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Nantes vs ASA Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 11 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 85-97
19-26 22-26 21-20 23-25
Position#17
Record1-4
FormWLLLL
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game86.2
vs
ASA 🏆
France
Position#5
Record3-2
FormLWLWW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game81.4
FrancePro BRound 6· Salle métropolitaine de la Trocardière
Other2024-25
Meetings · Nantes v ASA
23 Oct 2026
NANT99
ASA90
31 Oct 2025
NANT96
ASA84
11 Oct 2024
NANT85
ASA97
12 Jan 2024
NANT84
ASA71
23 Dec 2022
NANT80
ASA83
24 Apr 2022
NANT82
ASA71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nantes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
ASA winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NantesFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNantes
Date
Competition
Antibes
#8
L
88-103
88
103
-15
102avg 89
H19/04
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#15
L
84-101
84
101
-17
90avg 89
H26/04
Pro B
La Rochelle
#1
W
76-75
76
75
+1
86avg 89
A03/05
Pro B
Vichy
#2
L
79-94
79
94
-15
93avg 89
A10/05
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#11
L
74-87
74
87
-13
83avg 89
H13/09
Pro B
Chartres
#21
W
88-66
88
66
+22
105avg 89
A22/09
Pro B
Quimper
#10
L
77-95
77
95
-18
72avg 89
A24/09
French Cup
Boulazac
#2
L
75-81
75
81
-6
84avg 89
A27/09
Pro B
Pau-Orthez
#8
L
84-89
84
89
-5
96avg 89
H01/10
Pro B
Ada Blois
#3
L
75-108
75
108
-33
84avg 89
A04/10
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-25
14-30
19-27
35-21
24-15
15-26
17-27
28-33
18-29
17-9
26-18
15-19
14-24
14-28
24-29
27-13
20-25
11-22
20-14
23-26
25-20
26-22
15-11
22-13
8-26
28-27
30-23
11-19
13-20
22-17
17-23
23-21
20-18
29-21
15-28
20-22
20-23
19-22
22-29
14-34
169.9Avg total
80.0Scored
89.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)79.286.2165.4-7.020%
Season at home (2)79.088.0167.0-9.00%
Season away (3)79.385.0164.3-5.733%
Last 10 (10)80.089.9169.9-9.920%
Last 5 (5)79.887.8167.6-8.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)76.589.2165.8-12.812%
vs Similar (19)82.985.2168.1-2.237%
vs Weaker (2)99.566.5166.0+33.0100%
This opponent (ASA) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ASAFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormASA
Date
Competition
Denain-Voltaire
#15
W
90-89
90
89
+1
102avg 88
A10/05
Pro B
La Rochelle
#1
L
54-68
54
68
-14
61avg 88
A16/05
Pro B
La Rochelle
#1
W
80-73
80
73
+7
98avg 88
H19/05
Pro B
La Rochelle
#1
L
54-75
54
75
-21
56avg 88
A22/05
Pro B
St. Chamond
#12
W
99-94
99
94
+5
123avg 88
H13/09
Pro B
Antibes
#10
L
72-73
72
73
-1
79avg 88
A20/09
Pro B
Charleville Mezieres
#58
W
82-60
82
60
+22
87avg 88
A24/09
French Cup
Evreux
#18
L
79-80
79
80
-1
90avg 88
A27/09
Pro B
Vichy
#6
W
87-80
87
80
+7
102avg 88
H01/10
Pro B
Poitiers
#9
W
83-80
83
80
+3
97avg 88
H04/10
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-28
25-29
18-23
20-9
12-19
19-22
10-13
13-14
20-27
22-16
19-18
19-12
20-26
8-16
12-16
14-17
20-26
22-29
27-23
30-16
11-20
23-13
15-21
23-19
33-25
16-15
29-20
4-0
25-24
20-19
19-12
15-25
15-18
20-19
31-24
21-19
24-27
25-22
19-16
15-15
155.2Avg total
78.0Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)84.081.4165.4+2.660%
Season at home (3)89.784.7174.3+5.0100%
Season away (2)75.576.5152.0-1.00%
Last 10 (10)78.077.2155.2+0.860%
Last 5 (5)80.674.6155.2+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)68.074.0142.0-6.040%
vs Similar (22)82.278.5160.7+3.764%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)79.579.5159.0+0.050%
This opponent (Nantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.3-4.3Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +2.8+2.8
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.3-4.3Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +2.8+2.8
NantesASA
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Antibes
#8
L
34-55
34
55
-21
H19/04
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#15
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H26/04
Pro B
La Rochelle
#1
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A03/05
Pro B
Vichy
#2
L
28-52
28
52
-24
A10/05
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#11
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H13/09
Pro B
Chartres
#21
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A22/09
Pro B
Quimper
#10
L
36-53
36
53
-17
A24/09
French Cup
Boulazac
#2
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A27/09
Pro B
Pau-Orthez
#8
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H01/10
Pro B
Ada Blois
#3
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A04/10
Pro B
82.6Avg total
37.7Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.343.183.4-2.840%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.342.485.7+0.957%-
Last 30 away (16)37.743.681.3-5.925%-
Last 10 (10)37.744.982.6-7.220%-
Last 5 (5)42.043.285.2-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)36.542.879.2-6.212%-
vs Similar (19)40.842.983.7-2.247%-
vs Weaker (2)53.040.593.5+12.5100%-
This opponent (ASA) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ASALast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denain-Voltaire
#15
L
52-57
52
57
-5
A10/05
Pro B
La Rochelle
#1
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A16/05
Pro B
La Rochelle
#1
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H19/05
Pro B
La Rochelle
#1
L
28-42
28
42
-14
A22/05
Pro B
St. Chamond
#12
L
42-55
42
55
-13
H13/09
Pro B
Antibes
#10
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A20/09
Pro B
Charleville Mezieres
#58
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A24/09
French Cup
Evreux
#18
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A27/09
Pro B
Vichy
#6
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H01/10
Pro B
Poitiers
#9
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H04/10
Pro B
84.7Avg total
40.7Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.441.380.7-1.837%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.940.479.3-1.527%-
Last 30 away (15)39.942.182.1-2.247%-
Last 10 (10)40.744.084.7-3.330%-
Last 5 (5)42.440.482.8+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)34.840.875.6-6.00%-
vs Similar (22)39.541.380.8-1.736%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)45.043.088.0+2.0100%-
This opponent (Nantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nantes: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.920.9
52.4%
52.3%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.57.8
31.8%
33.6%23.4
🏀 Free throws18.513.9
75.1%
73.2%13.9
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
ASAtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

ASA: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.518.2
51.3%
52.3%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.78.3
35.0%
33.6%24.9
🏀 Free throws22.216.3
73.4%
73.2%16.3
They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nantes
LLLLWLLWLL
ASA
WWLWLWLWLW
#17
League position
#5
-13.5
Net rating
+1.0
103.4
Offensive rating
106.4
116.9
Defensive rating
105.4
50.6%
Effective FG%
51.8%
55.4%
Opp. effective FG%
49.9%
15.9%
Turnover %
21.0%
22.7%
Off. rebound %
33.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.38
31.8%
3-point %
35.0%
66.6%
Assist %
64.9%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence103.4 · 106.4Defence116.9 · 105.4Shooting50.6% · 51.8%3-point %31.8% · 35.0%Ball care15.9% · 21.0%Off. rebounds22.7% · 33.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Nantes   ■ ASA
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Nantes wins
3
ASA wins
DateGameScore
12/04/24ASA v Nantes100-77
12/01/24Nantes v ASA84-71
07/03/23ASA v Nantes88-65
23/12/22Nantes v ASA80-83
24/04/22Nantes v ASA82-71
12/11/21ASA v Nantes73-87
Nanteslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/24AAda Blois75-108
01/10/24HPau-Orthez84-89
27/09/24ABoulazac75-81
24/09/24AQuimper77-95
22/09/24AChartres88-66
13/09/24HAix Maurienne74-87
10/05/24AVichy79-94
03/05/24ALa Rochelle76-75
26/04/24HDenain-Voltaire84-101
19/04/24HAntibes88-103
ASAlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/24HPoitiers83-80
01/10/24HVichy87-80
27/09/24AEvreux79-80
24/09/24ACharleville Mezieres82-60
20/09/24AAntibes72-73
13/09/24HSt. Chamond99-94
22/05/24ALa Rochelle54-75
19/05/24HLa Rochelle80-73
16/05/24ALa Rochelle54-68
10/05/24ADenain-Voltaire90-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nantes
Pro B 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL20%
HomeLL0%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %20%0%33%
Points / game79.279.079.3
Allowed / game86.288.085.0
Point differential-7.0-9.0-5.7
Avg total165.4167.0164.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
ASA
Pro B 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW60%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%100%0%
Points / game84.089.775.5
Allowed / game81.484.776.5
Point differential+2.6+5.0-1.0
Avg total165.4174.3152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ada Blois440100%89.871.2+18.5
2 Roanne440100%90.274.5+15.8
3 Boulazac54180%76.067.8+8.2
4 Pau-Orthez54180%81.277.4+3.8
5 Orleans43175%84.083.5+0.5
6 St. Chamond53260%92.682.0+10.6
7 Aix Maurienne53260%84.879.2+5.6
8 ASA53260%84.081.4+2.6
9 Denain-Voltaire53260%77.075.8+1.2
10 Antibes53260%79.079.0+0.0
11 Caen53260%74.676.6-2.0
12 Fos-sur-Mer53260%73.075.0-2.0
13 Poitiers52340%83.683.0+0.6
14 Chalons-Reims52340%78.281.4-3.2
15 Evreux41325%77.583.2-5.8
16 Rouen51420%75.878.6-2.8
17 Vichy51420%73.678.6-5.0
18 Nantes51420%79.286.2-7.0
19 Hyeres-Toulon5050%73.087.2-14.2
20 Chartres5050%73.893.4-19.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nantes1922212385
ASA2626202597
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