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Nanterre vs Murcia Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 19 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 76-71
16-20 21-9 27-17 12-25
Position#12
Record7-6
FormLWWLL
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game82.3
vs
Position#7
Record8-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game77.7
EuropeChampions League· Palais des Sports Maurice Thorez
European cup2024
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nanterre winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murcia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NanterreLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNanterre
Date
Competition
JL Bourg
#6
L
97-100
97
100
-3
105avg 92
A25/01
LNB
Murcia
#7
L
84-95
84
95
-11
76avg 92
A29/01
Champions League
Paris
#1
L
78-92
78
92
-14
88avg 92
H01/02
LNB
Szombathely
#35
W
83-71
83
71
+12
79avg 92
H05/02
Champions League
Dijon
#8
W
66-65
66
65
+1
81avg 92
A08/02
LNB
Cholet
#26
L
84-97
84
97
-13
80avg 92
H11/02
French Cup
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#11
W
93-80
93
80
+13
106avg 92
H28/02
LNB
Nymburk
#3
W
90-86
90
86
+4
91avg 92
A04/03
Champions League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#3
L
74-88
74
88
-14
88avg 92
H09/03
LNB
Nymburk
#3
L
77-100
77
100
-23
67avg 92
H11/03
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-26
19-24
18-25
30-25
24-16
19-34
20-27
21-18
22-27
22-24
20-19
14-22
25-14
19-17
22-15
17-25
11-17
23-21
14-10
18-17
22-21
21-33
24-24
17-19
33-23
18-23
23-24
19-10
24-28
18-20
25-23
23-15
20-28
20-16
20-23
14-21
19-27
12-21
25-27
21-25
170.0Avg total
82.6Scored
87.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)81.882.3164.2-0.554%
Season at home (7)80.382.6162.9-2.343%
Season away (6)83.782.0165.7+1.767%
Last 10 (10)82.687.4170.0-4.840%
Last 5 (5)83.690.2173.8-6.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)84.992.8177.7-7.815%
vs Similar (14)84.480.9165.2+3.564%
vs Weaker (2)90.574.0164.5+16.5100%
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#5
L
90-95 OT
90
95
-5
78avg 72
H26/01
ACB
Nanterre
#12
W
95-84
95
84
+11
91avg 72
H29/01
Champions League
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
88-79
88
79
+9
81avg 72
A01/02
ACB
Nymburk
#3
L
70-85
70
85
-15
63avg 72
A04/02
Champions League
Tenerife
#3
L
77-78
77
78
-1
65avg 72
H08/02
ACB
Granada
#17
W
88-82
88
82
+6
80avg 72
A01/03
ACB
Szombathely
#35
W
104-90 OT
104
90
+14
101avg 72
A05/03
Champions League
Real Madrid
#1
L
75-80
75
80
-5
69avg 72
A09/03
ACB
Szombathely
#35
W
85-63
85
63
+22
80avg 72
H12/03
Champions League
Basquet Girona
#14
L
64-76
64
76
-12
51avg 72
H15/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
11-17
20-13
28-26
16-24
34-19
27-20
18-21
24-13
20-17
19-17
25-32
17-14
18-25
20-24
15-22
20-21
22-20
21-20
14-17
18-22
22-19
24-21
24-20
22-19
24-19
12-17
17-20
28-23
15-14
16-21
16-22
14-17
20-17
27-14
24-15
19-22
14-15
15-16
16-23
164.8Avg total
83.6Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)86.277.7163.9+8.580%
Season at home (5)89.275.2164.4+14.080%
Season away (5)83.280.2163.4+3.080%
Last 10 (10)83.681.2164.8+2.450%
Last 5 (5)83.278.2161.4+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)79.288.4167.6-9.20%
vs Similar (10)78.681.6160.2-3.030%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)84.475.0159.4+9.493%
This opponent (Nanterre) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -2.1-2.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -2.1-2.1
NanterreMurcia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NanterreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
JL Bourg
#6
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A25/01
LNB
Murcia
#7
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A29/01
Champions League
Paris
#1
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H01/02
LNB
Szombathely
#35
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H05/02
Champions League
Dijon
#8
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A08/02
LNB
Cholet
#26
L
43-54
43
54
-11
H11/02
French Cup
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#11
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H28/02
LNB
Nymburk
#3
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A04/03
Champions League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#3
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H09/03
LNB
Nymburk
#3
L
31-48
31
48
-17
H11/03
Champions League
88.1Avg total
42.1Scored
46.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.143.485.5-1.333%-
Last 30 at home (18)42.343.185.3-0.839%-
Last 30 away (12)41.943.985.8-2.025%-
Last 10 (10)42.146.088.1-3.920%-
Last 5 (5)41.448.089.4-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)39.947.287.1-7.28%-
vs Similar (14)44.140.184.2+3.957%-
vs Weaker (2)42.536.579.0+6.050%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#5
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H26/01
ACB
Nanterre
#12
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H29/01
Champions League
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A01/02
ACB
Nymburk
#3
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A04/02
Champions League
Tenerife
#3
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H08/02
ACB
Granada
#17
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A01/03
ACB
Szombathely
#35
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A05/03
Champions League
Real Madrid
#1
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A09/03
ACB
Szombathely
#35
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H12/03
Champions League
Basquet Girona
#14
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H15/03
ACB
77.6Avg total
39.7Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.037.576.5+1.553%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.337.575.9+0.847%-
Last 30 away (15)39.737.577.2+2.360%-
Last 10 (10)39.737.977.6+1.850%-
Last 5 (5)39.237.476.6+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.443.281.6-4.820%-
vs Similar (10)37.537.775.2-0.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)40.335.575.7+4.867%-
This opponent (Nanterre) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nanterretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nanterre: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.522.6
58.7%
52.1%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.07.8
35.5%
35.0%23.4
🏀 Free throws18.313.2
72.1%
74.0%13.2
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.618.8
54.3%
52.1%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.59.2
31.2%
35.0%27.6
🏀 Free throws25.217.4
69.0%
74.0%17.4
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nanterre
LLWWLWWLLL
Murcia
LWLWWLLWWL
#12
League position
#7
-5.9
Net rating
+3.1
110.1
Offensive rating
105.7
116.0
Defensive rating
102.6
56.7%
Effective FG%
50.9%
58.5%
Opp. effective FG%
46.9%
17.5%
Turnover %
17.3%
22.6%
Off. rebound %
29.4%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.39
35.5%
3-point %
31.2%
66.4%
Assist %
60.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence110.1 · 105.7Defence116.0 · 102.6Shooting56.7% · 50.9%3-point %35.5% · 31.2%Ball care17.5% · 17.3%Off. rebounds22.6% · 29.4%Free throws0.30 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Nanterre   ■ Murcia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Nanterre wins
1
Murcia wins
DateGameScore
29/01/25Murcia v Nanterre95-84
Nanterrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/25HNymburk77-100
09/03/25HLyon-Villeurbanne74-88
04/03/25ANymburk90-86
28/02/25HGravelines-Dunkerque93-80
11/02/25HCholet84-97
08/02/25ADijon66-65
05/02/25HSzombathely83-71
01/02/25HParis78-92
29/01/25AMurcia84-95
25/01/25AJL Bourg97-100
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/25HBasquet Girona64-76
12/03/25HSzombathely85-63
09/03/25AReal Madrid75-80
05/03/25ASzombathely104-90 OT
01/03/25AGranada88-82
08/02/25HTenerife77-78
04/02/25ANymburk70-85
01/02/25ABasket Zaragoza88-79
29/01/25HNanterre95-84
26/01/25HBarcelona90-95 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nanterre
Champions League 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL54%
HomeWLWWL43%
AwayWWWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %54%43%67%
Points / game81.880.383.7
Allowed / game82.382.682.0
Point differential-0.5-2.3+1.7
Avg total164.2162.9165.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)33% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Murcia
Champions League 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW80%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayWWWLW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %80%80%80%
Points / game86.289.283.2
Allowed / game77.775.280.2
Point differential+8.5+14.0+3.0
Avg total163.9164.4163.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%60%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %20%20%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tenerife11110100%85.170.5+14.6
2 Unicaja1110191%95.577.5+18.0
3 Nymburk1311285%88.775.9+12.8
4 Murcia108280%86.277.7+8.5
5 AEK Athens108280%84.577.3+7.2
6 Tortona129375%81.974.2+7.8
7 Galatasaray149564%82.780.7+2.0
8 Manresa117464%89.481.8+7.5
9 Rytas117464%86.981.6+5.3
10 Bonn106460%81.281.4-0.2
11 Petkim Spor1710759%81.581.9-0.5
12 Wurzburg116555%85.084.1+0.9
13 Nanterre137654%81.882.3-0.5
14 Reggiana137654%79.580.8-1.3
15 Manisa137654%87.588.9-1.5
16 CSM Oradea21150%85.070.0+15.0
17 Levice21150%93.585.5+8.0
18 MoraBanc Andorra21150%91.086.0+5.0
19 Karsiyaka84450%80.877.0+3.8
20 Rilski Sportist21150%79.576.5+3.0
21 Norrkoping21150%77.075.5+1.5
22 Juventus21150%80.080.5-0.5
23 Sassari21150%74.075.5-1.5
24 Trepca21150%80.081.5-1.5
25 Fribourg Olympic21150%82.585.0-2.5
26 BC Kalev/Cramo21150%75.078.0-3.0
27 PAOK21150%75.079.5-4.5
28 Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan94544%83.284.1-0.9
29 Hapoel Holon94544%78.179.4-1.3
30 Promitheas135838%80.986.0-5.1
31 Benfica83538%75.984.5-8.6
32 Szombathely145936%79.586.8-7.3
33 Oostende93633%77.178.9-1.8
34 Igokea62433%82.286.5-4.3
35 Saint Quentin93633%72.879.0-6.2
36 Peristeri82625%71.674.9-3.2
37 VEF Riga61517%77.380.3-3.0
38 Slask Wroclaw61517%74.582.3-7.8
39 FMP Beograd61517%74.283.8-9.7
40 Vechta61517%78.588.5-10.0
41 Chemnitz81712%77.585.8-8.2
42 Keravnos1010%79.082.0-3.0
43 Spartak Subotica1010%84.087.0-3.0
44 Sabah Baku1010%71.075.0-4.0
45 Cholet1010%70.076.0-6.0
46 BC Nokia1010%64.071.0-7.0
47 Antwerp Giants1010%73.091.0-18.0
48 Kolossos Rhodes6060%64.583.2-18.7
49 Szczecin6060%64.783.3-18.7
50 Den Bosch1010%72.092.0-20.0
51 Kutaisi1010%87.0111.0-24.0
52 Caledonia Gladiators1010%59.090.0-31.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 52 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nanterre1621271276
Murcia209172571
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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