Nacional hosts Hebraica y Macabi in the Liga Uruguaya on 6 November 2026, and the Pythia model names Nacional the clear favourite, giving them an 81% chance of victory largely because their season record of 1-2 and an average of 93.7 points scored per game outpace Hebraica y Macabi's 1-2 record and 81.3 points per game. Nacional's overall season shows 1 win and 2 losses with 93.7 points scored and 94.7 points allowed, while at home they have gone 0-2, scoring 95.5 and conceding 103.5; their last five games include a win over Atenas 90-77 away and losses to Goes 110-124 and Aguada 81-83 at home. Hebraica y Macabi's season mirrors that of Nacional with 1-2, 81.3 points scored and 84.3 allowed, and on the road they have gone 0-1, scoring 86.0 and allowing 92.0; their last five games feature a win over Urunday 80-77 at home and losses to Malvin 78-84 and Bigua 86-92 away. Historically, Nacional has dominated the rivalry with 9 wins to 1, most recently defeating Hebraica y Macabi 81-79 on 28 April 2026. The model projects a 92-82 win for Nacional, a total of 173.5 points, a home line of -7.5 with a 59% chance of covering, an over line of 172.75 with a 52% chance of the over, and a 4% likelihood of overtime.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (3) | 93.7 | 94.7 | 188.3 | -1.0 | 33% |
| Season at home (2) | 95.5 | 103.5 | 199.0 | -8.0 | 0% |
| Season away (1) | 90.0 | 77.0 | 167.0 | +13.0 | 100% |
| Last 10 (10) | 94.1 | 90.3 | 184.4 | +3.8 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 89.2 | 92.6 | 181.8 | -3.4 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (4) | 87.8 | 90.5 | 178.2 | -2.8 | 25% |
| vs Similar ◀ (1) | 71.0 | 83.0 | 154.0 | -12.0 | 0% |
| vs Weaker (25) | 91.6 | 80.7 | 172.3 | +10.8 | 76% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (3) | 81.3 | 84.3 | 165.7 | -3.0 | 33% |
| Season at home (2) | 79.0 | 80.5 | 159.5 | -1.5 | 50% |
| Season away (1) | 86.0 | 92.0 | 178.0 | -6.0 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 79.7 | 83.0 | 162.7 | -3.3 | 20% |
| Last 5 (5) | 79.8 | 84.4 | 164.2 | -4.6 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (14) | 80.6 | 87.4 | 168.1 | -6.8 | 14% |
| vs Similar ◀ (12) | 84.1 | 85.1 | 169.2 | -1.0 | 58% |
| vs Weaker (4) | 93.0 | 82.5 | 175.5 | +10.5 | 75% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 87.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 46.7 | 42.7 | 89.3 | +4.0 | 60% | 57% |
| Last 30 at home (17) | 46.6 | 43.0 | 89.6 | +3.6 | 53% | 59% |
| Last 30 away (13) | 46.7 | 42.2 | 88.9 | +4.5 | 69% | 54% |
| Last 10 (10) | 49.0 | 47.8 | 96.8 | +1.2 | 50% | 80% |
| Last 5 (5) | 47.2 | 47.4 | 94.6 | -0.2 | 40% | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (4) | 45.2 | 46.0 | 91.2 | -0.8 | 25% | 50% |
| vs Similar ◀ (1) | 38.0 | 46.0 | 84.0 | -8.0 | 0% | 0% |
| vs Weaker (25) | 47.2 | 42.0 | 89.2 | +5.2 | 68% | 60% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 87.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 43.7 | 43.9 | 87.7 | -0.2 | 40% | 47% |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 44.7 | 43.6 | 88.2 | +1.1 | 44% | 44% |
| Last 30 away (14) | 42.6 | 44.4 | 87.0 | -1.7 | 36% | 50% |
| Last 10 (10) | 43.3 | 42.6 | 85.9 | +0.7 | 50% | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 45.0 | 42.4 | 87.4 | +2.6 | 60% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (14) | 42.0 | 46.0 | 88.0 | -4.0 | 29% | 43% |
| vs Similar ◀ (12) | 44.4 | 43.3 | 87.8 | +1.1 | 42% | 50% |
| vs Weaker (4) | 47.8 | 38.5 | 86.2 | +9.2 | 75% | 50% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nacional (regulation) | 78.6% | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | +12.9pp | Lost |
| Nacional over 79.5 | 88.7% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +8.1pp | Lost |
| Nacional win | 80.8% | 1.27 | 1.30 | 1.30 | 1.29 | 1.27 | 1.26 | +7.7pp | Lost |
| Nacional over 77.5 | 92.0% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | +7.6pp | Won |
| Nacional -3.5 | 72.6% | 1.39 | 1.40 | 1.38 | - | - | - | +7.4pp | Lost |
| Hebraica y Macabi under 87.5 | 71.5% | 1.36 | 1.36 | - | - | - | - | +7.1pp | Won |
| Nacional over 75.5 | 94.5% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | +7.0pp | Won |
| Nacional over 73.5 | 96.3% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +7.0pp | Won |
| Nacional over 71.5 | 97.6% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +6.9pp | Won |
| Nacional +11.5 | 96.1% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +5.9pp | Won |
| Nacional +16.5 | 98.3% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +5.5pp | Won |
| Nacional +6.5 | 91.5% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +5.4pp | Won |
| Over 147.5 | 94.4% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +4.7pp | Won |
| Nacional +1.5 | 82.5% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +4.7pp | Lost |
| Overtime: no | 96.4% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +4.5pp | - |
| Over 157.5 | 83.3% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +3.8pp | Won |
| Hebraica y Macabi over 67.5 | 91.9% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | +3.6pp | Won |
| Over 152.5 | 89.9% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | +3.3pp | Won |
| Under 197.5 | 92.4% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +3.1pp | Won |
| Over 162.5 | 74.5% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +3.0pp | Lost |
| Hebraica y Macabi over 69.5 | 88.5% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +3.0pp | Won |
| Hebraica y Macabi over 71.5 | 84.2% | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | - | +2.8pp | Won |
| Hebraica y Macabi +23.5 | 88.3% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | +1.7pp | Won |
| Under 187.5 | 80.5% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +1.6pp | Won |
| Under 192.5 | 87.5% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +1.4pp | Won |
| Hebraica y Macabi +18.5 | 77.9% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +0.1pp | Won |
| Under 182.5 | 71.3% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | -0.1pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 47.9 | 24.2 | 50.3% | 48.4 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 28.2 | 9.8 | 32.1% | 29.4 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 21.0 | 15.7 | 70.5% | 15.7 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 42.7 | 22.4 | 50.3% | 44.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 28.0 | 7.4 | 32.1% | 22.2 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 17.2 | 12.2 | 70.5% | 12.2 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 29/04/26 | Nacional v Hebraica y Macabi | 81-79 |
| 19/03/26 | Hebraica y Macabi v Nacional | 80-111 |
| 30/01/26 | Hebraica y Macabi v Nacional | 102-81 |
| 10/11/25 | Nacional v Hebraica y Macabi | 89-79 |
| 21/04/25 | Nacional v Hebraica y Macabi | 96-72 |
| 19/04/25 | Nacional v Hebraica y Macabi | 115-64 |
| 15/04/25 | Nacional v Hebraica y Macabi | 94-52 |
| 10/01/25 | Nacional v Hebraica y Macabi | 101-88 |
| 10/12/24 | Hebraica y Macabi v Nacional | 82-92 |
| 18/04/24 | Hebraica y Macabi v Nacional | 52-93 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWL | 33% |
| Home | LL | 0% |
| Away | W | 100% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Win % | 33% | 0% | 100% |
| Points / game | 93.7 | 95.5 | 90.0 |
| Allowed / game | 94.7 | 103.5 | 77.0 |
| Point differential | -1.0 | -8.0 | +13.0 |
| Avg total | 188.3 | 199.0 | 167.0 |
| Over 173.5 | 33% | 50% | 0% |
| Win by 10+ | 33% | 0% | 100% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (1) | 0% (1) | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWL | 33% |
| Home | WL | 50% |
| Away | L | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Win % | 33% | 50% | 0% |
| Points / game | 81.3 | 79.0 | 86.0 |
| Allowed / game | 84.3 | 80.5 | 92.0 |
| Point differential | -3.0 | -1.5 | -6.0 |
| Avg total | 165.7 | 159.5 | 178.0 |
| Over 173.5 | 33% | 0% | 100% |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | 100% (1) | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 91.0 | 73.5 | +17.5 | |
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 80% | 92.4 | 86.2 | +6.2 | |
| 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 80% | 89.4 | 84.0 | +5.4 | |
| 4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 78.4 | 75.8 | +2.6 | |
| 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 79.0 | 81.6 | -2.6 | |
| 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 77.2 | 77.0 | +0.2 | |
| 7 | Larranaga | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 84.6 | 85.2 | -0.6 |
| 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 93.7 | 94.7 | -1.0 | |
| 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 81.3 | 84.3 | -3.0 | |
| 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20% | 81.6 | 84.0 | -2.4 | |
| 11 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20% | 77.4 | 82.2 | -4.8 | |
| 12 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20% | 71.0 | 86.6 | -15.6 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 24 | 16 | 17 | 78 | |
| 25 | 22 | 15 | 21 | 83 |
We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.
Cookies required to use the site and the features you have asked for. They provide the pages, predictions and account functions you requested. These are essential for the operation of our website.
Cookies that remember the preferences and settings from your last visit, so the site behaves the way you left it. They do not tell us who you are and they are not used to build a profile of you.
Cookies used to collect information about your usage of the site. These are used to produce aggregated statistics about visits to our pages. We use these statistics internally to test and improve the site and to give you a better experience. Without them our ability to provide a smoother experience may be degraded.
Cookies used to deliver adverts relevant to you based on your interests. This can include limiting the number of times you see an advert as well as helping us measure the effectiveness of an advert. Without these cookies you will still see adverts, but they will not be adjusted to your interests.