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Nassjo vs Sodertalje Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 26 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 18:04
Scheduled
Position#7
Record4-7
FormWLLLW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game84.8
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.4/10
Below normal
6.6/10
Above normal
Position#2
Record9-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game74.9
SwedenBasketligan· Nassjo Sporthall
Other2026-27
Meetings · Nassjo v Sodertalje
26 Jan 2027
NASS v SOD
upcoming
30 Jan 2026
NASS79
SOD83
16 Dec 2025
NASS73
SOD88
28 Feb 2025
NASS89
SOD82
03 Jan 2025
NASS77
SOD80
02 Feb 2024
NASS86
SOD84
17 Nov 2023
NASS99
SOD74
31 Oct 2022
NASS86
SOD67
31 Mar 2022
NASS67
SOD93
26 Mar 2022
NASS77
SOD75
04 Mar 2022
NASS96
SOD85
16 Nov 2021
NASS91
SOD74
02 Apr 2021
NASS90
SOD70
15 Dec 2020
NASS71
SOD73
17 Jan 2020
NASS63
SOD61
10 Dec 2019
NASS90
SOD79
05 Mar 2019
NASS75
SOD82
12 Nov 2018
NASS82
SOD87
26 Jan 2018
NASS83
SOD77
13 Oct 2017
NASS74
SOD77
21 Jan 2017
NASS66
SOD82
22 Oct 2016
NASS67
SOD73
31 Jan 2016
NASS66
SOD76
07 Dec 2015
NASS76
SOD66
20 Mar 2015
NASS59
SOD75
25 Nov 2014
NASS73
SOD83
07 Oct 2014
NASS62
SOD73
25 Jan 2014
NASS71
SOD77
25 Oct 2013
NASS81
SOD89
01 Mar 2013
NASS77
SOD80
30 Nov 2012
NASS69
SOD70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nassjo win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Sodertalje win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NassjoSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNassjo
Date
Competition
Norrkoping
#4
L
79-89
79
89
-10
72avg 76
H29/09
Basketligan
Hogsbo
#10
L
81-85
81
85
-4
72avg 76
A09/10
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#1
L
74-91
74
91
-17
66avg 76
A13/10
Basketligan
Uppsala
#8
L
74-80
74
80
-6
64avg 76
H16/10
Basketligan
Umea
#9
W
88-78
88
78
+10
82avg 76
H19/10
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
W
83-73
83
73
+10
78avg 76
H27/10
Basketligan
Jamtland
#3
L
74-92
74
92
-18
62avg 76
A30/10
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#6
L
81-89
81
89
-8
no box
H06/11
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#2
L
69-91
69
91
-22
no box
A10/11
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#4
W
93-90
93
90
+3
no box
H13/11
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
19-27
12-25
28-16
17-17
25-23
15-28
24-17
16-21
14-28
13-25
31-17
16-28
25-24
22-21
11-7
27-25
20-17
21-19
20-17
23-19
25-10
9-21
26-23
18-25
18-30
23-19
15-18
17-21
18-18
12-28
34-22
23-16
16-28
13-19
17-28
23-31
19-22
23-22
28-15
165.4Avg total
79.6Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)79.584.8164.4-5.336%
Season at home (6)83.083.2166.2-0.250%
Season away (5)75.486.8162.2-11.420%
Last 10 (10)79.685.8165.4-6.230%
Last 5 (5)80.087.0167.0-7.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)80.794.7175.4-14.021%
vs Similar (6)90.290.8181.0-0.750%
vs Weaker (5)95.286.6181.8+8.660%
This opponent (Sodertalje) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SodertaljeSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSodertalje
Date
Competition
Umea
#9
W
78-64
78
64
+14
68avg 80
A29/09
Basketligan
Jamtland
#3
W
91-76
91
76
+15
82avg 80
H03/10
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#4
W
94-85
94
85
+9
87avg 80
A09/10
Basketligan
Hogsbo
#10
W
93-85
93
85
+8
74avg 80
H13/10
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#1
W
85-82
85
82
+3
82avg 80
H16/10
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#6
W
79-76
79
76
+3
74avg 80
A23/10
Basketligan
Uppsala
#8
W
104-57
104
57
+47
108avg 80
H27/10
Basketligan
Boras
#5
L
76-81
76
81
-5
no box
A06/11
Basketligan
Nassjo
#7
W
91-69
91
69
+22
no box
H10/11
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#1
L
71-82
71
82
-11
no box
A13/11
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
12-24
24-9
20-13
15-11
22-11
24-15
30-39
21-17
31-19
19-25
23-24
29-19
26-17
12-26
26-23
26-21
20-22
22-17
17-22
19-16
16-20
23-19
21-21
19-21
30-10
30-8
25-18
16-22
13-10
26-25
21-24
16-23
28-16
19-13
28-17
20-20
18-16
13-22
20-24
161.9Avg total
86.2Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)86.574.9161.4+11.582%
Season at home (6)92.272.7164.8+19.5100%
Season away (5)79.677.6157.2+2.060%
Last 10 (10)86.275.7161.9+10.580%
Last 5 (5)84.273.0157.2+11.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)79.889.8169.7-10.017%
vs Similar (8)76.278.0154.2-1.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)87.872.1159.9+15.888%
This opponent (Nassjo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: +5.1+5.1Q3Q3: -6.4-6.4Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +5.4+5.4Q4: +0.6+0.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: +5.1+5.1Q3Q3: -6.4-6.4Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +5.4+5.4Q4: +0.6+0.6
NassjoSodertalje
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NassjoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norrkoping
#4
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H29/09
Basketligan
Hogsbo
#10
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A09/10
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#1
L
30-49
30
49
-19
A13/10
Basketligan
Uppsala
#8
L
41-52
41
52
-11
H16/10
Basketligan
Umea
#9
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H19/10
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H27/10
Basketligan
Jamtland
#3
L
36-55
36
55
-19
A30/10
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#6
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H06/11
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#2
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A10/11
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#4
L
42-53
42
53
-11
H13/11
Basketligan
85.0Avg total
39.9Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.747.990.5-5.230%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.546.291.8-0.844%-
Last 30 away (14)39.449.789.1-10.314%-
Last 10 (10)39.945.185.0-5.230%-
Last 5 (5)40.044.084.0-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)40.150.190.2-10.016%-
vs Similar (6)47.845.593.3+2.350%-
vs Weaker (5)46.242.288.4+4.060%-
This opponent (Sodertalje) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SodertaljeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Umea
#9
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A29/09
Basketligan
Jamtland
#3
W
37-22
37
22
+15
H03/10
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#4
W
52-36
52
36
+16
A09/10
Basketligan
Hogsbo
#10
W
55-36
55
36
+19
H13/10
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#1
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H16/10
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#6
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A23/10
Basketligan
Uppsala
#8
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H27/10
Basketligan
Boras
#5
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A06/11
Basketligan
Nassjo
#7
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H10/11
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#1
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A13/11
Basketligan
77.2Avg total
41.9Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.238.981.2+3.360%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.837.682.4+7.279%-
Last 30 away (16)40.040.180.1-0.144%-
Last 10 (10)41.935.377.2+6.670%-
Last 5 (5)39.034.873.8+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)41.248.890.0-7.717%-
vs Similar (8)39.437.877.1+1.662%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)44.135.879.9+8.275%-
This opponent (Nassjo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nassjotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nassjo: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.920.1
51.7%
52.7%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.18.2
35.5%
33.9%24.6
🏀 Free throws21.915.2
69.4%
74.1%15.2
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sodertaljetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sodertalje: 87.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.222.6
57.7%
52.7%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.49.3
35.2%
33.9%27.9
🏀 Free throws18.114.0
77.3%
74.1%14.0
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nassjo
WLLLWWLLLL
Sodertalje
LWLWWWWWWW
#7
League position
#2
-6.5
Net rating
+11.7
93.2
Offensive rating
102.2
99.7
Defensive rating
90.5
52.3%
Effective FG%
55.7%
54.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
16.1%
Turnover %
12.6%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.28
35.5%
3-point %
35.2%
55.5%
Assist %
48.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence93.2 · 102.2Defence99.7 · 90.5Shooting52.3% · 55.7%3-point %35.5% · 35.2%Ball care16.1% · 12.6%Free throws0.35 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)30% · 80%
■ Nassjo   ■ Sodertalje
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Nassjo wins
5
Sodertalje wins
DateGameScore
10/11/26Sodertalje v Nassjo91-69
30/01/26Nassjo v Sodertalje79-83
16/12/25Nassjo v Sodertalje73-88
28/09/25Sodertalje v Nassjo63-79
28/02/25Nassjo v Sodertalje89-82
03/01/25Nassjo v Sodertalje77-80
12/10/24Sodertalje v Nassjo92-75
15/02/24Sodertalje v Nassjo86-88
02/02/24Nassjo v Sodertalje86-84
17/11/23Nassjo v Sodertalje99-74
Nassjolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HNorrkoping93-90
10/11/26ASodertalje69-91
06/11/26HKoping Stars81-89
30/10/26AJamtland74-92
27/10/26HSloga Uppsala83-73
19/10/26HUmea88-78
16/10/26HUppsala74-80
13/10/26ABC Lulea74-91
09/10/26AHogsbo81-85
29/09/26HNorrkoping79-89
Sodertaljelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26ABC Lulea71-82
10/11/26HNassjo91-69
06/11/26ABoras76-81
27/10/26HUppsala104-57
23/10/26AKoping Stars79-76
16/10/26HBC Lulea85-82
13/10/26HHogsbo93-85
09/10/26ANorrkoping94-85
03/10/26HJamtland91-76
29/09/26AUmea78-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nassjo
Basketligan 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW36%
HomeLWWLW50%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %36%50%20%
Points / game79.583.075.4
Allowed / game84.883.286.8
Point differential-5.3-0.2-11.4
Avg total164.4166.2162.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sodertalje
Basketligan 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL82%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWLL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %82%100%60%
Points / game86.592.279.6
Allowed / game74.972.777.6
Point differential+11.5+19.5+2.0
Avg total161.4164.8157.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%67%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Lulea119282%96.281.6+14.5
2 Sodertalje119282%86.574.9+11.5
3 Jamtland119282%92.382.1+10.2
4 Norrkoping117464%91.584.1+7.5
5 Boras117464%88.584.0+4.5
6 Koping Stars114736%86.688.9-2.3
7 Nassjo114736%79.584.8-5.3
8 Uppsala114736%75.287.5-12.4
9 Umea102820%78.987.0-8.1
10 Hogsbo102820%80.990.6-9.7
11 Sloga Uppsala102820%80.794.0-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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