PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

NC State vs North Carolina Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 61-63
20-26 41-37
Position#293
Record9-6
FormLWLLW
Points / game72.3
Allowed / game66.7
NC State
USA
vs
North Carolina 🏆
USA
Position#111
Record10-6
FormWWLWW
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game78.4
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · NC State v North Carolina
15 Dec 2026
NC S v NORT
upcoming
17 Feb 2026
NC S82
NORT58
11 Jan 2025
NC S61
NORT63
10 Jan 2024
NC S54
NORT67
19 Feb 2023
NC S77
NORT69
26 Feb 2022
NC S74
NORT84
22 Dec 2020
NC S79
NORT76
27 Jan 2020
NC S65
NORT75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NC State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
North Carolina winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NC StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Purdue
#72
L
61-71
61
71
-10
H28/11
NCAA
Brigham Young
#48
L
61-72
61
72
-11
A29/11
NCAA
Texas
#168
L
59-63
59
63
-4
H05/12
NCAA
Florida State
#177
W
84-74 OT
84
74
+10
H07/12
NCAA
Coppin State
#351
W
66-56
66
56
+10
H11/12
NCAA
Kansas
#114
L
60-75
60
75
-15
A14/12
NCAA
Rider
#276
W
89-63
89
63
+26
H22/12
NCAA
Virginia
#230
L
67-70
67
70
-3
A31/12
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
L
59-77
59
77
-18
A04/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
W
66-65
66
65
+1
H09/01
NCAA
1H
2H
32-33
29-38
27-38
34-34
31-33
28-30
35-33
35-37
35-28
31-28
30-38
30-37
52-23
37-40
39-29
28-41
32-38
27-39
26-33
40-32
135.8Avg total
67.2Scored
68.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)72.366.7139.1+5.660%
Season at home (11)76.264.3140.5+11.982%
Season away (4)61.873.5135.2-11.80%
Last 10 (10)67.268.6135.8-1.440%
Last 5 (5)68.270.0138.2-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)67.770.9138.6-3.238%
vs Similar (13)76.268.7144.8+7.577%
vs Weaker (4)86.567.5154.0+19.0100%
This opponent (North Carolina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan State
#17
L
91-94 OT
91
94
-3
H28/11
NCAA
Alabama
#34
L
79-94
79
94
-15
H05/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
W
68-65
68
65
+3
H07/12
NCAA
La Salle
#272
W
93-67
93
67
+26
H14/12
NCAA
Florida
#6
L
84-90
84
90
-6
A18/12
NCAA
UCLA
#66
W
76-74
76
74
+2
A21/12
NCAA
Campbell
#222
W
97-81
97
81
+16
H30/12
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
70-83
70
83
-13
A01/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
W
74-73
74
73
+1
A04/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
W
82-67
82
67
+15
H08/01
NCAA
1H
2H
34-43
48-39
34-43
45-51
31-30
37-35
42-25
51-42
34-46
50-44
32-40
44-34
40-29
57-52
31-37
39-46
39-32
35-41
39-24
43-43
160.2Avg total
81.4Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)84.478.4162.9+6.062%
Season at home (10)87.177.4164.5+9.770%
Season away (6)80.080.2160.2-0.250%
Last 10 (10)81.478.8160.2+2.660%
Last 5 (5)79.875.6155.4+4.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)82.389.7172.0-7.30%
vs Similar (11)83.580.9164.4+2.564%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)82.167.9150.0+14.288%
This opponent (NC State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +1.3+1.31st half: +0.7+0.72nd half2nd half: -3.7-3.72nd half: +2.2+2.2
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +1.3+1.31st half: +0.7+0.72nd half2nd half: -3.7-3.72nd half: +2.2+2.2
NC StateNorth Carolina
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NC StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Purdue
#72
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H28/11
NCAA
Brigham Young
#48
L
27-38
27
38
-11
A29/11
NCAA
Texas
#168
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H05/12
NCAA
Florida State
#177
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H07/12
NCAA
Coppin State
#351
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H11/12
NCAA
Kansas
#114
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A14/12
NCAA
Rider
#276
W
52-23
52
23
+29
H22/12
NCAA
Virginia
#230
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A31/12
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A04/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
L
26-33
26
33
-7
H09/01
NCAA
66.5Avg total
33.9Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.332.567.8+2.853%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.530.868.3+6.767%-
Last 30 away (15)33.134.167.3-1.040%-
Last 10 (10)33.932.666.5+1.340%-
Last 5 (5)35.832.268.0+3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)32.533.866.4-1.331%-
vs Similar (13)34.930.965.8+4.069%-
vs Weaker (4)45.533.078.5+12.575%-
This opponent (North Carolina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan State
#17
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H28/11
NCAA
Alabama
#34
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H05/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H07/12
NCAA
La Salle
#272
W
42-25
42
25
+17
H14/12
NCAA
Florida
#6
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A18/12
NCAA
UCLA
#66
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A21/12
NCAA
Campbell
#222
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H30/12
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A01/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A04/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
W
39-24
39
24
+15
H08/01
NCAA
70.5Avg total
35.6Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.736.074.7+2.760%-
Last 30 at home (20)39.935.475.2+4.570%-
Last 30 away (10)36.337.273.5-0.940%-
Last 10 (10)35.634.970.5+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)36.232.468.6+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)33.343.076.3-9.70%-
vs Similar (11)38.638.977.5-0.345%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)39.732.772.4+7.081%-
This opponent (NC State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
NC State wins
7
North Carolina wins
DateGameScore
17/03/24North Carolina v NC State76-84
02/03/24North Carolina v NC State79-70
11/01/24NC State v North Carolina54-67
19/02/23NC State v North Carolina77-69
21/01/23North Carolina v NC State80-69
26/02/22NC State v North Carolina74-84
29/01/22North Carolina v NC State100-80
23/01/21North Carolina v NC State86-76
23/12/20NC State v North Carolina79-76
26/02/20North Carolina v NC State85-79
NC Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/25HNotre Dame66-65
04/01/25AWake Forest59-77
31/12/24AVirginia67-70
22/12/24HRider89-63
14/12/24AKansas60-75
11/12/24HCoppin State66-56
07/12/24HFlorida State84-74 OT
05/12/24HTexas59-63
29/11/24ABrigham Young61-72
28/11/24HPurdue61-71
North Carolinalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/25HSMU Mustangs82-67
04/01/25ANotre Dame74-73
01/01/25ALouisville70-83
30/12/24HCampbell97-81
21/12/24AUCLA76-74
18/12/24AFlorida84-90
14/12/24HLa Salle93-67
07/12/24HGeorgia Tech68-65
05/12/24HAlabama79-94
28/11/24HMichigan State91-94 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

NC State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW60%
HomeLWWWW82%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15114
Win %60%82%0%
Points / game72.376.261.8
Allowed / game66.764.373.5
Point differential+5.6+11.9-11.8
Avg total139.1140.5135.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%64%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %7%9%0%
North Carolina
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW62%
HomeLWWWW70%
AwayWLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16106
Win %62%70%50%
Points / game84.487.180.0
Allowed / game78.477.480.2
Point differential+6.0+9.7-0.2
Avg total162.9164.5160.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)67% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %6%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke1614288%80.459.6+20.8
2 Clemson1713476%77.666.7+10.9
3 Pittsburgh1612475%81.469.7+11.7
4 SMU Mustangs1511473%84.172.7+11.4
5 Wake Forest1511473%69.164.9+4.1
6 Louisville1712571%77.870.2+7.6
7 Florida State1611569%77.869.7+8.1
8 Stanford1510567%76.471.1+5.3
9 North Carolina1610662%84.478.4+6.0
10 NC State159660%72.366.7+5.6
11 Boston College169756%71.272.8-1.5
12 California158753%77.675.8+1.8
13 Virginia158753%61.362.4-1.1
14 Georgia Tech168850%75.971.9+4.0
15 Syracuse168850%75.977.6-1.8
16 Notre Dame167944%75.171.5+3.6
17 Virginia Tech156940%70.373.3-2.9
18 Miami (FL)1541127%77.575.5+2.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
NC State204161
North Carolina263763
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.