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NC State vs California Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 62-65
29-31 33-34
Position#293
Record9-8
FormLLWLL
Points / game71.9
Allowed / game67.2
vs
Position#268
Record8-9
FormLLWLL
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game75.7
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NC State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
California winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NC StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas
#168
L
59-63
59
63
-4
H05/12
NCAA
Florida State
#177
W
84-74 OT
84
74
+10
H07/12
NCAA
Coppin State
#351
W
66-56
66
56
+10
H11/12
NCAA
Kansas
#114
L
60-75
60
75
-15
A14/12
NCAA
Rider
#276
W
89-63
89
63
+26
H22/12
NCAA
Virginia
#230
L
67-70
67
70
-3
A31/12
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
L
59-77
59
77
-18
A04/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
W
66-65
66
65
+1
H09/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
L
61-63
61
63
-2
H11/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
L
76-79
76
79
-3
A16/01
NCAA
1H
2H
31-33
28-30
35-33
35-37
35-28
31-28
30-38
30-37
52-23
37-40
39-29
28-41
32-38
27-39
26-33
40-32
20-26
41-37
45-34
31-45
137.2Avg total
68.7Scored
68.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)71.967.2139.1+4.653%
Season at home (12)74.964.2139.1+10.875%
Season away (5)64.674.6139.2-10.00%
Last 10 (10)68.768.5137.2+0.240%
Last 5 (5)65.870.8136.6-5.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)67.270.4137.6-3.136%
vs Similar ◀ (12)75.267.7142.8+7.575%
vs Weaker (4)86.567.5154.0+19.0100%
This opponent (California) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CaliforniaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri
#89
L
93-98
93
98
-5
A04/12
NCAA
Stanford
#127
L
81-89
81
89
-8
H07/12
NCAA
Cornell
#113
L
80-88
80
88
-8
H11/12
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#198
W
84-66
84
66
+18
H14/12
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
L
50-71
50
71
-21
A22/12
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
L
74-86
74
86
-12
A01/01
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
68-80
68
80
-12
A05/01
NCAA
Virginia
#230
W
75-61
75
61
+14
H09/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
L
68-71
68
71
-3
H11/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
L
53-79
53
79
-26
A16/01
NCAA
1H
2H
51-35
42-63
31-47
50-42
29-47
51-41
36-33
48-33
16-25
34-46
42-38
32-48
36-39
32-41
35-32
40-29
23-42
45-29
29-39
24-40
151.5Avg total
72.6Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)75.675.7151.3-0.147%
Season at home (10)80.772.2152.9+8.570%
Season away (7)68.380.7149.0-12.414%
Last 10 (10)72.678.9151.5-6.320%
Last 5 (5)67.675.4143.0-7.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)69.683.2152.8-13.615%
vs Similar ◀ (16)77.071.6148.6+5.469%
vs Weaker (1)78.069.0147.0+9.0100%
This opponent (NC State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +3.0+3.01st half: -4.9-4.92nd half2nd half: -3.8-3.82nd half: -1.4-1.4
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +3.0+3.01st half: -4.9-4.92nd half2nd half: -3.8-3.82nd half: -1.4-1.4
NC StateCalifornia
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NC StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas
#168
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H05/12
NCAA
Florida State
#177
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H07/12
NCAA
Coppin State
#351
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H11/12
NCAA
Kansas
#114
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A14/12
NCAA
Rider
#276
W
52-23
52
23
+29
H22/12
NCAA
Virginia
#230
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A31/12
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A04/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
L
26-33
26
33
-7
H09/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
L
20-26
20
26
-6
H11/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A16/01
NCAA
66.0Avg total
34.5Scored
31.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.132.267.3+2.953%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.330.867.1+5.560%-
Last 30 away (15)33.933.767.6+0.347%-
Last 10 (10)34.531.566.0+3.050%-
Last 5 (5)32.432.064.4+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)31.633.364.9-1.629%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)35.730.866.4+4.975%-
vs Weaker (4)45.533.078.5+12.575%-
This opponent (California) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CaliforniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri
#89
W
51-35
51
35
+16
A04/12
NCAA
Stanford
#127
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H07/12
NCAA
Cornell
#113
L
29-47
29
47
-18
H11/12
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#198
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H14/12
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
L
16-25
16
25
-9
A22/12
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A01/01
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A05/01
NCAA
Virginia
#230
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H09/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
L
23-42
23
42
-19
H11/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A16/01
NCAA
70.5Avg total
32.8Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.736.971.6-2.343%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.435.270.6+0.156%-
Last 30 away (14)33.938.972.7-5.029%-
Last 10 (10)32.837.770.5-4.940%-
Last 5 (5)33.038.071.0-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)32.439.672.0-7.223%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)36.535.471.9+1.156%-
vs Weaker (1)35.027.062.0+8.0100%-
This opponent (NC State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
NC State wins
0
California wins
No previous meetings.
NC Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/25AVirginia Tech76-79
11/01/25HNorth Carolina61-63
09/01/25HNotre Dame66-65
04/01/25AWake Forest59-77
31/12/24AVirginia67-70
22/12/24HRider89-63
14/12/24AKansas60-75
11/12/24HCoppin State66-56
07/12/24HFlorida State84-74 OT
05/12/24HTexas59-63
Californialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/25ANorth Carolina53-79
11/01/25HVirginia Tech68-71
09/01/25HVirginia75-61
05/01/25AClemson68-80
01/01/25APittsburgh74-86
22/12/24ASan Diego State50-71
14/12/24HNorthwestern St.84-66
11/12/24HCornell80-88
07/12/24HStanford81-89
04/12/24AMissouri93-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

NC State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL53%
HomeWWWWL75%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17125
Win %53%75%0%
Points / game71.974.964.6
Allowed / game67.264.274.6
Point differential+4.6+10.8-10.0
Avg total139.1139.1139.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%58%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)33% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %6%8%0%
California
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL47%
HomeLLWWL70%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17107
Win %47%70%14%
Points / game75.680.768.3
Allowed / game75.772.280.7
Point differential-0.1+8.5-12.4
Avg total151.3152.9149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke1715288%80.959.3+21.6
2 Clemson1915479%77.266.7+10.5
3 SMU Mustangs1814478%84.871.6+13.2
4 Wake Forest1814478%70.965.7+5.2
5 Louisville1914574%78.469.6+8.8
6 Florida State1813572%78.770.2+8.6
7 Pittsburgh1812667%80.470.8+9.6
8 Stanford1812667%76.371.2+5.1
9 North Carolina1912763%82.375.8+6.5
10 NC State179853%71.967.2+4.6
11 Boston College179853%70.673.1-2.5
12 Syracuse189950%75.177.6-2.4
13 California178947%75.675.7-0.1
14 Notre Dame1881044%74.971.2+3.7
15 Virginia Tech1881044%70.473.1-2.6
16 Virginia1881044%61.364.4-3.1
17 Georgia Tech1981142%74.973.9+0.9
18 Miami (FL)1841422%76.079.2-3.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
NC State293362
California313465
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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