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NC State vs Pittsburgh Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 07 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 00:00
Scheduled
Position#46
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game62.2
NC State
USA
vs
Pittsburgh
USA
Position#58
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game64.5
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · NC State v Pittsburgh
06 Jan 2027
NC S v PITT
upcoming
11 Mar 2026
NC S98
PITT88
05 Mar 2025
NC S71
PITT63
07 Feb 2024
NC S64
PITT67
02 Dec 2022
NC S60
PITT68
28 Feb 2021
NC S65
PITT62
11 Mar 2020
NC S73
PITT58
29 Feb 2020
NC S77
PITT73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NC State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pittsburgh win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NC StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Notre Dame
#269
L
90-96 OT
90
96
-6
A28/02
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
64-93
64
93
-29
H03/03
NCAA
Stanford
#103
L
84-85
84
85
-1
H07/03
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
W
98-88
98
88
+10
H11/03
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
74-81
74
81
-7
A12/03
NCAA
Texas
#135
L
66-68
66
68
-2
H18/03
NCAA
Campbell
#316
W
83-64
83
64
+19
H03/11
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#283
W
77-63
77
63
+14
H07/11
NCAA
Presbyterian
#379
W
94-60
94
60
+34
H11/11
NCAA
Troy
#325
W
81-62
81
62
+19
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
44-38
37-43
30-47
34-46
34-37
50-48
51-50
47-38
32-33
42-48
29-30
37-38
41-19
42-45
35-36
42-27
46-19
48-41
36-27
45-35
157.1Avg total
81.1Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)83.862.2146.0+21.5100%
Season at home (4)83.862.2146.0+21.5100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.176.0157.1+5.150%
Last 5 (5)80.263.4143.6+16.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)70.5105.5176.0-35.00%
vs Similar ◀ (12)75.974.1150.0+1.842%
vs Weaker (16)86.470.2156.6+16.288%
This opponent (Pittsburgh) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PittsburghUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stanford
#103
L
67-75
67
75
-8
A26/02
NCAA
California
#79
W
72-56
72
56
+16
A28/02
NCAA
Florida State
#167
L
74-75
74
75
-1
H05/03
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
W
71-69 OT
71
69
+2
A07/03
NCAA
Stanford
#103
W
64-63
64
63
+1
A10/03
NCAA
NC State
#128
L
88-98
88
98
-10
A11/03
NCAA
Rider
#342
W
95-57
95
57
+38
H03/11
NCAA
Buffalo
#279
W
80-61
80
61
+19
H06/11
NCAA
Penn State
#179
W
82-76
82
76
+6
A09/11
NCAA
Butler
#200
W
76-64
76
64
+12
A13/11
NCAA
1H
2H
34-32
33-43
34-26
38-30
30-46
44-29
28-31
37-34
31-23
33-40
50-51
38-47
50-26
45-31
32-45
48-16
42-38
40-38
34-42
42-22
146.3Avg total
76.9Scored
69.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)83.264.5147.8+18.8100%
Season at home (2)87.559.0146.5+28.5100%
Season away (2)79.070.0149.0+9.0100%
Last 10 (10)76.969.4146.3+7.570%
Last 5 (5)84.271.2155.4+13.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)65.876.1141.8-10.318%
vs Similar ◀ (7)74.471.7146.1+2.757%
vs Weaker (6)86.061.2147.2+24.8100%
This opponent (NC State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +4.2+4.21st half: +0.5+0.52nd half2nd half: +1.5+1.52nd half: +6.8+6.8
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +4.2+4.21st half: +0.5+0.52nd half2nd half: +1.5+1.52nd half: +6.8+6.8
NC StatePittsburgh
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NC StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Notre Dame
#269
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A28/02
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
30-47
30
47
-17
H03/03
NCAA
Stanford
#103
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H07/03
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H11/03
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A12/03
NCAA
Texas
#135
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H18/03
NCAA
Campbell
#316
W
41-19
41
19
+22
H03/11
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#283
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H07/11
NCAA
Presbyterian
#379
W
46-19
46
19
+27
H11/11
NCAA
Troy
#325
W
36-27
36
27
+9
H14/11
NCAA
71.4Avg total
37.8Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.133.171.1+5.067%-
Last 30 at home (20)38.031.669.5+6.470%-
Last 30 away (10)38.236.174.3+2.160%-
Last 10 (10)37.833.671.4+4.250%-
Last 5 (5)37.426.263.6+11.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)33.051.584.5-18.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)33.431.965.3+1.542%-
vs Weaker (16)42.231.673.8+10.694%-
This opponent (Pittsburgh) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PittsburghLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stanford
#103
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A26/02
NCAA
California
#79
W
34-26
34
26
+8
A28/02
NCAA
Florida State
#167
L
30-46
30
46
-16
H05/03
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A07/03
NCAA
Stanford
#103
W
31-23
31
23
+8
A10/03
NCAA
NC State
#128
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A11/03
NCAA
Rider
#342
W
50-26
50
26
+24
H03/11
NCAA
Buffalo
#279
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H06/11
NCAA
Penn State
#179
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A09/11
NCAA
Butler
#200
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A13/11
NCAA
72.5Avg total
36.5Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.434.868.2-1.340%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.336.069.3-2.733%-
Last 30 away (15)33.533.567.1+0.047%-
Last 10 (10)36.536.072.5+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)41.640.482.0+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)31.435.566.8-4.135%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)30.733.664.3-2.929%-
vs Weaker (6)42.534.276.7+8.367%-
This opponent (NC State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
NC State wins
4
Pittsburgh wins
DateGameScore
11/03/26NC State v Pittsburgh98-88
24/01/26Pittsburgh v NC State72-81
06/03/25NC State v Pittsburgh71-63
10/03/24Pittsburgh v NC State81-73
08/02/24NC State v Pittsburgh64-67
03/12/22NC State v Pittsburgh60-68
12/02/22Pittsburgh v NC State71-69
28/02/21NC State v Pittsburgh65-62
17/02/21Pittsburgh v NC State73-74
11/03/20NC State v Pittsburgh73-58
NC Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HTroy81-62
11/11/26HPresbyterian94-60
07/11/26HEast Tennessee St77-63
03/11/26HCampbell83-64
18/03/26HTexas66-68
12/03/26AVirginia74-81
11/03/26HPittsburgh98-88
07/03/26HStanford84-85
03/03/26HDuke64-93
28/02/26ANotre Dame90-96 OT
Pittsburghlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26AButler76-64
09/11/26APenn State82-76
06/11/26HBuffalo80-61
03/11/26HRider95-57
11/03/26ANC State88-98
10/03/26AStanford64-63
07/03/26ASyracuse71-69 OT
05/03/26HFlorida State74-75
28/02/26ACalifornia72-56
26/02/26AStanford67-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

NC State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game83.883.8-
Allowed / game62.262.2-
Point differential+21.5+21.5-
Avg total146.0146.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Pittsburgh
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game83.287.579.0
Allowed / game64.559.070.0
Point differential+18.8+28.5+9.0
Avg total147.8146.5149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Louisville220100%95.563.5+32.0
2 SMU Mustangs440100%92.067.5+24.5
3 Boston College330100%76.353.0+23.3
4 Notre Dame440100%87.564.2+23.2
5 Virginia550100%91.869.6+22.2
6 Virginia Tech440100%89.867.8+22.0
7 NC State440100%83.862.2+21.5
8 Pittsburgh440100%83.264.5+18.8
9 Georgia Tech440100%82.570.8+11.8
10 California54180%85.874.8+11.0
11 Duke43175%90.057.0+33.0
12 Miami (FL)43175%83.259.2+24.0
13 Wake Forest43175%76.262.8+13.5
14 North Carolina43175%83.870.8+13.0
15 Stanford43175%78.569.2+9.2
16 Clemson43175%84.276.8+7.5
17 Syracuse32167%85.363.3+22.0
18 Florida State42250%79.080.2-1.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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