PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Nardo vs Urania Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 79-81
17-19 27-23 8-29 27-10
Position#19
Record7-18
FormWLLWL
Points / game73.3
Allowed / game81.2
vs
Position#12
Record15-10
FormLLWLW
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game75.8
ItalySerie A2Round 26· Palasport San Giuseppe da Copertino
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nardo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Urania Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NardoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNardo
Date
Competition
Cento
#15
L
76-82 OT
76
82
-6
66avg 63
A15/12
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
L
62-85
62
85
-23
55avg 63
A21/12
Serie A2
Forli
#6
L
75-84
75
84
-9
64avg 63
H29/12
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
60-69
60
69
-9
50avg 63
A05/01
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
L
48-81
48
81
-33
32avg 63
A12/01
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
W
89-80
89
80
+9
78avg 63
H15/01
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
76-83
76
83
-7
64avg 63
H19/01
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
L
70-84
70
84
-14
65avg 63
A26/01
Serie A2
Verona
#8
W
81-78
81
78
+3
73avg 63
H29/01
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
87-91
87
91
-4
78avg 63
A01/02
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-18
9-17
28-16
20-20
21-27
20-18
5-23
16-17
19-24
16-25
20-17
20-18
13-19
16-20
13-13
18-17
3-14
13-23
14-22
18-22
24-24
17-24
24-16
24-16
17-18
19-26
24-22
16-17
17-25
30-13
13-28
10-18
20-17
20-21
14-19
27-21
25-24
24-16
19-29
19-22
154.1Avg total
72.4Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)73.381.2154.5-8.028%
Season at home (12)77.980.0157.9-2.150%
Season away (13)69.082.4151.4-13.48%
Last 10 (10)72.481.7154.1-9.320%
Last 5 (5)80.683.2163.8-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)74.081.2155.3-7.233%
vs Similar (9)74.179.9154.0-5.833%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Urania Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Urania MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Cividale
#5
W
81-79 OT
81
79
+2
73avg 71
H14/12
Serie A2
Nardo
#19
W
85-62
85
62
+23
85avg 71
H21/12
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
L
68-86
68
86
-18
51avg 71
A29/12
Serie A2
Cento
#15
W
84-81 OT
84
81
+3
78avg 71
H05/01
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
W
66-56
66
56
+10
61avg 71
A11/01
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
L
72-73
72
73
-1
66avg 71
H15/01
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
L
70-97
70
97
-27
59avg 71
A19/01
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
W
63-57
63
57
+6
59avg 71
H24/01
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
L
86-98
86
98
-12
79avg 71
A29/01
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
W
98-91
98
91
+7
95avg 71
H01/02
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
15-18
17-14
19-18
27-21
18-20
23-5
17-16
12-23
11-22
26-19
19-22
23-13
18-23
19-30
15-9
21-9
15-16
12-11
18-20
11-16
18-24
15-14
28-19
21-27
13-25
11-23
25-22
8-15
15-13
25-9
15-20
25-28
23-14
14-31
24-25
16-28
24-20
25-17
33-26
155.3Avg total
77.3Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)77.675.8153.4+1.760%
Season at home (13)80.273.0153.2+7.277%
Season away (12)74.778.9153.6-4.242%
Last 10 (10)77.378.0155.3-0.760%
Last 5 (5)77.883.2161.0-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)76.481.4157.8-5.025%
vs Similar (19)78.676.3154.9+2.363%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)85.777.7163.3+8.067%
This opponent (Nardo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +1.6+1.6
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +1.6+1.6
NardoUrania Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NardoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cento
#15
L
23-35
23
35
-12
A15/12
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A21/12
Serie A2
Forli
#6
L
35-49
35
49
-14
H29/12
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A05/01
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
L
16-37
16
37
-21
A12/01
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H15/01
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H19/01
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A26/01
Serie A2
Verona
#8
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H29/01
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A01/02
Serie A2
77.0Avg total
35.7Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.741.076.7-5.337%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.338.977.1-0.657%-
Last 30 away (16)33.442.976.3-9.419%-
Last 10 (10)35.741.377.0-5.630%-
Last 5 (5)42.641.684.2+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)36.340.677.0-4.338%-
vs Similar (9)34.241.976.1-7.733%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Urania Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Urania MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cividale
#5
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H14/12
Serie A2
Nardo
#19
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H21/12
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
L
23-45
23
45
-22
A29/12
Serie A2
Cento
#15
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H05/01
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
W
36-25
36
25
+11
A11/01
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H15/01
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
L
34-52
34
52
-18
A19/01
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
23-28
23
28
-5
H24/01
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A29/01
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H01/02
Serie A2
74.8Avg total
35.3Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.540.778.2-3.243%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.939.176.0-2.150%-
Last 30 away (14)38.142.580.6-4.436%-
Last 10 (10)35.339.574.8-4.240%-
Last 5 (5)34.842.076.8-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)32.442.274.6-9.912%-
vs Similar (19)38.239.777.9-1.647%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)47.042.389.3+4.7100%-
This opponent (Nardo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nardotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nardo: 71.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.1 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.716.1
49.2%
50.1%32.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.310.1
35.7%
34.6%30.3
🏀 Free throws13.99.1
65.5%
74.4%9.1
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Urania Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Urania Milano: 76.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.720.0
49.1%
50.1%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.88.6
34.7%
34.6%25.8
🏀 Free throws15.510.7
69.0%
74.4%10.7
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nardo
LWLLWLLLLL
Urania Milano
WLWLLWWLWW
#19
League position
#12
-12.6
Net rating
-0.9
96.8
Offensive rating
102.2
109.3
Defensive rating
103.1
51.2%
Effective FG%
50.2%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
49.1%
19.6%
Turnover %
15.3%
21.0%
Off. rebound %
23.7%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.24
35.7%
3-point %
34.7%
51.1%
Assist %
64.7%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence96.8 · 102.2Defence109.3 · 103.1Shooting51.2% · 50.2%3-point %35.7% · 34.7%Ball care19.6% · 15.3%Off. rebounds21.0% · 23.7%Free throws0.23 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Nardo   ■ Urania Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Nardo wins
1
Urania Milano wins
DateGameScore
21/12/24Urania Milano v Nardo85-62
15/02/24Urania Milano v Nardo71-81
Nardolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/25ACividale87-91
29/01/25HVerona81-78
26/01/25APesaro70-84
19/01/25HUdine76-83
15/01/25HAvellino Basket89-80
12/01/25ABasket Torino48-81
05/01/25ACantu60-69
29/12/24HForli75-84
21/12/24AUrania Milano62-85
15/12/24ACento76-82 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/25HRimini98-91
29/01/25AAssigeco Piacenza86-98
24/01/25HCantu63-57
19/01/25APesaro70-97
15/01/25HBasket Torino72-73
11/01/25ASebastiani Rieti66-56
05/01/25HCento84-81 OT
29/12/24ALibertas Livorno68-86
21/12/24HNardo85-62
14/12/24HCividale81-79 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nardo
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL28%
HomeWLWLW50%
AwayLLLLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %28%50%8%
Points / game73.377.969.0
Allowed / game81.280.082.4
Point differential-8.0-2.1-13.4
Avg total154.5157.9151.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%17%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Urania Milano
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW60%
HomeWWLWW77%
AwayLLWLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %60%77%42%
Points / game77.680.274.7
Allowed / game75.873.078.9
Point differential+1.7+7.2-4.2
Avg total153.4153.2153.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%38%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)50% (6)0% (2)
Overtime %12%15%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Udine2519676%83.874.6+9.1
2 Rimini2518772%81.677.4+4.2
3 Cividale2617965%80.378.5+1.8
4 Cantu2516964%76.772.5+4.2
5 Fortitudo Bologna2516964%76.572.9+3.6
6 Sebastiani Rieti2516964%75.272.8+2.4
7 Urania Milano25151060%77.675.8+1.7
8 Pesaro26151158%81.679.2+2.5
9 Verona25141156%76.974.4+2.5
10 Forli25141156%77.575.4+2.0
11 Avellino Basket25141156%78.479.0-0.6
12 Brindisi25121348%76.876.0+0.8
13 Basket Torino25101540%75.477.2-1.8
14 JuVi Cremona26101638%80.683.0-2.3
15 Libertas Livorno2591636%74.575.4-0.8
16 Orzinuovi2591636%77.181.6-4.6
17 Vigevano2581732%76.181.3-5.2
18 Cento2581732%72.377.9-5.6
19 Nardo2571828%73.381.2-8.0
20 Assigeco Piacenza2652119%75.881.8-5.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nardo172782779
Urania Milano1923291081
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.