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Natacao W vs Barcelos W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 11:30
Final 68-86
20-21 23-23 12-26 13-16
Position#11
Record2-5
FormLWLWL
Points / game61.1
Allowed / game80.1
Natacao W
Portugal
vs
Barcelos W 🏆
Portugal
Position#8
Record4-4
FormWLWLW
Points / game62.8
Allowed / game68.2
PortugalLFB WomenRound 8· Pavilhao Municipal de Ermesinde
Women2024-25
Meetings · Natacao W v Barcelos W
01 Dec 2024
NATA68
BARC86
08 Dec 2023
NATA82
BARC84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Natacao W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Barcelos W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Natacao WPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Barcelos W
#7
L
58-70
58
70
-12
43avg 49
A17/03
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#1
L
57-76
57
76
-19
43avg 49
H30/03
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#1
L
58-74
58
74
-16
44avg 49
A06/04
LFB Women
Galitos W
#6
L
60-63
60
63
-3
59avg 49
H06/10
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
L
41-80
41
80
-39
22avg 49
H13/10
LFB Women
Sanjoanense W
#10
L
68-80
68
80
-12
54avg 49
A19/10
LFB Women
CAB Madeira W
#9
W
76-66
76
66
+10
53avg 49
H26/10
LFB Women
Esgueira W
#1
L
64-99
64
99
-35
59avg 49
A02/11
LFB Women
Imortal W
#7
W
79-72
79
72
+7
74avg 49
H16/11
LFB Women
Benfica W
#2
L
40-101
40
101
-61
16avg 49
A24/11
LFB Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-19
16-20
13-14
13-17
12-17
13-17
17-22
15-20
18-23
18-14
11-20
11-17
8-16
16-15
8-15
28-17
6-20
11-15
18-27
6-18
8-24
17-20
19-16
24-20
22-18
24-13
19-16
11-19
18-27
21-32
12-16
13-24
15-17
22-20
19-20
23-15
14-23
8-20
11-28
7-30
138.2Avg total
60.1Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)61.180.1141.3-19.029%
Season at home (4)64.070.2134.2-6.250%
Season away (3)57.393.3150.7-36.00%
Last 10 (10)60.178.1138.2-18.020%
Last 5 (5)65.483.6149.0-18.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)58.374.3132.6-16.023%
vs Similar (8)69.064.9133.9+4.175%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Barcelos W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Barcelos WPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Benfica W
#2
L
61-71
61
71
-10
53avg 56
H30/03
LFB Women
Benfica W
#2
L
53-69
53
69
-16
34avg 56
A06/04
LFB Women
Benfica W
#2
L
41-103
41
103
-62
16avg 56
A06/10
LFB Women
Sanjoanense W
#10
W
58-46
58
46
+12
39avg 56
H13/10
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#4
L
65-79
65
79
-14
50avg 56
H20/10
LFB Women
AD Vagos W
#12
W
79-62
79
62
+17
66avg 56
A26/10
LFB Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
L
55-65
55
65
-10
34avg 56
H02/11
LFB Women
CAB Madeira W
#9
W
69-61
69
61
+8
67avg 56
H09/11
LFB Women
Galitos W
#6
L
59-62
59
62
-3
44avg 56
A16/11
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
W
76-68
76
68
+8
68avg 56
H23/11
LFB Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-21
16-20
18-21
17-9
9-14
14-22
13-16
17-17
8-20
14-32
12-29
7-22
18-10
10-12
17-10
13-14
23-15
17-24
13-15
12-25
24-19
21-17
12-18
22-8
16-26
11-13
14-11
14-15
16-12
17-17
20-8
16-24
12-16
17-16
12-16
18-14
21-8
21-18
23-26
11-16
130.2Avg total
61.6Scored
68.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)62.868.2131.0-5.550%
Season at home (5)64.663.8128.4+0.860%
Season away (3)59.775.7135.3-16.033%
Last 10 (10)61.668.6130.2-7.040%
Last 5 (5)67.663.6131.2+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)60.873.0133.8-12.213%
vs Similar (5)69.468.4137.8+1.060%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)80.968.4149.3+12.4100%
This opponent (Natacao W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.7-6.7Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: -4.7-4.7Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -4.6-4.6Q4: -1.7-1.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.7-6.7Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: -4.7-4.7Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -4.6-4.6Q4: -1.7-1.7
Natacao WBarcelos W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Natacao WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelos W
#7
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A17/03
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#1
L
25-34
25
34
-9
H30/03
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#1
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A06/04
LFB Women
Galitos W
#6
L
24-31
24
31
-7
H06/10
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
L
17-35
17
35
-18
H13/10
LFB Women
Sanjoanense W
#10
L
25-44
25
44
-19
A19/10
LFB Women
CAB Madeira W
#9
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H26/10
LFB Women
Esgueira W
#1
L
39-59
39
59
-20
A02/11
LFB Women
Imortal W
#7
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H16/11
LFB Women
Benfica W
#2
L
22-43
22
43
-21
A24/11
LFB Women
69.3Avg total
30.3Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.734.966.6-3.230%-
Last 30 at home (15)31.231.762.9-0.540%-
Last 30 away (15)32.138.170.2-5.920%-
Last 10 (10)30.339.069.3-8.710%-
Last 5 (5)33.842.876.6-9.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)29.136.865.9-7.618%-
vs Similar (8)38.629.868.4+8.962%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Barcelos W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Barcelos WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Benfica W
#2
L
26-41
26
41
-15
H30/03
LFB Women
Benfica W
#2
L
23-36
23
36
-13
A06/04
LFB Women
Benfica W
#2
L
22-52
22
52
-30
A06/10
LFB Women
Sanjoanense W
#10
W
28-22
28
22
+6
H13/10
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#4
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H20/10
LFB Women
AD Vagos W
#12
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A26/10
LFB Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
L
27-39
27
39
-12
H02/11
LFB Women
CAB Madeira W
#9
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H09/11
LFB Women
Galitos W
#6
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A16/11
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H23/11
LFB Women
66.7Avg total
31.5Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.136.671.7-1.550%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.833.969.7+1.969%-
Last 30 away (14)34.339.673.9-5.429%-
Last 10 (10)31.535.266.7-3.750%-
Last 5 (5)35.232.467.6+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)31.136.567.5-5.433%-
vs Similar (5)36.034.670.6+1.460%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)41.637.178.7+4.478%-
This opponent (Natacao W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Natacao Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Natacao W: 58.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.6 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 66.9 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.515.8
42.1%
43.4%31.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.95.2
23.7%
29.8%15.6
🏀 Free throws17.111.4
66.7%
72.2%11.4
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Barcelos Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Barcelos W: 61.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 66.9 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.714.8
36.4%
43.4%29.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.16.6
25.3%
29.8%19.8
🏀 Free throws15.712.1
77.1%
72.2%12.1
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Natacao W
LWLWLLLLLL
Barcelos W
WLWLWLWLLL
#11
League position
#8
-22.5
Net rating
-8.2
78.4
Offensive rating
79.2
100.9
Defensive rating
87.5
39.7%
Effective FG%
37.0%
48.4%
Opp. effective FG%
42.2%
24.7%
Turnover %
19.4%
27.4%
Off. rebound %
23.7%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.24
23.7%
3-point %
25.3%
53.8%
Assist %
53.7%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence78.4 · 79.2Defence100.9 · 87.5Shooting39.7% · 37.0%3-point %23.7% · 25.3%Ball care24.7% · 19.4%Off. rebounds27.4% · 23.7%Free throws0.29 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Natacao W   ■ Barcelos W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Natacao W wins
2
Barcelos W wins
DateGameScore
17/03/24Barcelos W v Natacao W70-58
08/12/23Natacao W v Barcelos W82-84
Natacao Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/11/24ABenfica W40-101
16/11/24HImortal W79-72
02/11/24AEsgueira W64-99
26/10/24HCAB Madeira W76-66
19/10/24ASanjoanense W68-80
13/10/24HQuinta Dos Lombos W41-80
06/10/24HGalitos W60-63
06/04/24AUniao Sportiva W58-74
30/03/24HUniao Sportiva W57-76
17/03/24ABarcelos W58-70
Barcelos Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/24HQuinta Dos Lombos W76-68
16/11/24AGalitos W59-62
09/11/24HCAB Madeira W69-61
02/11/24HGdessa Barreiro W55-65
26/10/24AAD Vagos W79-62
20/10/24HUniao Sportiva W65-79
13/10/24HSanjoanense W58-46
06/10/24ABenfica W41-103
06/04/24ABenfica W53-69
30/03/24HBenfica W61-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Natacao W
LFB Women 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL29%
HomeLLWW50%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %29%50%0%
Points / game61.164.057.3
Allowed / game80.170.293.3
Point differential-19.0-6.2-36.0
Avg total141.3134.2150.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Barcelos W
LFB Women 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW50%
HomeWLLWW60%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %50%60%33%
Points / game62.864.659.7
Allowed / game68.263.875.7
Point differential-5.5+0.8-16.0
Avg total131.0128.4135.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%20%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Esgueira W770100%76.959.7+17.1
2 Benfica W76186%79.151.3+27.9
3 Uniao Sportiva W65183%71.063.0+8.0
4 Galitos W85362%64.966.5-1.6
5 Gdessa Barreiro W74357%70.365.3+5.0
6 Sanjoanense W74357%64.665.0-0.4
7 Barcelos W84450%62.868.2-5.5
8 Quinta Dos Lombos W73443%67.462.3+5.1
9 Imortal W73443%75.075.0+0.0
10 Natacao W72529%61.180.1-19.0
11 CAB Madeira W8080%64.476.9-12.5
12 AD Vagos W7070%59.479.6-20.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Natacao W2023121368
Barcelos W2123261686
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