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Cividale vs Nardo Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 91-87
24-25 16-24 29-19 22-19
Position#5
Record16-8
FormWLWLW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game77.6
vs
Position#19
Record7-17
FormLWLLW
Points / game72.7
Allowed / game80.8
ItalySerie A2Round 25· PalaGesteco
Other2024-25
Meetings · Cividale v Nardo
01 Feb 2025
CIVI91
NARD87
28 Oct 2023
CIVI75
NARD79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cividale winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nardo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CividaleItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCividale
Date
Competition
Nardo
#19
L
77-84
77
84
-7
61avg 73
A11/12
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
L
79-81 OT
79
81
-2
68avg 73
A14/12
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
L
87-89
87
89
-2
79avg 73
H21/12
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
W
74-65
74
65
+9
67avg 73
A29/12
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
W
97-86
97
86
+11
92avg 73
H05/01
Serie A2
Forli
#6
W
82-79
82
79
+3
77avg 73
A12/01
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
66-76
66
76
-10
53avg 73
A15/01
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
W
88-74
88
74
+14
86avg 73
H18/01
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
L
71-90
71
90
-19
55avg 73
A25/01
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
90-89
90
89
+1
89avg 73
H29/01
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-25
21-10
19-27
16-22
20-19
18-15
14-17
18-19
26-25
21-17
10-23
30-24
18-11
18-24
10-16
28-14
21-27
31-20
22-24
23-15
20-20
13-19
23-13
26-27
14-22
27-22
13-12
12-20
27-26
26-12
19-21
16-15
10-17
22-30
14-24
25-19
25-18
24-25
22-29
19-17
162.4Avg total
81.1Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)80.077.6157.6+2.467%
Season at home (12)82.876.5159.3+6.383%
Season away (12)77.278.7155.8-1.550%
Last 10 (10)81.181.3162.4-0.250%
Last 5 (5)79.481.6161.0-2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)71.577.3148.8-5.833%
vs Similar (18)81.779.1160.8+2.667%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)79.271.5150.7+7.783%
This opponent (Nardo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NardoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNardo
Date
Competition
Cividale
#5
W
84-77
84
77
+7
77avg 62
H11/12
Serie A2
Cento
#15
L
76-82 OT
76
82
-6
66avg 62
A15/12
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
L
62-85
62
85
-23
55avg 62
A21/12
Serie A2
Forli
#6
L
75-84
75
84
-9
64avg 62
H29/12
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
60-69
60
69
-9
50avg 62
A05/01
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
L
48-81
48
81
-33
32avg 62
A12/01
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
W
89-80
89
80
+9
78avg 62
H15/01
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
76-83
76
83
-7
64avg 62
H19/01
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
L
70-84
70
84
-14
65avg 62
A26/01
Serie A2
Verona
#8
W
81-78
81
78
+3
73avg 62
H29/01
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-21
10-21
27-19
22-16
14-18
9-17
28-16
20-20
21-27
20-18
5-23
16-17
19-24
16-25
20-17
20-18
13-19
16-20
13-13
18-17
3-14
13-23
14-22
18-22
24-24
17-24
24-16
24-16
17-18
19-26
24-22
16-17
17-25
30-13
13-28
10-18
20-17
20-21
14-19
27-21
152.4Avg total
72.1Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)72.780.8153.5-8.129%
Season at home (12)77.980.0157.9-2.150%
Season away (12)67.581.7149.2-14.28%
Last 10 (10)72.180.3152.4-8.230%
Last 5 (5)72.881.2154.0-8.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)73.480.8154.2-7.335%
vs Similar (10)75.079.7154.7-4.740%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cividale) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +0.9+0.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +0.9+0.9
CividaleNardo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CividaleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nardo
#19
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A11/12
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A14/12
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H21/12
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A29/12
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H05/01
Serie A2
Forli
#6
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A12/01
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A15/01
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H18/01
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A25/01
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H29/01
Serie A2
82.7Avg total
42.3Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.136.976.0+2.263%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.536.475.9+3.173%-
Last 30 away (15)38.637.476.0+1.253%-
Last 10 (10)42.340.482.7+1.970%-
Last 5 (5)41.642.283.8-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)35.540.275.7-4.717%-
vs Similar (18)38.737.976.6+0.867%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)43.830.774.5+13.2100%-
This opponent (Nardo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NardoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cividale
#5
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H11/12
Serie A2
Cento
#15
L
23-35
23
35
-12
A15/12
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A21/12
Serie A2
Forli
#6
L
35-49
35
49
-14
H29/12
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A05/01
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
L
16-37
16
37
-21
A12/01
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H15/01
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H19/01
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A26/01
Serie A2
Verona
#8
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H29/01
Serie A2
75.8Avg total
34.3Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.541.076.6-5.537%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.739.077.7-0.360%-
Last 30 away (15)32.443.175.5-10.713%-
Last 10 (10)34.341.575.8-7.220%-
Last 5 (5)36.041.077.0-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)35.740.676.3-4.935%-
vs Similar (10)35.241.877.0-6.640%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cividale) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cividaletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cividale: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.219.7
51.6%
50.1%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.88.0
29.9%
34.6%24.0
🏀 Free throws21.916.8
76.7%
74.4%16.8
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nardotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nardo: 71.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.015.9
48.2%
50.1%31.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.29.8
36.0%
34.6%29.4
🏀 Free throws14.710.1
68.7%
74.4%10.1
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cividale
WLWLWWWLLL
Nardo
WLLWLLLLLW
#5
League position
#19
-1.1
Net rating
-10.8
109.0
Offensive rating
96.5
110.1
Defensive rating
107.4
48.8%
Effective FG%
50.8%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
15.1%
Turnover %
20.8%
30.4%
Off. rebound %
23.0%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.24
29.9%
3-point %
36.0%
57.4%
Assist %
49.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence109.0 · 96.5Defence110.1 · 107.4Shooting48.8% · 50.8%3-point %29.9% · 36.0%Ball care15.1% · 20.8%Off. rebounds30.4% · 23.0%Free throws0.34 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Cividale   ■ Nardo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Cividale wins
3
Nardo wins
DateGameScore
11/12/24Nardo v Cividale84-77
30/12/23Nardo v Cividale91-81
28/10/23Cividale v Nardo75-79
Cividalelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/25HJuVi Cremona90-89
25/01/25ASebastiani Rieti71-90
18/01/25HLibertas Livorno88-74
15/01/25AUdine66-76
12/01/25AForli82-79
05/01/25HPesaro97-86
29/12/24ABasket Torino74-65
21/12/24HOrzinuovi87-89
14/12/24AUrania Milano79-81 OT
11/12/24ANardo77-84
Nardolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/25HVerona81-78
26/01/25APesaro70-84
19/01/25HUdine76-83
15/01/25HAvellino Basket89-80
12/01/25ABasket Torino48-81
05/01/25ACantu60-69
29/12/24HForli75-84
21/12/24AUrania Milano62-85
15/12/24ACento76-82 OT
11/12/24HCividale84-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cividale
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW67%
HomeLLWWW83%
AwayLWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %67%83%50%
Points / game80.082.877.2
Allowed / game77.676.578.7
Point differential+2.4+6.3-1.5
Avg total157.6159.3155.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%33%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won70% (10)60% (5)80% (5)
Overtime %12%8%17%
Nardo
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW29%
HomeWLWLW50%
AwayLLLLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %29%50%8%
Points / game72.777.967.5
Allowed / game80.880.081.7
Point differential-8.1-2.1-14.2
Avg total153.5157.9149.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%17%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Udine2418675%83.174.0+9.1
2 Rimini2418675%81.276.5+4.7
3 Cantu2416867%76.772.1+4.5
4 Cividale2416867%80.077.6+2.4
5 Fortitudo Bologna2415962%76.273.2+3.0
6 Sebastiani Rieti2415962%74.873.0+1.9
7 Urania Milano24141058%76.775.2+1.5
8 Avellino Basket24141058%77.978.1-0.2
9 Verona24131154%77.074.6+2.4
10 Forli24131154%77.375.4+2.0
11 Pesaro24131154%79.779.0+0.8
12 Brindisi24111346%76.776.0+0.6
13 Basket Torino24101442%75.776.9-1.2
14 Libertas Livorno2491538%74.775.3-0.6
15 JuVi Cremona2491538%80.383.0-2.7
16 Orzinuovi2491538%77.281.7-4.5
17 Vigevano2481633%76.581.2-4.7
18 Cento2481633%72.077.5-5.5
19 Nardo2471729%72.780.8-8.1
20 Assigeco Piacenza2442017%75.080.3-5.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cividale2416292291
Nardo2524191987
← all games of the day
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