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Penarol vs Hebraica y Macabi Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 May 2026
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 74-62
18-20 24-20 15-11 17-11
Position#1
Record25-6
FormLLWWW
Points / game88.1
Allowed / game75.7
Penarol 🏆
Uruguay
vs
Position#8
Record16-15
FormLLWLL
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game84.5
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Palacio Penarol
Other2025-26
Meetings · Penarol v Hebraica y Macabi
02 May 2026
PENA74
HEBR62
13 Jan 2026
PENA79
HEBR69
05 Mar 2025
PENA82
HEBR68
26 Mar 2024
PENA99
HEBR74
09 Jan 2024
PENA73
HEBR52
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penarol winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hebraica y Macabi winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PenarolUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Urunday
#9
W
100-83
100
83
+17
A19/02
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
80-86
80
86
-6
A10/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
W
88-80
88
80
+8
H13/03
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
96-67
96
67
+29
A19/03
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
97-87 OT
97
87
+10
A26/03
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
L
71-78
71
78
-7
H09/04
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
L
84-92 OT
84
92
-8
A11/04
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
W
103-95
103
95
+8
H18/04
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
W
84-82
84
82
+2
A23/04
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
96-68
96
68
+28
H29/04
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-28
23-21
28-19
26-15
20-22
19-30
25-14
16-20
20-25
23-20
20-18
25-17
19-17
25-15
26-20
26-15
20-23
22-16
17-23
22-19
20-17
17-25
16-20
18-16
24-16
23-21
10-26
19-13
24-17
34-21
24-25
21-32
23-20
20-19
21-15
20-28
24-20
27-20
24-16
21-12
171.7Avg total
89.9Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)88.175.7163.8+12.581%
Season at home (15)91.476.4167.8+15.093%
Season away (16)85.175.0160.1+10.169%
Last 10 (10)89.981.8171.7+8.170%
Last 5 (5)87.683.0170.6+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)88.276.1164.3+12.080%
This opponent (Hebraica y Macabi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hebraica y MacabiUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Goes
#10
W
97-91
97
91
+6
A20/02
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
W
90-87
90
87
+3
A09/03
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
76-90
76
90
-14
A12/03
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
77-97
77
97
-20
H16/03
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
L
80-111
80
111
-31
H19/03
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
87-97 OT
87
97
-10
H26/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
L
80-84
80
84
-4
H30/03
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
84-73
84
73
+11
H11/04
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
100-102
100
102
-2
A15/04
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
L
79-81
79
81
-2
A29/04
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-21
26-19
22-28
18-23
33-16
17-22
25-27
15-22
17-26
23-17
9-33
27-14
26-24
15-22
21-20
15-31
13-34
23-27
29-28
15-22
23-20
16-22
23-17
19-22
19-23
18-19
21-23
22-19
26-15
21-17
21-22
16-19
27-31
22-35
23-19
28-17
13-20
19-16
19-20
28-25
176.3Avg total
85.0Scored
91.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)84.384.5168.8-0.252%
Season at home (16)85.682.7168.3+2.969%
Season away (15)82.986.5169.3-3.633%
Last 10 (10)85.091.3176.3-6.330%
Last 5 (5)86.087.4173.4-1.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)80.085.8165.8-5.827%
vs Similar (13)84.785.9170.6-1.254%
vs Weaker (6)91.379.7171.0+11.783%
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -1.1-1.1
PenarolHebraica y Macabi
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Urunday
#9
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A19/02
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A10/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H13/03
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A19/03
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A26/03
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H09/04
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A11/04
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
W
58-38
58
38
+20
H18/04
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A23/04
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H29/04
Liga Uruguaya
86.3Avg total
45.0Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.839.084.8+6.970%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.938.585.3+8.473%-
Last 30 away (15)44.839.584.3+5.367%-
Last 10 (10)45.041.386.3+3.760%-
Last 5 (5)47.239.286.4+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)45.839.084.8+6.970%-
This opponent (Hebraica y Macabi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hebraica y MacabiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Goes
#10
W
57-40
57
40
+17
A20/02
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
W
50-38
50
38
+12
A09/03
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A12/03
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H16/03
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
L
36-61
36
61
-25
H19/03
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H26/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H30/03
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H11/04
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
49-66
49
66
-17
A15/04
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A29/04
Liga Uruguaya
87.4Avg total
42.8Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.743.587.3+0.243%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.443.889.2+1.647%-
Last 30 away (15)42.143.385.3-1.240%-
Last 10 (10)42.844.687.4-1.830%-
Last 5 (5)40.843.684.4-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)40.546.486.8-5.918%-
vs Similar (13)44.843.888.7+1.046%-
vs Weaker (6)47.337.785.0+9.783%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Penaroltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Penarol: 89.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.123.1
60.6%
53.3%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.89.8
31.8%
33.3%29.4
🏀 Free throws20.314.3
70.4%
70.9%14.3
They take 68.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hebraica y Macabitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hebraica y Macabi: 84.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.323.1
51.0%
53.3%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.48.4
29.6%
33.3%25.2
🏀 Free throws18.513.3
71.9%
70.9%13.3
They take 73.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Penarol
WWWLLWWWLW
Hebraica y Macabi
LLWLLLLLWW
#1
League position
#8
+9.1
Net rating
-5.8
100.6
Offensive rating
92.5
91.6
Defensive rating
98.3
54.9%
Effective FG%
48.4%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
55.1%
14.7%
Turnover %
13.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.25
31.8%
3-point %
29.6%
66.0%
Assist %
58.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence100.6 · 92.5Defence91.6 · 98.3Shooting54.9% · 48.4%3-point %31.8% · 29.6%Ball care14.7% · 13.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Penarol   ■ Hebraica y Macabi
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Penarol wins
1
Hebraica y Macabi wins
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/04/26HMalvin96-68
23/04/26ANacional84-82
18/04/26HAguada103-95
11/04/26ADefensor84-92 OT
09/04/26HNacional71-78
26/03/26AHebraica y Macabi97-87 OT
19/03/26AMalvin96-67
13/03/26HDefensor88-80
10/03/26AAguada80-86
19/02/26AUrunday100-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/04/26ANacional79-81
15/04/26AAguada100-102
11/04/26HMalvin84-73
30/03/26HDefensor80-84
26/03/26HPenarol87-97 OT
19/03/26HNacional80-111
16/03/26HAguada77-97
12/03/26AMalvin76-90
09/03/26ADefensor90-87
20/02/26AGoes97-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penarol
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW81%
HomeWWLWW93%
AwayLWWLW69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %81%93%69%
Points / game88.191.485.1
Allowed / game75.776.475.0
Point differential+12.5+15.0+10.1
Avg total163.8167.8160.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+65%73%56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %6%0%12%
Hebraica y Macabi
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL52%
HomeLLLLW69%
AwayWWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %52%69%33%
Points / game84.385.682.9
Allowed / game84.582.786.5
Point differential-0.2+2.9-3.6
Avg total168.8168.3169.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%25%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (12)88% (8)25% (4)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Penarol3125681%88.175.7+12.5
2 Nacional31211068%91.082.1+8.9
3 Aguada31201165%91.187.0+4.1
4 Malvin31181358%80.281.9-1.8
5 Bigua28161257%89.087.2+1.7
6 Hebraica y Macabi31161552%84.384.5-0.2
7 Union Atletica28141450%83.582.6+0.9
8 Defensor31151648%85.384.4+0.9
9 Urunday27131448%89.385.3+4.0
10 Goes2791833%83.789.1-5.4
11 Cordon2852318%80.894.4-13.6
12 Welcome2842414%81.195.8-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Penarol1824151774
Hebraica y Macabi2020111162
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