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Nacional vs Welcome Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 01 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 23:15
Final 115-64
34-14 32-14 20-23 29-13
Position#1
Record-
FormWLWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#12
Record0-2
FormLWLLL
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game97.0
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Polideportivo Gran Parque Central
Other2024-25
Meetings · Nacional v Welcome
12 Jan 2026
NACI120
WELC91
01 Nov 2024
NACI115
WELC64
04 Jan 2019
NACI104
WELC85
12 Apr 2018
NACI75
WELC89
05 Apr 2018
NACI80
WELC77
06 Mar 2018
NACI88
WELC96
18 Dec 2017
NACI106
WELC86
08 Oct 2012
NACI78
WELC65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nacional winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Welcome winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NacionalUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNacional
Date
Competition
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
W
93-52
93
52
+41
99avg 78
A18/04
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
W
67-63
67
63
+4
60avg 78
A23/04
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
L
60-73
60
73
-13
41avg 78
H30/04
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
W
72-66
72
66
+6
65avg 78
A03/05
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
W
81-68
81
68
+13
74avg 78
H06/05
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
W
78-66 OT
78
66
+12
74avg 78
A10/05
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
101-115
101
115
-14
94avg 78
A15/05
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
W
98-89
98
89
+9
92avg 78
H18/05
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
87-92
87
92
-5
76avg 78
A21/05
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
82-97
82
97
-15
71avg 78
H25/05
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-14
24-11
25-15
20-12
17-14
16-16
16-19
18-14
11-29
16-21
12-7
21-16
22-18
19-17
12-17
19-14
26-22
23-25
18-11
14-10
11-12
24-21
16-14
12-16
25-26
20-29
19-32
37-28
27-26
22-22
25-22
24-19
15-25
29-26
16-22
27-19
28-26
18-25
17-26
19-20
160.0Avg total
81.9Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.978.1160.0+3.860%
Last 5 (5)89.291.8181.0-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)82.885.8168.6-3.040%
vs Similar (13)83.985.2169.2-1.338%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)74.772.8147.4+1.958%
This opponent (Welcome) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WelcomeUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWelcome
Date
Competition
Atenas
#12
W
100-91
100
91
+9
no box
H15/01
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#5
L
71-81
71
81
-10
no box
H18/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#9
L
78-92
78
92
-14
no box
A22/01
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#10
L
76-82
76
82
-6
no box
H24/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
67-81
67
81
-14
no box
A28/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#6
L
82-90 OT
82
90
-8
no box
H04/02
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#7
W
91-89
91
89
+2
no box
A09/02
Liga Uruguaya
Olimpia Kings
#4
L
77-87
77
87
-10
no box
H12/02
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
L
75-95
75
95
-20
58avg 58
A26/10
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
L
69-99
69
99
-30
57avg 58
A28/10
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-33
17-16
26-21
30-21
15-24
18-15
17-20
21-22
15-22
14-24
18-18
31-28
11-19
24-21
22-17
19-25
11-26
24-19
21-24
11-12
26-13
14-22
20-24
15-16
21-29
23-17
22-17
25-26
28-21
12-22
24-19
13-25
14-30
25-27
18-19
18-19
20-25
16-30
15-22
18-22
167.3Avg total
78.6Scored
88.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)72.097.0169.0-25.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)72.097.0169.0-25.00%
Last 10 (10)78.688.7167.3-10.120%
Last 5 (5)78.892.0170.8-13.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)76.887.7164.5-10.98%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (6)89.385.5174.8+3.883%
This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -5.4-5.4Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +4.3+4.3Q4: -1.5-1.5
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -5.4-5.4Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +4.3+4.3Q4: -1.5-1.5
NacionalWelcome
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NacionalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
W
48-25
48
25
+23
A18/04
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A23/04
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
L
27-50
27
50
-23
H30/04
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A03/05
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H06/05
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A10/05
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
45-55
45
55
-10
A15/05
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
W
49-48
49
48
+1
H18/05
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A21/05
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
46-51
46
51
-5
H25/05
Liga Uruguaya
84.2Avg total
41.7Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.041.881.8-1.847%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.042.982.9-2.944%-
Last 30 away (14)40.040.680.6-0.650%-
Last 10 (10)41.742.584.2-0.860%-
Last 5 (5)43.847.691.4-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.043.481.4-5.40%-
vs Similar (13)42.343.886.1-1.546%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)38.339.177.4-0.867%-
This opponent (Welcome) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WelcomeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atenas
#12
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H15/01
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#5
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H18/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#9
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A22/01
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#10
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H24/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A28/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#6
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H04/02
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#7
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A09/02
Liga Uruguaya
Olimpia Kings
#4
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H12/02
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
L
39-57
39
57
-18
A26/10
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
L
36-55
36
55
-19
A28/10
Liga Uruguaya
83.0Avg total
37.5Scored
45.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)37.843.481.2-5.634%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.841.378.2-4.531%-
Last 30 away (16)38.645.183.7-6.438%-
Last 10 (10)37.545.583.0-8.010%-
Last 5 (5)39.847.287.0-7.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)36.243.679.8-7.425%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (5)45.642.488.0+3.280%-
This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nacionaltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nacional: 80.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.318.7
47.6%
51.5%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.010.8
37.2%
33.0%32.4
🏀 Free throws15.311.1
72.5%
71.7%11.1
They take 68.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Welcometheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Welcome: 71.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.019.0
48.7%
51.5%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.07.0
22.6%
33.0%21.0
🏀 Free throws16.512.0
72.7%
71.7%12.0
They take 70.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/2 games with a box score before 01 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nacional
LLWLWWWLWW
Welcome
LLLWLLLLLW
#1
League position
#12
+3.6
Net rating
-33.2
103.6
Offensive rating
90.7
100.0
Defensive rating
123.9
51.1%
Effective FG%
42.1%
48.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
15.1%
Turnover %
17.1%
23.5%
Off. rebound %
27.3%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.24
37.2%
3-point %
22.6%
62.0%
Assist %
50.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence103.6 · 90.7Defence100.0 · 123.9Shooting51.1% · 42.1%3-point %37.2% · 22.6%Ball care15.1% · 17.1%Off. rebounds23.5% · 27.3%Free throws0.22 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Nacional   ■ Welcome
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Nacional wins
4
Welcome wins
DateGameScore
04/01/19Nacional v Welcome104-85
16/10/18Welcome v Nacional73-75
17/04/18Welcome v Nacional68-70
12/04/18Nacional v Welcome75-89
09/04/18Welcome v Nacional79-85
05/04/18Nacional v Welcome80-77
02/04/18Welcome v Nacional85-67
06/03/18Nacional v Welcome88-96 OT
18/12/17Nacional v Welcome106-86
06/10/17Welcome v Nacional81-74
Nacionallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/05/24HAguada82-97
21/05/24AAguada87-92
18/05/24HAguada98-89
15/05/24AAguada101-115
10/05/24ACordon78-66 OT
06/05/24HCordon81-68
03/05/24ACordon72-66
30/04/24HCordon60-73
23/04/24APenarol67-63
18/04/24AHebraica y Macabi93-52
Welcomelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/24ABigua69-99
26/10/24ACordon75-95
12/02/19HOlimpia Kings77-87
09/02/19AUrunday91-89
04/02/19HDefensor82-90 OT
28/01/19AAguada67-81
24/01/19HBigua76-82
22/01/19AHebraica y Macabi78-92
18/01/19HTrouville71-81
15/01/19HAtenas100-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nacional
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Welcome
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
Home--
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %0%-0%
Points / game72.0-72.0
Allowed / game97.0-97.0
Point differential-25.0--25.0
Avg total169.0-169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Malvin110100%86.073.0+13.0
2 Hebraica y Macabi110100%85.077.0+8.0
3 Cordon32167%85.072.3+12.7
4 Bigua32167%82.376.0+6.3
5 Penarol32167%78.076.0+2.0
6 Urunday21150%76.575.5+1.0
7 Trouville21150%78.578.5+0.0
8 Urupan31233%72.077.7-5.7
9 Aguada2020%74.083.5-9.5
10 Welcome2020%72.097.0-25.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nacional34322029115
Welcome1414231364
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