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Nacional vs Aguada Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 23 Apr 2019
Tip-off: 00:15
Final 63-85
10-28 10-16 25-13 18-28
Position#2
Record26-11
FormWLWLW
Points / game86.7
Allowed / game79.5
vs
Aguada 🏆
Uruguay
Position#3
Record23-12
FormWLWWW
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game80.7
UruguayLiga UruguayaLiga Uruguaya - Semi-finals
Other2018-19
Meetings · Nacional v Aguada
20 Oct 2026
NACI81
AGUA83
25 May 2026
NACI74
AGUA87
18 May 2026
NACI83
AGUA96
11 Apr 2026
NACI101
AGUA82
20 Oct 2025
NACI82
AGUA79
01 Jun 2025
NACI79
AGUA77
27 May 2025
NACI103
AGUA98
22 May 2025
NACI73
AGUA82
16 May 2025
NACI102
AGUA77
13 Feb 2025
NACI91
AGUA94
24 May 2024
NACI82
AGUA97
17 May 2024
NACI98
AGUA89
08 Apr 2024
NACI83
AGUA87
17 Nov 2023
NACI77
AGUA68
31 Jan 2023
NACI87
AGUA67
14 Apr 2022
NACI85
AGUA80
09 Apr 2022
NACI84
AGUA61
11 Feb 2022
NACI86
AGUA99
16 Feb 2021
NACI74
AGUA92
09 Feb 2021
NACI74
AGUA95
24 Nov 2020
NACI97
AGUA91
12 Nov 2019
NACI99
AGUA86
06 May 2019
NACI80
AGUA83
29 Apr 2019
NACI59
AGUA77
22 Apr 2019
NACI63
AGUA85
05 Nov 2018
NACI70
AGUA77
30 Apr 2018
NACI55
AGUA74
23 Apr 2018
NACI61
AGUA79
13 Feb 2018
NACI82
AGUA80
19 Nov 2012
NACI80
AGUA77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nacional winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aguada winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NacionalUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Urunday
#7
L
81-88
81
88
-7
H06/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#6
W
87-82
87
82
+5
H08/03
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
117-123 OT
117
123
-6
A11/03
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#5
W
97-92
97
92
+5
H15/03
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#1
W
75-73
75
73
+2
H20/03
Liga Uruguaya
Olimpia Kings
#4
W
89-84 OT
89
84
+5
H26/03
Liga Uruguaya
Olimpia Kings
#4
L
70-77
70
77
-7
A30/03
Liga Uruguaya
Olimpia Kings
#4
W
77-57
77
57
+20
H01/04
Liga Uruguaya
Olimpia Kings
#4
L
71-77
71
77
-6
A05/04
Liga Uruguaya
Olimpia Kings
#4
W
84-58
84
58
+26
H09/04
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-11
16-32
14-18
33-27
18-14
28-17
22-26
19-25
23-23
22-28
16-21
21-10
24-28
21-21
31-25
21-18
23-15
14-20
18-18
20-20
23-25
22-18
16-14
13-17
17-20
19-21
20-17
14-19
18-5
19-14
15-27
25-11
21-14
12-17
20-21
18-25
24-18
11-15
23-14
26-11
165.9Avg total
84.8Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)86.779.5166.2+7.270%
Season at home (21)86.179.8166.0+6.367%
Season away (16)87.479.2166.6+8.275%
Last 10 (10)84.881.1165.9+3.760%
Last 5 (5)78.270.6148.8+7.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (21)84.481.7166.1+2.762%
vs Weaker (9)97.177.7174.8+19.489%
This opponent (Aguada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AguadaUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bigua
#10
L
86-91
86
91
-5
A12/02
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#1
L
72-81
72
81
-9
H06/03
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#5
W
77-64
77
64
+13
A08/03
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
W
123-117 OT
123
117
+6
H11/03
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#7
L
64-82
64
82
-18
H15/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#6
W
76-71
76
71
+5
A22/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#6
L
74-86
74
86
-12
H26/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#6
W
90-81
90
81
+9
A28/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#6
W
70-67
70
67
+3
H03/04
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#6
W
93-81
93
81
+12
A08/04
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-26
21-24
29-24
19-17
27-17
13-20
16-21
16-23
25-24
15-12
20-13
17-15
23-23
28-22
21-16
10-21
14-15
15-14
12-34
23-19
18-18
22-15
20-19
16-19
22-18
22-16
12-29
18-23
18-27
20-16
26-23
26-15
21-13
14-15
14-19
21-20
24-23
20-8
30-20
19-30
164.6Avg total
82.5Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)83.780.7164.3+3.066%
Season at home (19)83.381.8165.2+1.563%
Season away (16)84.179.2163.4+4.969%
Last 10 (10)82.582.1164.6+0.460%
Last 5 (5)80.677.2157.8+3.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (24)81.381.5162.8-0.158%
vs Weaker (6)94.078.7172.7+15.3100%
This opponent (Nacional) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -1.7-1.7
NacionalAguada
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NacionalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Urunday
#7
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H06/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#6
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H08/03
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A11/03
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#5
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H15/03
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#1
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H20/03
Liga Uruguaya
Olimpia Kings
#4
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H26/03
Liga Uruguaya
Olimpia Kings
#4
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A30/03
Liga Uruguaya
Olimpia Kings
#4
W
37-19
37
19
+18
H01/04
Liga Uruguaya
Olimpia Kings
#4
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A05/04
Liga Uruguaya
Olimpia Kings
#4
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H09/04
Liga Uruguaya
76.9Avg total
39.3Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)41.738.480.2+3.369%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.638.981.5+3.869%-
Last 30 away (13)40.637.978.5+2.769%-
Last 10 (10)39.337.676.9+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)37.233.470.6+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (20)39.538.578.1+1.065%-
vs Weaker (9)46.638.284.8+8.378%-
This opponent (Aguada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AguadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bigua
#10
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A12/02
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#1
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H06/03
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#5
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A08/03
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H11/03
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#7
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H15/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#6
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A22/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#6
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H26/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#6
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A28/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#6
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H03/04
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#6
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A08/04
Liga Uruguaya
76.5Avg total
39.9Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)39.736.776.3+3.055%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.836.174.9+2.759%-
Last 30 away (12)40.937.478.3+3.550%-
Last 10 (10)39.936.676.5+3.370%-
Last 5 (5)40.233.874.0+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (24)37.537.575.0-0.146%-
vs Weaker (5)50.432.482.8+18.0100%-
This opponent (Nacional) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Nacional wins
7
Aguada wins
DateGameScore
11/03/19Aguada v Nacional123-117 OT
19/01/19Aguada v Nacional96-90
06/11/18Nacional v Aguada70-77
05/05/18Aguada v Nacional84-77
01/05/18Nacional v Aguada55-74
27/04/18Aguada v Nacional81-91
24/04/18Nacional v Aguada61-79
20/04/18Aguada v Nacional76-81
26/03/18Aguada v Nacional70-68
13/02/18Nacional v Aguada82-80
Nacionallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/04/19HOlimpia Kings84-58
05/04/19AOlimpia Kings71-77
01/04/19HOlimpia Kings77-57
30/03/19AOlimpia Kings70-77
26/03/19HOlimpia Kings89-84 OT
20/03/19HMalvin75-73
15/03/19HTrouville97-92
11/03/19AAguada117-123 OT
08/03/19HDefensor87-82
06/03/19HUrunday81-88
Aguadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/04/19ADefensor93-81
03/04/19HDefensor70-67
28/03/19ADefensor90-81
26/03/19HDefensor74-86
22/03/19ADefensor76-71
15/03/19HUrunday64-82
11/03/19HNacional123-117 OT
08/03/19ATrouville77-64
06/03/19HMalvin72-81
12/02/19ABigua86-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nacional
Liga Uruguaya 2018-19
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW70%
HomeWWWWW67%
AwayWWLLL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games372116
Win %70%67%75%
Points / game86.786.187.4
Allowed / game79.579.879.2
Point differential+7.2+6.3+8.2
Avg total166.2166.0166.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%38%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)67% (6)100% (2)
Overtime %5%5%6%
Aguada
Liga Uruguaya 2018-19
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW66%
HomeLWLLW63%
AwayLWWWW69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351916
Win %66%63%69%
Points / game83.783.384.1
Allowed / game80.781.879.2
Point differential+3.0+1.5+4.9
Avg total164.3165.2163.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%32%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)100% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %6%5%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Malvin3728976%83.678.1+5.6
2 Nacional37261170%86.779.5+7.2
3 Aguada35231266%83.780.7+3.0
4 Olimpia Kings37221559%84.379.2+5.1
5 Urunday37211657%80.978.3+2.5
6 Trouville36201656%80.876.9+3.9
7 Defensor36201656%86.784.8+1.9
8 Goes33171652%85.282.4+2.9
9 Hebraica y Macabi32161650%84.182.7+1.5
10 Bigua38191950%80.880.8-0.0
11 Welcome2671927%80.386.2-5.9
12 Atenas2671927%80.892.9-12.1
13 Sayago2632312%78.691.3-12.8
14 Verdirrojo262248%76.592.2-15.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nacional1010251863
Aguada2816132885
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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