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Mercer vs Citadel Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 08 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 101-63
54-31 47-32
Position#117
Record8-7
FormLLWLL
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game73.7
Mercer 🏆
USA
vs
Position#302
Record4-11
FormLLLLL
Points / game71.8
Allowed / game75.1
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Mercer v Citadel
30 Jan 2027
MERC v CITA
upcoming
07 Jan 2026
MERC101
CITA63
29 Jan 2025
MERC80
CITA46
08 Mar 2024
MERC84
CITA76
21 Feb 2024
MERC87
CITA78
03 Mar 2023
MERC66
CITA41
25 Feb 2023
MERC72
CITA50
23 Feb 2022
MERC67
CITA71
22 Feb 2021
MERC88
CITA52
01 Feb 2020
MERC76
CITA71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mercer winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Citadel winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MercerUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Appalachian State
#119
W
75-67
75
67
+8
H26/11
NCAA
Elon
#256
W
91-84
91
84
+7
A29/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
W
78-67
78
67
+11
H03/12
NCAA
Oglethorpe
#625
W
100-50
100
50
+50
H07/12
NCAA
Clemson
#56
L
63-70
63
70
-7
A13/12
NCAA
UCF Knights
#92
L
63-81
63
81
-18
A18/12
NCAA
Washington State
#291
L
78-84
78
84
-6
A20/12
NCAA
Baptist Bafl
#710
W
122-49
122
49
+73
H28/12
NCAA
Furman
#93
L
72-74
72
74
-2
A31/12
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
L
71-77
71
77
-6
A03/01
NCAA
1H
2H
26-29
49-38
42-46
49-38
46-46
32-21
57-26
43-24
39-33
24-37
27-35
36-46
39-41
39-43
62-18
60-31
35-36
37-38
35-32
36-45
151.6Avg total
81.3Scored
70.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)82.173.7155.8+8.353%
Season at home (6)94.762.0156.7+32.7100%
Season away (9)73.781.6155.2-7.922%
Last 10 (10)81.370.3151.6+11.050%
Last 5 (5)81.273.0154.2+8.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)68.380.5148.8-12.210%
vs Similar (8)71.878.2150.0-6.525%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)79.669.4149.0+10.280%
This opponent (Citadel) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CitadelUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bellarmine
#279
L
58-70
58
70
-12
H25/11
NCAA
Houston Christian
#297
L
65-72
65
72
-7
H27/11
NCAA
Presbyterian
#263
W
69-41
69
41
+28
A30/11
NCAA
Davidson
#109
L
63-79
63
79
-16
A05/12
NCAA
Southern W.
#539
W
98-73
98
73
+25
H10/12
NCAA
South Carolina
#278
L
55-71
55
71
-16
A14/12
NCAA
Charleston
#80
L
78-82
78
82
-4
A18/12
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#231
L
56-80
56
80
-24
A20/12
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
L
49-74
49
74
-25
H30/12
NCAA
Wofford
#126
L
86-95
86
95
-9
H03/01
NCAA
1H
2H
31-35
27-35
32-35
33-37
33-17
36-24
29-36
34-43
54-40
44-33
28-35
27-36
36-35
42-47
32-42
24-38
23-40
26-34
35-42
51-53
141.4Avg total
67.7Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)71.875.1146.9-3.327%
Season at home (8)77.174.8151.9+2.438%
Season away (7)65.775.6141.3-9.914%
Last 10 (10)67.773.7141.4-6.020%
Last 5 (5)64.880.4145.2-15.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)64.378.0142.2-13.75%
vs Similar (8)67.173.2140.4-6.112%
vs Weaker (2)101.567.0168.5+34.5100%
This opponent (Mercer) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.6+6.61st half: -2.4-2.42nd half2nd half: +4.4+4.42nd half: -3.6-3.6
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.6+6.61st half: -2.4-2.42nd half2nd half: +4.4+4.42nd half: -3.6-3.6
MercerCitadel
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MercerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Appalachian State
#119
L
26-29
26
29
-3
H26/11
NCAA
Elon
#256
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A29/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H03/12
NCAA
Oglethorpe
#625
W
57-26
57
26
+31
H07/12
NCAA
Clemson
#56
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A13/12
NCAA
UCF Knights
#92
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A18/12
NCAA
Washington State
#291
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A20/12
NCAA
Baptist Bafl
#710
W
62-18
62
18
+44
H28/12
NCAA
Furman
#93
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A31/12
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A03/01
NCAA
75.0Avg total
40.8Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.634.772.3+2.847%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.030.670.6+9.454%-
Last 30 away (17)35.737.973.6-2.241%-
Last 10 (10)40.834.275.0+6.640%-
Last 5 (5)39.632.472.0+7.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)34.238.072.2-3.840%-
vs Similar (8)34.435.569.9-1.138%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)39.133.472.5+5.750%-
This opponent (Citadel) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CitadelLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bellarmine
#279
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H25/11
NCAA
Houston Christian
#297
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H27/11
NCAA
Presbyterian
#263
W
33-17
33
17
+16
A30/11
NCAA
Davidson
#109
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A05/12
NCAA
Southern W.
#539
W
54-40
54
40
+14
H10/12
NCAA
South Carolina
#278
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A14/12
NCAA
Charleston
#80
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A18/12
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#231
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A20/12
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
L
23-40
23
40
-17
H30/12
NCAA
Wofford
#126
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H03/01
NCAA
69.0Avg total
33.3Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.336.768.0-5.423%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.935.969.7-2.027%-
Last 30 away (15)28.737.566.2-8.720%-
Last 10 (10)33.335.769.0-2.430%-
Last 5 (5)30.838.869.6-8.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)29.438.367.8-8.815%-
vs Similar (8)31.134.165.2-3.025%-
vs Weaker (2)50.530.581.0+20.0100%-
This opponent (Mercer) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Mercer wins
2
Citadel wins
DateGameScore
20/02/25Citadel v Mercer52-62
30/01/25Mercer v Citadel80-46
08/03/24Mercer v Citadel84-76
22/02/24Mercer v Citadel87-78
25/01/24Citadel v Mercer68-66
03/03/23Mercer v Citadel66-41
25/02/23Mercer v Citadel72-50
28/01/23Citadel v Mercer65-74
24/02/22Mercer v Citadel67-71
18/01/22Citadel v Mercer64-71
Mercerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/26AEast Tennessee St71-77
31/12/25AFurman72-74
28/12/25HBaptist Bafl122-49
20/12/25AWashington State78-84
18/12/25AUCF Knights63-81
13/12/25AClemson63-70
07/12/25HOglethorpe100-50
03/12/25HGeorgia State78-67
29/11/25AElon91-84
26/11/25HAppalachian State75-67
Citadellast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/26HWofford86-95
30/12/25HEast Tennessee St49-74
20/12/25ARichmond Spiders56-80
18/12/25ACharleston78-82
14/12/25ASouth Carolina55-71
10/12/25HSouthern W.98-73
05/12/25ADavidson63-79
30/11/25APresbyterian69-41
27/11/25HHouston Christian65-72
25/11/25HBellarmine58-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mercer
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL53%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1569
Win %53%100%22%
Points / game82.194.773.7
Allowed / game73.762.081.6
Point differential+8.3+32.7-7.9
Avg total155.8156.7155.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%83%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Citadel
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL27%
HomeLLWLL38%
AwayWLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %27%38%14%
Points / game71.877.165.7
Allowed / game75.174.875.6
Point differential-3.3+2.4-9.9
Avg total146.9151.9141.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%38%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Furman1611569%78.270.9+7.3
2 Wofford1611569%78.274.9+3.2
3 East Tennessee St1510567%78.166.5+11.6
4 Mercer158753%82.173.7+8.3
5 Samford158753%77.675.5+2.1
6 VMI156940%76.876.0+0.8
7 Western Carolina135838%77.280.8-3.6
8 Chattanooga Mocs1661038%76.272.6+3.7
9 NC Greensboro1661038%79.479.9-0.6
10 Citadel1541127%71.875.1-3.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Mercer5447101
Citadel313263
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