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Nardo vs Avellino Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 89-80
24-24 17-24 24-16 24-16
Position#19
Record5-15
FormLLLLL
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game80.8
Nardo 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#11
Record12-8
FormWWLWW
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game77.7
ItalySerie A2Round 21· Palasport San Giuseppe da Copertino
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nardo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Avellino Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NardoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNardo
Date
Competition
Basket Torino
#10
L
68-74
68
74
-6
57avg 61
H13/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
L
74-92
74
92
-18
51avg 61
A17/11
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
L
58-66
58
66
-8
52avg 61
A01/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
L
67-82
67
82
-15
49avg 61
H08/12
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
84-77
84
77
+7
77avg 61
H11/12
Serie A2
Cento
#15
L
76-82 OT
76
82
-6
66avg 61
A15/12
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
L
62-85
62
85
-23
55avg 61
A21/12
Serie A2
Forli
#6
L
75-84
75
84
-9
64avg 61
H29/12
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
60-69
60
69
-9
50avg 61
A05/01
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
L
48-81
48
81
-33
32avg 61
A12/01
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-13
15-11
17-25
16-25
25-25
20-24
15-24
14-19
13-17
19-23
15-10
11-16
23-23
17-14
18-30
9-15
25-21
10-21
27-19
22-16
14-18
9-17
28-16
20-20
21-27
20-18
5-23
16-17
19-24
16-25
20-17
20-18
13-19
16-20
13-13
18-17
3-14
13-23
14-22
18-22
146.4Avg total
67.2Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)71.580.8152.2-9.325%
Season at home (9)76.679.9156.4-3.344%
Season away (11)67.381.5148.7-14.29%
Last 10 (10)67.279.2146.4-12.010%
Last 5 (5)64.280.2144.4-16.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)72.080.6152.6-8.631%
vs Similar (14)74.478.6153.0-4.336%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Avellino Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Avellino BasketItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Nardo
#19
W
92-74
92
74
+18
92avg 73
H17/11
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
L
64-92
64
92
-28
52avg 73
A28/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
W
83-81 OT
83
81
+2
82avg 73
H01/12
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
90-85 OT
90
85
+5
79avg 73
A06/12
Serie A2
Cento
#15
W
73-68
73
68
+5
74avg 73
A11/12
Serie A2
Verona
#8
W
77-70
77
70
+7
75avg 73
H15/12
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
W
89-88
89
88
+1
81avg 73
A22/12
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
L
75-79
75
79
-4
70avg 73
H29/12
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
W
84-81
84
81
+3
81avg 73
A05/01
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
83-72
83
72
+11
86avg 73
H11/01
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-25
24-20
24-15
19-14
18-30
6-21
18-23
22-18
17-17
24-20
13-18
17-16
22-13
22-19
17-20
16-25
22-28
21-16
16-8
14-16
17-18
15-23
20-9
25-20
21-21
25-26
25-22
18-19
14-19
19-22
15-13
27-25
15-28
12-16
27-19
30-18
24-20
16-19
19-17
24-16
160.0Avg total
81.0Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)78.177.7155.8+0.460%
Season at home (10)76.774.0150.7+2.760%
Season away (10)79.581.4160.9-1.960%
Last 10 (10)81.079.0160.0+2.080%
Last 5 (5)81.678.0159.6+3.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)67.079.5146.5-12.50%
vs Similar (14)76.977.6154.4-0.757%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)88.077.2165.2+10.8100%
This opponent (Nardo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +2.5+2.5
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +2.5+2.5
NardoAvellino Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NardoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Torino
#10
W
35-24
35
24
+11
H13/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A17/11
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A01/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H08/12
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H11/12
Serie A2
Cento
#15
L
23-35
23
35
-12
A15/12
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A21/12
Serie A2
Forli
#6
L
35-49
35
49
-14
H29/12
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A05/01
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
L
16-37
16
37
-21
A12/01
Serie A2
72.8Avg total
33.1Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.540.576.0-5.037%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.837.976.7+0.964%-
Last 30 away (16)32.642.875.3-10.212%-
Last 10 (10)33.139.772.8-6.620%-
Last 5 (5)28.841.069.8-12.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)34.440.374.7-5.931%-
vs Similar (14)36.740.777.4-4.043%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Avellino Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Avellino BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nardo
#19
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H17/11
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
L
24-51
24
51
-27
A28/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H01/12
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A06/12
Serie A2
Cento
#15
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A11/12
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H15/12
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A22/12
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H29/12
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A05/01
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H11/01
Serie A2
80.0Avg total
37.9Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (20)37.039.876.8-2.835%-
Last 30 at home (10)36.937.174.0-0.260%-
Last 30 away (10)37.142.579.6-5.410%-
Last 10 (10)37.942.180.0-4.240%-
Last 5 (5)35.642.478.0-6.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)31.038.569.5-7.50%-
vs Similar (14)35.839.174.9-3.429%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)44.242.887.0+1.575%-
This opponent (Nardo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nardotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nardo: 66.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.9 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.915.0
45.6%
50.1%30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.89.1
32.7%
34.6%27.3
🏀 Free throws13.48.9
66.4%
74.4%8.9
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Avellino Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino Basket: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.220.7
47.9%
50.1%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.27.6
37.6%
34.6%22.8
🏀 Free throws19.215.8
82.3%
74.4%15.8
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nardo
LLLLLWLLLL
Avellino Basket
WWLWWWWWLW
#19
League position
#11
-17.0
Net rating
+2.7
90.9
Offensive rating
108.6
107.9
Defensive rating
105.9
47.2%
Effective FG%
50.6%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
49.0%
20.1%
Turnover %
16.5%
21.6%
Off. rebound %
30.0%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.30
32.7%
3-point %
37.6%
48.5%
Assist %
65.0%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence90.9 · 108.6Defence107.9 · 105.9Shooting47.2% · 50.6%3-point %32.7% · 37.6%Ball care20.1% · 16.5%Off. rebounds21.6% · 30.0%Free throws0.22 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)10% · 80%
■ Nardo   ■ Avellino Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Nardo wins
1
Avellino Basket wins
DateGameScore
17/11/24Avellino Basket v Nardo92-74
Nardolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/25ABasket Torino48-81
05/01/25ACantu60-69
29/12/24HForli75-84
21/12/24AUrania Milano62-85
15/12/24ACento76-82 OT
11/12/24HCividale84-77
08/12/24HRimini67-82
01/12/24AOrzinuovi58-66
17/11/24AAvellino Basket74-92
13/11/24HBasket Torino68-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/25HAssigeco Piacenza83-72
05/01/25AOrzinuovi84-81
29/12/24HJuVi Cremona75-79
22/12/24ABasket Torino89-88
15/12/24HVerona77-70
11/12/24ACento73-68
06/12/24ACividale90-85 OT
01/12/24HUrania Milano83-81 OT
28/11/24AFortitudo Bologna64-92
17/11/24HNardo92-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nardo
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL25%
HomeWLLWL44%
AwayLLLLL9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20911
Win %25%44%9%
Points / game71.576.667.3
Allowed / game80.879.981.5
Point differential-9.3-3.3-14.2
Avg total152.2156.4148.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%22%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %5%0%9%
Avellino Basket
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW60%
HomeWWWLW60%
AwayLWWWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %60%60%60%
Points / game78.176.779.5
Allowed / game77.774.081.4
Point differential+0.4+2.7-1.9
Avg total155.8150.7160.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%30%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won70% (10)67% (3)71% (7)
Overtime %10%10%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rimini2016480%82.975.8+7.2
2 Udine2015575%83.274.0+9.2
3 Cantu2015575%78.872.2+6.5
4 Cividale2014670%80.276.7+3.6
5 Urania Milano2013765%77.574.0+3.5
6 Verona2012860%76.773.6+3.0
7 Sebastiani Rieti2012860%73.972.8+1.1
8 Avellino Basket2012860%78.177.7+0.4
9 Forli2011955%77.475.1+2.3
10 Fortitudo Bologna2011955%76.275.0+1.2
11 Pesaro20101050%78.079.5-1.6
12 Orzinuovi2091145%78.380.2-1.9
13 Basket Torino2081240%75.876.8-1.1
14 Brindisi2081240%75.877.3-1.6
15 Libertas Livorno2071335%73.775.4-1.7
16 Vigevano2071335%77.080.2-3.2
17 JuVi Cremona2071335%79.283.0-3.8
18 Cento2051525%69.877.8-8.0
19 Nardo2051525%71.580.8-9.3
20 Assigeco Piacenza2031715%74.580.4-5.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nardo2417242489
Avellino Basket2424161680
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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