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Natacao W vs Barcelos W Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 08 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 82-84
31-21 20-21 12-23 19-19
Position#8
Record5-5
FormLLWWL
Points / game63.1
Allowed / game69.8
vs
Position#7
Record3-7
FormWWLWL
Points / game69.5
Allowed / game75.4
PortugalLFB WomenRound 11· Pavilhao Municipal de Ermesinde
Women2023-24
Meetings · Natacao W v Barcelos W
01 Dec 2024
NATA68
BARC86
08 Dec 2023
NATA82
BARC84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Natacao W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Barcelos W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Natacao WPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
W
74-69
74
69
+5
63avg 52
H01/10
LFB Women
Esgueira W
#4
W
80-75
80
75
+5
75avg 52
A05/10
LFB Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
L
42-75
42
75
-33
22avg 52
H08/10
LFB Women
Imortal W
#6
W
70-65
70
65
+5
66avg 52
A15/10
LFB Women
ACD Ferragudo W
#12
L
63-68
63
68
-5
56avg 52
H21/10
LFB Women
Benfica W
#2
L
53-67
53
67
-14
39avg 52
A29/10
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#1
L
42-77
42
77
-35
20avg 52
H04/11
LFB Women
Galitos W
#10
W
67-60
67
60
+7
63avg 52
H18/11
LFB Women
CAB Madeira W
#9
W
65-53
65
53
+12
57avg 52
A02/12
LFB Women
CDEFF W
#11
L
75-89
75
89
-14
63avg 52
A03/12
LFB Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-20
19-20
18-13
13-16
20-19
18-21
21-17
21-18
6-16
7-20
14-25
15-14
24-11
12-23
22-14
12-17
15-8
14-21
14-20
20-19
19-20
7-12
10-15
17-20
7-21
18-23
3-22
14-11
26-14
17-12
19-20
5-14
13-11
15-18
17-17
20-7
22-16
23-22
16-30
14-21
132.9Avg total
63.1Scored
69.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)63.169.8132.9-6.750%
Season at home (5)57.669.8127.4-12.240%
Season away (5)68.669.8138.4-1.260%
Last 10 (10)63.169.8132.9-6.750%
Last 5 (5)60.469.2129.6-8.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)59.869.4129.2-9.633%
vs Similar (9)63.368.0131.3-4.733%
vs Weaker (2)58.556.0114.5+2.550%
This opponent (Barcelos W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Barcelos WPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Imortal W
#6
L
72-80
72
80
-8
58avg 57
H01/10
LFB Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
L
59-70
59
70
-11
42avg 57
A05/10
LFB Women
Esgueira W
#4
L
72-103
72
103
-31
65avg 57
A08/10
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
L
51-60
51
60
-9
42avg 57
H15/10
LFB Women
Benfica W
#2
L
78-84 OT
78
84
-6
no box
H22/10
LFB Women
ACD Ferragudo W
#12
W
88-86
88
86
+2
74avg 57
A29/10
LFB Women
Galitos W
#10
W
77-46
77
46
+31
70avg 57
H04/11
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#1
L
57-76
57
76
-19
44avg 57
H19/11
LFB Women
CDEFF W
#11
W
77-70
77
70
+7
66avg 57
A24/11
LFB Women
CAB Madeira W
#9
L
64-79
64
79
-15
51avg 57
A26/11
LFB Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-16
23-24
25-17
10-23
20-20
9-18
17-14
13-18
18-27
10-25
14-22
30-29
23-15
14-9
5-17
9-19
22-23
19-14
14-18
17-17
28-22
18-19
20-26
22-19
25-11
24-15
14-6
14-14
16-28
8-18
18-19
15-11
25-31
12-17
21-12
19-10
18-18
10-22
13-19
23-20
144.9Avg total
69.5Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)69.575.4144.9-5.930%
Season at home (5)67.069.2136.2-2.220%
Season away (5)72.081.6153.6-9.640%
Last 10 (10)69.575.4144.9-5.930%
Last 5 (5)72.671.4144.0+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)63.478.6142.0-15.20%
vs Similar (2)68.079.5147.5-11.50%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)80.767.3148.0+13.3100%
This opponent (Natacao W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -0.8-0.8
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -0.8-0.8
Natacao WBarcelos W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Natacao WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H01/10
LFB Women
Esgueira W
#4
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A05/10
LFB Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
L
13-36
13
36
-23
H08/10
LFB Women
Imortal W
#6
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A15/10
LFB Women
ACD Ferragudo W
#12
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H21/10
LFB Women
Benfica W
#2
L
26-32
26
32
-6
A29/10
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#1
L
25-44
25
44
-19
H04/11
LFB Women
Galitos W
#10
W
43-26
43
26
+17
H18/11
LFB Women
CAB Madeira W
#9
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A02/12
LFB Women
CDEFF W
#11
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A03/12
LFB Women
67.4Avg total
32.6Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.233.563.8-3.333%-
Last 30 at home (13)29.432.461.8-3.038%-
Last 30 away (17)30.934.465.3-3.529%-
Last 10 (10)32.634.867.4-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)33.433.867.2-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)29.235.364.4-6.128%-
vs Similar (9)32.832.865.6+0.033%-
vs Weaker (2)26.523.550.0+3.050%-
This opponent (Barcelos W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Barcelos WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Imortal W
#6
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H01/10
LFB Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A05/10
LFB Women
Esgueira W
#4
L
28-52
28
52
-24
A08/10
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
W
37-24
37
24
+13
H15/10
LFB Women
Benfica W
#2
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H22/10
LFB Women
ACD Ferragudo W
#12
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A29/10
LFB Women
Galitos W
#10
W
49-26
49
26
+23
H04/11
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#1
L
24-46
24
46
-22
H19/11
LFB Women
CDEFF W
#11
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A24/11
LFB Women
CAB Madeira W
#9
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A26/11
LFB Women
74.8Avg total
35.6Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (10)35.639.274.8-3.640%-
Last 30 at home (5)37.634.672.2+3.060%-
Last 30 away (5)33.643.877.4-10.220%-
Last 10 (10)35.639.274.8-3.640%-
Last 5 (5)36.840.277.0-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)31.839.471.2-7.640%-
vs Similar (2)32.540.072.5-7.50%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)44.038.382.3+5.767%-
This opponent (Natacao W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Natacao Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Natacao W: 62.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers26.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.1 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.813.3
38.2%
43.3%26.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.37.4
28.1%
28.2%22.2
🏀 Free throws18.813.3
70.7%
72.6%13.3
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Barcelos Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Barcelos W: 67.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.9 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.0 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.1 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.617.4
42.0%
43.3%34.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.45.7
24.2%
28.2%17.0
🏀 Free throws20.115.3
76.2%
72.6%15.3
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/9 games with a box score before 08 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Natacao W
LWWLLLWLWW
Barcelos W
LWLWWLLLLL
#8
League position
#7
-9.1
Net rating
-8.8
84.4
Offensive rating
87.1
93.6
Defensive rating
95.9
39.9%
Effective FG%
39.9%
44.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.4%
20.2%
Turnover %
22.4%
25.6%
Off. rebound %
32.2%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.31
28.1%
3-point %
24.2%
58.5%
Assist %
56.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence84.4 · 87.1Defence93.6 · 95.9Shooting39.9% · 39.9%3-point %28.1% · 24.2%Ball care20.2% · 22.4%Off. rebounds25.6% · 32.2%Free throws0.31 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Natacao W   ■ Barcelos W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Natacao W wins
0
Barcelos W wins
No previous meetings.
Natacao Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/23ACDEFF W75-89
02/12/23ACAB Madeira W65-53
18/11/23HGalitos W67-60
04/11/23HUniao Sportiva W42-77
29/10/23ABenfica W53-67
21/10/23HACD Ferragudo W63-68
15/10/23AImortal W70-65
08/10/23HGdessa Barreiro W42-75
05/10/23AEsgueira W80-75
01/10/23HQuinta Dos Lombos W74-69
Barcelos Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/23ACAB Madeira W64-79
24/11/23ACDEFF W77-70
19/11/23HUniao Sportiva W57-76
04/11/23HGalitos W77-46
29/10/23AACD Ferragudo W88-86
22/10/23HBenfica W78-84 OT
15/10/23HQuinta Dos Lombos W51-60
08/10/23AEsgueira W72-103
05/10/23AGdessa Barreiro W59-70
01/10/23HImortal W72-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Natacao W
LFB Women 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL50%
HomeWLLLW40%
AwayWWLWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %50%40%60%
Points / game63.157.668.6
Allowed / game69.869.869.8
Point differential-6.7-12.2-1.2
Avg total132.9127.4138.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Barcelos W
LFB Women 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL30%
HomeLLLWL20%
AwayLLWWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %30%20%40%
Points / game69.567.072.0
Allowed / game75.469.281.6
Point differential-5.9-2.2-9.6
Avg total144.9136.2153.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %10%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Uniao Sportiva W119282%69.754.9+14.8
2 Gdessa Barreiro W119282%64.756.1+8.6
3 Esgueira W117464%67.861.5+6.4
4 Imortal W116555%68.063.3+4.7
5 Quinta Dos Lombos W116555%64.661.9+2.7
6 Benfica W116555%69.167.2+1.9
7 CAB Madeira W116555%63.664.0-0.4
8 Natacao W105550%63.169.8-6.7
9 CDEFF W114736%63.267.0-3.8
10 Barcelos W103730%69.575.4-5.9
11 ACD Ferragudo W112918%60.070.8-10.8
12 Galitos W112918%54.567.3-12.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Natacao W3120121982
Barcelos W2121231984
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