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NC State vs Dayton Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 24 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 76-64
36-32 40-32
Position#66
Record4-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game85.4
Allowed / game66.8
vs
Position#85
Record3-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game60.2
Allowed / game52.4
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NC State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dayton winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NC StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston College
#270
L
61-69
61
69
-8
H24/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#41
L
74-84
74
84
-10
H26/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#50
L
76-101
76
101
-25
A03/03
NCAA
Florida State
#168
L
76-89
76
89
-13
A05/03
NCAA
Clemson
#190
L
64-70
64
70
-6
A08/03
NCAA
Austin Peay
#338
W
99-50
99
50
+49
H08/11
NCAA
Campbell
#225
W
73-67
73
67
+6
H12/11
NCAA
Florida International
#255
W
107-74
107
74
+33
H16/11
NCAA
Elon
#349
W
74-63
74
63
+11
H19/11
NCAA
Kansas
#23
L
74-80
74
80
-6
A23/11
NCAA
1H
2H
31-33
30-36
29-46
45-38
40-41
36-60
35-46
41-43
24-29
40-41
49-21
50-29
39-34
34-33
57-32
50-42
37-27
37-36
31-39
43-41
152.5Avg total
77.8Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)85.466.8152.2+18.680%
Season at home (4)88.263.5151.8+24.8100%
Season away (1)74.080.0154.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)77.874.7152.5+3.140%
Last 5 (5)85.466.8152.2+18.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)70.078.9148.9-8.912%
vs Similar ◀ (9)72.170.8142.9+1.333%
vs Weaker (4)88.263.5151.8+24.8100%
This opponent (Dayton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DaytonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Davidson
#17
W
82-76
82
76
+6
H05/03
NCAA
UMass
#220
W
75-72
75
72
+3
H11/03
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#92
L
64-68
64
68
-4
H12/03
NCAA
Toledo
#31
W
74-55
74
55
+19
A16/03
NIT
Vanderbilt
#6
L
68-70 OT
68
70
-2
A20/03
NIT
Lindenwood
#304
W
73-46
73
46
+27
H08/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#327
W
74-62
74
62
+12
H12/11
NCAA
UNLV
#123
L
52-60
52
60
-8
A16/11
NCAA
Robert Morris
#216
W
60-51
60
51
+9
H19/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#158
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A23/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
34-35
0-0
48-41
0-0
34-36
0-0
41-36
0-0
33-25
0-0
31-43
0-0
34-23
0-0
40-32
0-0
26-25
0-0
37-38
0-0
35-21
0-0
38-25
0-0
29-24
0-0
45-38
0-0
32-22
0-0
20-38
0-0
30-21
0-0
30-30
0-0
14-23
0-0
28-20
126.7Avg total
66.4Scored
60.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)60.252.4112.6+7.860%
Season at home (3)69.053.0122.0+16.0100%
Season away (2)47.051.598.5-4.50%
Last 10 (10)66.460.3126.7+6.160%
Last 5 (5)60.252.4112.6+7.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)66.061.6127.6+4.462%
vs Weaker (21)67.057.8124.7+9.271%
This opponent (NC State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +2.4+2.41st half: +4.6+4.62nd half2nd half: +0.7+0.72nd half: +1.7+1.7
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +2.4+2.41st half: +4.6+4.62nd half2nd half: +0.7+0.72nd half: +1.7+1.7
NC StateDayton
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NC StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston College
#270
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H24/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#41
L
29-46
29
46
-17
H26/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#50
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A03/03
NCAA
Florida State
#168
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A05/03
NCAA
Clemson
#190
L
24-29
24
29
-5
A08/03
NCAA
Austin Peay
#338
W
49-21
49
21
+28
H08/11
NCAA
Campbell
#225
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H12/11
NCAA
Florida International
#255
W
57-32
57
32
+25
H16/11
NCAA
Elon
#349
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H19/11
NCAA
Kansas
#23
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A23/11
NCAA
72.0Avg total
37.2Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.235.070.3+0.243%-
Last 30 at home (18)35.734.169.8+1.650%-
Last 30 away (12)34.536.470.9-1.933%-
Last 10 (10)37.234.872.0+2.440%-
Last 5 (5)42.630.673.2+12.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)32.836.869.6-4.129%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)35.334.669.9+0.844%-
vs Weaker (4)45.528.574.0+17.0100%-
This opponent (Dayton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DaytonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Davidson
#17
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H05/03
NCAA
UMass
#220
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H11/03
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#92
W
33-25
33
25
+8
H12/03
NCAA
Toledo
#31
W
34-23
34
23
+11
A16/03
NIT
Vanderbilt
#6
W
26-25
26
25
+1
A20/03
NIT
Lindenwood
#304
W
35-21
35
21
+14
H08/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#327
W
29-24
29
24
+5
H12/11
NCAA
UNLV
#123
W
32-22
32
22
+10
A16/11
NCAA
Robert Morris
#216
W
30-21
30
21
+9
H19/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#158
L
14-23
14
23
-9
A23/11
NCAA
55.6Avg total
30.1Scored
25.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.325.658.0+6.773%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.125.159.2+9.081%-
Last 30 away (14)30.326.256.5+4.164%-
Last 10 (10)30.125.555.6+4.670%-
Last 5 (5)28.022.250.2+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)31.927.058.9+4.962%-
vs Weaker (21)32.425.257.7+7.276%-
This opponent (NC State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
NC State wins
0
Dayton wins
No previous meetings.
NC Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/22AKansas74-80
19/11/22HElon74-63
16/11/22HFlorida International107-74
12/11/22HCampbell73-67
08/11/22HAustin Peay99-50
08/03/22AClemson64-70
05/03/22AFlorida State76-89
03/03/22AWake Forest76-101
26/02/22HNorth Carolina74-84
24/02/22HBoston College61-69
Daytonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/22AWisconsin42-43
19/11/22HRobert Morris60-51
16/11/22AUNLV52-60
12/11/22HSMU Mustangs74-62
08/11/22HLindenwood73-46
20/03/22AVanderbilt68-70 OT
16/03/22AToledo74-55
12/03/22HRichmond Spiders64-68
11/03/22HUMass75-72
05/03/22HDavidson82-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

NC State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL80%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games541
Win %80%100%0%
Points / game85.488.274.0
Allowed / game66.863.580.0
Point differential+18.6+24.8-6.0
Avg total152.2151.8154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Dayton
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL60%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%100%0%
Points / game60.269.047.0
Allowed / game52.453.051.5
Point differential+7.8+16.0-4.5
Avg total112.6122.098.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virginia440100%79.560.8+18.8
2 North Carolina550100%82.470.6+11.8
3 Notre Dame550100%79.471.6+7.8
4 Duke65183%73.252.8+20.3
5 Virginia Tech65183%79.765.5+14.2
6 Wake Forest65183%79.268.2+11.0
7 NC State54180%85.466.8+18.6
8 Clemson54180%73.461.2+12.2
9 Boston College64267%66.264.3+1.8
10 Syracuse53260%75.469.4+6.0
11 Georgia Tech53260%68.864.4+4.4
12 Miami (FL)116555%73.869.8+4.0
13 Pittsburgh63350%69.869.3+0.5
14 Stanford52340%69.665.4+4.2
15 SMU Mustangs52340%65.868.2-2.4
16 Florida State61517%68.576.3-7.8
17 California5050%60.467.0-6.6
18 Louisville6060%58.772.0-13.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Atlantic 10 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 St. Louis Billikens65183%83.873.0+10.8
2 Duquesne65183%80.371.7+8.7
3 Fordham65183%72.064.5+7.5
4 Davidson65183%77.573.7+3.8
5 Dayton53260%60.252.4+7.8
6 George Washington53260%77.871.4+6.4
7 St. Bonaventure53260%74.868.4+6.4
8 VCU Rams53260%63.860.4+3.4
9 Richmond Spiders63350%68.762.3+6.3
10 La Salle52340%68.470.8-2.4
11 Saint Josephs Hawks52340%66.472.0-5.6
12 Loyola Chicago52340%64.673.4-8.8
13 Rhode Island62433%65.266.7-1.5
14 George Mason62433%66.769.0-2.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
NC State364076
Dayton323264
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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