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Wake Forest vs NC State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 31 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 78-96
31-49 47-47
Position#190
Record11-10
FormLWLLL
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game76.7
Wake Forest
USA
vs
NC State 🏆
USA
Position#128
Record15-6
FormWLWWW
Points / game85.4
Allowed / game71.7
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Wake Forest v NC State
31 Jan 2026
WAKE78
NC S96
04 Jan 2025
WAKE77
NC S59
10 Feb 2024
WAKE83
NC S79
28 Jan 2023
WAKE77
NC S79
02 Mar 2022
WAKE101
NC S76
20 Feb 2021
WAKE62
NC S80
07 Dec 2019
WAKE82
NC S91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Wake Forest winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
NC State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Wake ForestUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Longwood
#202
W
71-68
71
68
+3
H18/12
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
67-98
67
98
-31
H21/12
NCAA
NC State
#128
L
57-70
57
70
-13
A31/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
W
81-78
81
78
+3
H03/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
L
77-81
77
81
-4
H08/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
L
84-87
84
87
-3
A10/01
NCAA
Florida State
#167
W
69-68
69
68
+1
A17/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
79-91
79
91
-12
H21/01
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
69-90
69
90
-21
A24/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
L
76-80 OT
76
80
-4
A27/01
NCAA
1H
2H
30-34
41-34
37-54
30-44
32-36
25-34
36-32
45-46
38-39
39-42
38-49
46-38
31-34
38-34
36-45
43-46
31-42
38-48
36-30
30-36
154.1Avg total
73.0Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)80.176.7156.9+3.452%
Season at home (12)84.876.1160.8+8.767%
Season away (9)74.077.6151.6-3.633%
Last 10 (10)73.081.1154.1-8.130%
Last 5 (5)75.483.2158.6-7.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)73.784.5158.2-10.810%
vs Similar (18)78.869.8148.6+8.972%
vs Weaker (2)80.578.0158.5+2.550%
This opponent (NC State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NC StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas Southern
#281
W
108-72
108
72
+36
H18/12
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
W
76-62
76
62
+14
H21/12
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
W
70-57
70
57
+13
H31/12
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
61-76
61
76
-15
H03/01
NCAA
Boston College
#308
W
79-71
79
71
+8
A07/01
NCAA
Florida State
#167
W
113-69
113
69
+44
A10/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#309
L
74-78
74
78
-4
H17/01
NCAA
Clemson
#56
W
80-76 OT
80
76
+4
A21/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
W
81-72
81
72
+9
A24/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
W
88-68
88
68
+20
H28/01
NCAA
1H
2H
51-28
57-44
45-26
31-36
36-32
34-25
20-40
41-36
40-32
39-39
56-31
57-38
35-34
39-44
38-33
31-36
34-33
47-39
41-37
47-31
153.1Avg total
83.0Scored
70.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)85.471.7157.1+13.871%
Season at home (14)85.068.7153.7+16.371%
Season away (7)86.377.6163.9+8.771%
Last 10 (10)83.070.1153.1+12.980%
Last 5 (5)87.272.6159.8+14.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)70.083.7153.7-13.733%
vs Similar (14)77.676.5154.1+1.143%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)86.867.4154.2+19.485%
This opponent (Wake Forest) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -5.0-5.01st half: +7.0+7.02nd half2nd half: -2.7-2.72nd half: +5.5+5.5
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -5.0-5.01st half: +7.0+7.02nd half2nd half: -2.7-2.72nd half: +5.5+5.5
Wake ForestNC State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Wake ForestLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Longwood
#202
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H18/12
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
37-54
37
54
-17
H21/12
NCAA
NC State
#128
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A31/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H03/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H08/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A10/01
NCAA
Florida State
#167
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A17/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H21/01
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A24/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A27/01
NCAA
74.0Avg total
34.5Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.035.971.9+0.237%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.834.973.7+3.953%-
Last 30 away (13)32.437.269.5-4.815%-
Last 10 (10)34.539.574.0-5.020%-
Last 5 (5)34.440.074.4-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)33.942.176.0-8.20%-
vs Similar (18)36.931.568.4+5.456%-
vs Weaker (2)39.044.083.0-5.050%-
This opponent (NC State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NC StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas Southern
#281
W
51-28
51
28
+23
H18/12
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
W
45-26
45
26
+19
H21/12
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H31/12
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
20-40
20
40
-20
H03/01
NCAA
Boston College
#308
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A07/01
NCAA
Florida State
#167
W
56-31
56
31
+25
A10/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#309
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H17/01
NCAA
Clemson
#56
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A21/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A24/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H28/01
NCAA
72.2Avg total
39.6Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.533.971.4+3.670%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.732.270.9+6.678%-
Last 30 away (12)35.836.572.2-0.858%-
Last 10 (10)39.632.672.2+7.090%-
Last 5 (5)40.833.674.4+7.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)29.041.770.7-12.733%-
vs Similar (14)34.334.568.8-0.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)43.031.574.5+11.5100%-
This opponent (Wake Forest) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Wake Forest wins
6
NC State wins
DateGameScore
31/12/25NC State v Wake Forest70-57
22/02/25NC State v Wake Forest85-73
04/01/25Wake Forest v NC State77-59
10/02/24Wake Forest v NC State83-79
17/01/24NC State v Wake Forest83-76
23/02/23NC State v Wake Forest90-74
28/01/23Wake Forest v NC State77-79
03/03/22Wake Forest v NC State101-76
10/02/22NC State v Wake Forest51-69
20/02/21Wake Forest v NC State62-80
Wake Forestlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/26APittsburgh76-80 OT
24/01/26ADuke69-90
21/01/26HSMU Mustangs79-91
17/01/26AFlorida State69-68
10/01/26ANorth Carolina84-87
08/01/26HMiami (FL)77-81
03/01/26HVirginia Tech81-78
31/12/25ANC State57-70
21/12/25HVanderbilt67-98
18/12/25HLongwood71-68
NC Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/26HSyracuse88-68
24/01/26APittsburgh81-72
21/01/26AClemson80-76 OT
17/01/26HGeorgia Tech74-78
10/01/26AFlorida State113-69
07/01/26ABoston College79-71
03/01/26HVirginia61-76
31/12/25HWake Forest70-57
21/12/25HOle Miss76-62
18/12/25HTexas Southern108-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Wake Forest
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL52%
HomeWLWLL67%
AwayLLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21129
Win %52%67%33%
Points / game80.184.874.0
Allowed / game76.776.177.6
Point differential+3.4+8.7-3.6
Avg total156.9160.8151.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)67% (3)33% (6)
Overtime %10%0%22%
NC State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW71%
HomeWWLLW71%
AwayLWWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21147
Win %71%71%71%
Points / game85.485.086.3
Allowed / game71.768.777.6
Point differential+13.8+16.3+8.7
Avg total157.1153.7163.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%64%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %10%7%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke2019195%85.664.6+21.0
2 Miami (FL)2117481%84.769.3+15.3
3 Clemson2117481%77.165.1+12.0
4 Virginia2117481%83.171.2+12.0
5 North Carolina2016480%82.570.0+12.5
6 SMU Mustangs2015575%87.277.0+10.2
7 Virginia Tech2216673%81.074.1+6.9
8 NC State2115671%85.471.7+13.8
9 California2115671%77.969.9+8.0
10 Louisville2014670%86.070.3+15.7
11 Stanford2114767%75.772.8+2.9
12 Syracuse2112957%75.369.9+5.4
13 Wake Forest21111052%80.176.7+3.4
14 Notre Dame21111052%74.071.5+2.5
15 Georgia Tech21111052%74.573.1+1.3
16 Boston College2091145%68.268.2+0.1
17 Pittsburgh2191243%73.071.5+1.5
18 Florida State2191243%80.479.6+0.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Wake Forest314778
NC State494796
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