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Nacional vs Welcome Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 06 Mar 2018
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 88-96 (OT)
21-19 16-21 19-21 16-11 16-24
Position#6
Record14-11
FormWLWWL
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game77.1
vs
Welcome 🏆
Uruguay
Position#4
Record14-11
FormLWWLL
Points / game85.4
Allowed / game82.4
UruguayLiga UruguayaRound 2
Other2017-18
Meetings · Nacional v Welcome
12 Jan 2026
NACI120
WELC91
01 Nov 2024
NACI115
WELC64
04 Jan 2019
NACI104
WELC85
12 Apr 2018
NACI75
WELC89
05 Apr 2018
NACI80
WELC77
06 Mar 2018
NACI88
WELC96
18 Dec 2017
NACI106
WELC86
08 Oct 2012
NACI78
WELC65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nacional winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Welcome winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NacionalUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hebraica y Macabi
#5
L
73-84
73
84
-11
A22/12
Liga Uruguaya
Bohemios
#13
W
77-74
77
74
+3
H03/01
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#7
L
86-90
86
90
-4
A08/01
Liga Uruguaya
Olimpia Kings
#10
L
83-86
83
86
-3
H16/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#11
W
94-80
94
80
+14
A20/01
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#12
W
96-72
96
72
+24
H24/01
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#3
L
73-81
73
81
-8
A30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
W
82-80
82
80
+2
H13/02
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#2
W
86-79
86
79
+7
A16/02
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#11
L
86-88
86
88
-2
H01/03
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-27
25-18
14-19
10-20
13-18
21-17
21-25
22-14
20-20
16-19
21-19
29-32
25-13
17-22
21-18
20-33
32-17
22-20
24-20
16-23
20-18
22-16
23-27
31-11
18-27
14-22
15-14
26-18
22-30
19-13
17-16
24-21
21-16
20-26
20-21
25-16
18-22
19-20
23-25
26-21
165.0Avg total
83.6Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)81.277.1158.3+4.256%
Season at home (13)83.075.0158.0+8.077%
Season away (12)79.379.3158.7+0.033%
Last 10 (10)83.681.4165.0+2.250%
Last 5 (5)84.680.0164.6+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (23)80.778.6159.3+2.143%
vs Weaker (7)85.773.6159.3+12.186%
This opponent (Welcome) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WelcomeUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Kings
#10
W
93-80
93
80
+13
H21/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#11
L
70-91
70
91
-21
A28/12
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#12
W
99-91
99
91
+8
H08/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
77-80
77
80
-3
A17/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#2
L
75-84
75
84
-9
A19/01
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#9
L
80-88
80
88
-8
H23/01
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#3
W
90-84
90
84
+6
A27/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#8
W
101-86
101
86
+15
A30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#5
L
73-80
73
80
-7
H16/02
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#2
L
85-94
85
94
-9
A02/03
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-18
14-16
25-22
23-24
19-23
17-22
11-24
23-22
31-29
17-22
23-19
28-21
16-22
19-14
20-25
22-19
21-22
13-22
23-20
18-20
24-22
14-18
23-22
19-26
26-18
26-16
25-28
13-22
24-22
29-21
21-20
27-23
31-22
9-16
15-14
18-28
24-31
20-26
22-23
19-14
170.1Avg total
84.3Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)85.482.4167.8+3.056%
Season at home (12)88.781.2169.8+7.567%
Season away (13)82.483.5165.9-1.246%
Last 10 (10)84.385.8170.1-1.540%
Last 5 (5)85.886.4172.2-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)66.081.5147.5-15.50%
vs Similar ◀ (17)86.682.9169.6+3.759%
vs Weaker (11)85.581.8167.3+3.664%
This opponent (Nacional) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -0.9-0.9
NacionalWelcome
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NacionalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hebraica y Macabi
#5
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A22/12
Liga Uruguaya
Bohemios
#13
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H03/01
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#7
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A08/01
Liga Uruguaya
Olimpia Kings
#10
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H16/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#11
W
54-37
54
37
+17
A20/01
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#12
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H24/01
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#3
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H13/02
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#2
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A16/02
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#11
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H01/03
Liga Uruguaya
80.9Avg total
40.8Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.137.277.3+2.953%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.035.774.7+3.356%-
Last 30 away (14)41.438.980.4+2.550%-
Last 10 (10)40.840.180.9+0.740%-
Last 5 (5)38.642.080.6-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (23)39.737.777.3+2.052%-
vs Weaker (7)41.735.777.4+6.057%-
This opponent (Welcome) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WelcomeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Kings
#10
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H21/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#11
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A28/12
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#12
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H08/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A17/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#2
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A19/01
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#9
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H23/01
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#3
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A27/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#8
W
53-43
53
43
+10
A30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#5
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H16/02
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#2
L
44-57
44
57
-13
A02/03
Liga Uruguaya
84.7Avg total
42.5Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.940.181.9+1.860%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.639.282.8+4.473%-
Last 30 away (15)40.140.981.1-0.847%-
Last 10 (10)42.542.284.7+0.340%-
Last 5 (5)45.442.487.8+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)27.538.065.5-10.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)42.840.483.1+2.465%-
vs Weaker (11)43.140.083.1+3.164%-
This opponent (Nacional) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Nacional wins
2
Welcome wins
DateGameScore
18/12/17Nacional v Welcome106-86
06/10/17Welcome v Nacional81-74
26/11/12Welcome v Nacional81-71
09/10/12Nacional v Welcome78-65
Nacionallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/18HUrunday86-88
16/02/18AMalvin86-79
13/02/18HAguada82-80
30/01/18AGoes73-81
24/01/18HLarre Borges96-72
20/01/18AUrunday94-80
16/01/18HOlimpia Kings83-86
08/01/18ATrouville86-90
03/01/18HBohemios77-74
22/12/17AHebraica y Macabi73-84
Welcomelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/18AMalvin85-94
16/02/18HHebraica y Macabi73-80
30/01/18ADefensor101-86
27/01/18AGoes90-84
23/01/18HBigua80-88
19/01/18AMalvin75-84
17/01/18AAguada77-80
08/01/18HLarre Borges99-91
28/12/17AUrunday70-91
21/12/17HOlimpia Kings93-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nacional
Liga Uruguaya 2017-18
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL56%
HomeWLWWL77%
AwayLLWLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %56%77%33%
Points / game81.283.079.3
Allowed / game77.175.079.3
Point differential+4.2+8.0+0.0
Avg total158.3158.0158.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%38%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)57% (7)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Welcome
Liga Uruguaya 2017-18
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL56%
HomeLWWLL67%
AwayLLWWL46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %56%67%46%
Points / game85.488.782.4
Allowed / game82.481.283.5
Point differential+3.0+7.5-1.2
Avg total167.8169.8165.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%42%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Malvin2516964%78.775.0+3.6
2 Hebraica y Macabi25151060%84.482.1+2.3
3 Aguada25151060%77.475.5+2.0
4 Urunday25151060%81.582.7-1.2
5 Nacional25141156%81.277.1+4.2
6 Goes25141156%81.877.7+4.0
7 Welcome25141156%85.482.4+3.0
8 Trouville26131350%80.378.0+2.3
9 Defensor25121348%87.284.1+3.1
10 Bigua26121446%76.878.9-2.1
11 Olimpia Kings26111542%77.880.4-2.5
12 Larre Borges2691735%76.982.0-5.1
13 Bohemios2442017%72.586.3-13.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Nacional211619161688
Welcome192121112496
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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