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Nassjo vs BC Lulea Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 18 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 17:04
Final 95-109
26-28 24-26 25-22 20-33
Position#5
Record0-3
FormLLLLL
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game93.3
vs
Position#3
Record2-1
FormWLWLW
Points / game90.3
Allowed / game77.3
SwedenBasketligan· Nassjo Sporthall
Other2024-25
Meetings · Nassjo v BC Lulea
08 Jan 2027
NASS v LUL
upcoming
23 Sep 2025
NASS84
LUL78
13 Apr 2025
NASS100
LUL96
11 Apr 2025
NASS100
LUL94
18 Oct 2024
NASS95
LUL109
08 Apr 2024
NASS87
LUL100
05 Jan 2024
NASS100
LUL86
08 Dec 2023
NASS69
LUL88
13 Jan 2023
NASS91
LUL76
15 Feb 2022
NASS83
LUL82
09 Nov 2021
NASS119
LUL117
06 Apr 2021
NASS74
LUL100
30 Dec 2020
NASS96
LUL103
14 Feb 2020
NASS75
LUL98
01 Oct 2019
NASS77
LUL83
10 Feb 2019
NASS65
LUL68
09 Nov 2018
NASS85
LUL81
27 Mar 2018
NASS94
LUL97
05 Jan 2018
NASS102
LUL104
27 Jan 2017
NASS90
LUL76
28 Oct 2016
NASS61
LUL70
11 Dec 2015
NASS71
LUL80
07 Nov 2014
NASS83
LUL76
21 Feb 2014
NASS96
LUL90
22 Nov 2013
NASS94
LUL76
09 Oct 2012
NASS69
LUL78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nassjo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BC Lulea winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NassjoSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNassjo
Date
Competition
BC Lulea
#3
L
85-100
85
100
-15
81avg 79
A07/03
Basketligan
Uppsala
#7
W
86-71
86
71
+15
87avg 79
H19/03
Basketligan
Umea
#9
W
103-74
103
74
+29
108avg 79
H22/03
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#8
W
98-87
98
87
+11
86avg 79
A26/03
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#3
L
90-95 OT
90
95
-5
74avg 79
A03/04
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#3
L
74-90
74
90
-16
67avg 79
A05/04
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#3
L
87-100
87
100
-13
77avg 79
H08/04
Basketligan
Boras
#2
L
74-99
74
99
-25
64avg 79
A04/10
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
L
86-89
86
89
-3
74avg 79
H08/10
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#8
L
75-92
75
92
-17
65avg 79
A12/10
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-25
25-25
16-29
22-21
29-26
25-10
15-17
17-18
17-23
27-22
34-14
25-15
29-26
27-24
25-20
17-17
18-20
21-22
21-27
21-12
18-26
19-21
25-12
12-31
19-24
20-29
25-22
23-25
21-22
21-25
22-25
10-27
23-18
20-27
19-16
24-28
17-19
15-30
20-20
23-23
175.5Avg total
85.8Scored
89.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)78.393.3171.7-15.00%
Season at home (1)86.089.0175.0-3.00%
Season away (2)74.595.5170.0-21.00%
Last 10 (10)85.889.7175.5-3.930%
Last 5 (5)79.294.0173.2-14.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)80.692.4173.0-11.86%
vs Similar (5)86.885.0171.8+1.860%
vs Weaker (8)93.984.5178.4+9.488%
This opponent (BC Lulea) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC LuleaSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLulea
Date
Competition
Nassjo
#6
W
90-74
90
74
+16
80avg 84
H05/04
Basketligan
Nassjo
#6
W
100-87
100
87
+13
96avg 84
A08/04
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
L
76-100
76
100
-24
59avg 84
A16/04
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
L
74-85
74
85
-11
65avg 84
A19/04
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
L
83-96
83
96
-13
79avg 84
H22/04
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
W
98-76
98
76
+22
91avg 84
H24/04
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
L
57-83
57
83
-26
47avg 84
A26/04
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#4
W
99-68
99
68
+31
100avg 84
H04/10
Basketligan
Hogsbo
#9
L
81-90
81
90
-9
75avg 84
A08/10
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
W
91-74
91
74
+17
91avg 84
H11/10
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-18
21-19
12-25
31-12
24-19
29-20
22-25
25-23
15-24
23-27
14-20
24-29
19-20
24-27
5-21
26-17
19-26
21-21
17-27
26-22
24-13
24-20
27-18
23-25
18-19
16-20
12-22
11-22
25-22
30-20
28-12
16-14
16-21
21-16
15-26
29-27
11-12
22-19
28-15
30-28
168.2Avg total
84.9Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)90.377.3167.7+13.067%
Season at home (2)95.071.0166.0+24.0100%
Season away (1)81.090.0171.0-9.00%
Last 10 (10)84.983.3168.2+1.650%
Last 5 (5)85.278.2163.4+7.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)82.688.1170.7-5.643%
vs Similar (5)87.288.6175.8-1.420%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)94.780.3174.9+14.489%
This opponent (Nassjo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +2.2+2.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +2.2+2.2
NassjoBC Lulea
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NassjoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Lulea
#3
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A07/03
Basketligan
Uppsala
#7
W
54-36
54
36
+18
H19/03
Basketligan
Umea
#9
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H22/03
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#8
W
56-50
56
50
+6
A26/03
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#3
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A03/04
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#3
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A05/04
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#3
L
39-53
39
53
-14
H08/04
Basketligan
Boras
#2
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A04/10
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H08/10
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#8
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A12/10
Basketligan
89.7Avg total
43.3Scored
46.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.746.389.0-3.630%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.544.587.9-1.046%-
Last 30 away (17)42.147.689.8-5.518%-
Last 10 (10)43.346.489.7-3.120%-
Last 5 (5)38.648.286.8-9.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)39.746.085.7-6.318%-
vs Similar (5)43.244.888.0-1.660%-
vs Weaker (8)48.847.896.5+1.038%-
This opponent (BC Lulea) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC LuleaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nassjo
#6
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H05/04
Basketligan
Nassjo
#6
W
53-39
53
39
+14
A08/04
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A16/04
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A19/04
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H22/04
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H24/04
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A26/04
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#4
W
55-42
55
42
+13
H04/10
Basketligan
Hogsbo
#9
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A08/10
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H11/10
Basketligan
83.1Avg total
42.8Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.540.284.7+4.463%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.438.483.8+7.080%-
Last 30 away (15)43.741.985.6+1.747%-
Last 10 (10)42.840.383.1+2.550%-
Last 5 (5)41.436.477.8+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)42.141.984.0+0.343%-
vs Similar (5)43.239.482.6+3.840%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)45.839.785.6+6.178%-
This opponent (Nassjo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nassjotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nassjo: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.623.3
54.7%
52.1%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.29.2
31.5%
34.6%27.6
🏀 Free throws14.710.7
72.8%
76.2%10.7
They take 71.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BC Luleatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Lulea: 84.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.521.2
53.7%
52.1%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.29.0
34.4%
34.6%27.0
🏀 Free throws18.815.3
81.4%
76.2%15.3
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nassjo
LLLLLLWWWL
BC Lulea
WLWLWLLLWW
#5
League position
#3
-5.3
Net rating
+2.3
109.7
Offensive rating
113.3
115.0
Defensive rating
111.1
51.7%
Effective FG%
52.8%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
14.6%
Turnover %
15.3%
29.8%
Off. rebound %
29.7%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.29
31.5%
3-point %
34.4%
57.8%
Assist %
55.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence109.7 · 113.3Defence115.0 · 111.1Shooting51.7% · 52.8%3-point %31.5% · 34.4%Ball care14.6% · 15.3%Off. rebounds29.8% · 29.7%Free throws0.20 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Nassjo   ■ BC Lulea
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Nassjo wins
7
BC Lulea wins
DateGameScore
08/04/24Nassjo v BC Lulea87-100
05/04/24BC Lulea v Nassjo90-74
03/04/24BC Lulea v Nassjo95-90 OT
07/03/24BC Lulea v Nassjo100-85
05/01/24Nassjo v BC Lulea100-86
08/12/23Nassjo v BC Lulea69-88
20/10/23BC Lulea v Nassjo113-98
17/03/23BC Lulea v Nassjo80-93
13/01/23Nassjo v BC Lulea91-76
28/10/22BC Lulea v Nassjo76-63
Nassjolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/24ASodertalje75-92
08/10/24HUppsala86-89
04/10/24ABoras74-99
08/04/24HBC Lulea87-100
05/04/24ABC Lulea74-90
03/04/24ABC Lulea90-95 OT
26/03/24AKoping Stars98-87
22/03/24HUmea103-74
19/03/24HUppsala86-71
07/03/24ABC Lulea85-100
BC Lulealast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/24HUppsala91-74
08/10/24AHogsbo81-90
04/10/24HKoping Stars99-68
26/04/24ANorrkoping57-83
24/04/24HNorrkoping98-76
22/04/24HNorrkoping83-96
19/04/24ANorrkoping74-85
16/04/24ANorrkoping76-100
08/04/24ANassjo100-87
05/04/24HNassjo90-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nassjo
Basketligan 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game78.386.074.5
Allowed / game93.389.095.5
Point differential-15.0-3.0-21.0
Avg total171.7175.0170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
BC Lulea
Basketligan 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game90.395.081.0
Allowed / game77.371.090.0
Point differential+13.0+24.0-9.0
Avg total167.7166.0171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boras440100%86.569.2+17.2
2 BC Lulea32167%90.377.3+13.0
3 Jamtland32167%85.377.3+8.0
4 Sodertalje32167%75.774.7+1.0
5 Hogsbo32167%81.386.7-5.3
6 Norrkoping21150%91.588.0+3.5
7 Uppsala42250%73.881.0-7.2
8 Koping Stars31233%79.387.7-8.3
9 Umea4040%78.084.8-6.8
10 Nassjo3030%78.393.3-15.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nassjo2624252095
BC Lulea28262233109
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