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NC State vs Pittsburgh Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Mar 2020
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 73-58
35-32 38-26
Position#119
Record15-11
FormLLWLW
Points / game72.4
Allowed / game70.0
vs
Position#222
Record13-14
FormLLLLW
Points / game65.7
Allowed / game66.1
USANCAA
Other2019-20
Meetings · NC State v Pittsburgh
06 Jan 2027
NC S v PITT
upcoming
11 Mar 2026
NC S98
PITT88
05 Mar 2025
NC S71
PITT63
07 Feb 2024
NC S64
PITT67
02 Dec 2022
NC S60
PITT68
28 Feb 2021
NC S65
PITT62
11 Mar 2020
NC S73
PITT58
29 Feb 2020
NC S77
PITT73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NC State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pittsburgh winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NC StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisville
#41
L
57-77
57
77
-20
H01/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#254
W
83-72
83
72
+11
A06/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#165
W
79-74
79
74
+5
A12/02
NCAA
Boston College
#295
L
68-71
68
71
-3
A16/02
NCAA
Duke
#19
W
88-66
88
66
+22
H20/02
NCAA
Florida State
#12
L
61-67
61
67
-6
H22/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#288
L
79-85
79
85
-6
A26/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#222
W
77-73
77
73
+4
H29/02
NCAA
Duke
#19
L
69-88
69
88
-19
A03/03
NCAA
Wake Forest
#257
W
84-64
84
64
+20
H07/03
NCAA
1H
2H
26-41
31-36
44-32
39-40
39-35
40-39
33-40
35-31
44-29
44-37
32-27
29-40
37-40
42-45
30-31
47-42
36-38
33-50
44-31
40-33
148.2Avg total
74.5Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)72.470.0142.4+2.358%
Season at home (13)72.564.8137.3+7.877%
Season away (13)72.275.3147.5-3.138%
Last 10 (10)74.573.7148.2+0.850%
Last 5 (5)74.075.4149.4-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)71.075.0146.0-4.040%
vs Similar ◀ (14)71.969.3141.2+2.664%
vs Weaker (9)76.871.9148.7+4.956%
This opponent (Pittsburgh) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PittsburghUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Notre Dame
#117
L
72-80
72
80
-8
A05/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#168
W
73-64
73
64
+9
H08/02
NCAA
Clemson
#211
L
52-72
52
72
-20
H13/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#258
L
57-67
57
67
-10
A15/02
NCAA
Florida State
#12
L
67-82
67
82
-15
A19/02
NCAA
Virginia
#43
L
56-59
56
59
-3
H22/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#165
L
49-72
49
72
-23
H27/02
NCAA
NC State
#119
L
73-77
73
77
-4
A29/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#168
L
57-73
57
73
-16
A05/03
NCAA
Wake Forest
#257
W
81-72
81
72
+9
A10/03
NCAA
1H
2H
33-42
39-38
28-24
45-40
24-32
28-40
23-32
34-35
33-38
34-44
29-31
27-28
21-37
28-35
31-30
42-47
21-30
36-43
40-41
41-31
135.5Avg total
63.7Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)65.766.1131.8-0.448%
Season at home (14)66.262.4128.6+3.964%
Season away (13)65.270.2135.3-5.031%
Last 10 (10)63.771.8135.5-8.120%
Last 5 (5)63.270.6133.8-7.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)62.672.4135.0-9.812%
vs Similar ◀ (17)65.364.6129.9+0.659%
vs Weaker (4)72.856.2129.0+16.5100%
This opponent (NC State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +2.1+2.11st half: -5.4-5.42nd half2nd half: -1.3-1.32nd half: -2.7-2.7
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +2.1+2.11st half: -5.4-5.42nd half2nd half: -1.3-1.32nd half: -2.7-2.7
NC StatePittsburgh
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NC StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisville
#41
L
26-41
26
41
-15
H01/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#254
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A06/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#165
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A12/02
NCAA
Boston College
#295
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A16/02
NCAA
Duke
#19
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H20/02
NCAA
Florida State
#12
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H22/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#288
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A26/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#222
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H29/02
NCAA
Duke
#19
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A03/03
NCAA
Wake Forest
#257
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H07/03
NCAA
70.9Avg total
36.5Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)36.634.270.8+2.355%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.531.568.0+5.062%-
Last 30 away (13)36.637.674.2-1.046%-
Last 10 (10)36.534.470.9+2.150%-
Last 5 (5)35.833.469.2+2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.234.469.6+0.860%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)35.833.969.6+1.957%-
vs Weaker (9)38.233.972.1+4.356%-
This opponent (Pittsburgh) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PittsburghLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Notre Dame
#117
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A05/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#168
W
28-24
28
24
+4
H08/02
NCAA
Clemson
#211
L
24-32
24
32
-8
H13/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#258
L
23-32
23
32
-9
A15/02
NCAA
Florida State
#12
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A19/02
NCAA
Virginia
#43
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H22/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#165
L
21-37
21
37
-16
H27/02
NCAA
NC State
#119
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A29/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#168
L
21-30
21
30
-9
A05/03
NCAA
Wake Forest
#257
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A10/03
NCAA
62.0Avg total
28.3Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.830.760.5-0.843%-
Last 30 at home (17)31.527.959.4+3.665%-
Last 30 away (13)27.734.362.0-6.615%-
Last 10 (10)28.333.762.0-5.420%-
Last 5 (5)28.433.862.2-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)28.635.564.1-6.925%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)30.530.260.6+0.347%-
vs Weaker (4)31.223.855.0+7.575%-
This opponent (NC State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
NC State wins
0
Pittsburgh wins
DateGameScore
29/02/20NC State v Pittsburgh77-73
NC Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/20HWake Forest84-64
03/03/20ADuke69-88
29/02/20HPittsburgh77-73
26/02/20ANorth Carolina79-85
22/02/20HFlorida State61-67
20/02/20HDuke88-66
16/02/20ABoston College68-71
12/02/20ASyracuse79-74
06/02/20AMiami (FL)83-72
01/02/20HLouisville57-77
Pittsburghlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/20AWake Forest81-72
05/03/20AGeorgia Tech57-73
29/02/20ANC State73-77
27/02/20HSyracuse49-72
22/02/20HVirginia56-59
19/02/20AFlorida State67-82
15/02/20AVirginia Tech57-67
13/02/20HClemson52-72
08/02/20HGeorgia Tech73-64
05/02/20ANotre Dame72-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

NC State
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW58%
HomeLWLWW77%
AwayWWLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %58%77%38%
Points / game72.472.572.2
Allowed / game70.064.875.3
Point differential+2.3+7.8-3.1
Avg total142.4137.3147.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%54%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)100% (2)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pittsburgh
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW48%
HomeWWLLL64%
AwayLLLLW31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %48%64%31%
Points / game65.766.265.2
Allowed / game66.162.470.2
Point differential-0.4+3.9-5.0
Avg total131.8128.6135.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%29%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)40% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Florida State2723485%75.766.5+9.2
2 Duke2721678%82.369.2+13.1
3 Louisville2619773%72.264.4+7.8
4 Virginia2619773%56.854.1+2.7
5 Stanford26151158%68.763.2+5.4
6 SMU Mustangs26151158%73.069.4+3.6
7 Notre Dame26151158%74.070.7+3.2
8 NC State26151158%72.470.0+2.3
9 Georgia Tech28151354%67.966.2+1.7
10 Syracuse27141352%75.371.9+3.4
11 Clemson27131448%65.064.6+0.4
12 Pittsburgh27131448%65.766.1-0.4
13 Miami (FL)26111542%70.274.3-4.0
14 Wake Forest27111641%73.375.4-2.1
15 Virginia Tech27111641%66.468.6-2.1
16 North Carolina28101836%72.374.0-1.8
17 Boston College2691735%63.271.1-8.0
18 California2791833%61.470.4-9.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
NC State353873
Pittsburgh322658
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