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Nardo vs Brindisi Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 65-76
18-20 16-15 18-23 13-18
Position#19
Record8-21
FormLLLWL
Points / game73.8
Allowed / game81.6
vs
Position#13
Record15-15
FormWWWLL
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game75.7
ItalySerie A2Round 32· Palasport San Giuseppe da Copertino
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nardo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brindisi winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NardoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNardo
Date
Competition
Basket Torino
#10
L
48-81
48
81
-33
32avg 63
A12/01
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
W
89-80
89
80
+9
78avg 63
H15/01
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
76-83
76
83
-7
64avg 63
H19/01
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
L
70-84
70
84
-14
65avg 63
A26/01
Serie A2
Verona
#8
W
81-78
81
78
+3
73avg 63
H29/01
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
87-91
87
91
-4
78avg 63
A01/02
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
L
79-81
79
81
-2
67avg 63
H09/02
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
L
74-87
74
87
-13
60avg 63
A15/02
Serie A2
Forli
#6
W
82-69
82
69
+13
77avg 63
A26/02
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
L
73-98
73
98
-25
57avg 63
A02/03
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
3-14
13-23
14-22
18-22
24-24
17-24
24-16
24-16
17-18
19-26
24-22
16-17
17-25
30-13
13-28
10-18
20-17
20-21
14-19
27-21
25-24
24-16
19-29
19-22
17-19
27-23
8-29
27-10
14-23
27-23
15-25
18-16
25-19
19-10
20-16
18-24
16-28
18-26
26-24
13-20
159.1Avg total
75.9Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)73.881.6155.4-7.828%
Season at home (13)78.080.1158.1-2.146%
Season away (16)70.482.8153.2-12.412%
Last 10 (10)75.983.2159.1-7.330%
Last 5 (5)79.085.2164.2-6.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)74.581.6156.2-7.132%
vs Similar (5)70.282.6152.8-12.40%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brindisi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrindisiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrindisi
Date
Competition
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
W
72-67
72
67
+5
66avg 69
H15/01
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
L
73-77
73
77
-4
62avg 69
A19/01
Serie A2
Udine
#1
W
90-79
90
79
+11
90avg 69
A25/01
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
W
90-55
90
55
+35
82avg 69
H29/01
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
W
80-75
80
75
+5
74avg 69
A02/02
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
73-69
73
69
+4
65avg 69
H09/02
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
W
78-74
78
74
+4
70avg 69
H16/02
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
W
77-69
77
69
+8
70avg 69
A19/02
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
63-82
63
82
-19
52avg 69
A26/02
Serie A2
Cento
#15
L
76-77
76
77
-1
70avg 69
H02/03
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-13
17-11
12-28
23-15
16-19
19-14
16-24
22-20
22-22
17-15
19-26
32-16
23-22
29-13
19-8
19-12
19-23
26-21
16-17
19-14
19-21
18-11
17-16
19-21
17-17
23-23
22-18
16-16
14-24
16-15
18-16
29-14
13-18
16-22
20-22
14-20
14-18
23-18
16-23
23-18
149.6Avg total
77.2Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)76.275.7151.9+0.550%
Season at home (14)78.672.7151.3+5.971%
Season away (16)74.278.3152.5-4.131%
Last 10 (10)77.272.4149.6+4.870%
Last 5 (5)73.474.2147.6-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)78.778.3157.0+0.367%
vs Similar (24)75.675.4151.0+0.246%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)79.075.3154.3+3.767%
This opponent (Nardo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: -5.3-5.3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +5.0+5.0
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: -5.3-5.3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +5.0+5.0
NardoBrindisi
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NardoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Torino
#10
L
16-37
16
37
-21
A12/01
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H15/01
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H19/01
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A26/01
Serie A2
Verona
#8
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H29/01
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A01/02
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H09/02
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A15/02
Serie A2
Forli
#6
W
44-29
44
29
+15
A26/02
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
L
34-54
34
54
-20
A02/03
Serie A2
80.8Avg total
39.2Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.041.177.2-5.133%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.639.477.0-1.854%-
Last 30 away (17)34.842.577.3-7.618%-
Last 10 (10)39.241.680.8-2.450%-
Last 5 (5)42.442.284.6+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)37.041.078.0-3.940%-
vs Similar (5)31.042.073.0-11.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brindisi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrindisiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
W
37-24
37
24
+13
H15/01
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A19/01
Serie A2
Udine
#1
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A25/01
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
W
52-35
52
35
+17
H29/01
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A02/02
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H09/02
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H16/02
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A19/02
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A26/02
Serie A2
Cento
#15
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H02/03
Serie A2
74.1Avg total
38.1Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.637.476.0+1.253%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.636.177.8+5.571%-
Last 30 away (16)36.038.574.5-2.538%-
Last 10 (10)38.136.074.1+2.170%-
Last 5 (5)34.637.472.0-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.740.379.0-1.767%-
vs Similar (24)38.337.075.2+1.350%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)41.338.079.3+3.367%-
This opponent (Nardo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nardotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nardo: 74.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.616.6
48.0%
50.1%33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.89.9
36.9%
34.6%29.7
🏀 Free throws16.012.0
75.0%
74.4%12.0
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brindisitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brindisi: 76.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.621.3
51.2%
50.1%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.76.2
33.2%
34.6%18.6
🏀 Free throws19.915.2
76.4%
74.4%15.2
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nardo
LWLLLWLLWL
Brindisi
LLWWWWWWLW
#19
League position
#13
-10.2
Net rating
+6.6
101.9
Offensive rating
109.3
112.1
Defensive rating
102.7
51.2%
Effective FG%
50.7%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
19.0%
Turnover %
15.8%
24.5%
Off. rebound %
29.6%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.33
36.9%
3-point %
33.2%
44.5%
Assist %
52.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence101.9 · 109.3Defence112.1 · 102.7Shooting51.2% · 50.7%3-point %36.9% · 33.2%Ball care19.0% · 15.8%Off. rebounds24.5% · 29.6%Free throws0.26 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Nardo   ■ Brindisi
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Nardo wins
0
Brindisi wins
DateGameScore
27/10/24Brindisi v Nardo63-76
Nardolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/25AJuVi Cremona73-98
26/02/25AForli82-69
15/02/25ASebastiani Rieti74-87
09/02/25HUrania Milano79-81
01/02/25ACividale87-91
29/01/25HVerona81-78
26/01/25APesaro70-84
19/01/25HUdine76-83
15/01/25HAvellino Basket89-80
12/01/25ABasket Torino48-81
Brindisilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/25HCento76-77
26/02/25AVerona63-82
19/02/25ALibertas Livorno77-69
16/02/25HBasket Torino78-74
09/02/25HFortitudo Bologna73-69
02/02/25AOrzinuovi80-75
29/01/25HRimini90-55
25/01/25AUdine90-79
19/01/25AAvellino Basket73-77
15/01/25HSebastiani Rieti72-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nardo
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL28%
HomeLWLWL46%
AwayLLLWL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291316
Win %28%46%12%
Points / game73.878.070.4
Allowed / game81.680.182.8
Point differential-7.8-2.1-12.4
Avg total155.4158.1153.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%15%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Brindisi
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL50%
HomeWWWWL71%
AwayLWWWL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301416
Win %50%71%31%
Points / game76.278.674.2
Allowed / game75.772.778.3
Point differential+0.5+5.9-4.1
Avg total151.9151.3152.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%29%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)71% (7)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Udine3023777%83.575.0+8.5
2 Rimini2920969%81.078.0+3.0
3 Cantu30191163%77.572.8+4.7
4 Cividale30191163%80.778.5+2.2
5 Urania Milano29181162%77.675.5+2.1
6 Fortitudo Bologna30181260%75.873.2+2.6
7 Sebastiani Rieti30181260%75.073.3+1.7
8 Forli29171259%76.875.1+1.7
9 Pesaro30171357%81.979.7+2.2
10 Avellino Basket29161355%78.779.2-0.5
11 Verona31171455%76.273.4+2.8
12 Basket Torino32161650%76.575.8+0.7
13 Brindisi30151550%76.275.7+0.5
14 JuVi Cremona29111838%80.382.2-1.9
15 Orzinuovi29111838%77.781.0-3.3
16 Cento30111937%72.978.1-5.2
17 Libertas Livorno32112134%74.776.7-2.0
18 Vigevano2992031%75.780.6-4.9
19 Nardo2982128%73.881.6-7.8
20 Assigeco Piacenza3152616%75.782.8-7.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nardo1816181365
Brindisi2015231876
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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