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VMI vs Mercer Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 15 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 67-77
33-36 34-41
Position#364
Record6-11
FormLLWLL
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game75.9
vs
Mercer 🏆
USA
Position#117
Record10-7
FormWLLWW
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game74.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · VMI v Mercer
15 Jan 2026
VMI67
MERC77
04 Jan 2025
VMI67
MERC70
06 Jan 2024
VMI64
MERC86
19 Jan 2023
VMI61
MERC69
10 Feb 2022
VMI85
MERC79
07 Mar 2021
VMI59
MERC73
10 Dec 2020
VMI v MERC
upcoming
25 Jan 2020
VMI66
MERC69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

VMI winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mercer winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VMIUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buffalo
#180
L
70-78
70
78
-8
A24/11
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
L
48-81
48
81
-33
A26/11
NCAA
UCF Knights
#92
L
57-82
57
82
-25
A29/11
NCAA
Christendom
#649
W
89-36
89
36
+53
H06/12
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#314
W
86-70
86
70
+16
H09/12
NCAA
Radford
#176
L
90-97
90
97
-7
A21/12
NCAA
Samford
#149
L
58-78
58
78
-20
H01/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
W
79-71
79
71
+8
H03/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
L
67-81
67
81
-14
A08/01
NCAA
Furman
#93
L
48-69
48
69
-21
A10/01
NCAA
1H
2H
33-31
37-47
20-45
28-36
32-45
25-37
49-18
40-18
51-32
35-38
43-44
47-53
36-34
22-44
39-23
40-48
30-41
37-40
27-34
21-35
143.5Avg total
69.2Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)74.575.9150.4-1.435%
Season at home (7)86.762.3149.0+24.471%
Season away (10)66.085.4151.4-19.410%
Last 10 (10)69.274.3143.5-5.130%
Last 5 (5)68.479.2147.6-10.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)67.178.0145.2-10.923%
vs Similar (3)79.381.3160.7-2.067%
vs Weaker (4)89.266.5155.8+22.8100%
This opponent (Mercer) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MercerUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia State
#332
W
78-67
78
67
+11
H03/12
NCAA
Oglethorpe
#625
W
100-50
100
50
+50
H07/12
NCAA
Clemson
#56
L
63-70
63
70
-7
A13/12
NCAA
UCF Knights
#92
L
63-81
63
81
-18
A18/12
NCAA
Washington State
#291
L
78-84
78
84
-6
A20/12
NCAA
Baptist Bafl
#710
W
122-49
122
49
+73
H28/12
NCAA
Furman
#93
L
72-74
72
74
-2
A31/12
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
L
71-77
71
77
-6
A03/01
NCAA
Citadel
#302
W
101-63
101
63
+38
H08/01
NCAA
Wofford
#126
W
109-97
109
97
+12
H10/01
NCAA
1H
2H
46-46
32-21
57-26
43-24
39-33
24-37
27-35
36-46
39-41
39-43
62-18
60-31
35-36
37-38
35-32
36-45
54-31
47-32
58-46
51-51
156.9Avg total
85.7Scored
71.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)84.874.5159.2+10.359%
Season at home (8)97.266.5163.8+30.8100%
Season away (9)73.781.6155.2-7.922%
Last 10 (10)85.771.2156.9+14.550%
Last 5 (5)95.072.0167.0+23.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)69.482.2151.6-12.90%
vs Similar (8)71.878.2150.0-6.525%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)83.871.2155.0+12.783%
This opponent (VMI) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +1.3+1.31st half: +10.8+10.82nd half2nd half: -6.4-6.42nd half: +3.7+3.7
-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +1.3+1.31st half: +10.8+10.82nd half2nd half: -6.4-6.42nd half: +3.7+3.7
VMIMercer
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
VMILast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buffalo
#180
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A24/11
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
L
20-45
20
45
-25
A26/11
NCAA
UCF Knights
#92
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A29/11
NCAA
Christendom
#649
W
49-18
49
18
+31
H06/12
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#314
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H09/12
NCAA
Radford
#176
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A21/12
NCAA
Samford
#149
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H01/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
W
39-23
39
23
+16
H03/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A08/01
NCAA
Furman
#93
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A10/01
NCAA
70.7Avg total
36.0Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.736.170.8-1.543%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.532.871.2+5.762%-
Last 30 away (17)31.838.770.5-6.929%-
Last 10 (10)36.034.770.7+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)35.035.270.2-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)32.538.470.9-5.932%-
vs Similar (3)34.738.373.0-3.733%-
vs Weaker (4)43.026.869.8+16.2100%-
This opponent (Mercer) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MercerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia State
#332
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H03/12
NCAA
Oglethorpe
#625
W
57-26
57
26
+31
H07/12
NCAA
Clemson
#56
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A13/12
NCAA
UCF Knights
#92
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A18/12
NCAA
Washington State
#291
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A20/12
NCAA
Baptist Bafl
#710
W
62-18
62
18
+44
H28/12
NCAA
Furman
#93
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A31/12
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A03/01
NCAA
Citadel
#302
W
54-31
54
31
+23
H08/01
NCAA
Wofford
#126
W
58-46
58
46
+12
H10/01
NCAA
79.6Avg total
45.2Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.434.874.2+4.553%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.131.773.8+10.560%-
Last 30 away (15)36.638.074.6-1.447%-
Last 10 (10)45.234.479.6+10.860%-
Last 5 (5)48.832.681.4+16.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)35.538.273.8-2.850%-
vs Similar (8)34.435.569.9-1.138%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)41.934.276.2+7.758%-
This opponent (VMI) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
VMI wins
8
Mercer wins
DateGameScore
15/02/25Mercer v VMI71-80
04/01/25VMI v Mercer67-70
03/02/24Mercer v VMI90-69
06/01/24VMI v Mercer64-86
04/02/23Mercer v VMI80-54
20/01/23VMI v Mercer61-69
11/02/22VMI v Mercer85-79
14/01/22Mercer v VMI97-91
08/03/21VMI v Mercer59-73
23/01/21Mercer v VMI83-80
VMIlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/26AFurman48-69
08/01/26AEast Tennessee St67-81
03/01/26HChattanooga Mocs79-71
01/01/26HSamford58-78
21/12/25ARadford90-97
09/12/25HLoyola Maryland86-70
06/12/25HChristendom89-36
29/11/25AUCF Knights57-82
26/11/25ABowling Green48-81
24/11/25ABuffalo70-78
Mercerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/26HWofford109-97
08/01/26HCitadel101-63
03/01/26AEast Tennessee St71-77
31/12/25AFurman72-74
28/12/25HBaptist Bafl122-49
20/12/25AWashington State78-84
18/12/25AUCF Knights63-81
13/12/25AClemson63-70
07/12/25HOglethorpe100-50
03/12/25HGeorgia State78-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

VMI
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL35%
HomeLWWLW71%
AwayLLLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17710
Win %35%71%10%
Points / game74.586.766.0
Allowed / game75.962.385.4
Point differential-1.4+24.4-19.4
Avg total150.4149.0151.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%57%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mercer
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW59%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %59%100%22%
Points / game84.897.273.7
Allowed / game74.566.581.6
Point differential+10.3+30.8-7.9
Avg total159.2163.8155.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%88%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Furman1813572%77.669.7+7.9
2 East Tennessee St1812667%78.266.5+11.7
3 Wofford1811761%78.676.9+1.7
4 Mercer1710759%84.874.5+10.3
5 Samford189950%77.776.4+1.3
6 Chattanooga Mocs1881044%76.972.6+4.3
7 Western Carolina1661038%76.980.0-3.1
8 VMI1761135%74.575.9-1.4
9 NC Greensboro1761135%78.280.3-2.1
10 Citadel1751229%71.776.8-5.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
VMI333467
Mercer364177
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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