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Mykonos vs Fribourg Olympic Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 17 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Projected 82-75
Projected total 156.9
Scheduled
Position#7
Record5-1
FormWLWLL
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game76.3
Vs
73%
27%
■ MYK 73%■ FOL 27%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
3.8/10
Below normal
4.7/10
Around normal
Position#46
Record1-5
FormWLWLL
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game87.3
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 7· Panagiotis Chaniotis Sports Hall
European cup2026
Sections
Game preview & prediction

Mykonos will host Fribourg Olympic on 17 November 2026 in the FIBA Europe Cup, with the model favouring Mykonos at 73% to 27% and projecting a 82-75 win for the home side, a total of 156.9 points and a 4% chance of overtime. Mykonos comes into the game with a 5-1 record, scoring 84.0 points per game and allowing 76.3, and is seventh in the league; at home they are undefeated 3-0, averaging 84.3 points and conceding 73.7. Their last five games include two wins and three losses, with a recent 89-79 home victory over CSM Oradea, a 80-84 loss to Neftchi IK and a 64-95 defeat to Iraklis. Fribourg Olympic, meanwhile, is 1-5, averaging 73.0 points and conceding 87.3, and sits 46th in the standings; on the road they are 0-2, scoring 75.0 and allowing 94.0. Their last five games also contain two wins and three losses, highlighted by a 92-75 home win over Lausanne Basket, a 80-86 loss to CSM Oradea and a 65-97 defeat to VEF Riga. In their sole previous encounter on 13 October 2026, Mykonos defeated Fribourg Olympic 80-65.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mykonos win
72.8%fair 1.37
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Fribourg Olympic win
27.2%fair 3.68
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 08 Nov 07:34 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MykonosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMykonos
Date
Competition
Maroussi
#11
W
82-79
82
79
+3
76avg 75
A10/10
Basket League
Fribourg Olympic
#46
W
80-65
80
65
+15
76avg 75
A13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
AEK Athens
#10
L
79-84
79
84
-5
70avg 75
A17/10
Basket League
Lok. Plovdiv
#24
W
86-84
86
84
+2
70avg 75
H20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Aris
#4
L
72-88
72
88
-16
65avg 75
H24/10
Basket League
VEF Riga
#12
W
91-88
91
88
+3
86avg 75
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Lefkadas
#9
L
59-73
59
73
-14
46avg 75
H31/10
Basket League
CSM Oradea
#15
W
89-79
89
79
+10
no box
H03/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Iraklis
#8
L
64-95
64
95
-31
no box
A07/11
Basket League
Neftchi IK
#38
L
80-84
80
84
-4
no box
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
15-20
28-21
18-16
18-19
22-18
16-15
24-13
17-22
21-25
21-18
20-19
14-16
21-20
25-24
26-24
21-28
15-21
20-15
16-24
20-26
20-21
18-25
33-16
17-23
11-15
13-19
18-16
15-24
21-13
20-17
33-25
16-24
10-25
19-29
19-17
24-16
10-20
18-29
28-19
160.1Avg total
78.2Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)84.076.3160.3+7.783%
Season at home (3)84.373.7158.0+10.7100%
Season away (3)83.779.0162.7+4.767%
Last 10 (10)78.281.9160.1-3.750%
Last 5 (5)76.683.8160.4-7.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)77.989.6167.5-11.819%
vs Similar (10)84.786.2170.9-1.560%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)81.072.8153.8+8.275%
This opponent (Fribourg Olympic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fribourg OlympicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlympic
Date
Competition
Mykonos
#7
L
65-80
65
80
-15
55avg 88
H13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Zurich
#10
W
89-43
89
43
+46
80avg 88
A17/10
SB League
Neftchi IK
#38
W
78-73
78
73
+5
68avg 88
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Regio Basel
#8
W
94-58
94
58
+36
87avg 88
H24/10
SB League
Lok. Plovdiv
#24
L
83-95
83
95
-12
76avg 88
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Sdent BBC Nyon
#4
W
85-66
85
66
+19
76avg 88
A31/10
SB League
VEF Riga
#12
L
65-97
65
97
-32
no box
H04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Lausanne Basket
#5
W
92-75
92
75
+17
no box
H07/11
SB League
CSM Oradea
#15
L
80-86
80
86
-6
no box
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
SAM Massagno
#3
L
66-81
66
81
-15
no box
A14/11
SB League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
18-22
15-16
13-24
16-9
27-12
26-9
20-13
15-18
20-13
25-22
18-20
16-9
33-15
25-17
20-17
11-24
20-21
26-24
26-26
19-18
19-18
25-18
22-12
14-26
14-27
22-21
15-23
26-16
28-18
13-21
25-20
26-26
21-21
20-24
13-15
7-24
25-17
13-22
21-18
155.1Avg total
79.7Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)73.087.3160.3-14.317%
Season at home (4)72.084.0156.0-12.025%
Season away (2)75.094.0169.0-19.00%
Last 10 (10)79.775.4155.1+4.350%
Last 5 (5)77.681.0158.6-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)71.785.0156.7-13.314%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (22)92.167.5159.6+24.791%
This opponent (Mykonos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

3%6%9%12%1%1151%1202%1254%1306%1358%14010%14512%15012%15512%16010%1658%1706%1754%1802%1851%1901%1950%200
1%1152%1256%13510%14512%15510%1656%1752%1851%195
Pythia expects about 157 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 155-159 (12%).
Over/Under 160
Over 160
41.6%
Under 160
58.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 165
Over 165
29.9%
Under 165
70.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 170
Over 170
20.2%
Under 170
79.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Mykonos total 80.5
Over 80.5
57.2%
Under 80.5
42.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mykonos total 84.5
Over 84.5
42.2%
Under 84.5
57.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mykonos total 88.5
Over 88.5
28.3%
Under 88.5
71.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fribourg Olympic total 76.5
Over 76.5
42.0%
Under 76.5
58.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fribourg Olympic total 80.5
Over 80.5
28.2%
Under 80.5
71.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fribourg Olympic total 84.5
Over 84.5
17.2%
Under 84.5
82.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

2%5%7%10%0%-241%-211%-182%-153%-125%-96%-67%-35%+09%+310%+610%+99%+128%+156%+185%+214%+243%+272%+301%+331%+360%+39
0%-241%-183%-126%-65%+010%+69%+126%+184%+242%+301%+36
Margin from Mykonos's side (positive = Mykonos win). Pythia's expected margin is +7.8; Mykonos win by 1+ in 67% of simulations.
Spread Mykonos -3
MYK -3
66.4%
FOL +3
33.6%
Best 5 market prices
MYK
No market prices yet.
FOL
No market prices yet.
Spread Mykonos 0
MYK 0
72.8%
FOL 0
27.2%
Best 5 market prices
MYK
No market prices yet.
FOL
No market prices yet.
Spread Mykonos +3
MYK +3
79.2%
FOL -3
20.8%
Best 5 market prices
MYK
No market prices yet.
FOL
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: +0.5+0.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: +0.5+0.5
MykonosFribourg Olympic
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MykonosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maroussi
#11
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A10/10
Basket League
Fribourg Olympic
#46
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
AEK Athens
#10
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A17/10
Basket League
Lok. Plovdiv
#24
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Aris
#4
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H24/10
Basket League
VEF Riga
#12
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Lefkadas
#9
L
28-38
28
38
-10
H31/10
Basket League
CSM Oradea
#15
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H03/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Iraklis
#8
L
26-49
26
49
-23
A07/11
Basket League
Neftchi IK
#38
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
76.7Avg total
34.9Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.643.982.5-5.323%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.941.679.5-3.733%-
Last 30 away (15)39.346.385.6-6.913%-
Last 10 (10)34.941.876.7-6.910%-
Last 5 (5)32.841.474.2-8.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)37.545.282.8-7.819%-
vs Similar (10)41.544.586.0-3.030%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)35.837.273.0-1.525%-
This opponent (Fribourg Olympic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fribourg OlympicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mykonos
#7
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Zurich
#10
W
43-21
43
21
+22
A17/10
SB League
Neftchi IK
#38
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Regio Basel
#8
W
49-24
49
24
+25
H24/10
SB League
Lok. Plovdiv
#24
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Sdent BBC Nyon
#4
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A31/10
SB League
VEF Riga
#12
L
28-53
28
53
-25
H04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Lausanne Basket
#5
W
54-34
54
34
+20
H07/11
SB League
CSM Oradea
#15
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
SAM Massagno
#3
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A14/11
SB League
76.6Avg total
39.4Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.936.580.4+7.467%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.637.983.5+7.665%-
Last 30 away (13)41.734.776.4+7.069%-
Last 10 (10)39.437.276.6+2.250%-
Last 5 (5)39.842.282.0-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)36.143.379.4-7.129%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (22)46.834.080.8+12.782%-
This opponent (Mykonos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mykonostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mykonos: 76.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.118.0
52.8%
53.4%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.68.5
34.6%
32.5%25.5
🏀 Free throws21.714.9
68.7%
72.8%14.9
They take 58.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fribourg Olympictheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fribourg Olympic: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.818.6
50.5%
53.4%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.910.7
33.5%
32.5%32.1
🏀 Free throws15.711.7
74.5%
72.8%11.7
They take 68.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mykonos
LLWLWLWLWW
Fribourg Olympic
LLWLWLWWWL
#7
League position
#46
-1.4
Net rating
+8.7
90.9
Offensive rating
91.5
92.4
Defensive rating
82.8
52.4%
Effective FG%
50.4%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
46.6%
18.8%
Turnover %
14.3%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.23
34.6%
3-point %
33.5%
61.1%
Assist %
58.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence90.9 · 91.5Defence92.4 · 82.8Shooting52.4% · 50.4%3-point %34.6% · 33.5%Ball care18.8% · 14.3%Free throws0.37 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Mykonos   ■ Fribourg Olympic
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Mykonos wins
0
Fribourg Olympic wins
DateGameScore
13/10/26Fribourg Olympic v Mykonos65-80
Mykonoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26ANeftchi IK80-84
07/11/26AIraklis64-95
03/11/26HCSM Oradea89-79
31/10/26HLefkadas59-73
28/10/26AVEF Riga91-88
24/10/26HAris72-88
20/10/26HLok. Plovdiv86-84
17/10/26AAEK Athens79-84
13/10/26AFribourg Olympic80-65
10/10/26AMaroussi82-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ASAM Massagno66-81
11/11/26HCSM Oradea80-86
07/11/26HLausanne Basket92-75
04/11/26HVEF Riga65-97
31/10/26ASdent BBC Nyon85-66
28/10/26ALok. Plovdiv83-95
24/10/26HRegio Basel94-58
21/10/26HNeftchi IK78-73
17/10/26AZurich89-43
13/10/26HMykonos65-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mykonos
FIBA Europe Cup 2026
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL83%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %83%100%67%
Points / game84.084.383.7
Allowed / game76.373.779.0
Point differential+7.7+10.7+4.7
Avg total160.3158.0162.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Fribourg Olympic
FIBA Europe Cup 2026
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL17%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %17%25%0%
Points / game73.072.075.0
Allowed / game87.384.094.0
Point differential-14.3-12.0-19.0
Avg total160.3156.0169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trier660100%100.069.7+30.3
2 Esenler Erokspor660100%96.371.0+25.3
3 Basquet Girona65183%91.375.0+16.3
4 Nancy65183%87.272.5+14.7
5 Korfez Basket65183%87.373.7+13.7
6 Benfica65183%94.383.8+10.5
7 Mykonos65183%84.076.3+7.7
8 Dziki Warszawa65183%87.580.3+7.2
9 Chalon/Saone64267%84.872.7+12.2
10 Kolossos Rhodes64267%81.870.2+11.7
11 Iraklis64267%87.276.0+11.2
12 VEF Riga64267%95.084.7+10.3
13 Wurzburg64267%84.575.5+9.0
14 Promitheas64267%90.081.8+8.2
15 CSM Oradea64267%86.380.3+6.0
16 Szczecin64267%86.881.7+5.2
17 Geneva Lions64267%88.284.0+4.2
18 Keravnos64267%80.876.7+4.2
19 Zielona Gora64267%84.583.2+1.3
20 Split64267%81.580.3+1.2
21 Oostende64267%78.377.8+0.5
22 Bakken Bears64267%82.083.3-1.3
23 BC Prievidza84450%90.183.2+6.9
24 Lok. Plovdiv63350%83.383.5-0.2
25 AEK Larnaca63350%79.580.0-0.5
26 Valmiera Glass Via63350%81.083.3-2.3
27 BC Kalev/Cramo63350%80.083.7-3.7
28 Sporting CP63350%76.780.3-3.7
29 Trepca63350%77.581.2-3.7
30 Dinamo Bucharest83538%87.881.6+6.1
31 Denizli Basket62433%81.583.5-2.0
32 Vienna Basket62433%80.585.2-4.7
33 Levice62433%72.778.2-5.5
34 SCM Craiova62433%88.096.3-8.3
35 Nitra Blue Wings62433%78.888.2-9.3
36 Szolnoki Olaj62433%77.588.3-10.8
37 Tartu Ulikool62433%88.099.7-11.7
38 Neftchi IK82625%75.682.6-7.0
39 Parnu82625%71.479.0-7.6
40 Bashkimi51420%73.683.2-9.6
41 Rilski Sportist51420%75.888.8-13.0
42 Manchester Basketball51420%75.890.0-14.2
43 Gence51420%71.288.2-17.0
44 Opava61517%83.286.8-3.7
45 Absheron Lions61517%83.795.3-11.7
46 Fribourg Olympic61517%73.087.3-14.3
47 MZT Skopje6060%72.087.2-15.2
48 Samobor2020%74.0100.5-26.5
49 Peja2020%70.5100.5-30.0
50 Batumi6060%66.899.2-32.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 50 teams: scroll the table.
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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