcia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Bilbao wins
7
Murcia wins
DateGameScore
27/04/25Bilbao v Murcia80-83 OT
05/10/24Murcia v Bilbao89-83 OT
03/02/24Murcia v Bilbao96-76
08/10/23Bilbao v Murcia77-68
14/05/23Murcia v Bilbao67-55
21/03/23Bilbao v Murcia67-71
31/01/23Murcia v Bilbao90-72
08/01/23Bilbao v Murcia99-81
23/04/22Bilbao v Murcia78-77
10/10/21Murcia v Bilbao92-87
Bilbaolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/26ABasquet Girona93-89
02/01/26HValencia72-116
28/12/25HBarcelona66-71
21/12/25ABreogan99-100
17/12/25ABC Prievidza83-46
14/12/25HForca Lleida93-75
10/12/25HSporting CP94-79
07/12/25HGran Canaria79-72
23/11/25ABaskonia91-110
19/11/25HKutaisi117-54
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/26AGran Canaria72-77
30/12/25HReal Madrid80-91
27/12/25AGranada86-79
21/12/25HValencia92-80
17/12/25ATrefl Sopot93-77
14/12/25HJoventut Badalona80-77
10/12/25HSzombathely97-67
06/12/25ASan Pablo Burgos110-88
22/11/25AForca Lleida107-71
19/11/25HLublin80-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bilbao
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW43%
HomeWWWLL71%
AwayLLLLW14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %43%71%14%
Points / game82.884.681.0
Allowed / game86.680.792.4
Point differential-3.8+3.9-11.4
Avg total169.4165.3173.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%57%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Murcia
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL71%
HomeWLWWL71%
AwayWWWWL71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %71%71%71%
Points / game88.086.189.9
Allowed / game79.879.680.0
Point differential+8.2+6.6+9.9
Avg total167.8165.7169.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%43%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid1412286%91.482.4+9.0
2 Valencia1411379%94.681.5+13.1
3 Murcia1410471%88.079.8+8.2
4 Barcelona1410471%87.680.4+7.1
5 Tenerife149564%87.582.4+5.1
6 Joventut Badalona149564%84.580.7+3.8
7 Baskonia138562%91.990.2+1.7
8 Unicaja159660%87.184.1+2.9
9 Basket Zaragoza146843%88.389.5-1.2
10 Breogan146843%89.892.1-2.3
11 Gran Canaria146843%79.982.3-2.4
12 Bilbao146843%82.886.6-3.8
13 Basquet Girona146843%87.692.5-4.9
14 Manresa145936%83.289.5-6.3
15 Forca Lleida145936%82.989.3-6.4
16 MoraBanc Andorra1441029%83.092.1-9.1
17 San Pablo Burgos1431121%89.495.4-6.1
18 Granada141137%81.590.0-8.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bilbao1823233296
Murcia1723152782
← all games of the day
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