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Florida State vs NC State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 89-76
46-35 43-41
Position#168
Record16-13
FormWLLWW
Points / game70.9
Allowed / game71.0
Florida State 🏆
USA
vs
NC State
USA
Position#297
Record11-19
FormLWLLL
Points / game73.2
Allowed / game75.3
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Florida State v NC State
10 Jan 2026
FLOR69
NC S113
27 Feb 2024
FLOR90
NC S83
05 Mar 2022
FLOR89
NC S76
13 Jan 2021
FLOR105
NC S73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Florida State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
NC State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Florida StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia Tech
#102
L
72-85
72
85
-13
H29/01
NCAA
Clemson
#190
L
69-75
69
75
-6
A03/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#50
L
60-68
60
68
-8
H05/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#301
L
51-56
51
56
-5
H10/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#41
L
74-94
74
94
-20
A12/02
NCAA
Clemson
#190
W
81-80
81
80
+1
H16/02
NCAA
Duke
#12
L
70-88
70
88
-18
A19/02
NCAA
Boston College
#270
L
55-71
55
71
-16
A22/02
NCAA
Virginia
#135
W
64-63
64
63
+1
A26/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#72
W
74-70
74
70
+4
H03/03
NCAA
1H
2H
31-39
41-46
36-45
33-30
21-25
39-43
20-21
31-35
24-62
50-32
36-40
45-40
41-52
29-36
24-32
31-39
29-34
35-29
39-44
35-26
142.0Avg total
67.0Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)70.971.0141.8-0.155%
Season at home (16)75.267.1142.3+8.175%
Season away (13)65.575.7141.2-10.231%
Last 10 (10)67.075.0142.0-8.030%
Last 5 (5)68.874.4143.2-5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)68.677.3145.9-8.743%
vs Similar ◀ (14)72.967.0139.9+5.964%
vs Weaker (2)66.057.0123.0+9.050%
This opponent (NC State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NC StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Notre Dame
#72
L
65-73
65
73
-8
A27/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#41
L
80-100
80
100
-20
A29/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#205
L
82-89
82
89
-7
H03/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#72
L
57-69
57
69
-12
H05/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#50
L
51-69
51
69
-18
H10/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#301
L
69-71
69
71
-2
A12/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#298
W
76-61
76
61
+15
A16/02
NCAA
Boston College
#270
L
61-69
61
69
-8
H24/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#41
L
74-84
74
84
-10
H26/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#50
L
76-101
76
101
-25
A03/03
NCAA
1H
2H
30-30
35-43
31-56
49-44
45-42
37-47
28-33
29-36
28-31
23-38
31-26
38-45
51-25
25-36
31-33
30-36
29-46
45-38
40-41
36-60
147.7Avg total
69.1Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)73.275.3148.5-2.137%
Season at home (20)73.073.8146.7-0.840%
Season away (10)73.778.5152.2-4.830%
Last 10 (10)69.178.6147.7-9.510%
Last 5 (5)71.277.2148.4-6.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)71.377.8149.1-6.525%
vs Similar ◀ (8)75.471.0146.4+4.450%
vs Weaker (2)83.567.5151.0+16.0100%
This opponent (Florida State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -9.3-9.31st half: -1.9-1.92nd half2nd half: +1.3+1.32nd half: -7.6-7.6
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -9.3-9.31st half: -1.9-1.92nd half2nd half: +1.3+1.32nd half: -7.6-7.6
Florida StateNC State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Florida StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia Tech
#102
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H29/01
NCAA
Clemson
#190
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A03/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#50
L
21-25
21
25
-4
H05/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#301
L
20-21
20
21
-1
H10/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#41
L
24-62
24
62
-38
A12/02
NCAA
Clemson
#190
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H16/02
NCAA
Duke
#12
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A19/02
NCAA
Boston College
#270
L
24-32
24
32
-8
A22/02
NCAA
Virginia
#135
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A26/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#72
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H03/03
NCAA
69.5Avg total
30.1Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.435.069.5-0.643%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.432.068.4+4.456%-
Last 30 away (14)32.138.570.6-6.429%-
Last 10 (10)30.139.469.5-9.30%-
Last 5 (5)33.840.474.2-6.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)32.438.570.9-6.121%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)36.933.470.3+3.464%-
vs Weaker (2)32.022.054.0+10.050%-
This opponent (NC State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NC StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Notre Dame
#72
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A27/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#41
L
31-56
31
56
-25
A29/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#205
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H03/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#72
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H05/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#50
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H10/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#301
W
31-26
31
26
+5
A12/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#298
W
51-25
51
25
+26
A16/02
NCAA
Boston College
#270
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H24/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#41
L
29-46
29
46
-17
H26/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#50
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A03/03
NCAA
70.7Avg total
34.4Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.235.669.8-1.337%-
Last 30 at home (20)33.935.669.5-1.835%-
Last 30 away (10)34.935.470.3-0.540%-
Last 10 (10)34.436.370.7-1.930%-
Last 5 (5)36.434.270.6+2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)33.236.569.7-3.235%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)36.233.169.4+3.150%-
vs Weaker (2)36.036.572.5-0.50%-
This opponent (Florida State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Florida State wins
0
NC State wins
DateGameScore
01/01/22NC State v Florida State81-83
13/01/21Florida State v NC State105-73
22/02/20NC State v Florida State61-67
Florida Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/22HNotre Dame74-70
26/02/22AVirginia64-63
22/02/22ABoston College55-71
19/02/22ADuke70-88
16/02/22HClemson81-80
12/02/22ANorth Carolina74-94
10/02/22HPittsburgh51-56
05/02/22HWake Forest60-68
03/02/22AClemson69-75
29/01/22HVirginia Tech72-85
NC Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/22AWake Forest76-101
26/02/22HNorth Carolina74-84
24/02/22HBoston College61-69
16/02/22AGeorgia Tech76-61
12/02/22APittsburgh69-71
10/02/22HWake Forest51-69
05/02/22HNotre Dame57-69
03/02/22HSyracuse82-89
29/01/22ANorth Carolina80-100
27/01/22ANotre Dame65-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Florida State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW55%
HomeLLLWW75%
AwayLLLLW31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291613
Win %55%75%31%
Points / game70.975.265.5
Allowed / game71.067.175.7
Point differential-0.1+8.1-10.2
Avg total141.8142.3141.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%31%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won77% (13)75% (8)80% (5)
Overtime %7%12%0%
NC State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL37%
HomeLLLLL40%
AwayLLLWL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games302010
Win %37%40%30%
Points / game73.273.073.7
Allowed / game75.373.878.5
Point differential-2.1-0.8-4.8
Avg total148.5146.7152.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%20%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)33% (6)50% (2)
Overtime %7%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke3026487%80.365.1+15.3
2 SMU Mustangs2821775%74.567.4+7.1
3 Wake Forest3123874%79.569.8+9.7
4 North Carolina3022873%78.172.4+5.7
5 Miami (FL)3122971%74.970.8+4.1
6 Notre Dame3021970%72.166.6+5.5
7 Virginia Tech30191163%70.061.2+8.8
8 Virginia30181260%63.660.4+3.2
9 Florida State29161355%70.971.0-0.1
10 Stanford29151452%66.168.2-2.1
11 Clemson30151550%72.068.7+3.3
12 Syracuse31151648%76.775.2+1.5
13 California30121840%63.265.3-2.1
14 Louisville30121840%67.370.6-3.3
15 Boston College30111937%66.468.5-2.1
16 NC State30111937%73.275.3-2.1
17 Pittsburgh30111937%62.367.8-5.5
18 Georgia Tech31112035%68.170.6-2.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Florida State464389
NC State354176
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