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Murcia vs Nanterre Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 29 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 95-84
16-24 34-19 27-20 18-21
Position#7
Record5-1
FormLLWWL
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game75.8
Murcia 🏆
vs
Position#12
Record5-4
FormLWLWL
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game79.8
EuropeChampions League· Palacio de Deportes de Murcia
European cup2024
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murcia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nanterre winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MurciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#5
L
79-86
79
86
-7
68avg 73
A08/12
ACB
Valencia
#2
L
88-96
88
96
-8
75avg 73
H15/12
ACB
Peristeri
#36
W
83-76
83
76
+7
80avg 73
H18/12
Champions League
Tenerife
#3
L
74-82
74
82
-8
67avg 73
A21/12
ACB
Granada
#17
W
84-81
84
81
+3
74avg 73
H28/12
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
77-89
77
89
-12
74avg 73
H02/01
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
74-80
74
80
-6
64avg 73
A04/01
ACB
Forca Lleida
#16
W
88-81
88
81
+7
76avg 73
H12/01
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#18
W
86-78
86
78
+8
77avg 73
A18/01
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
90-95 OT
90
95
-5
78avg 73
H26/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
20-22
18-20
21-21
25-31
23-24
20-19
20-22
23-17
17-14
22-22
21-23
14-19
19-13
15-25
26-25
15-19
30-17
18-15
21-30
11-27
23-20
21-22
22-20
29-19
13-23
17-20
15-18
18-17
23-18
20-25
27-21
20-18
20-29
23-19
23-12
19-22
11-17
20-13
28-26
166.7Avg total
82.3Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)84.775.8160.5+8.883%
Season at home (3)88.776.3165.0+12.367%
Season away (3)80.775.3156.0+5.3100%
Last 10 (10)82.384.4166.7-2.140%
Last 5 (5)83.084.6167.6-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)76.885.2162.0-8.411%
vs Similar (9)79.683.1162.7-3.633%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)84.375.7160.0+8.591%
This opponent (Nanterre) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NanterreLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNanterre
Date
Competition
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#11
W
89-83 OT
89
83
+6
94avg 94
A15/12
LNB
Hapoel Holon
#29
W
87-77
87
77
+10
84avg 94
H18/12
Champions League
Cholet
#4
L
97-104
97
104
-7
113avg 94
H21/12
LNB
Strasbourg
#12
W
95-88
95
88
+7
114avg 94
A26/12
LNB
Oostende
#32
L
78-88
78
88
-10
70avg 94
H07/01
Champions League
Monaco
#2
L
73-81
73
81
-8
78avg 94
H11/01
LNB
Oostende
#32
W
76-67
76
67
+9
71avg 94
A14/01
Champions League
Le Mans
#5
L
67-85
67
85
-18
74avg 94
H18/01
LNB
Oostende
#32
W
76-71
76
71
+5
69avg 94
H22/01
Champions League
JL Bourg
#6
L
97-100
97
100
-3
105avg 94
A25/01
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-15
18-23
22-16
15-19
20-19
20-18
23-17
24-23
27-21
23-29
22-26
25-28
21-20
28-23
28-21
18-24
20-27
25-21
12-19
21-21
18-18
22-21
15-15
18-27
28-19
17-17
12-15
19-16
14-22
19-27
20-16
14-20
20-21
19-9
19-22
18-19
30-26
19-24
18-25
30-25
167.9Avg total
83.5Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)81.179.8160.9+1.356%
Season at home (5)80.481.4161.8-1.040%
Season away (4)82.077.8159.8+4.275%
Last 10 (10)83.584.4167.9-0.950%
Last 5 (5)77.880.8158.6-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)84.091.4175.4-7.417%
vs Similar (15)84.382.2166.5+2.153%
vs Weaker (3)87.374.0161.3+13.3100%
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -2.0-2.0
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -2.0-2.0
MurciaNanterre
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#5
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A08/12
ACB
Valencia
#2
L
48-55
48
55
-7
H15/12
ACB
Peristeri
#36
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H18/12
Champions League
Tenerife
#3
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A21/12
ACB
Granada
#17
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H28/12
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H02/01
ACB
Manresa
#9
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A04/01
ACB
Forca Lleida
#16
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H12/01
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#18
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A18/01
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H26/01
ACB
80.2Avg total
39.3Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.238.376.5-0.243%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.838.477.1+0.444%-
Last 30 away (14)37.538.375.8-0.843%-
Last 10 (10)39.340.980.2-1.640%-
Last 5 (5)37.442.079.4-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)36.241.777.9-5.411%-
vs Similar (9)37.739.477.1-1.844%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)40.334.875.1+5.573%-
This opponent (Nanterre) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NanterreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#11
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A15/12
LNB
Hapoel Holon
#29
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H18/12
Champions League
Cholet
#4
D
50-50
50
50
+0
H21/12
LNB
Strasbourg
#12
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A26/12
LNB
Oostende
#32
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H07/01
Champions League
Monaco
#2
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H11/01
LNB
Oostende
#32
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A14/01
Champions League
Le Mans
#5
L
33-49
33
49
-16
H18/01
LNB
Oostende
#32
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H22/01
Champions League
JL Bourg
#6
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A25/01
LNB
84.6Avg total
42.6Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.141.984.0+0.147%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.141.984.1+0.247%-
Last 30 away (15)42.041.983.9+0.147%-
Last 10 (10)42.642.084.6+0.650%-
Last 5 (5)41.240.882.0+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)40.445.385.8-4.925%-
vs Similar (15)43.639.382.9+4.367%-
vs Weaker (3)41.041.382.3-0.333%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.421.9
58.6%
52.1%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.87.8
28.1%
35.0%23.4
🏀 Free throws20.514.5
70.7%
74.0%14.5
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nanterretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nanterre: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.4 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.824.7
55.1%
52.1%49.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.97.3
33.3%
35.0%21.9
🏀 Free throws16.611.4
68.7%
74.0%11.4
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Murcia
LWWLLWLWLL
Nanterre
LWLWLLWLWW
#7
League position
#12
-2.9
Net rating
-0.9
106.5
Offensive rating
110.3
109.4
Defensive rating
111.3
51.5%
Effective FG%
53.4%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
56.0%
15.8%
Turnover %
13.5%
27.1%
Off. rebound %
25.1%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.25
28.1%
3-point %
33.3%
58.9%
Assist %
60.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence106.5 · 110.3Defence109.4 · 111.3Shooting51.5% · 53.4%3-point %28.1% · 33.3%Ball care15.8% · 13.5%Off. rebounds27.1% · 25.1%Free throws0.31 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Murcia   ■ Nanterre
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Murcia wins
0
Nanterre wins
No previous meetings.
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/25HBarcelona90-95 OT
18/01/25ALeyma Coruna86-78
12/01/25HForca Lleida88-81
04/01/25AManresa74-80
02/01/25HUnicaja77-89
28/12/24HGranada84-81
21/12/24ATenerife74-82
18/12/24HPeristeri83-76
15/12/24HValencia88-96
08/12/24ABarcelona79-86
Nanterrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/25AJL Bourg97-100
22/01/25HOostende76-71
18/01/25HLe Mans67-85
14/01/25AOostende76-67
11/01/25HMonaco73-81
07/01/25HOostende78-88
26/12/24AStrasbourg95-88
21/12/24HCholet97-104
18/12/24HHapoel Holon87-77
15/12/24AGravelines-Dunkerque89-83 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murcia
Champions League 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %83%67%100%
Points / game84.788.780.7
Allowed / game75.876.375.3
Point differential+8.8+12.3+5.3
Avg total160.5165.0156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %17%33%0%
Nanterre
Champions League 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW56%
HomeLLWLW40%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %56%40%75%
Points / game81.180.482.0
Allowed / game79.881.477.8
Point differential+1.3-1.0+4.2
Avg total160.9161.8159.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unicaja660100%97.372.0+25.3
2 Tenerife770100%84.766.4+18.3
3 Nymburk98189%87.375.8+11.6
4 Manresa76186%94.078.9+15.1
5 Rytas76186%89.777.9+11.9
6 Murcia65183%84.775.8+8.8
7 Tortona97278%79.873.3+6.4
8 Manisa86275%88.886.6+2.1
9 AEK Athens75271%84.477.0+7.4
10 Wurzburg75271%84.781.1+3.6
11 Petkim Spor139469%80.580.1+0.4
12 Galatasaray106460%79.678.3+1.3
13 Bonn106460%81.281.4-0.2
14 Nanterre95456%81.179.8+1.3
15 Reggiana95456%77.179.3-2.2
16 CSM Oradea21150%85.070.0+15.0
17 Levice21150%93.585.5+8.0
18 MoraBanc Andorra21150%91.086.0+5.0
19 Karsiyaka84450%80.877.0+3.8
20 Rilski Sportist21150%79.576.5+3.0
21 Norrkoping21150%77.075.5+1.5
22 Juventus21150%80.080.5-0.5
23 Sassari21150%74.075.5-1.5
24 Trepca21150%80.081.5-1.5
25 Fribourg Olympic21150%82.585.0-2.5
26 Szombathely105550%82.184.7-2.6
27 BC Kalev/Cramo21150%75.078.0-3.0
28 PAOK21150%75.079.5-4.5
29 Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan94544%83.284.1-0.9
30 Hapoel Holon94544%78.179.4-1.3
31 Promitheas94544%79.982.8-2.9
32 Benfica83538%75.984.5-8.6
33 Oostende93633%77.178.9-1.8
34 Igokea62433%82.286.5-4.3
35 Saint Quentin93633%72.879.0-6.2
36 Peristeri82625%71.674.9-3.2
37 VEF Riga61517%77.380.3-3.0
38 Slask Wroclaw61517%74.582.3-7.8
39 FMP Beograd61517%74.283.8-9.7
40 Vechta61517%78.588.5-10.0
41 Chemnitz81712%77.585.8-8.2
42 Keravnos1010%79.082.0-3.0
43 Spartak Subotica1010%84.087.0-3.0
44 Sabah Baku1010%71.075.0-4.0
45 Cholet1010%70.076.0-6.0
46 BC Nokia1010%64.071.0-7.0
47 Antwerp Giants1010%73.091.0-18.0
48 Kolossos Rhodes6060%64.583.2-18.7
49 Szczecin6060%64.783.3-18.7
50 Den Bosch1010%72.092.0-20.0
51 Kutaisi1010%87.0111.0-24.0
52 Caledonia Gladiators1010%59.090.0-31.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 52 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Murcia1634271895
Nanterre2419202184
← all games of the day
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