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Nassjo vs BC Lulea Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 08 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 18:04
Scheduled
Position#8
Record3-7
FormWWLLL
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game84.3
Nassjo
Sweden
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.4/10
Below normal
4.3/10
Below normal
BC Lulea
Sweden
Position#2
Record8-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game97.6
Allowed / game82.7
SwedenBasketligan· Nassjo Sporthall
Other2026-27
Meetings · Nassjo v BC Lulea
08 Jan 2027
NASS v LUL
upcoming
23 Sep 2025
NASS84
LUL78
13 Apr 2025
NASS100
LUL96
11 Apr 2025
NASS100
LUL94
18 Oct 2024
NASS95
LUL109
08 Apr 2024
NASS87
LUL100
05 Jan 2024
NASS100
LUL86
08 Dec 2023
NASS69
LUL88
13 Jan 2023
NASS91
LUL76
15 Feb 2022
NASS83
LUL82
09 Nov 2021
NASS119
LUL117
06 Apr 2021
NASS74
LUL100
30 Dec 2020
NASS96
LUL103
14 Feb 2020
NASS75
LUL98
01 Oct 2019
NASS77
LUL83
10 Feb 2019
NASS65
LUL68
09 Nov 2018
NASS85
LUL81
27 Mar 2018
NASS94
LUL97
05 Jan 2018
NASS102
LUL104
27 Jan 2017
NASS90
LUL76
28 Oct 2016
NASS61
LUL70
11 Dec 2015
NASS71
LUL80
07 Nov 2014
NASS83
LUL76
21 Feb 2014
NASS96
LUL90
22 Nov 2013
NASS94
LUL76
09 Oct 2012
NASS69
LUL78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nassjo win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
BC Lulea win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NassjoSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNassjo
Date
Competition
Boras
#5
W
79-75
79
75
+4
64avg 79
A25/09
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#4
L
79-89
79
89
-10
72avg 79
H29/09
Basketligan
Hogsbo
#9
L
81-85
81
85
-4
72avg 79
A09/10
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#2
L
74-91
74
91
-17
66avg 79
A13/10
Basketligan
Uppsala
#7
L
74-80
74
80
-6
64avg 79
H16/10
Basketligan
Umea
#11
W
88-78
88
78
+10
82avg 79
H19/10
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#10
W
83-73
83
73
+10
78avg 79
H27/10
Basketligan
Jamtland
#3
L
74-92
74
92
-18
62avg 79
A30/10
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#6
L
81-89
81
89
-8
no box
H06/11
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#1
L
69-91
69
91
-22
no box
A10/11
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
20-19
12-18
25-19
20-21
19-27
12-25
28-16
17-17
25-23
15-28
24-17
16-21
14-28
13-25
31-17
16-28
25-24
22-21
11-7
27-25
20-17
21-19
20-17
23-19
25-10
9-21
26-23
18-25
18-30
23-19
15-18
17-21
18-18
12-28
34-22
23-16
16-28
13-19
17-28
162.5Avg total
78.2Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)78.284.3162.5-6.130%
Season at home (5)81.081.8162.8-0.840%
Season away (5)75.486.8162.2-11.420%
Last 10 (10)78.284.3162.5-6.130%
Last 5 (5)79.084.6163.6-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)80.194.6174.7-14.616%
vs Similar (5)90.692.6183.2-2.040%
vs Weaker (6)98.384.8183.2+13.583%
This opponent (BC Lulea) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC LuleaSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLulea
Date
Competition
Koping Stars
#6
W
95-91
95
91
+4
89avg 83
H25/09
Basketligan
Jamtland
#3
L
87-96
87
96
-9
73avg 83
A29/09
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#10
W
108-77
108
77
+31
106avg 83
H02/10
Basketligan
Boras
#5
W
113-81
113
81
+32
107avg 83
A09/10
Basketligan
Nassjo
#8
W
91-74
91
74
+17
86avg 83
H13/10
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#1
L
82-85
82
85
-3
70avg 83
A16/10
Basketligan
Hogsbo
#9
W
108-71
108
71
+37
100avg 83
H23/10
Basketligan
Umea
#11
W
96-93 OT
96
93
+3
81avg 83
A27/10
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#4
W
92-80
92
80
+12
86avg 83
A30/10
Basketligan
Uppsala
#7
W
104-79
104
79
+25
no box
H06/11
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-29
20-20
22-22
20-20
21-30
21-20
17-19
28-27
29-11
27-18
30-19
22-29
26-25
25-24
22-16
40-16
21-16
28-14
25-13
17-31
21-26
22-20
17-22
22-17
33-20
21-10
37-17
17-24
21-25
20-20
24-23
16-13
28-16
20-27
18-13
26-24
32-22
27-22
16-20
29-15
180.3Avg total
97.6Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)97.682.7180.3+14.980%
Season at home (5)101.278.4179.6+22.8100%
Season away (5)94.087.0181.0+7.060%
Last 10 (10)97.682.7180.3+14.980%
Last 5 (5)96.481.6178.0+14.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)84.392.0176.3-7.733%
vs Similar (5)83.078.6161.6+4.460%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)93.980.7174.6+13.279%
This opponent (Nassjo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: -7.1-7.1Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: +4.7+4.7Q4: +2.1+2.1
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: -7.1-7.1Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: +4.7+4.7Q4: +2.1+2.1
NassjoBC Lulea
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NassjoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boras
#5
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A25/09
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#4
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H29/09
Basketligan
Hogsbo
#9
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A09/10
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#2
L
30-49
30
49
-19
A13/10
Basketligan
Uppsala
#7
L
41-52
41
52
-11
H16/10
Basketligan
Umea
#11
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H19/10
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#10
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H27/10
Basketligan
Jamtland
#3
L
36-55
36
55
-19
A30/10
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#6
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H06/11
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#1
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A10/11
Basketligan
83.5Avg total
39.9Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.847.290.0-4.533%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.745.891.5-0.147%-
Last 30 away (15)39.848.788.5-8.920%-
Last 10 (10)39.943.683.5-3.740%-
Last 5 (5)41.041.882.8-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)39.749.489.1-9.616%-
vs Similar (5)49.446.495.8+3.060%-
vs Weaker (6)46.841.288.0+5.767%-
This opponent (BC Lulea) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC LuleaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Koping Stars
#6
W
53-49
53
49
+4
H25/09
Basketligan
Jamtland
#3
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A29/09
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#10
W
56-29
56
29
+27
H02/10
Basketligan
Boras
#5
W
51-49
51
49
+2
A09/10
Basketligan
Nassjo
#8
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H13/10
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#1
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A16/10
Basketligan
Hogsbo
#9
W
54-30
54
30
+24
H23/10
Basketligan
Umea
#11
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A27/10
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#4
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A30/10
Basketligan
Uppsala
#7
W
59-44
59
44
+15
H06/11
Basketligan
91.1Avg total
49.6Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.240.286.4+5.963%-
Last 30 at home (17)47.338.685.9+8.665%-
Last 30 away (13)44.742.387.0+2.462%-
Last 10 (10)49.641.591.1+8.170%-
Last 5 (5)49.041.690.6+7.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)42.540.783.2+1.833%-
vs Similar (5)44.241.085.2+3.260%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)47.839.987.7+7.974%-
This opponent (Nassjo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nassjotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nassjo: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.920.1
51.7%
52.7%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.18.2
35.5%
33.9%24.6
🏀 Free throws21.915.2
69.4%
74.1%15.2
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BC Luleatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Lulea: 95.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.622.3
57.8%
52.7%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.211.2
39.7%
33.9%33.6
🏀 Free throws21.817.7
81.2%
74.1%17.7
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nassjo
LLLWWLLLLW
BC Lulea
WWWWLWWWLW
#8
League position
#2
-6.5
Net rating
+13.2
93.2
Offensive rating
108.4
99.7
Defensive rating
95.2
52.3%
Effective FG%
58.5%
54.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
16.1%
Turnover %
12.2%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.33
35.5%
3-point %
39.7%
55.5%
Assist %
47.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence93.2 · 108.4Defence99.7 · 95.2Shooting52.3% · 58.5%3-point %35.5% · 39.7%Ball care16.1% · 12.2%Free throws0.35 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)30% · 80%
■ Nassjo   ■ BC Lulea
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Nassjo wins
6
BC Lulea wins
DateGameScore
13/10/26BC Lulea v Nassjo91-74
06/03/26BC Lulea v Nassjo93-100
19/12/25BC Lulea v Nassjo109-74
23/09/25Nassjo v BC Lulea84-78
15/04/25BC Lulea v Nassjo103-81
13/04/25Nassjo v BC Lulea100-96
11/04/25Nassjo v BC Lulea100-94
06/04/25BC Lulea v Nassjo111-82
04/04/25BC Lulea v Nassjo108-69
03/02/25BC Lulea v Nassjo88-77
Nassjolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/26ASodertalje69-91
06/11/26HKoping Stars81-89
30/10/26AJamtland74-92
27/10/26HSloga Uppsala83-73
19/10/26HUmea88-78
16/10/26HUppsala74-80
13/10/26ABC Lulea74-91
09/10/26AHogsbo81-85
29/09/26HNorrkoping79-89
25/09/26ABoras79-75
BC Lulealast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/26HUppsala104-79
30/10/26ANorrkoping92-80
27/10/26AUmea96-93 OT
23/10/26HHogsbo108-71
16/10/26ASodertalje82-85
13/10/26HNassjo91-74
09/10/26ABoras113-81
02/10/26HSloga Uppsala108-77
29/09/26AJamtland87-96
25/09/26HKoping Stars95-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nassjo
Basketligan 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL30%
HomeLLWWL40%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %30%40%20%
Points / game78.281.075.4
Allowed / game84.381.886.8
Point differential-6.1-0.8-11.4
Avg total162.5162.8162.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
BC Lulea
Basketligan 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW80%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %80%100%60%
Points / game97.6101.294.0
Allowed / game82.778.487.0
Point differential+14.9+22.8+7.0
Avg total180.3179.6181.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%80%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %10%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sodertalje109190%88.074.2+13.8
2 BC Lulea108280%97.682.7+14.9
3 Jamtland108280%91.082.4+8.6
4 Norrkoping107370%91.783.2+8.5
5 Boras106460%87.383.6+3.7
6 Koping Stars104640%86.587.8-1.3
7 Uppsala104640%74.987.4-12.5
8 Nassjo103730%78.284.3-6.1
9 Hogsbo92722%81.189.0-7.9
10 Sloga Uppsala102820%80.794.0-13.3
11 Umea91811%77.888.0-10.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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