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Louisville vs Virginia Tech Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 85-71
37-22 48-49
Position#53
Record13-5
FormLLWLW
Points / game87.9
Allowed / game69.6
Louisville 🏆
USA
vs
Virginia Tech
USA
Position#122
Record15-5
FormLWLWW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game74.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Louisville v Virginia Tech
24 Jan 2026
LOUI85
VIRG71
05 Mar 2024
LOUI64
VIRG80
28 Feb 2023
LOUI54
VIRG71
06 Jan 2021
LOUI73
VIRG71
01 Mar 2020
LOUI68
VIRG52
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Louisville winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virginia Tech winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LouisvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana
#145
W
87-78
87
78
+9
H06/12
NCAA
Memphis
#277
W
99-73
99
73
+26
H13/12
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
L
62-83
62
83
-21
A17/12
NCAA
Montana
#186
W
94-54
94
54
+40
H20/12
NCAA
California
#79
W
90-70
90
70
+20
A31/12
NCAA
Stanford
#103
L
76-80
76
80
-4
A03/01
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
73-84
73
84
-11
H07/01
NCAA
Boston College
#308
W
75-62
75
62
+13
H10/01
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
70-79
70
79
-9
H14/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
W
100-59
100
59
+41
A18/01
NCAA
1H
2H
41-27
46-51
57-37
42-36
27-34
35-49
42-20
52-34
48-34
42-36
34-35
42-45
47-38
26-46
30-34
45-28
28-33
42-46
53-22
47-37
154.8Avg total
82.6Scored
72.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)87.969.6157.5+18.472%
Season at home (12)91.867.2159.0+24.583%
Season away (6)80.374.2154.5+6.250%
Last 10 (10)82.672.2154.8+10.460%
Last 5 (5)78.872.8151.6+6.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)67.578.5146.0-11.00%
vs Similar (6)73.780.2153.8-6.533%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)88.266.2154.4+22.095%
This opponent (Virginia Tech) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virginia TechUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Carolina
#221
W
96-74
96
74
+22
H12/12
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#345
W
82-53
82
53
+29
H14/12
NCAA
Elon
#256
W
82-81 OT
82
81
+1
H20/12
NCAA
Virginia
#19
W
95-85 OT
95
85
+10
H31/12
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
L
78-81
78
81
-3
A03/01
NCAA
Stanford
#103
L
68-69
68
69
-1
H08/01
NCAA
California
#79
W
78-75
78
75
+3
H10/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
76-77
76
77
-1
A15/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
W
89-76
89
76
+13
H17/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
W
76-74
76
74
+2
A22/01
NCAA
1H
2H
53-34
43-40
38-29
44-24
35-43
37-29
23-24
32-31
32-36
46-45
31-24
37-45
37-37
41-38
38-39
38-38
45-34
44-42
30-37
46-37
156.5Avg total
82.0Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)82.074.0156.1+8.075%
Season at home (13)86.572.2158.7+14.292%
Season away (7)73.777.4151.1-3.743%
Last 10 (10)82.074.5156.5+7.570%
Last 5 (5)77.474.2151.6+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)67.677.4145.0-9.825%
vs Similar (17)79.673.9153.5+5.765%
vs Weaker (5)83.869.8153.6+14.0100%
This opponent (Louisville) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.3+9.31st half: +2.5+2.52nd half2nd half: +1.1+1.12nd half: +3.9+3.9
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.3+9.31st half: +2.5+2.52nd half2nd half: +1.1+1.12nd half: +3.9+3.9
LouisvilleVirginia Tech
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
LouisvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana
#145
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H06/12
NCAA
Memphis
#277
W
57-37
57
37
+20
H13/12
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A17/12
NCAA
Montana
#186
W
42-20
42
20
+22
H20/12
NCAA
California
#79
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A31/12
NCAA
Stanford
#103
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A03/01
NCAA
Duke
#8
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H07/01
NCAA
Boston College
#308
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H10/01
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H14/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
W
53-22
53
22
+31
A18/01
NCAA
72.1Avg total
40.7Scored
31.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.831.372.1+9.573%-
Last 30 at home (20)42.931.174.0+11.880%-
Last 30 away (10)36.731.868.5+4.960%-
Last 10 (10)40.731.472.1+9.360%-
Last 5 (5)38.432.470.8+6.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)42.535.578.0+7.0100%-
vs Similar (6)31.737.369.0-5.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)43.129.372.5+13.882%-
This opponent (Virginia Tech) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virginia TechLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Carolina
#221
W
53-34
53
34
+19
H12/12
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#345
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H14/12
NCAA
Elon
#256
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H20/12
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
23-24
23
24
-1
H31/12
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A03/01
NCAA
Stanford
#103
W
31-24
31
24
+7
H08/01
NCAA
California
#79
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H10/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A15/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H17/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A22/01
NCAA
69.9Avg total
36.2Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.234.568.7-0.340%-
Last 30 at home (19)37.134.571.6+2.653%-
Last 30 away (11)29.134.563.6-5.518%-
Last 10 (10)36.233.769.9+2.540%-
Last 5 (5)36.234.270.4+2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)26.835.462.1-8.60%-
vs Similar (17)36.235.271.4+0.941%-
vs Weaker (5)39.230.669.8+8.6100%-
This opponent (Louisville) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Louisville wins
4
Virginia Tech wins
DateGameScore
26/02/25Virginia Tech v Louisville66-71
06/03/24Louisville v Virginia Tech64-80
03/12/23Virginia Tech v Louisville75-68
01/03/23Louisville v Virginia Tech54-71
02/03/22Virginia Tech v Louisville75-43
06/01/21Louisville v Virginia Tech73-71
01/03/20Louisville v Virginia Tech68-52
Louisvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/26APittsburgh100-59
14/01/26HVirginia70-79
10/01/26HBoston College75-62
07/01/26HDuke73-84
03/01/26AStanford76-80
31/12/25ACalifornia90-70
20/12/25HMontana94-54
17/12/25ATennessee62-83
13/12/25HMemphis99-73
06/12/25HIndiana87-78
Virginia Techlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/26ASyracuse76-74
17/01/26HNotre Dame89-76
15/01/26ASMU Mustangs76-77
10/01/26HCalifornia78-75
08/01/26HStanford68-69
03/01/26AWake Forest78-81
31/12/25HVirginia95-85 OT
20/12/25HElon82-81 OT
14/12/25HMd.-East. Shore82-53
12/12/25HWestern Carolina96-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Louisville
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW72%
HomeWWLWL83%
AwayLLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18126
Win %72%83%50%
Points / game87.991.880.3
Allowed / game69.667.274.2
Point differential+18.4+24.5+6.2
Avg total157.5159.0154.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+61%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Virginia Tech
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW75%
HomeWWLWW92%
AwayLWLLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20137
Win %75%92%43%
Points / game82.086.573.7
Allowed / game74.072.277.4
Point differential+8.0+14.2-3.7
Avg total156.1158.7151.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%62%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)67% (3)60% (5)
Overtime %20%23%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke1918195%85.765.3+20.5
2 Clemson2117481%77.165.1+12.0
3 Miami (FL)2016480%85.069.3+15.7
4 North Carolina2016480%82.570.0+12.5
5 Virginia2016480%82.369.9+12.4
6 Virginia Tech2015575%82.074.0+8.0
7 SMU Mustangs1914574%87.576.8+10.6
8 California1914574%78.870.5+8.3
9 Stanford1914574%76.572.2+4.3
10 Louisville1813572%87.969.6+18.4
11 NC State2014670%85.371.8+13.4
12 Syracuse2012860%75.769.0+6.7
13 Wake Forest2011955%80.376.5+3.8
14 Georgia Tech2011955%75.073.2+1.7
15 Notre Dame1910953%73.270.4+2.7
16 Boston College1991047%68.468.2+0.3
17 Florida State1981142%81.480.4+1.0
18 Pittsburgh2081240%72.771.2+1.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Louisville374885
Virginia Tech224971
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