PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

NC Greensboro vs Mercer Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 92-102
37-51 55-51
Position#252
Record7-11
FormWWLLW
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game79.5
vs
Mercer 🏆
USA
Position#117
Record11-7
FormLLWWW
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game74.1
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · NC Greensboro v Mercer
17 Jan 2026
NC G92
MERC102
22 Jan 2025
NC G78
MERC79
27 Jan 2024
NC G64
MERC70
21 Jan 2023
NC G59
MERC48
13 Feb 2022
NC G64
MERC73
08 Mar 2021
NC G69
MERC61
27 Jan 2021
NC G81
MERC68
09 Jan 2021
NC G v MERC
upcoming
01 Jan 2020
NC G72
MERC63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NC Greensboro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mercer winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NC GreensboroUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UNC Asheville
#237
L
77-82
77
82
-5
A03/12
NCAA
East Carolina
#310
W
82-78
82
78
+4
A06/12
NCAA
William Peace
#459
W
90-62
90
62
+28
H13/12
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#299
L
65-71
65
71
-6
H17/12
NCAA
Virginia-Lynchburg
#708
W
131-53
131
53
+78
H21/12
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
W
77-72
77
72
+5
H01/01
NCAA
Samford
#149
W
89-82
89
82
+7
H03/01
NCAA
Wofford
#126
L
85-97
85
97
-12
A07/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
L
60-86
60
86
-26
A10/01
NCAA
Citadel
#302
W
69-66 OT
69
66
+3
H16/01
NCAA
1H
2H
39-36
38-46
41-33
41-45
39-37
51-25
20-38
45-33
62-32
69-21
33-34
44-38
43-35
46-47
36-56
49-41
34-38
26-48
19-33
43-29
157.4Avg total
82.5Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)77.779.5157.2-1.839%
Season at home (9)82.469.9152.3+12.667%
Season away (9)73.089.1162.1-16.111%
Last 10 (10)82.574.9157.4+7.660%
Last 5 (5)76.080.6156.6-4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)69.281.8151.0-12.733%
vs Similar (14)73.678.8152.4-5.136%
vs Weaker (9)77.663.4141.0+14.178%
This opponent (Mercer) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MercerUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oglethorpe
#625
W
100-50
100
50
+50
H07/12
NCAA
Clemson
#56
L
63-70
63
70
-7
A13/12
NCAA
UCF Knights
#92
L
63-81
63
81
-18
A18/12
NCAA
Washington State
#291
L
78-84
78
84
-6
A20/12
NCAA
Baptist Bafl
#710
W
122-49
122
49
+73
H28/12
NCAA
Furman
#93
L
72-74
72
74
-2
A31/12
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
L
71-77
71
77
-6
A03/01
NCAA
Citadel
#302
W
101-63
101
63
+38
H08/01
NCAA
Wofford
#126
W
109-97
109
97
+12
H10/01
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
77-67
77
67
+10
A15/01
NCAA
1H
2H
57-26
43-24
39-33
24-37
27-35
36-46
39-41
39-43
62-18
60-31
35-36
37-38
35-32
36-45
54-31
47-32
58-46
51-51
36-33
41-34
156.8Avg total
85.6Scored
71.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)84.374.1158.4+10.361%
Season at home (8)97.266.5163.8+30.8100%
Season away (10)74.080.1154.1-6.130%
Last 10 (10)85.671.2156.8+14.450%
Last 5 (5)86.075.6161.6+10.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)68.782.7151.4-14.00%
vs Similar (8)71.878.2150.0-6.525%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)83.370.8154.2+12.585%
This opponent (NC Greensboro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: -0.6-0.61st half: +11.1+11.12nd half2nd half: +7.9+7.92nd half: +3.3+3.3
-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: -0.6-0.61st half: +11.1+11.12nd half2nd half: +7.9+7.92nd half: +3.3+3.3
NC GreensboroMercer
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NC GreensboroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UNC Asheville
#237
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A03/12
NCAA
East Carolina
#310
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A06/12
NCAA
William Peace
#459
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H13/12
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#299
L
20-38
20
38
-18
H17/12
NCAA
Virginia-Lynchburg
#708
W
62-32
62
32
+30
H21/12
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H01/01
NCAA
Samford
#149
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H03/01
NCAA
Wofford
#126
L
36-56
36
56
-20
A07/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A10/01
NCAA
Citadel
#302
L
19-33
19
33
-14
H16/01
NCAA
73.8Avg total
36.6Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.334.869.1-0.547%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.534.068.5+0.544%-
Last 30 away (14)34.135.769.9-1.650%-
Last 10 (10)36.637.273.8-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)33.039.272.2-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)34.738.373.0-3.733%-
vs Similar (14)33.137.170.2-3.936%-
vs Weaker (9)35.428.764.1+6.867%-
This opponent (Mercer) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MercerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oglethorpe
#625
W
57-26
57
26
+31
H07/12
NCAA
Clemson
#56
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A13/12
NCAA
UCF Knights
#92
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A18/12
NCAA
Washington State
#291
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A20/12
NCAA
Baptist Bafl
#710
W
62-18
62
18
+44
H28/12
NCAA
Furman
#93
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A31/12
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A03/01
NCAA
Citadel
#302
W
54-31
54
31
+23
H08/01
NCAA
Wofford
#126
W
58-46
58
46
+12
H10/01
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A15/01
NCAA
77.3Avg total
44.2Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.334.673.9+4.757%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.431.073.4+11.464%-
Last 30 away (16)36.637.774.2-1.150%-
Last 10 (10)44.233.177.3+11.170%-
Last 5 (5)43.635.679.2+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.137.973.0-2.757%-
vs Similar (8)34.435.569.9-1.138%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)41.534.275.6+7.362%-
This opponent (NC Greensboro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
NC Greensboro wins
5
Mercer wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/26HCitadel69-66 OT
10/01/26AEast Tennessee St60-86
07/01/26AWofford85-97
03/01/26HSamford89-82
01/01/26HChattanooga Mocs77-72
21/12/25HVirginia-Lynchburg131-53
17/12/25HN. Carolina A&T65-71
13/12/25HWilliam Peace90-62
06/12/25AEast Carolina82-78
03/12/25AUNC Asheville77-82
Mercerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/26AVMI77-67
10/01/26HWofford109-97
08/01/26HCitadel101-63
03/01/26AEast Tennessee St71-77
31/12/25AFurman72-74
28/12/25HBaptist Bafl122-49
20/12/25AWashington State78-84
18/12/25AUCF Knights63-81
13/12/25AClemson63-70
07/12/25HOglethorpe100-50

📊 11. Overall Statistics

NC Greensboro
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW39%
HomeLWWWW67%
AwayLLWLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %39%67%11%
Points / game77.782.473.0
Allowed / game79.569.989.1
Point differential-1.8+12.6-16.1
Avg total157.2152.3162.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%22%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %11%22%0%
Mercer
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW61%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLLLW30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %61%100%30%
Points / game84.397.274.0
Allowed / game74.166.580.1
Point differential+10.3+30.8-6.1
Avg total158.4163.8154.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%88%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Furman1813572%77.669.7+7.9
2 East Tennessee St1913668%78.166.9+11.1
3 Mercer1811761%84.374.1+10.3
4 Wofford1811761%78.676.9+1.7
5 Chattanooga Mocs1991047%77.673.1+4.5
6 Samford1991047%77.576.4+1.2
7 NC Greensboro1871139%77.779.5-1.8
8 Western Carolina1761135%77.280.6-3.4
9 VMI1861233%74.175.9-1.8
10 Citadel1851328%71.476.3-4.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
NC Greensboro375592
Mercer5151102
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.