PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Nantes vs Pau-Orthez Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 01 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 84-89
20-18 29-21 15-28 20-22
Position#17
Record1-2
FormLLWLL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game78.0
vs
Position#8
Record3-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game74.0
FrancePro BRound 4· Salle métropolitaine de la Trocardière
Other2024-25
Meetings · Nantes v Pau-Orthez
30 Sep 2025
NANT76
POR90
01 Oct 2024
NANT84
POR89
09 Feb 2024
NANT73
POR77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nantes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pau-Orthez winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NantesFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNantes
Date
Competition
Angers
#18
W
111-67
111
67
+44
136avg 89
H09/04
Pro B
ASA
#9
L
77-100
77
100
-23
86avg 89
A12/04
Pro B
Antibes
#8
L
88-103
88
103
-15
102avg 89
H19/04
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#15
L
84-101
84
101
-17
90avg 89
H26/04
Pro B
La Rochelle
#1
W
76-75
76
75
+1
86avg 89
A03/05
Pro B
Vichy
#2
L
79-94
79
94
-15
93avg 89
A10/05
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#11
L
74-87
74
87
-13
83avg 89
H13/09
Pro B
Chartres
#21
W
88-66
88
66
+22
105avg 89
A22/09
Pro B
Quimper
#10
L
77-95
77
95
-18
72avg 89
A24/09
French Cup
Boulazac
#2
L
75-81
75
81
-6
84avg 89
A27/09
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-19
30-20
29-17
27-11
18-26
15-16
22-28
22-30
20-25
14-30
19-27
35-21
24-15
15-26
17-27
28-33
18-29
17-9
26-18
15-19
14-24
14-28
24-29
27-13
20-25
11-22
20-14
23-26
25-20
26-22
15-11
22-13
8-26
28-27
30-23
11-19
13-20
22-17
17-23
23-21
169.8Avg total
82.9Scored
86.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)79.078.0157.0+1.033%
Season at home (1)74.087.0161.0-13.00%
Season away (2)81.573.5155.0+8.050%
Last 10 (10)82.986.9169.8-4.030%
Last 5 (5)78.684.6163.2-6.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)77.684.3161.9-6.729%
vs Similar (19)82.985.2168.1-2.237%
vs Weaker (3)94.771.0165.7+23.7100%
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Pau-OrthezFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPau-Orthez
Date
Competition
Fos-sur-Mer
#16
W
87-71
87
71
+16
105avg 85
H19/04
Pro B
ASA
#9
L
67-85
67
85
-18
80avg 85
A28/04
Pro B
Poitiers
#11
W
80-78
80
78
+2
90avg 85
A03/05
Pro B
La Rochelle
#1
W
65-52
65
52
+13
72avg 85
H10/05
Pro B
Vichy
#2
L
71-85
71
85
-14
80avg 85
A16/05
Pro B
Vichy
#2
L
72-73
72
73
-1
82avg 85
H19/05
Pro B
Vichy
#6
W
75-71
75
71
+4
88avg 85
H13/09
Pro B
Fos-sur-Mer
#20
W
78-64
78
64
+14
90avg 85
A20/09
Pro B
Tarbes
#52
W
91-75
91
75
+16
90avg 85
A24/09
French Cup
Antibes
#10
W
92-87
92
87
+5
no box
H27/09
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
28-16
23-17
18-20
21-33
22-20
13-18
11-14
18-16
19-16
23-18
20-28
9-12
18-11
11-16
27-13
21-14
16-27
19-24
15-20
28-15
14-31
19-13
11-14
19-21
25-13
18-21
13-16
22-8
23-11
11-22
22-23
19-22
26-21
25-17
21-15
25-21
23-19
15-22
29-25
151.9Avg total
77.8Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)81.774.0155.7+7.7100%
Season at home (2)83.579.0162.5+4.5100%
Season away (1)78.064.0142.0+14.0100%
Last 10 (10)77.874.1151.9+3.770%
Last 5 (5)81.674.0155.6+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)69.678.6148.2-9.020%
vs Similar (18)78.877.3156.1+1.561%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)82.879.3162.2+3.550%
This opponent (Nantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -0.1-0.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -0.1-0.1
NantesPau-Orthez
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Angers
#18
W
55-39
55
39
+16
H09/04
Pro B
ASA
#9
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A12/04
Pro B
Antibes
#8
L
34-55
34
55
-21
H19/04
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#15
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H26/04
Pro B
La Rochelle
#1
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A03/05
Pro B
Vichy
#2
L
28-52
28
52
-24
A10/05
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#11
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H13/09
Pro B
Chartres
#21
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A22/09
Pro B
Quimper
#10
L
36-53
36
53
-17
A24/09
French Cup
Boulazac
#2
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A27/09
Pro B
82.3Avg total
37.7Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.242.582.8-2.343%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.141.784.8+1.457%-
Last 30 away (16)37.843.281.0-5.531%-
Last 10 (10)37.744.682.3-6.920%-
Last 5 (5)36.246.282.4-10.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)35.741.076.7-5.314%-
vs Similar (19)40.842.983.7-2.247%-
vs Weaker (3)48.740.088.7+8.7100%-
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Pau-OrthezLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fos-sur-Mer
#16
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H19/04
Pro B
ASA
#9
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A28/04
Pro B
Poitiers
#11
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A03/05
Pro B
La Rochelle
#1
W
27-23
27
23
+4
H10/05
Pro B
Vichy
#2
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A16/05
Pro B
Vichy
#2
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H19/05
Pro B
Vichy
#6
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H13/09
Pro B
Fos-sur-Mer
#20
W
45-19
45
19
+26
A20/09
Pro B
Tarbes
#52
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A24/09
French Cup
Antibes
#10
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H27/09
Pro B
77.9Avg total
41.4Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.738.378.0+1.453%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.637.378.9+4.362%-
Last 30 away (17)38.239.177.2-0.947%-
Last 10 (10)41.436.577.9+4.970%-
Last 5 (5)44.836.481.2+8.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)34.240.074.2-5.820%-
vs Similar (18)40.238.178.3+2.261%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)41.736.878.5+4.850%-
This opponent (Nantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nantes: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.821.6
54.3%
52.3%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.38.7
34.4%
33.6%26.1
🏀 Free throws16.812.7
75.6%
73.2%12.7
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pau-Ortheztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pau-Orthez: 71.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.717.3
51.3%
52.3%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.48.4
35.9%
33.6%25.2
🏀 Free throws18.212.0
65.9%
73.2%12.0
They take 57.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nantes
LLWLLWLLLW
Pau-Orthez
WWWWLLWWLW
#17
League position
#8
-5.7
Net rating
+3.9
106.7
Offensive rating
106.8
112.4
Defensive rating
103.0
53.2%
Effective FG%
52.4%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
49.2%
17.0%
Turnover %
20.0%
24.5%
Off. rebound %
34.2%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.32
34.4%
3-point %
35.9%
66.7%
Assist %
54.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence106.7 · 106.8Defence112.4 · 103.0Shooting53.2% · 52.4%3-point %34.4% · 35.9%Ball care17.0% · 20.0%Off. rebounds24.5% · 34.2%Free throws0.26 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Nantes   ■ Pau-Orthez
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Nantes wins
2
Pau-Orthez wins
DateGameScore
09/02/24Nantes v Pau-Orthez73-77
19/01/24Pau-Orthez v Nantes89-78
Nanteslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/09/24ABoulazac75-81
24/09/24AQuimper77-95
22/09/24AChartres88-66
13/09/24HAix Maurienne74-87
10/05/24AVichy79-94
03/05/24ALa Rochelle76-75
26/04/24HDenain-Voltaire84-101
19/04/24HAntibes88-103
12/04/24AASA77-100
09/04/24HAngers111-67
Pau-Orthezlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/09/24HAntibes92-87
24/09/24ATarbes91-75
20/09/24AFos-sur-Mer78-64
13/09/24HVichy75-71
19/05/24HVichy72-73
16/05/24AVichy71-85
10/05/24HLa Rochelle65-52
03/05/24APoitiers80-78
28/04/24AASA67-85
19/04/24HFos-sur-Mer87-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nantes
Pro B 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeL0%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game79.074.081.5
Allowed / game78.087.073.5
Point differential+1.0-13.0+8.0
Avg total157.0161.0155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pau-Orthez
Pro B 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game81.783.578.0
Allowed / game74.079.064.0
Point differential+7.7+4.5+14.0
Avg total155.7162.5142.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Roanne330100%92.772.3+20.3
2 Ada Blois330100%83.770.0+13.7
3 Boulazac330100%77.068.0+9.0
4 Pau-Orthez330100%81.774.0+7.7
5 Poitiers32167%88.082.7+5.3
6 Denain-Voltaire32167%80.375.7+4.7
7 Aix Maurienne32167%88.784.3+4.3
8 Fos-sur-Mer32167%74.774.0+0.7
9 Orleans32167%79.782.0-2.3
10 St. Chamond31233%88.385.3+3.0
11 ASA31233%83.382.3+1.0
12 Nantes31233%79.078.0+1.0
13 Rouen31233%76.075.3+0.7
14 Vichy31233%71.775.0-3.3
15 Antibes31233%77.080.7-3.7
16 Caen31233%76.083.0-7.0
17 Evreux31233%76.383.3-7.0
18 Chalons-Reims3030%75.386.7-11.3
19 Hyeres-Toulon3030%74.789.7-15.0
20 Chartres3030%68.790.3-21.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nantes2029152084
Pau-Orthez1821282289
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.