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Wake Forest vs NC State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 03 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 101-76
41-40 60-36
Position#50
Record22-8
FormLLWLW
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game69.6
Wake Forest 🏆
USA
vs
NC State
USA
Position#297
Record11-18
FormLLWLL
Points / game73.1
Allowed / game74.4
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Wake Forest v NC State
31 Jan 2026
WAKE78
NC S96
04 Jan 2025
WAKE77
NC S59
10 Feb 2024
WAKE83
NC S79
28 Jan 2023
WAKE77
NC S79
02 Mar 2022
WAKE101
NC S76
20 Feb 2021
WAKE62
NC S80
07 Dec 2019
WAKE82
NC S91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Wake Forest winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
NC State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Wake ForestUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston College
#270
W
87-57
87
57
+30
H24/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#205
L
72-94
72
94
-22
A30/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#301
W
91-75
91
75
+16
H03/02
NCAA
Florida State
#168
W
68-60
68
60
+8
A05/02
NCAA
NC State
#297
W
69-51
69
51
+18
A10/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#58
L
72-76
72
76
-4
H12/02
NCAA
Duke
#12
L
74-76
74
76
-2
A16/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#72
W
79-74
79
74
+5
H19/02
NCAA
Clemson
#190
L
69-80
69
80
-11
A24/02
NCAA
Louisville
#265
W
99-77
99
77
+22
H27/02
NCAA
1H
2H
39-24
48-33
42-39
30-55
46-24
45-51
25-21
43-39
31-28
38-23
40-33
32-43
33-42
41-34
35-41
44-33
33-36
36-44
44-36
55-41
150.0Avg total
78.0Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)78.869.6148.5+9.273%
Season at home (19)81.868.6150.5+13.284%
Season away (11)73.671.4145.0+2.355%
Last 10 (10)78.072.0150.0+6.060%
Last 5 (5)78.676.6155.2+2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)76.172.6148.7+3.657%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)79.768.7148.4+10.978%
This opponent (NC State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NC StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia
#135
W
77-63
77
63
+14
H22/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#72
L
65-73
65
73
-8
A27/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#41
L
80-100
80
100
-20
A29/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#205
L
82-89
82
89
-7
H03/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#72
L
57-69
57
69
-12
H05/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#50
L
51-69
51
69
-18
H10/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#301
L
69-71
69
71
-2
A12/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#298
W
76-61
76
61
+15
A16/02
NCAA
Boston College
#270
L
61-69
61
69
-8
H24/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#41
L
74-84
74
84
-10
H26/02
NCAA
1H
2H
43-32
34-31
30-30
35-43
31-56
49-44
45-42
37-47
28-33
29-36
28-31
23-38
31-26
38-45
51-25
25-36
31-33
30-36
29-46
45-38
144.0Avg total
69.2Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)73.174.4147.6-1.338%
Season at home (20)73.073.8146.7-0.840%
Season away (9)73.476.0149.4-2.633%
Last 10 (10)69.274.8144.0-5.620%
Last 5 (5)66.270.8137.0-4.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)71.176.6147.7-5.626%
vs Similar (8)75.471.0146.4+4.450%
vs Weaker (3)76.066.7142.7+9.367%
This opponent (Wake Forest) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.4+4.41st half: -0.7-0.72nd half2nd half: +1.6+1.62nd half: -4.9-4.9
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.4+4.41st half: -0.7-0.72nd half2nd half: +1.6+1.62nd half: -4.9-4.9
Wake ForestNC State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Wake ForestLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston College
#270
W
39-24
39
24
+15
H24/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#205
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A30/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#301
W
46-24
46
24
+22
H03/02
NCAA
Florida State
#168
W
25-21
25
21
+4
A05/02
NCAA
NC State
#297
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A10/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#58
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H12/02
NCAA
Duke
#12
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A16/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#72
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H19/02
NCAA
Clemson
#190
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A24/02
NCAA
Louisville
#265
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H27/02
NCAA
69.2Avg total
36.8Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.531.468.9+6.173%-
Last 30 at home (19)39.130.469.5+8.679%-
Last 30 away (11)34.833.268.0+1.664%-
Last 10 (10)36.832.469.2+4.470%-
Last 5 (5)37.037.674.6-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)33.037.370.3-4.329%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)38.929.768.5+9.287%-
This opponent (NC State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NC StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia
#135
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H22/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#72
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A27/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#41
L
31-56
31
56
-25
A29/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#205
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H03/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#72
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H05/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#50
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H10/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#301
W
31-26
31
26
+5
A12/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#298
W
51-25
51
25
+26
A16/02
NCAA
Boston College
#270
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H24/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#41
L
29-46
29
46
-17
H26/02
NCAA
70.1Avg total
34.7Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.835.068.9-1.240%-
Last 30 at home (20)33.935.669.5-1.835%-
Last 30 away (10)33.733.867.5-0.150%-
Last 10 (10)34.735.470.1-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)34.032.266.2+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)32.936.269.1-3.337%-
vs Similar (8)36.233.169.4+3.150%-
vs Weaker (3)33.332.766.0+0.733%-
This opponent (Wake Forest) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Wake Forest wins
4
NC State wins
DateGameScore
10/02/22NC State v Wake Forest51-69
20/02/21Wake Forest v NC State62-80
28/01/21NC State v Wake Forest72-67
07/03/20NC State v Wake Forest84-64
07/12/19Wake Forest v NC State82-91
Wake Forestlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/22HLouisville99-77
24/02/22AClemson69-80
19/02/22HNotre Dame79-74
16/02/22ADuke74-76
12/02/22HMiami (FL)72-76
10/02/22ANC State69-51
05/02/22AFlorida State68-60
03/02/22HPittsburgh91-75
30/01/22ASyracuse72-94
24/01/22HBoston College87-57
NC Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/22HNorth Carolina74-84
24/02/22HBoston College61-69
16/02/22AGeorgia Tech76-61
12/02/22APittsburgh69-71
10/02/22HWake Forest51-69
05/02/22HNotre Dame57-69
03/02/22HSyracuse82-89
29/01/22ANorth Carolina80-100
27/01/22ANotre Dame65-73
22/01/22HVirginia77-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Wake Forest
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW73%
HomeWWLWW84%
AwayLWWLL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301911
Win %73%84%55%
Points / game78.881.873.6
Allowed / game69.668.671.4
Point differential+9.2+13.2+2.3
Avg total148.5150.5145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%58%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)80% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %10%16%0%
NC State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL38%
HomeLLLLL40%
AwayLLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games29209
Win %38%40%33%
Points / game73.173.073.4
Allowed / game74.473.876.0
Point differential-1.3-0.8-2.6
Avg total147.6146.7149.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%20%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)33% (6)50% (2)
Overtime %7%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke3026487%80.365.1+15.3
2 SMU Mustangs2720774%74.467.2+7.2
3 Wake Forest3022873%78.869.6+9.2
4 North Carolina3022873%78.172.4+5.7
5 Notre Dame3021970%72.166.6+5.5
6 Miami (FL)2920969%74.770.8+3.9
7 Virginia Tech30191163%70.061.2+8.8
8 Virginia29171259%63.360.4+2.9
9 Florida State29161355%70.971.0-0.1
10 Stanford28151354%66.067.8-1.8
11 Clemson30151550%72.068.7+3.3
12 Syracuse30151550%76.975.2+1.6
13 California29121741%63.965.1-1.2
14 Louisville29121741%67.670.6-3.0
15 Boston College28111739%65.967.5-1.7
16 NC State29111838%73.174.4-1.3
17 Pittsburgh30111937%62.367.8-5.5
18 Georgia Tech30102033%67.670.4-2.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Wake Forest4160101
NC State403676
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